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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?


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8 minutes ago, Grigb said:

It is somewhat exaggerated.

lol yeah but one can hope!

in fake breaking news:

President Xi has ordered Chinese forces to occupy Siberia to protect Chinese citizens and is calling for a referendum.

Meanwhile Japanese forces have liberated the Kuriles.

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1 minute ago, akd said:

Another one:

2x Mi-8 EW

1x Mi-35

1x Ka-52

1x Il-22M

Good. Let all those damned Ka-52s fall out of the sky, it’ll make the work for the UAF way easier.
 

Speaking of which…

https://t.me/pilotblog/4984

The Armed Forces of Ukraine successfully crossed the Dnieper in the area of the Antonovsky Bridge, there is a battle going on, - Z-channels.

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15 minutes ago, kevinkin said:

NY Post Headline this morning:

BREAKING VLAD

Vladimir Putin’s presidential plane left Moscow early Saturday, sparking rumors that he had fled the Russian capital as the Wagner Group’s mercenary forces advanced on the city.

Putin: "I don't need ammo, I need a ride"

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19:07

Ru Nats discussing that the negotiations are taking place

https://t.me/dva_majors/19212

Rybar new info

Military transporters transported mob reserve units from various parts of Russia to Moscow. Trains transport military soldiers from St. Petersburg. Vacationers are being recalled to units in Moscow and the surrounding region by the end of June 24…

According to unverified information, in a couple of hours in Moscow and the region they should start jamming mobile communications and the Internet.

If this happens, the night events in Moscow will remain, in many ways, a mystery, and we will learn about the results of the rebellious "march of justice" after the completion of this grandiose action. There are enough questions about the events that are taking place: many things are being done so deliberately that you seriously feel like a character of some tricky chess game.

There are too many troop transfers and maneuvers for just "suppressing the rebellion."

19:15

https://t.me/etorostov/27190

Wagnerites shot in the air [again] to push people away

https://t.me/dva_majors/19219

But there is video of Wagnerite just shooting the door of RU internet communication company

https://t.me/cmiye/11355

Schurov bridge over Oka river is blocked

19:17

https://t.me/dva_majors/19220

RU mil reporter publishes photos of downed KA-52 in Voronezh and claims that crew is dead (blood is shed)

19:18

https://t.me/Separ13_13/15582

"Agent" 13 (infamous RU soldier)

Serious battle at Antonovks bridge

19:20

https://t.me/voenkorKotenok/48733

RU mil reporter claims Wagnerite column stopped

19:23

https://t.me/fighter_bomber/12898

RU losses

  • 3 x Mi-8mtpr [EW]
  • 1 x Mi-8
  • 1 x Ka-52
  • 1 x Mi-35
  • 1 x IL-18 VZPU [Comms]
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Gary Kasparov:

A war to take Kyiv in three days has turned into taking Moscow in two! 

Having been defeated repeatedly by Ukraine, Russian forces have found an easier opponent, one with corrupt leadership, incompetent commanders, and low morale.

Edited by kevinkin
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Russian milblogger, unverified. About UKR Dnipro crossing 

The enemy came and gained a foothold under densiest cover of artillery and mortar fire. Mortat crews of the enemy don't stop to work as well as barrel artillery. Due to operative information on this section the enemy already transferred three tanks by the ferry. 

Зображення

 

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2 hours ago, kraze said:

I think there's simply no army left in Russia to stop them. Remember the disgraceful "Victory Day" with a single T34? It's that simple.

Entirely possible, I'll warrant. And now we hear tales of elements of "capable" (although who knows how reliable?) units being airlifted around the RUF, so is Prig on a clock: get safe before those arrivals can shake themselves out into fighting formations and close the noose?

There are internal security elements though, which should be reliable supporters of the regime. I would have thought OMON formations would have the engineer capacity to deny river crossings to the rebels. Maybe they're moving so fast that the high-ups can't get their heads around the idea of destroying Rodina infrastructure to slow the progress of malcontents.

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7 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

Russian milblogger, unverified. About UKR Dnipro crossing 

The enemy came and gained a foothold under densiest cover of artillery and mortar fire. Mortat crews of the enemy don't stop to work as well as barrel artillery. Due to operative information on this section the enemy already transferred three tanks by the ferry. 

Зображення

 

Seizing the opportunity apparently:

 

Edited by Huba
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1 minute ago, Haiduk said:

Russian milblogger, unverified. About UKR Dnipro crossing 

The enemy came and gained a foothold under densiest cover of artillery and mortar fire. Mortat crews of the enemy don't stop to work as well as barrel artillery. Due to operative information on this section the enemy already transferred three tanks by the ferry. 

And the Russians have proven that the Antonovsky Bridge makes a good mask for a pontoon bridge... Or did they drop all the spans and piers? Do the Russians have the capability to interdict that kind of crossing, if the UKR AD umbrella covers it?

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10 minutes ago, womble said:

Entirely possible, I'll warrant. And now we hear tales of elements of "capable" (although who knows how reliable?) units being airlifted around the RUF, so is Prig on a clock: get safe before those arrivals can shake themselves out into fighting formations and close the noose?

There are internal security elements though, which should be reliable supporters of the regime. I would have thought OMON formations would have the engineer capacity to deny river crossings to the rebels. Maybe they're moving so fast that the high-ups can't get their heads around the idea of destroying Rodina infrastructure to slow the progress of malcontents.

Or maybe putin bet everything on not trying to lose this war, after all OMON was moved to Ukraine as well to suppress rebellions on occupied territories - which in turn simply left the gates wide open for Prig.

I bet putin trusted his personal cook so much - he would not think his bff will ever backstab him.

But this is Russia. An emperor can never show weakness. And losing wars is showing the worst possible weakness.

Somebody would have to exploit the once in a lifetime opportunity. Especially a guy that was gifted a whole personal army to. It was supposed to be putin's private army though.

Edited by kraze
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8 minutes ago, sburke said:

Makes sense, Russian C&C has to be a mess right now and if true that VDV and other folks are pulling out, what is left in the way of a reserve?

Russian source says exactly VDV unit is engaged in fight with UKR troops on bridgehead.

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