Huba

Missile diving into BSF HQ caught on camera:

That precisely is the issue here. As you mentioned, if you listen to the whole interview it is much more nuanced, but for some reason the PM Chancellery decided to quote this one particular sentence in their tweet that, without context, caused the snowball effect we see now. And then, for the same reason they aren't doing any visible damage control on that.

PiS is aiming at stealing some votes from the far(er) right before the October elections, and there isn't a single thing in the world not worth sacrificing on this altar. Shameful, to say the least.

Also the rail bridge in this section is much higher above the water than the road part, which almost hugs the surface, making it much harder to damage with the same quantity of explosives.

Here's another video. It looks like both road spans are damaged, there's a lot of rebar coming out from the bottom of the right section. The beam holding the sections is probably damaged too. Shame that they didn't manage to also hit the rail bridge.

Polish military twittershpere consensus is more or less that it was to be expected. PL military industry is stretched to maximum already, and after bad experiences with Leo2PL is not willing to go an extra mile to make this service center happen without it being reasonably profitable. Like usually with this type of situations, there's not nearly enough public info to really get to the bottom of who is at fault here, and to what degree.

Zelensky got straightened out a bit since yesterday it seems.

A very well sourced thread about NATO 155mm ammunition production, which is to hit 2.5 million rounds per annum in 2025, based only on the 6 biggest producers ( not including Turkey and France for example).

Jaw-dropping footage of yesterday's strike at RU ammo depot, a must watch!

When only tool at your disposal is a drone:

Muscovites seem to be genuinely worried about this bridgehead and are striking it with everything they have, including Iskanders. Edit: Also this: As horrible as it sounds, the biggest contribution made by these few armor companies that UA lost in the first days of counteroffensive, was showing everyone that they in fact are not equipped to do offensive actions in a way acceptable for UA command AND NATO partners. Here's hope that that half-assing our support is really ending and they will get all they need, including the most destructive weapons in our disposal.

So it looks like Ukraine will buy/ get a battery or two of ground launched Naval Strike Missiles from us. This is rather interesting development. So Poland at the moment has 4 batteries (12 launchers total) and probably around a 100 missiles for them. There was a big order for more made recently, worth IIRC around $500M or so, enough for double what we have already. Polish milnet was in a bit of a pickle regarding it, as what we have is enough for our foreseeable needs, with more needed either for foreign deployments, or indeed to allow sending what we have to Ukraine. So I wonder what applications will these have, given that UA Harpoons already keep the BSF at bay around Odessa? One application would be striking ground targets of course, NSM is capable of that but it would be a waste of very expensive missile (with relatively small warhead). It doesn,tt have the range to strike Sevastopol or Kerch ( 220km stated range, while 300 is needed). I guess it could be used to attack ships in the Sea of Azov ports like Mariupol or Berdyansk, flying overland, thus denying Russian their use for resupplying the front. IMO this would be it's primary use now. If Ukrainians manage to push the frontline a bit though, It would spell doom for the BSF, attacking ships on anchor in Crimean ports, but more importantly it could cover the entire Sea of Azov and thus trap it in the eastern part of the Black Sea. Link to the original article (in English) https://defence24.com/armed-forces/polish-coastal-defence-missiles-heading-to-ukraine-exclusive

Depending on who's accompanying you, I really recommend a quick train trip to Figueres where, on top of enjoying the train ride itself, cultured people can visit an (reportedly) amazing Salvador Dali museum, and less cultured ones can see this amazing fortress:

A very interesting piece of RUMINT, but from a notoriously reliable guy. Reportedly Ukrainians (with a little bit of foreign help...) managed overhaul and put back in service some S200 missiles. He hints at G2G use, with some small modifications it could be useful and rather hard to defend against.

Putin's speech In a nutshell: And response: