Grigb

Yes and no. If it hits directly yes otherwise no - overal destruction effect from near misses of two let's say 500 kg bombs will be greater than from single 1000 kg bomb.

These photographs could be forgeries; the RU claim that these particular men have already been killed.

Anyway, According to their own experience in Aphanistan, a very large bomb is less effective than multiple smaller ones because the overall destruction area of the big bomb is smaller. Clowns.

The issue is that I see RU Nats are very confused. There isn't any sort of war frenzy per se yet (except from few total madmen like Medvedev).

According to a new rumour, Russia is looking for five guys from Ingushetia (a Russian republic close to Chechnya).

Interesting Quote

According to FSB 40 dead and 100 wounded.

The primary issue now is that, according to rumours, the attackers do not resemble Ukrainians but rather Chechens. Ru Nats are currently confused.

RU Nat says Shpeznaz started clearing operations 30 minutes ago, which is at least an hour late.

Yes. It is either you are ally or not. So, German gov will honor only what it labels defensive. RU Nats shells send dozens of drones to hit Gdansk from Kaliningrad. RU gov declares they have nothing to do with that. German gov declares it will not get involved in any offensive actions and Poland must swallow it. So, for Germany US is not truly ally. Good that we are all on the same page.

It seems you are not. This relies on the US readiness to reveal intelligence sources to NATO heads of states, like Orban. Otherwise, you will have to trust the US claim that it was a RU submarine. Imagine Trump says RU submarine torpedoed out boat, but I will not disclose how I know it. So, the ultimate decision rests with the heads of state. We have Orban, we have Scholtz and possibly few others (Austrian). Can NATO overcome their opinion?

Though Germany position is... well, Germany position, the overall EU situation is not that bad in the long term (it's bad in short term). I'm slowly summarizing RU Opposition economist Milov's recent report on the Russian economy. He stated that he recently visited the European Parliament and spoke to several EU MPs. There are both bad and good news: Bad news - EU is politically bickering around Ukraine assistance, also faster work (for example enforcing sanctions) is not possible due to democratic bureaucracy of EU parliament. And it is unlikely to improve in the short term. Good news - EU core politicians know the seriousness of war and about their bickering and slowness problem. They are committed to resolve it in the long term (long term means around year). He cited an example: he was privately told that the EU needs to recruit 50 professionals to successfully stop Russia from dodging sanctions. However, this requires passing money through EU democratic procedures, which is extremely lengthy owing to the politicking of MPs from various nations. But eventually, the EU will hire them and cut RU off. In a year.

So, if an unknown submarine (from RU) torpedoes US boat in Pacific Ocean will Germany gets involved or (given RU denial and US unwillingness to disclose intelligence sources publicly) just say it was probably China, so not our problem?

An attack on an ally is reason enough to get involved. What you're saying is that the German government values legal justifications over alliances. And it begs the question: what if the German government finds a legal justification not to respect Article 5?

My fault. it is 30+50+10+10. Instead of getting regular sleep, I'm reading and translating at night. So, mistakes happen.