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How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?


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16 minutes ago, FancyCat said:

 

 

 

 

So if the Russians mistook AMX-10RCs for Leo 2s, those Russian soldiers who are still alive are firmly in the AMX-10RC is a tank camp.

Remember those never ending debates on Twitter if the AMX-10RC is a tank or not, when France first agreed to supply them to the AFU? 😎

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6 minutes ago, Harmon Rabb said:

So if the Russians mistook AMX-10RCs for Leo 2s, those Russian soldiers who are still alive are firmly in the AMX-10RC is a tank camp.

Remember those never ending debates on Twitter if the AMX-10RC is a tank or not, when France first agreed to supply them to the AFU? 😎

The average Ivan in a trench can't tell the difference anyways. Those guys have other problems.

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1 hour ago, Huba said:

Ingenious, and can double as spaced armour/ anti-loitering munitions net:

 

 

LOL, this is obviously just the 1st Gen prototype that will evolve into the Mobile Parking Garage (MPG). The MPG will allow the UA to phase out almost all other direct fire platforms (AFV, IFV, APC, etc). The next video will showcase the infantry dismount models that resemble out houses and telephone booths. The crew served weapons are humbly based on wood sheds for rural operations and kiosks for urban tactical options!  ;) 

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Russian shelled with Smerch or Tornado-S Balakliya and some place near Kupiansk, damaging the ammonia pipeline. Ammonia leackage happened. State Emergenmcy Service and army CBRN unit on the place now.

  

Edited by Haiduk
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It's claimed UKR diversion group elininated Russians in Chystopillia village, Zaporizhzhia oblast, but this is 16 km deep from frontline... Either mistaken geolocation, or this could be local partisans. 

 

 

Edited by Haiduk
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52 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

It's claimed UKR diversion group elininated Russians in Chystopillia village, Zaporizhzhia oblast, but this is 16 km deep from frontline... Either mistaken geolocation, or this could be local partisans. 

 

 

North of Topmak? That would be very nice!

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1 hour ago, Haiduk said:

It's claimed UKR diversion group elininated Russians in Chystopillia village, Zaporizhzhia oblast, but this is 16 km deep from frontline... Either mistaken geolocation, or this could be local partisans. 

 

 

To my mark one eyeball the guy in the film looks like a soldier, not a partisan. 

Edit: and if the geolocate is correct and Russia supply convoys are going to get shot at in every. one horse town in the land bridge the Russians are about to have a VERY bad week.

Edited by dan/california
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This is starting to take shape.

What I see Ukraine doing is pushing in a couple of widely separated places that are probably pretty easily taken with fairly small forces.  This will keep the Russians guessing about intent, while at the same time posing significant challenges for Russian units defending these sectors.

At the same time we're seeing the efforts in Belgorod apparently INCREASING and the Russians still not being able to handle them.  More confusing and stress.  The killing of the Russian Colonel is a major bonus.

There also might be some significant partisan activities going on in the south in the rear of Russian defenders.  If the report from Chystopillia is true (and I see no reason to doubt it), they are in the sweet spot of close enough to the frontline to cause disruption, but far enough to the rear that there's not much opposition.  I hope there's a lot more of this planned, because this is exactly the sort of partisan activity that can have a major impact on conventional operations.  Especially if the defenders are poor quality and already jumpy.

The propaganda that Ukraine has been working on over the past few months seems to be kicking into high gear.  The hacking of TV channels to broadcast Ukrainian intimidation propaganda and deep fake stuff is brilliant.  Russia has been stumbling badly in this domain since the war started, but my gut says it's getting worse by the day.

And throughout all of this... Ukraine hasn't committed hardly anything to the fight yet.

Steve

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Just now, dan/california said:

Just put them in the F-35 program and be done with it. 😂

If you think about it, it's way easier to find spare aircraft than spare tanks here in the West. There were some news today that even Germany is reconsidering participation in the aircraft coalition. My hunch is that during the winter and spring we'll see a huge air battle over Crimea, one that RU Air Force won't be able to win due to pure geography, after the land bridge is cut.

Here is the link to the original source on the F-18s:

 

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17 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

Ukrainian report on the "success" of the recent increased Russian attacks in the Kupyansk area.  About 200 wounded being treated:

https://news.yahoo.com/russian-invaders-bring-20-trucks-161455147.html

Steve

It was extremely successful at reducing the number of Russians in Ukraine, and improving the nitrogen content of certain agricultural tracts.

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wow, the plot thickens even more.  I was thinking about corrosion & probing/opportunistic attacks like we've seen, but SOF or 'partisan' attacks in RU frontline-rear areas?  Could a UKR fan ask for any more from his team here in just the beginning of the game?  And, like Steve said above,  UKR hasn't even employed its best new units. 

Plus the AMX10 is doin' some nice damage it sounds like.  Those troops have much better firepower support due to these lovely machines.  Just like I was hoping would happen.

Meanwhile, RU is already down due to 'own goal' as civil war inside the military/paramilitary takes hold.

Edited by danfrodo
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Rumors that the Nova Kakhovka dam got blown tonight. Not confirmed but an interesting and hugely consequential move if true. It would mean at a minimum that Russia was expecting an attack of some force over the Dnieper.

Important caveat: it is coming from Russian Telegram channels. 

Edited by billbindc
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