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fireship4

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  1. Upvote
    fireship4 got a reaction from Probus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Great thread.  I thought I would post some of the sources I have been using to stay up to date with the war:
    First of all, the Reddit live thread is a good general starting point, and much of the following sources will pop up there every so often.  I have also dipped my toes back into the water of an old community of mine, United Operations, and check into their teamspeak every so often - you always get some choice tidbits when talking directly to people with a good amount of military knowledge (if someone wants an invite I can perhaps make that happen).  I advocate for an audio discussion room for this subject on the battlefront discord if there isn't one already.  People are clearly interested and we have not a few people with insight.
    https://www.reddit.com/live/18hnzysb1elcs/
    Live Maps:
    https://liveuamap.com/
    https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-War-in-Ukraine/091194
    https://firms.modaps.eosdis.nasa.gov/map/#m:tsd;d:today;@32.0,48.8,7z
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine#/media/File:2022_Russian_invasion_of_Ukraine.svg
    Websites:
    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone
    https://www.understandingwar.org/
    Twitter (via nitter.com):
    https://nitter.net/Osinttechnical
    https://nitter.net/christogrozev
    https://nitter.net/Militarylandnet
    https://nitter.net/Caucasuswar
    https://nitter.net/Justin_Br0nk
    https://nitter.net/DanLamothe
    https://nitter.net/Blue_Sauron
    https://nitter.net/billroggio
    https://nitter.net/Nrg8000
    https://nitter.net/SotisValkan
    https://nitter.net/AaronMehta
    https://nitter.net/kamilkazani
    https://nitter.net/JimmySecUK
    https://nitter.net/RALee85
    https://nitter.net/polijunkie_aus
    https://nitter.net/ELINTNews
    https://nitter.net/Eastern_Border
     
  2. Like
    fireship4 reacted to Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Lost for words, John, but thank you for yours. As always I wish you all the best.
    Twain's War Prayer humbles and calms me. Very impressive.
  3. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to John Kettler in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Aragorn2002,

    Appreciate your kind response. We're good. There's so much going on, so much at stake, so many interests, some competing, some complementary, that it's frighteningly easy to get swept up. On my end, because of my TBI and Aspbergers, which was exacerbated by the TBI, at times I find it so overwhelming I have to break off. Was similarly fried by CNN's 24/7 Desert Storm coverage, but I didn't have to process it with a TBI thrown in, either. Also, there's a $40 word attached to people with Aspbergers. It's perseveration and basically refers to getting rolling on a topic and just keeping on going, whether in conversation or, in my case, posting! The more stress I'm under and the less sleep I've had, the more I tend to perseverate.

    Thus, I find myself in a multi-dimensional tightrope walking exercise in which I seek to take in rapidly breaking intel items, assess them as best I can, when I can and comment on them where possible, while also staying current with the by now hundreds of other posts, which must also be screened for useful info, whether other nuggets from current or near current other SM posts, say, or things like the article on Russian logistics. And as long ago (late June of 1989 when I left) as my Soviet Threat Analyst days were, much of what I knew then still applies now, allowing me to provide perspectives on things when theoretically my knowledge base is largely obsolete. But how obsolete is it when T-64s, T-72s and T-80s, however upgraded, are still the standard tanks, when the MI-24, MI-29 and Ka-50 series (the last already in flight test when I left) roam the skies and dispense death, along with the Su-25? Much the same situation obtains ref artillery, with the 2S1, 2S3, 2S7, BM-21, BM-27, etc. still in service. And today's much higher tech and far smaller manpower Red Army is the result of massive reforms initiated by Marshal Ogarkov while I was still in military aerospace. Likewise, what the Soviets used to call reconnaissance-strike complexes are now fully operational, as evidenced by bad things resulting from UA soldiers using their cell phones! Despite all its high tech, today's Red Army is still heavily driven by concepts and principles antedating the GPW in some cases, but now the means finally exist to execute at least some of them. But as we all know, today's modern battlefield is both vastly more complex and vastly more dangerous, often with no safe rear, either. 

    And have to do all of the above while not going off the rails, somehow getting sleep and not getting so caught up in things I post or say something inappropriate. And all of the above while juggling my endless fascination with weapons and warfare against the all too real havoc and destruction and the knowledge that we CMers have our own people in, or potentially in, the combat zone. This is altogether together too close to having brother George in his M3 CFV right across the border from East Germany and a SECRET level Army study in my safe showing a 50% casualty rate for units like his fighting the Covering Force Battle--and then war breaks out.

    Finally, this is ever in my mind. Has been n since I first read it and was poleaxed by it.

    https://warprayer.org

    Regards,

    John Kettler
  4. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from laurent 22 in Kieme's modding corner   
    My backup has moved here: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fdgcyjxwy99csp5/AAB2HVemThOm9vyqdj2lj_I8a?dl=0
    I created a thread announcing such on this forum, it's currently half way down the front page: https://community.battlefront.com/topic/139975-mods-by-bil-hardenberger-btr-kieme-vein-zveroboy1-new-backup-location/.
     
  5. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Strykr45 in Kieme's modding corner   
    My backup has moved here: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fdgcyjxwy99csp5/AAB2HVemThOm9vyqdj2lj_I8a?dl=0
    I created a thread announcing such on this forum, it's currently half way down the front page: https://community.battlefront.com/topic/139975-mods-by-bil-hardenberger-btr-kieme-vein-zveroboy1-new-backup-location/.
     
  6. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Strykr45 in Mods by Bil Hardenberger, BTR, Kieme, Vein, & Zveroboy1: New Backup Location   
    I am moving my backups of some Black Sea mods to a new location.  If any of the included authors with me to desist, please PM me and I shall do so.
    I took the liberty of renaming some seemingly mis-named normal map files in one of Kieme's files, and note there seem to be some missing in at least two others (though this in particular may be intentional if the changes are small).
     
    https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fdgcyjxwy99csp5/AAB2HVemThOm9vyqdj2lj_I8a?dl=0
     
  7. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Vergeltungswaffe in Kieme's modding corner   
    My backup has moved here: https://www.dropbox.com/sh/fdgcyjxwy99csp5/AAB2HVemThOm9vyqdj2lj_I8a?dl=0
    I created a thread announcing such on this forum, it's currently half way down the front page: https://community.battlefront.com/topic/139975-mods-by-bil-hardenberger-btr-kieme-vein-zveroboy1-new-backup-location/.
     
  8. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to Gnaeus in Pre-planned artillery timing limitations   
    Maybe chuckdyke should be watching this video:
     
  9. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to chuckdyke in Pre-planned artillery timing limitations   
    True mortars are a different category. I listen to the guys who do this for a living. Mortars don't use the Fire Direction Centre. We have as model the US, Russia or China doesn't share much information on You Tube. 
     
  10. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Strykr45 in Kieme's modding corner   
    I have uploaded 69 of Kieme's mods to Google Drive, as well as a few others by Vein, BTR and Bil Hardenberger.  Files will be taken down at request of author(s).  Files were made JSGME ready (they were placed inside z, inside data, inside a folder with the same name) and then zipped.
    https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1L_vto8k7s-AnIKR4VfAY1k0o3tGRTxox
     
  11. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from The_MonkeyKing in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    Well, a sudden diversion over eastern Ukraine of a Russian civilian airliner during a time of extreme tension... it looked like they were trying to get shot down.  The fact that the plane was in two places at once suggests the possibility it was not the plane it claimed to be.
    Or it was just some kind of mistake, by the airlines or with flightradar24, perhaps a mixing of data due to the duplicated registration number.  A bad time for such a thing to happen.
    EDIT: to be clear, the registration of a plane is unique to that plane.  The flight (or whatever) is like a bus route, and seems to be assigned to a plane when it is assigned to a route.
  12. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from The_MonkeyKing in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    I think Flightradar indicates when it is predicting a position as opposed to where it has ADS-B, MLAT, etc.  For instance the flight I was looking at had a dashed black line pointing to its destination after it stopped updating.  Did you see this track: https://www.flightradar24.com/data/aircraft/vp-bmo#2acda4dc If that is a mistake by flightradar (not Russia) then it is quite a dangerous one.
    EDIT: You can see better info if you use the normal map and select 'playback' at the bottom, using the times I mentioned in my previous posts.  The above flight changes name above Voronesh when it starts to head for Ukraine.
  13. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from LukeFF in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    If you look under fruit in the dictionary you may find a picture of a banana.
  14. Upvote
    fireship4 reacted to WimO in 2022, the Year In Preview!   
    Although I have a few Steam games, I hate being Steam "dependent".  I have very strong feelings about wanting any of my games to be totally free standing on my own computer and not dependent on an outside agency to be able to play them on an on-going basis.
  15. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Lethaface in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    It is best not to bog down this thread with our disagreement.  You made two statements that are incorrect (to be clear, the first is too narrow a definition, the second is simply wrong), and later justified the former (perhaps assuming I was saying that military did not include your examples, when I was instead refuting them as a definition of such) with a link to an online dictionary, which is a tool and not the source of meaning of the words in the English language.  You finally posted a picture of a uniform I assume you found when searching for the word military, again perhaps presuming I think the word military does not cover uniformed personnel.  The fruit example was illustrative of the latter statement.
    If you wish to continue this discussion perhaps we can do so over PM, with the understanding that I would rather die of gangrene.
  16. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from Lethaface in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    If you look under fruit in the dictionary you may find a picture of a banana.
  17. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from laurent 22 in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    [Edit: Thanks for the article.]
    I have seen Germany criticised for the pipeline - giving Russia leverage over Europe.  I always wondered if it was more about trying to stabilise the Russo-European relationship by making them reliant on each other.  Am I wrong?  Is it more to do with just needing the gas, not wanting nuclear power or what?
    [Edit 2: I also heard it might just be corruption on the German side... with a guy who works for Gazprom.  Surely if that's true though it couldn't be the only factor.]
    [Edit 3: Part 1: https://www.aei.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/12/Strategic-Misdirection-An-Alternate-Framework-for-Understanding-Russia’s-Play-in-Ukraine.pdf?x91208  Part three is yet to be released I believe.
  18. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from sburke in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    It is best not to bog down this thread with our disagreement.  You made two statements that are incorrect (to be clear, the first is too narrow a definition, the second is simply wrong), and later justified the former (perhaps assuming I was saying that military did not include your examples, when I was instead refuting them as a definition of such) with a link to an online dictionary, which is a tool and not the source of meaning of the words in the English language.  You finally posted a picture of a uniform I assume you found when searching for the word military, again perhaps presuming I think the word military does not cover uniformed personnel.  The fruit example was illustrative of the latter statement.
    If you wish to continue this discussion perhaps we can do so over PM, with the understanding that I would rather die of gangrene.
  19. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    I think whether or not he is a rational actor acting on good intel is relevant, but I have nothing more to say on the matter anyway so everybody wins
  20. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    Source was: https://foreignpolicy.com/2013/11/06/the-seduction-of-george-w-bush/
  21. Like
  22. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to John Kettler in What a Challenger 2 sounds like up close   
    Here's a short video of Challenger 2s in the field with no extraneous sounds, just the tank sounds alone.  Though of no use now, it will be when we finally get the British.
     
    Regards,

    John Kettler
  23. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to kraze in HD Pack CMBS   
    Here's my personal all-in-one pack that also includes fixed Kieme's buildings. In his mod Kieme saved window textures with an incorrect transparency layer and as a result they all appear as an invisible square hole in the closest LOD - then immediately jump to fully opaque as you move the camera away. This download has that issue fixed.
    Also it includes the optional mod that replaces "dubok" soviet-style ukrainian camo with a modern digital one, that army realistically used universally in 2017. That digital one is present as an option in the mission editor / quick battle - but this one allows you to play as digicam UAF in a campaign and original missions.
    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ffSzeWSXm4wWCnynvm1vd3XwZzOz4-Ll/view?usp=sharing
  24. Like
    fireship4 got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in FORECAST SERIES: Putin’s Likely Course of Action in Ukraine   
    Nothing sudden about it, has been warned about all the way through, and did not begin with this president.
  25. Thanks
    fireship4 reacted to Suchy in making my own armor in GiMP   
    @kohlenklau
    Hmm, I think you are complicating the problem....
    I take the original BF bitmap. I desaturate it by setting the options so that only the outline of the lines remains on a practically white background. Then I apply a second, previously prepared layer, which is e.g. the colour dunkelgrau. It is not a pure colour, but a layer created by cutting a fragment from some other mod, real photo and enlarging it to a size of e.g. 2048*2048px. I place the desaturated layer above the layer with the colour and set multiplication as the opacity option. And there you have it! This is how I did Finnish mods in the past and now some mods for Barbarossa. In my opinion the effect is sufficient and the whole thing takes not even minutes but seconds.
    Of course later it is worth to refine the mod a little bit, for example create another layer with elements which should not change colour e.g. headlights, additional equipment etc.
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