How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

[Cederic]

56 minutes ago, Grigb said:

1. Green is a natural barrier like a river or water a canal (in this case it is river
2. Blue is zone controlled by UKR
3. Red by RU
4. Yellow is contested

 

Doh, I assumed yellow was Ukraine. Thank you for clarifying.

[Cederic]

Content is not sensitive by the standards of this thread. I haven't even tried to validate the location is being accurately reported - it's unusual footage anywhere in Ukraine.

[Grigb]

Despite Ru claims of fully controlling Balaklya SOBR are retreating through corridor

Quote

Received information about
SOBR "Omega" and SOBR "Tolpar" directly from the unit that gives the corridor:

"Eye contact with ours has been established, everything is fine, there are lightly wounded, shrapnel, the encirclement has been broken through, a corridor has been created through which the wounded will be taken out, arty is working on the enemy"

 

[Haiduk]

Just now, dan/california said:

Kupyiansk?!

Not today ) 

Today UKR hit several targets in Kupiansk. For example, local TV-center, used by Russians like barrack.

[dan/california]

 

[Grigb]

11 minutes ago, Grigb said:

RU review of UKR attack on Balaklya

Map for reference

Continuation

Quote

Balakleya is surrounded, but still holding on.

As of 12:00 there was a "semi-encirclement";
As of 16:00 there was a "partial/tactical encirclement";
As of 20:00, there was an "encirclement" (the wounded were still being taken out);
As of 23:00, THE CITY OF BALAKLEYA IS SURROUNDED BY ENEMY TROOPS.

After the departure of the units of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation from the city
, a pair of companies of the Russian Guard / SOBR / OMON
(provincial cops / vovanov [nickname of Internal Troops, predecessor of Rosguardia])
for two days
cyka
while being surrounded
fight  COMBINED ARMS BATTLE 
against vastly superior enemy forces with the most modern Western weapons.

- The reserves have already entered the battle.
- Pilots work at the limit, at the risk of their lives performing the tasks of attack UAVs.

It's too early to put a dot [at the end of the sentence].

 

[Grigb]

RU reports UKR is assaulting Schechenkove right now

 

[Haiduk]

Operative Command "South" claimed UKR forces sank the barge, which carried several trucks with personnel and supply. This photo claimed this is the same barge

 

For today locals reported about strikes in Hola Prystan' and Daryivka area near destroyed bridge through Inhulets. Likely Russians repaired again own pontoons and UKR troops hit them again.

Edited September 7, 2022 by Haiduk

[kevinkin]

Some hors d'oeuvres from Newsweek:

https://www.newsweek.com/russian-troops-encircled-surrounded-ukraine-kharkiv-balakliya-1740601

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-rebuilding-bridges-kherson-counteroffensive-antonovsky-1740292

https://www.newsweek.com/ukraine-russia-mykhailov-winter-upper-hand-1740578

Edited September 7, 2022 by kevinkin

[Haiduk]

Russian S-300 was hit in Balakliya area

 

[Haiduk]

RUMINT, but author a hour ago claimed Shevchenkove is ours

 

[dan/california]

11 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

Not today ) 

Today UKR hit several targets in Kupiansk. For example, local TV-center, used by Russians like barrack.

Maybe just a brief visit to burn the place down? 

[Beleg85]

17 minutes ago, Grigb said:

The AFU concentrated a powerful tank fist in the direction of Balakleya, at the peak of the offensive, 15-17 vehicles were moving forward

Ok, so reinforced tank company of AFU was enough to make largest breakthrough of this phase of the war. Russia stronk.

19 minutes ago, Grigb said:

The enemy uses the tactics of a rapid strike: an advanced group with SF fighters flies as armored column at speed into the center of the settlement, dismounts, suppresses everything around, then the main armored group approaches the locality.

Hmm they should find a way to stop it. Another sign how surprised russians were. Sounds like early Kampfgruppe Peiper advance.

 

Btw. somebody cut the face of Soloviev...vodka, wife....maybe Putin himself?:

 

[Calamine Waffles]

The Kharkiv attack is not just a diversion or opportunistic attack, these are some of the best equipped and most prestigious units in the ZSU
 

 

[Haiduk]

Soldier on the video says that our arty shells impact too close, so we lay down

 

[Beleg85]

Ok, wait...we need to calm down as optimism is dangerous narcotic.

Nonetheless, whisky is in a fridge.

13 minutes ago, Calamine Waffles said:

The Kharkiv attack is not just a diversion or opportunistic attack, these are some of the best equipped and most prestigious units in the ZSU

Very good find. Some Polish accounts speculated they may also have 3rd Tank Brigade there. They also used 1st Special Forces Brigade (?). Haiduk will certainly know more.

Edited September 7, 2022 by Beleg85

[Grigb]

I am off to bed. Tell me in the morning Izum was liberated. 

 

[A Canadian Cat]

6 hours ago, Grigb said:

7 hours ago, paxromana said:

I get they're delusional but that requires a level of magical thinking that is downright insane.

They belive heinous westerners are about to infect RU people with the infertility virus.

So, insane box is checked

[Grigb]

And I am back for a couple of minutes.

RU soldier reports at 21:16

• UKR tactics are smart
• They avoid urban battles and just move on with their BTGrs
• Following groups surround RU troops left behind
• RU troops left behind have no heavy weapons so cannot do anything against UKR
• RU threw some troops to hold Shevchenko but UKR bypassed it through outskirts leaving some troops as blocking force
•  UKR are moving towad Kupyansk
• Serious UKR column of foreign AFVs/vehicles is moving toward Kupyansk (as of 20:00)
• RU troops mostly stopped resisting [at this direction]. They are abandoning positions that are not fortified and retreating

 

[danfrodo]

Reports coming in from all over the globe that sunflowers are standing significantly taller and shining much brighter today.  Evidence from my yard verifies.  Wonder what this means?

[Battlefront.com]

56 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

Former Internal troops and now Rosgvardiya had enough combat experience on Caucasus - Chechnya, Ingushetia, Dagestan. And their SOBR and special forces, as well as elite counter-terror units like "Vityaz' " have many real professionals. Of curse, Chechya and even Syria experience is not the same that in Ukraine, but Rosgvardiya units, especially from North-Caucasian Directorate are enough trained for warfare.

On other hand many of Ukrainain National guard units also hadn't combat experience. If operative and special units participated in ATO than public order security and units of important objects security (like nuclear plants) - mostly no. 

This is similar to the Sicherungs units.  The ones in the Soviet Union had tons of experience fighting against fairly well organized partisans.  But that is very different experience from fighting on a frontline against a mechanized enemy force with air and artillery support.  When the Sicherungs units got hit by Red Army forces they tended to fall apart very quickly.

Steve

[chrisl]

3 minutes ago, Grigb said:

And I am back for a couple of minutes.

RU soldier reports at 21:16

• UKR tactics are smart
• They avoid urban battles and just move on with their BTGrs
• Following groups surround RU troops left behind
• RU troops left behind have no heavy weapons so cannot do anything against UKR
• RU threw some troops to hold Shevchenko but UKR bypassed it through outskirts leaving some troops as blocking force
•  UKR are moving towad Kupyansk
• Serious UKR column of foreign AFVs/vehicles is moving toward Kupyansk (as of 20:00)
• RU troops mostly stopped resisting [at this direction]. They are abandoning positions that are not fortified and retreating

 

So they’re actually doing the kind of fast attack that RU thought they were doing on Feb 24.

[cyrano01]

50 minutes ago, Cederic said:

Content is not sensitive by the standards of this thread. I haven't even tried to validate the location is being accurately reported - it's unusual footage anywhere in Ukraine.

And, interestingly, they appear to be firing pretty directly rather than the pull up 'spray and pray' lob with rockets that has been prevalent on both sides for much of the fighting. Suggests either a reduced air defence threat, a greater willingness to take risks for a more accurate attack or both.

[cyrano01]

4 minutes ago, chrisl said:

So they’re actually doing the kind of fast attack that RU thought they were doing on Feb 24.

Ukrainian tactics are smart...avoiding urban battles...bypassing resistance. Has nobody told the Russians that's what you are SUPPOSED to do if you are running a mechanised attack?

Edited September 7, 2022 by cyrano01

[FancyCat]

22 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:

Ok, wait...we need to calm down as optimism is dangerous narcotic.

Nonetheless, whisky is in a fridge.

Very good find. Some Polish accounts speculated they may also have 3rd Tank Brigade there. They also used 1st Special Forces Brigade (?). Haiduk will certainly know more.

Is it really a find if Zelensky announces it in a speech?

Seriously, how the hell did Ukraine move the elite, most advanced units and experienced personnel of the ZSU into position without waking the Russians the hell up?!?! 

Placed into context, Def Mon map shows that the pushes into Ozerne, and Staryi Karyan, that i recall many a Russian mil blogger being disdainful of "little boats" of UKR going into town quickly to put a flag and run, are actually prep points for a launch into cutting off the Izyum retreat east.