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Ultradave

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  1. Like
    Ultradave reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    To restate the points I made earlier in this thread:
    Bolton and others have said directly that Trump had planned to pull out of NATO in a second term and there is no evidence that he now intends the contrary. Trump has also quite publicly rejected the Pentagon’s top generals who restrained him from this direction in the first term and there is no constituency in Trump world that has a stake in European stability. Quite the opposite, in fact, as they can anticipate making enormous amounts of money off of the Russian oligarchy should the US swing into acquiescence to a Russian dominated Eastern Europe. Don’t kid yourself. If he wins, NATO is very likely to die.
    It is also a canard that Putin was holding back on Ukraine before Trump left office. The reality is that Putin’s regime was involved in a full court press to pressure Ukraine into subservience with the willing assistance of political appointees in the White House. Russia hasn’t gone to war because Putin didn’t think he needed to and clearly the Russian government expected Trump to win a second term. War was decided when it became clear that Biden had won and the immediate focus of American power was going to be on containing Moscow. Putin’s clique imagined that the US was still too shaken politically from the previous four years and too involved in Afghanistan to reorient rapidly while the Ukrainian military wouldn’t be able to put up significant resistance. Virtually wrong on all counts. 
  2. Like
    Ultradave reacted to Eddy in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The US Congress added an amendment to the 2024 National Defense Authorization Act requiring consent from 2/3rds of the Senators or an Act of Congress in order to leave NATO ( Congress passes bill to prevent the president from leaving NATO without approval (msn.com) 
    A President could sort of leave by not co-operating, I suppose.  
  3. Like
    Ultradave reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I am kinda skeptical on this point to be honest. I think we could definitely see a draw back and cold shouldering but NATO is the largest military markets on the planet.  If the US pulls out completely then NATO STANAGs die then and there.  This could see nations go elsewhere for military spending because they are no longer locked into a US driven NATO standard.
    Of course given the levels of rhetoric over good sense we saw last time, I could also very well be totally wrong.
  4. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from AdamPraha in Seelow Heights   
    I'm not sure I understand your question? A) Are you saying you've played 2 hours and nothing has happened? The scenario is 2 hours long total, and I'm pretty sure there are AI plans for both sides.. There is a 105 battery at the start along with a bunch of on map mortars, and you get more in 40 minutes, plus a 155 (which is actually medium artillery, and 105 is light artillery but that's just words. All artillery is good). For the ones currently available I was able to select any of them with a HQ unit.
    B ) Same comment. Selecting a Tiger tank, for example, no fire support available. Select a HQ and I can call from a number of mortars and a 105 battery.
    [edit] There are AI plans for both sides. I went back and checked the play testing notes, because I only played this one from the Soviet side.
    Dave
  5. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Worse than that, he could also immediately withdraw from NATO. Based on past statements, I think he'd have to be convinced to remain in NATO. I'm not sure who would be trying to do the convincing though. 
    Dave
  6. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from Vacillator in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There have been a couple of articles in reputable publications lately stating that the DoD has been staging equipment in anticipation of a yes vote, so that delivery can be started immediately. I guess that's one result of the delay in approval. The DoD had a couple or three months to get organized so they are ready to go. 
    Dave
  7. Like
    Ultradave reacted to fireship4 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    St. Bernard's fire...
  8. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from Anthony P. in Smoke Not Available After Maximum Fire Mission Completes   
    It's not. HE rounds don't get converted to Smoke in real life. And there *should* be enough fuzes for all the rounds, regardless of what types. We usually had extra fuzes. I think this is on the list of things to fix somewhere. I'll try to search for it.
    Dave
  9. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is so true. Russia was one of the guarantors of Ukraine's sovereignty. Look how well that held up. 
    I don't get why people keep saying that Ukraine should just negotiate/make a deal with Russia. Any deal made will only last as long as Putin wants it to last.
    Dave
  10. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is so true. Russia was one of the guarantors of Ukraine's sovereignty. Look how well that held up. 
    I don't get why people keep saying that Ukraine should just negotiate/make a deal with Russia. Any deal made will only last as long as Putin wants it to last.
    Dave
  11. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There is broad support in both the Senate and the House for the aid. The Senate passed it ages ago. The party that controls the house (small h) of Congress has the ability to determine what will or won't be voted on, regardless of (as you can see) how popular it is and how easily it will pass. So the House Speaker decided he wouldn't bring it for a vote? Why? 1) Because Trump told him not to, and 2) Because the small minority of 2-10 Russian propaganda mouthpieces in the House say they will throw him out if he does, and 3) A large number of Republican House members demand US border control legislation along with it (ignoring the fact they ALSO refused to vote on a Senate passed bill, which was negotiated by both parties - why? because it would make Biden look good - really, that's the reason). He (Speaker Johnson) just now summoned up the guts to go ahead and do it. We'll see if he still has a job Monday.
    There is a way to get a vote done by going around the Speaker. It takes a petition of the majority of House members. Republicans wouldn't go that far even though many want it. They are afraid of Trump/MAGA. Democrats are the minority, so they can't do it without help from Republicans, who won't. 
    Also, I know it's confusing. Congress is made of two houses, the Senate, and the House of Representatives. It's confusing for those outside the US because we commonly refer to "The House" being the House of Representatives, while both are "houses" (small h) of Congress. They each have their own rules of conducting business, which they themselves make up (and can change or waive). I'm not sure I made that any clearer, but there it is. Don't worry. It's all confusing to many Americans as well. The rules for advancing a bill are complicated and arcane, with many opportunities for it to be derailed along the way.

    Dave
  12. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is so true. Russia was one of the guarantors of Ukraine's sovereignty. Look how well that held up. 
    I don't get why people keep saying that Ukraine should just negotiate/make a deal with Russia. Any deal made will only last as long as Putin wants it to last.
    Dave
  13. Like
    Ultradave reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well if the pattern is consistent we should get a troll through here in the next week or so, shedding wolf's tears about the "inhumanity of this terrible war" and how we need to stop it now.  Of course the way to stop it is to cut off funding to Ukraine and force them to the negotiation table.  To which we will ask - just like last time - "What f@cking table?!"
  14. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is so true. Russia was one of the guarantors of Ukraine's sovereignty. Look how well that held up. 
    I don't get why people keep saying that Ukraine should just negotiate/make a deal with Russia. Any deal made will only last as long as Putin wants it to last.
    Dave
  15. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is so true. Russia was one of the guarantors of Ukraine's sovereignty. Look how well that held up. 
    I don't get why people keep saying that Ukraine should just negotiate/make a deal with Russia. Any deal made will only last as long as Putin wants it to last.
    Dave
  16. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If I did this right, I gifted the article and it gave me a gift link (I think), for those who want to read it. If it doesn't work for you PM me and I'll try to get it right.
    https://wapo.st/3vZhk1f
    Dave
  17. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from Roach in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If I did this right, I gifted the article and it gave me a gift link (I think), for those who want to read it. If it doesn't work for you PM me and I'll try to get it right.
    https://wapo.st/3vZhk1f
    Dave
  18. Like
    Ultradave reacted to weapon2010 in Tank Crew .............Calling in Artillery?   
    well that actually makes some sense , the hypothetical field wire , but it makes zero sense for  a tank crew 100m from their destroyed tank
  19. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes. It is. Interestingly though, not necessarily for crowd control by law enforcement. In war, yes, it's banned.
    Yeah, the training was fun. 🙂  Stay in the shed to prove your mask works, and then take off your mask to show what happens without the mask (I guess to prove that the mask really works and it wasn't just a harmless steam sauna). Got the message for sure.
    Dave
  20. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from Sequoia in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There is broad support in both the Senate and the House for the aid. The Senate passed it ages ago. The party that controls the house (small h) of Congress has the ability to determine what will or won't be voted on, regardless of (as you can see) how popular it is and how easily it will pass. So the House Speaker decided he wouldn't bring it for a vote? Why? 1) Because Trump told him not to, and 2) Because the small minority of 2-10 Russian propaganda mouthpieces in the House say they will throw him out if he does, and 3) A large number of Republican House members demand US border control legislation along with it (ignoring the fact they ALSO refused to vote on a Senate passed bill, which was negotiated by both parties - why? because it would make Biden look good - really, that's the reason). He (Speaker Johnson) just now summoned up the guts to go ahead and do it. We'll see if he still has a job Monday.
    There is a way to get a vote done by going around the Speaker. It takes a petition of the majority of House members. Republicans wouldn't go that far even though many want it. They are afraid of Trump/MAGA. Democrats are the minority, so they can't do it without help from Republicans, who won't. 
    Also, I know it's confusing. Congress is made of two houses, the Senate, and the House of Representatives. It's confusing for those outside the US because we commonly refer to "The House" being the House of Representatives, while both are "houses" (small h) of Congress. They each have their own rules of conducting business, which they themselves make up (and can change or waive). I'm not sure I made that any clearer, but there it is. Don't worry. It's all confusing to many Americans as well. The rules for advancing a bill are complicated and arcane, with many opportunities for it to be derailed along the way.

    Dave
  21. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If I did this right, I gifted the article and it gave me a gift link (I think), for those who want to read it. If it doesn't work for you PM me and I'll try to get it right.
    https://wapo.st/3vZhk1f
    Dave
  22. Like
    Ultradave reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, the Geneva conventions (or, more relevant in this case, the Geneva protocol and tangentially the Hague conventions and the 1980 convention) are all about inter-state conflict.
    What happens intra-state, between you and your local law enforcement body, is entirely a matter for you and your respective legislature to figure out. 'Geneva' doesn't care a whit.
    (Multiple edits: bloody sbellçzech)
  23. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes. It is. Interestingly though, not necessarily for crowd control by law enforcement. In war, yes, it's banned.
    Yeah, the training was fun. 🙂  Stay in the shed to prove your mask works, and then take off your mask to show what happens without the mask (I guess to prove that the mask really works and it wasn't just a harmless steam sauna). Got the message for sure.
    Dave
  24. Like
    Ultradave got a reaction from NamEndedAllen in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes. It is. Interestingly though, not necessarily for crowd control by law enforcement. In war, yes, it's banned.
    Yeah, the training was fun. 🙂  Stay in the shed to prove your mask works, and then take off your mask to show what happens without the mask (I guess to prove that the mask really works and it wasn't just a harmless steam sauna). Got the message for sure.
    Dave
  25. Upvote
    Ultradave got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Possibly because he bashed the threads into mush? Just a thought 🤣
    They do seem to be trying to fuze rounds but it obviously is not going well, to say the least. 
    The one with the view down inside appears to be empty, completely empty. You should just see an open area just big enough for the base of the fuze. Looks like you can see all the way to the base. That one will only hurt if it actually hits you, like a 1700s cannonball.
    That guy in the cartoon is at least trying to not destroy everything. See how the screwdriver is at the side - trying to get it to turn, not smash everything. 
    [edit] Looking at the cartoon again, he's doing it wrong. The screwdriver should be on the other side. "Righty tighty, lefty loosey"
    Dave
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