How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?

[Holien]

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-68933778

Article on the supply from NK to Russia of missiles. 

The missiles have western components and chips.

It's just not possible to 100% close down the import of these components. 

[Carolus]

100km 155mm?

Is this the unholy baby of a missile and a shell?

If Ukraine can reduce the GPS jammers, these could have interesting applications.

[Bulletpoint]

18 minutes ago, Carolus said:

100km 155mm?

Is this the unholy baby of a missile and a shell?

If Ukraine can reduce the GPS jammers, these could have interesting applications.

Great for Rheinmetall stock owners, but what does this do that the Ground-launched Small Diameter Bomb doesn't already do better?

This shell flies 100 km with accuracy of 10 metres, while the GLSDB has a range of 150km and accuracy of 1 metre...

[Haiduk]

Interesting information about western 155 mm shells lethality. Insufficient lethality.

 

[Carolus]

10 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:

Great for Rheinmetall stock owners, but what does this do that the Ground-launched Small Diameter Bomb doesn't already do better?

This shell flies 100 km with accuracy of 10 metres, while the GLSDB has a range of 150km and accuracy of 1 metre...

Good questions for potential buyers. What comes to mind is the greater number of available launch platforms. 

Regarding Ukraine, I think at the moment they will be happy to get whatever goes boom from the West and doesn't add too much to their logistical zoo.

[ZellZeka]

7 hours ago, Vet 0369 said:

This! The National prejudice attitude that many on this forum seem to have toward Russians tends to color their comments and lead them to dehumanize and demonize the Russian people as ignorant savages who are always drunk, raping and killing babies. Yes, possibly the conscripts and prisoner “volunteers” are more brutal and resigned to their deaths than seems the norm. Can you say Igor Sikorsky, Tolstoy, Tchikovsky? Not everyone is ignorant, uneducated, and brutal. No one should be surprised by Russians who make intelligent and insightful statements. I see the same ignorant and prejudicial statements about every opponent the U.S. has ever faced. It’s much easier to kill a fellow Human being when you make that person out to be so inferior to you.

But Sikorsky was Ukrainian. He was born and lived in Kyiv

[Haiduk]

2 hours ago, Holien said:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-68933778

Article on the supply from NK to Russia of missiles. 

The missiles have western components and chips.

It's just not possible to 100% close down the import of these components. 

 

[Eddy]

35 minutes ago, Bulletpoint said:

Great for Rheinmetall stock owners, but what does this do that the Ground-launched Small Diameter Bomb doesn't already do better?

This shell flies 100 km with accuracy of 10 metres, while the GLSDB has a range of 150km and accuracy of 1 metre...

Well, there was this report on GLSDB performing poorly and being discarded:

Have Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs Been 'Thrown Aside' By Ukraine? (twz.com)

[Haiduk]

Russians activated on Berdiansk direction and assaults Urozhaine village. They managed to seize farm and tractor workshop on southern outskirt of the village

58th mot.inf brigade shows how it fights with Russian assault groups

 

 

Rare episode of tank-vs-tank. UKR T-64BV has destroyed Russian probably T-72 in frontal semisphere. Two BMPs with assault groups, followed T-72 turned and retreated after the tank has gone

The thread with photos of Russian vehicles losses near Urozhaine (author names it "Vuhledar" and Urozhaine is really in 31 km W from Vuhledar, but this Berdiansk, not Vuhledar operative direction).

Probably the video with the same summary losses

 

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[Carolus]

Clip of Ukrainian octocopter shooting down a smaller quadrocopter.

Poster claims it's combat footage but I think it looks like training / testing.

 

 

[Haiduk]

Some footage from contested riverine areas of Kherson oblast

Drone operators of 123rd TD brigade (Mykolaiv oblast) set YaRM riverine anchor mine from the drone and Russian boat has found it

Several days ago UKR troops gained control over Nestryha island in Dnipro estuary. But local commanders hurried to report to high comamnd "island is ours!" and this was issued in daily GS report, when UKR troops didn't firmly secure the island and gained foothold. As usual from both sides local commanders don't hurry to report about lost positions higher in order not to be fu..d and try to solve the problem by own forces until the fail will be obvious. But when higher HQs know about fails in first order from enemy official reports or social networks they fu...k lower HQs in 10 times harder, so Russians several days have been assaulting heavuly Nestryha, but without success. Their attempts are continuing. 

 

Reportedly UKR troops after mass fire and FPV strikes managed to expand zone of control in Krynky on 1km more to west

[Haiduk]

Unknown facility, likely military storages were in fire near Luhove (rus. Lugovoye) village in Saky district, Crimea. On eve Crimean "authorities" reported about several "shot down" ATACAMS

FSB in Crimea enforced control over local TG channels and "authorities" stopped to issue any info about places of strikes, especially in rural areas, so now it's more hard to know about strike results.   

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[Haiduk]

First visually confirmed attempt to intercept Orlan-10 with FPV drone. Alas, unsuccessfull. FPV turned out too light and it engines too weak to overcome air stream from Orlan propeller. It couldn't approach to Orlan. Maybe solution is a non-contact fuse.

 

[Haiduk]

Next M1A1 has gone. Abandoned probably after Lancet attack tank was finished with Krasnopol precision shell

 

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[panzermartin]

6th M1? 

[poesel]

2 hours ago, Carolus said:

100km 155mm?

Is this the unholy baby of a missile and a shell?

If Ukraine can reduce the GPS jammers, these could have interesting applications.

The projectile shown is a Vulcano round produced by Diehl, not Rheinmetall. Vulcano is already in Ukraine (since last year?). Apart from GPS, it uses inertial guidance and has a laser mode.

So I guess they are talking about something different.

[Haiduk]

3 hours ago, ZellZeka said:

But Sikorsky was Ukrainian. He was born and lived in Kyiv

It's a mistake to consider anybody, belonging to nation only by his place of born. It always important what the person thinking about own nationality.

Here what Sikorskiy pesonally wrote: "My family comes from a village of Kiev province, where my grandfather and great-grandfather were priests and so, it has Ukrainian origins. But we consider themselves as Russians - as natives from one of parts of Russia, considering Ukrainian nation as integral part of Russia like Lousiana or Texas are integral parts of United States"

Father of Sikorskiy was convicted Russian monarchist and hated all tied with Ukrainian national movement

In that time Ukrainain-origin intelligensia and nobles were divided on two parts - one kept own national memory, other, much bigger considered they are Russians or at least "Russians of Malorosian origins" ("lesser-russian origins"). For example, composer Chaikovskiy also have Ukrainian origins, but consider himself as true Russian. 

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[Haiduk]

5 hours ago, panzermartin said:

6th M1? 

Yes. New loss. 

PS. Probably 7th. There was a post in Twitter one tank as far as before battalion reached the front turned over and has broken the gun. Likely it was repaired, but knowing how long time it takes, probably it still under repair to this time. 

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[poesel]

1 hour ago, Haiduk said:

 

Some of these chips are VERY common and have lots of non-military use. IIRC, I have one STM32 and the SIM800 somewhere in a cupboard. Denying Russia access to this kind of chips is impossible, unfortunately.

[poesel]

1 hour ago, Eddy said:

Well, there was this report on GLSDB performing poorly and being discarded:

Have Ground Launched Small Diameter Bombs Been 'Thrown Aside' By Ukraine? (twz.com)

Doesn't GLSDB have an IR seeker? Shouldn't that work at least against hot targets?

[poesel]

1 hour ago, Carolus said:

Clip of Ukrainian octocopter shooting down a smaller quadrocopter.

Poster claims it's combat footage but I think it looks like training / testing.

 

 

The terrain is not Ukraine, and I'm not sure if the whole thing isn't a fake. This looks too massive to be practical.

[Carolus]

14 minutes ago, poesel said:

The terrain is not Ukraine, and I'm not sure if the whole thing isn't a fake. This looks too massive to be practical.

You are right, it is fake news. This clip is from a US research project 

[Haiduk]

14 hours ago, Vet 0369 said:

This! The National prejudice attitude that many on this forum seem to have toward Russians tends to color their comments and lead them to dehumanize and demonize the Russian people as ignorant savages who are always drunk, raping and killing babies. Yes, possibly the conscripts and prisoner “volunteers” are more brutal and resigned to their deaths than seems the norm. Can you say Igor Sikorsky, Tolstoy, Tchikovsky? Not everyone is ignorant, uneducated, and brutal. No one should be surprised by Russians who make intelligent and insightful statements. I see the same ignorant and prejudicial statements about every opponent the U.S. has ever faced. It’s much easier to kill a fellow Human being when you make that person out to be so inferior to you.

Russians now not a nation of Tolstoi, Chaikovskiy, Bulgakov and other.

They are nation of "Brat-2" and "Brigada" chauvinistic and criminal movies.

They are nation of semi-criminal rules from scholls and army. In their small towns even a proverb exists "If you didn't sit [in jail] - you are not a male"

They are nation of stupid revanshist alternative history books how Russian soldiers turned out in the past and fixed future in order USSR/Russia became dominant in the world.

They are nation of agressive crimnal "russian rap" and bad-taste pop-music.

They are nation of V-Day turned into revanshism religion and even their Orthopdox Church serves to their revanchism and expansionism.

They are nation of military-style Z-parades in schools and even kindergardens and brainwashing aggressive revanchistic militarism, unprecedented even in Cold War time USSR. 

Here is just their "innocent children" paintings

Hordes of Russians which "in masses don't support the war" as claim Russian liberals are coming to watch captured and burned Ukrainain and western armor, exposing in Moscow

 

This man rise own fat a..s from sofa to come and shake pitty fist to Abrams - mother-Russia won over Abrams ! His pathetic life has found own meaning.   

And just a performance for kids in the theater in Novosibirsk oblast "The war was in my childhood". Look on poster - the war showed as joyfull play

This nation and country both are doomed. Even real "good Russians" exist in 1 on 100 000, they do not make any weather in this theater of absurd

Edited May 5 by Haiduk

[zinz]

1 hour ago, poesel said:

Doesn't GLSDB have an IR seeker? Shouldn't that work at least against hot targets?

https://xxtomcooperxx.substack.com/p/ukraine-war-30-april-2024

According to Tom Cooper the seperation from rocket to bomb is the problem currently. That sounds fixable at least but is not a small problem to get right. 

Quote

That is the ground-launched small diameter bomb (SDB, also known as the GBU-39). And then, so say contacts, the problem is not with the Russian jamming of the GPS, but with the system responsible to disconnect the GBU-39 SDB from the booster, once the weapon is launched and airborne.

The booster serves the purpose of launching the weapon, getting it airborne and to its trajectory to the target. The booster burns for few seconds: that’s enough to get the weapon to its speed and trajectory. Once the booster burns out, it’s ‘spent’, disconnected from the weapon and falling away in order not to spoil the weapon’s performance. Lately, GLSDBs began suffering a mechanical failure in which the booster section failed to separate, as result of which all too many GBU-39s were missing their target. Thus, and to prevent unnecessary waste of expensive weapons, the ZSU has withdrawn the GBU-39 SDBs from use (until the manufacturer solves the problem).

 

[Bulletpoint]

1 hour ago, Haiduk said:

This man rise own fat a..s from sofa to come and shake pitty fist to Abrams - mother-Russia won over Abrams ! His pathetic life has found own meaning.

This is like something out of The Simpsons...