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CHEqTRO

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  1. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Also, it seems that the transmiters that were blown up were actually the largest AM transmitters in Europe, and they covered all of Ukraine. From those, Russia was broadcasting their propaganda into Ukraine. With that information, we can mostly confirm that indeed they were likely blown by the ukranians or moldovans (I suppose that propaganda was also used against them), rather than this being a false flag event.
     
  2. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Also, it seems that the transmiters that were blown up were actually the largest AM transmitters in Europe, and they covered all of Ukraine. From those, Russia was broadcasting their propaganda into Ukraine. With that information, we can mostly confirm that indeed they were likely blown by the ukranians or moldovans (I suppose that propaganda was also used against them), rather than this being a false flag event.
     
  3. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First T90AM spotted out in the wild it seems.
     No idea what those wood planks are for, thought.
    Edit: Video for context:
     
  4. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Something is going on in Transnistria:
     
     
  5. Upvote
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Something is going on in Transnistria:
     
     
  6. Upvote
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://www.dsca.mil/press-media/major-arms-sales/ukraine-non-standard-ammunition
    A report by the DCSA has been uploaded with what the Ukranian army has asked to buy from the americans. There is a long list of material, but something that caught my eye is that they specifically asked for 125 mm *HE* ammo for their tanks, but there is no mention of AP ammo.
    So, either this is just the writers of the report forgetting about the AP ammo (or rather in the package both types of ammunition are included, but they just refer to both of them as HE, because reasons ), there was a pre-war imbalance in the quantities of HE ammo in comparition to AP ammo, in such a way that, although usage of both types of ammunition is similar, they are running low in HE ammo; or rather that the past or expected future usage of AP ammo has been neglible compared to HE.
    That would show that tank on tank warfare has been limited or neglible, and that despite that, they still want to keep their tanks operational for use against soft targets. Some food for thought for the "tank is dead" argument.
  7. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Der Zeitgeist in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So, it seems that maybe tonights attack against Bryansk was not carried by Tochka-U missiles, but rather by TB2 drones. I find the Tochka attack more credible, but it seems that actually a TB2 was shoot down in the Kursk area, supposedly coming back from the attack, so 🤷‍♂️.
     
  8. Upvote
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://www.dsca.mil/press-media/major-arms-sales/ukraine-non-standard-ammunition
    A report by the DCSA has been uploaded with what the Ukranian army has asked to buy from the americans. There is a long list of material, but something that caught my eye is that they specifically asked for 125 mm *HE* ammo for their tanks, but there is no mention of AP ammo.
    So, either this is just the writers of the report forgetting about the AP ammo (or rather in the package both types of ammunition are included, but they just refer to both of them as HE, because reasons ), there was a pre-war imbalance in the quantities of HE ammo in comparition to AP ammo, in such a way that, although usage of both types of ammunition is similar, they are running low in HE ammo; or rather that the past or expected future usage of AP ammo has been neglible compared to HE.
    That would show that tank on tank warfare has been limited or neglible, and that despite that, they still want to keep their tanks operational for use against soft targets. Some food for thought for the "tank is dead" argument.
  9. Like
    CHEqTRO reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Summary about last two days  of most hot place - Izium area.
    Many of Russian BTGs, concentrated on spearhead are BTG, based on tank battalions. But instead one "big steam roller push", Russians each day are attacking with several "small steam rollers" in different directions, trying to penetrate our defense. Sometime our troops conduct own counter-attacks, so as told in twitter one soldier, terrain in many places covered with knoked out and abandoned vehicles of both sides. Russians also, understanding hazard of UKR mobile AT-teams, inolved more SOF and recon forces for hunting on them. Especially Russians actively conduct own search in night time. 
    Most fierce fights were on eastern bank of Oskil river. Three days ago Russians captured Lozove village and attacked our troops in neighbour villages Rubtsi and Yatskivka. Russians use own standart tactic of "burned earth". They just hammered villages with artillery and MLRS, then tanks attack and shot out remained houses, if they encountered strong resistance, they withdraw and artillery strike the village again. So, the same procedure Russians used on latter two villages. As result they could push off our troops from ruines of Rubtsi, Yatskivka also burns, but situation there still unclear.
    Also Russian conducted attacks on Dovhen'ke village - the key to Izium - Sloviansk road, but without success
    Ukrainian civil volunteer Roman Donik, which supply 92ns and 93rd brigades wrote about clashes in area south from Izium. He pointed Russian aviation increased quantity of sorties, though for yesterday this also increased their losses. Donik claimed many shot down manned aerial targets, but visually confirmed only two-seats jet. Also he described two clashes - first was probably 2-3 days ago in unpointed place. Russians atatcked with company tactical group of 6 tanks and 10 BMPs after three hours of fight they withdrew having losses 3 tanks and 1 BMP. Today he described Russian attack of presumably 64th motor-rifle brigade on positions of 93rd brigade near Virnopillia village with the same force - comany tactical groop - 10 light armor and tanks. Result - enemy repelled, 3 tanks hit/abandoned, 3 light armor destroyed (I think, 1 BTR and 2 trucks more correctly if his photos corresponded to this episode) - akd alredy posted these photos
    Also some of OSINT source issued photos of Russian losses in Brazhivka next to east from Virmopillia - about dozen of armor for small village. But our says Russians are throw new and new tanks in the battle instead burned, so UKR troops forced to withdraw from village to willage after 1-2 days of fight, despite Russians pay high price for own achievments
      
     

  10. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Hapless in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well, that is now that they are in wartime. In an hypotethical negotiated peace the Russians will have to eventually allow free movement for the merchants, otherwise they would be enacting a blockade, so an act of war. If those territories are controlled by Rusia when the dust settles then Ukraine would lose a long term economic asset, which they hope would bring (rather force) Ukraine closer to Russia (or atleast cripple it for when Round 2 cames along), without having to mantain such blockade. Also, it will allow them to start meddling into Moldava.
    Nevertheless, I still think that the plan is to take Ukraine in its entirety eventually, and from there keep on putting pressure into eastern europe (remember all those ultimatums against NATO back in January). This declarations are most likely just meant as internal propaganda, as Odessa is considered by Russians as theirs, and supposedly one of the main cities that had to be liberated. Like I said early, wether they go now against Ukraine or they decide to bite the bullet and wait for another time will most likely be known as Russia mobilizes this May or doesnt. I would be surprised if they intend to keep the war going for longer, but they atleast dont partially mobilize.
  11. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think you all give too much importance to whatever opinion the people of Russian can get about the result of this war and wether the Kremlin could sell it as a victory.
    At the end of the day, if the war ends now, with the current frontline and the current balance of forces, this would have been a huge strategic defeat for Putin. Yeah, his propagandist home and abroad would spin it as a victory, as the Russian army "always" just had the intention of "freeing" the Donbass and the land corridor, and probably Putin would survive the political fallout. But he knows, and all of the Russian high command, that this "little" adventure of them has been a complete disaster. They have lost too much and won too little. Russian strategic situation not only has not improved (probably the situation pre war was bad enough that they decided to go ahead with the war), but they are now even in a worse position (NATO has actually gotten stronger, Ukraine still remains a functional country, and so does his army, the land they have taken is esentially worthless in the big picture, his army has taken a gigantic hit wich it will not recover in some time, his economy has taken a hit, etc..) than before.
    The question is not wether they think that they can spin this as a victory, is rather if they think that is better to (or they are able to just) cut their losses, and lick their wounds for the next round; or if they they think that the stratetig situation is too poor to be left as it is, and whatever cost a prolonged war might cause would be worth it in order to reverse (or atleast aliviate) their poor situation.
  12. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Agree. One thing to remember is that even if the Russians want peace, the Ukranians do not have to accept it. They may be able to take the Donbass, but would they be able to defend against a fully mobilized and western supported Ukraine three months down the line? No way. Thats why he needs to either get a negotiated exit (not happening, because I doubt the Ukranians are going to give an inch of their pre-Febraury territory) or push for victory, either by destroying the Ukranian army, or by overruning enough Ukranian territory thats its economy its no longer functional. These are more reasons why the "propaganda" victory is not enough for them.
  13. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He is refering to ukranian heavy equipment in Mariupol, not in general. Considering that they have been forced to the interior of the Azovstal factory, one could imagine that all heavy equipment would have been either destroyed or abandoned beforehand.
  14. Like
    CHEqTRO reacted to Rooks And Kings in NPS - CMCW Urgent Fury   
  15. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Elmar Bijlsma in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So, according to this article, the (in)famous BMPT-72 has been seen heading towards Ukraine. If they actually end up fighting in Ukraine; it will be interesting to see their performance, not so much from a tactical perspective (its esentially an BMP2M with the armor of a T72) , but from a doctrinal one. There has been a lot of discussion, also in this thread, about the end of the MBT, with the usual conclusion beinbg that while they will not disappear, they must evolve, as well as all the doctrine surrounding them. Considering that this vehicle is esentially halfway between an MBT and an IFV, some lessons (that will depend of how the Russians end up using them of course), could be drawn about the future of armor.
  16. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So, according to this article, the (in)famous BMPT-72 has been seen heading towards Ukraine. If they actually end up fighting in Ukraine; it will be interesting to see their performance, not so much from a tactical perspective (its esentially an BMP2M with the armor of a T72) , but from a doctrinal one. There has been a lot of discussion, also in this thread, about the end of the MBT, with the usual conclusion beinbg that while they will not disappear, they must evolve, as well as all the doctrine surrounding them. Considering that this vehicle is esentially halfway between an MBT and an IFV, some lessons (that will depend of how the Russians end up using them of course), could be drawn about the future of armor.
  17. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
  18. Upvote
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from BletchleyGeek in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
  19. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Here is a recent example of Ukranian armored units recorded in combat. 
    Althought the tweet is from today, the video was first released on the 27 of March, mind you
  20. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
  21. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from chris talpas in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    😳
     
  22. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
  23. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
  24. Like
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well, the original publication cames from this telegram account: https://t.me/s/karpatsich
    If you scroll up, they have a post talking about enemy movements around Slobozhanske near Kharkiv, so I guess they must be deployed around that area.
    Edit: So looking at the map just posted by @Taranis, we can guess that those russian units belonged to either the 254 Motor Rifle regiment or to the 59 Tank regiment.
    EDIT: Disregard all this, the engagement area has been geocalized and its around Chernihiv, not Kharkiv
  25. Upvote
    CHEqTRO got a reaction from panzermartin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some people were asking where were the Ukranian armored units. Well, some incredible battle footage of a single ukranian tank engaging a whole column of russian BTR80A/82A and some tanks has recently surfaced:
    Impressive stuff. Seems like situational awareness and proper spacing is an alien concept to russian commanders.
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