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sburke

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  1. Like
    sburke reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First off, we know that the UA has more than "just FPVs".  Even though supplies and ammunition of some natures, some critical were low, the entire UA did not run out of ATGMs, AT systems, landmines, direct fires and indirect fires.  Ukraine clearly does have weaponry to destroy "sheds-on-tracks" because we just saw video of exactly that.
    What I did not see was a successful infantry assault, nor can a tank or IFV boxed in by a metal shed effectively provide fires support to infantry...because the entire freakin turret is in a giant box!  Russians have been stupid in the past, this entire bloody war is a monument to stupidity, but even if they are being clever now, this is desperate clever.  They are eroding expensive military capability on their own...Ukraine doesn't even need to do it for them.  They are doing so in the hope they can somehow take 100m at a time.  Which, btw is fine, so long as each 100m costs them 3-4 AFVs and platoon of infantry.  By the map it is 21km to Pokrovsk and 32 kms to Kostyantynivka, which are the closest things to actual operational objectives (immediate objectives mind you).  At this burn rate Russia will lose 6300 troops and 630 AFVs to get to Pokrovsk alone.  That is an entire Bde+.  And here is the the thing...they are not even advancing that quickly.  Their burn rate is actually much higher.
    And here is another thing...if they can take Pokrovsk...they still have 236 kms to Poltava.  Which as a minimum is what they are going to need to do to cut the UA line in half and truly threaten it and Kharkiv - assuming they can somehow make a drive/link up with Sumy.
    The problem we are having on this forum right now is the exact opposite of what all the experts had at the beginning of the war.  They were all looking macro and ignoring micro, we were not and saw things they missed.  Now we are all looking micro and extrapolating it up wildly to macro.  A few sheds on Russian tanks is not a sign that Russia has somehow solved for FPVs and now can make a Costco-garage-drive to freakin Kyiv.  It is a sign that they are running out of ideas, not cracking the code with some sort of mystic Russian military prowess. 
  2. Like
    sburke reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Someone text the grandkids and have them take the keyboard away....
  3. Like
    sburke got a reaction from Anthony P. in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  4. Like
    sburke got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  5. Upvote
    sburke got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  6. Upvote
    sburke got a reaction from Splinty in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  7. Upvote
    sburke got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  8. Like
    sburke got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  9. Like
    sburke got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    they didn't have a receipt so had to make a direct visit to the store.... too bad they didn't order through Amazon 🤪
  10. Like
    sburke got a reaction from Gpig in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If my recollection is correct, didn't the guillotine have a plank kind of table to lie on?
    yeah I think this is the "negotiating" table.

  11. Like
    sburke reacted to Sojourner in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Nope, no straddling involved, that's firmly on the insane side of the line.
    Now, a robot dog that cleans up after your live dog, that would be genius.
  12. Like
    sburke reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well if the pattern is consistent we should get a troll through here in the next week or so, shedding wolf's tears about the "inhumanity of this terrible war" and how we need to stop it now.  Of course the way to stop it is to cut off funding to Ukraine and force them to the negotiation table.  To which we will ask - just like last time - "What f@cking table?!"
  13. Like
    sburke got a reaction from cyrano01 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    they didn't have a receipt so had to make a direct visit to the store.... too bad they didn't order through Amazon 🤪
  14. Upvote
    sburke got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    well Congress may have woken up.  Seems they recently heard about all the appliance theft by Russian troops so now they are focused on eliminating that threat.
     
    Don't worry Haiduk, we got your back!  😕
  15. Like
    sburke reacted to LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Most of us Norteamericanos are old enough to remember this one, right?

    [/irony]
  16. Like
    sburke got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    well this should make your day.  
    Freedom Caucus' New 'FART' Team Sparks Avalanche of Jokes, Memes (msn.com)
  17. Like
    sburke got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    well this should make your day.  
    Freedom Caucus' New 'FART' Team Sparks Avalanche of Jokes, Memes (msn.com)
  18. Like
    sburke got a reaction from Gnaeus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    you guys are just a fountain of good vibes today!  Freakin glad I am already retired, and my life expectancy is such that I may be long dead before humanity implodes.
  19. Upvote
    sburke got a reaction from Lieutenant Ash in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    you guys are just a fountain of good vibes today!  Freakin glad I am already retired, and my life expectancy is such that I may be long dead before humanity implodes.
  20. Like
    sburke got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    She blamed Jewish Space lasers for CA fires.  She hasn't gotten crazier, she is just returning to her normal level of crazy.
  21. Like
    sburke reacted to Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Don't be so sure...
    😀
  22. Like
    sburke reacted to FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    what a goddamn useless sham, 2 months of waiting for literally the same version as the Senate bill.
  23. Like
    sburke reacted to A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    LOL. I don't think your link pointing to a digital scan of an actual news paper (remember those, me neither) article makes it feel more recent. 😉 
  24. Like
    sburke got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    well Congress may have woken up.  Seems they recently heard about all the appliance theft by Russian troops so now they are focused on eliminating that threat.
     
    Don't worry Haiduk, we got your back!  😕
  25. Like
    sburke reacted to NamEndedAllen in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    No! It’s THE OIL CANS! 
     
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