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Elmar Bijlsma

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  1. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  2. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Baneman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  3. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  4. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from 'Sapper' in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  5. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  6. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  7. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Seedorf81 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  8. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  9. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Grey_Fox in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Have you seen the kind of missions they perform? They act as standoff missile trucks and are pretty much incapable of penetrating enemy air defenses.
    The fact is that CAS missions are not being performed in Ukraine to any great extent because the environment is far too lethal.
  10. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Grey_Fox in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The A-10 requires a permissive environment to operate in successfully. In a contested environment, it's a death trap.
  11. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Seems like they are trying to force Russia to respond to an attack on Holy Mother Russia, in a conveniently far out of the way place from where the real fighting is expected.
     
    It could indicate that the long awaited attack is near. You don't do diversionary attacks like this if you aren't ready to go in 2-3 days.
  12. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It would be difficult to find a part of the front that is more distant on exterior lines from where the big fight is likely to be and it's being done in a way that Russia, caught up in the coils of its own propaganda, cannot ignore. Somebody in Kyiv decided to demonstrate the concept of initiative in the most humiliating way possible for Moscow.
  13. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Seems like they are trying to force Russia to respond to an attack on Holy Mother Russia, in a conveniently far out of the way place from where the real fighting is expected.
     
    It could indicate that the long awaited attack is near. You don't do diversionary attacks like this if you aren't ready to go in 2-3 days.
  14. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Things are becoming hotter and hotter. I'm still struggling with time. But hopefully, it will improve shortly.
    I believe you have seen the recent Prig video with the map. Based on what Prig stated, I decided to add a few notes to the map. Although it is Prig, it is really interesting, and I believe it will help you understand what is going on in the Bakhmut area.
    It can be a little confusing and crammed at times, but if you examine each block carefully, it should be straightforward enough.
    Number 1

    Number 2

    Number 3

    Number 4

    I have a few comments but due to lack of time I will post them later.
  15. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to TheVulture in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We should have gone with a US naming convention and called it the M1.
    Informally known as "Bloody Large Ordnance to Shoot at Targets Using Firecontrol of Unimaginable Precision", aka BLO-STUF-UP
  16. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Certainly seen my fair share of troops seemingly sleeping or feigning death in the hope of avoiding the attention of the drones bombers.
    But in my viewing of drone and combat videos these last few weeks, there's a very constant theme of trenches littered with Russians that are obviously dead. And not infrequently, as far as it can be determined, some of the dead are a bit ripe.
    That does seem to point towards a certain psychological breaking point being reached. Not recovering your dead or even chucking them over the parapet are indicators of a very grim mindset having set in. Of course, that is not an indicator of fragile morale. It may even be evidence of a fatalistic mindset amongst Russians that they will endure whatever they need to. OTOH I think troops that let their dead buddies lie where they fell aren't first in line to take the initiative in a fight.
    All in all, I have confidence that the Ukrainians will be able to break through wherever they decide to launch their big attacks. And I have very little faith in the Russians in their current state being up to the task of slowing or stopping an advance once they break through. If the reserve trenches fail to stop the Ukrainians, the latter can keep going until logistics or the Azov sea forces them to stop, I think.
     
  17. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    One man army:
    https://twitter.com/PaulJawin/status/1654887568813506561?s=20
  18. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  19. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from kluge in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  20. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  21. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  22. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We have a video of it now: https://v.redd.it/e7gv98c1stwa1
     
  23. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  24. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Centurian52 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
  25. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Since I am not above shamelessly stealing a joke from Reddit:
     
    Are we sure that is an oil depot on fire and not Admiral Kuznetsov pulling into Sevastopol harbour?
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