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Elmar Bijlsma

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  1. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Who in their right mind manufactures ammunition at the same plant that is making precision optics? What the actual fudge?!
    The Russian strategic reserves of stupidity are not at any risk of running out, it seems.
  2. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think you are reacting in a very one sided way. An army that starts refusing orders undermines the authority of the state.  That army doesn't function independent of the state apparatus.  It doesn't mobilize troops, it doesn't make economic decisions, it doesn't drive the overall political process nor negotiate with the few allies Russia has. It undermines all that by making the state appear to not have control and therefore authority.  Think Xi wants to be in bed with a guy whose own army is in revolt?
    Who decides who in the army gets resources?  Who decides that X artillery brigade supports which corps?  Who decides what aviation resources support which sector of the front? Chaos absolutely serves the interest of the UA.  With confusion as to who is in charge, the ability to respond to UA advances declines.  The RA isn't suddenly going to start fighting smarter, it is simply going to fight even less coordinated than it does now.
     
  3. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to panzermartin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    At this point I think NATO armies have more to learn from UKR veterans than they can teach them. 
    I don't think there are officers in NATO ranks that have fought an actual peer to peer war. 
     
  4. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If this was anything but a war of national,  cultural and societal survival, I'd understand the concerns. But it is.
    Anything that can kill Russians quicker and in more numbers shortens the war.
    The longer Russians are in Ukraine  the longer more Ukrainians will die.
    The future daily cost of UXO is nothing compared to the current daily cost of soldiers and civilians killed. 
    Ukraine needs to Kill & Maim as many Russians as possible right now. We've got a munition that can do that? Send it. 
  5. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Cannot believe I missed it but Dutch state broadcaster NOS had an article claiming War Gonzo was possibly killed.
    Sauce:
    https://nos.nl/artikel/2479807-belangrijke-russische-oorlogspropagandist-wargonzo-mogelijk-gesneuveld-in-loopgraaf
    DeepL-ed excerpt:
    While NOS is usually bit short on inside sources in conflicts, they don't usually publish any old wild rumour.
     
    EDIT
    Some Russian channels say he is in hospital, braindead. I'd call that a pre-existing condition.
  6. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to MSBoxer in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    How the hell am I now rooting for PRIG in any way, shape or form?????  What multiverse have I entered?
  7. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Der Zeitgeist in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Like any good Muscovite, in these troubling times, we should stay calm, wait how things play out and watch the ballet.
     
  8. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Richi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Cannot believe I missed it but Dutch state broadcaster NOS had an article claiming War Gonzo was possibly killed.
    Sauce:
    https://nos.nl/artikel/2479807-belangrijke-russische-oorlogspropagandist-wargonzo-mogelijk-gesneuveld-in-loopgraaf
    DeepL-ed excerpt:
    While NOS is usually bit short on inside sources in conflicts, they don't usually publish any old wild rumour.
     
    EDIT
    Some Russian channels say he is in hospital, braindead. I'd call that a pre-existing condition.
  9. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Cannot believe I missed it but Dutch state broadcaster NOS had an article claiming War Gonzo was possibly killed.
    Sauce:
    https://nos.nl/artikel/2479807-belangrijke-russische-oorlogspropagandist-wargonzo-mogelijk-gesneuveld-in-loopgraaf
    DeepL-ed excerpt:
    While NOS is usually bit short on inside sources in conflicts, they don't usually publish any old wild rumour.
     
    EDIT
    Some Russian channels say he is in hospital, braindead. I'd call that a pre-existing condition.
  10. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from fry30 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Cannot believe I missed it but Dutch state broadcaster NOS had an article claiming War Gonzo was possibly killed.
    Sauce:
    https://nos.nl/artikel/2479807-belangrijke-russische-oorlogspropagandist-wargonzo-mogelijk-gesneuveld-in-loopgraaf
    DeepL-ed excerpt:
    While NOS is usually bit short on inside sources in conflicts, they don't usually publish any old wild rumour.
     
    EDIT
    Some Russian channels say he is in hospital, braindead. I'd call that a pre-existing condition.
  11. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Whatever obstacle Russian attack helicopters form, it appears not to be insurmountable.
    https://old.reddit.com/r/CombatFootage/comments/14dkrxg/ka52_still_flying_after_having_its_tail_blown_off/
  12. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Richi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A headline writer for TIME had himself a bit of a moment:
    I am pretty sure that spot in the nation's history is already taken by another event.
  13. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A headline writer for TIME had himself a bit of a moment:
    I am pretty sure that spot in the nation's history is already taken by another event.
  14. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from kluge in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A headline writer for TIME had himself a bit of a moment:
    I am pretty sure that spot in the nation's history is already taken by another event.
  15. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Seedorf81 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A headline writer for TIME had himself a bit of a moment:
    I am pretty sure that spot in the nation's history is already taken by another event.
  16. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A headline writer for TIME had himself a bit of a moment:
    I am pretty sure that spot in the nation's history is already taken by another event.
  17. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Stop being so goddamn wholesome, Ukraine.
  18. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Stop being so goddamn wholesome, Ukraine.
  19. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Ultradave in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sure I remember. That was the RBMK reactors like at Chernobyl. They had a "positive temperature coefficient"  or  "positive reactivity coefficient" (those mean the same thing) meaning that as temperatures in the coolant increase, the nuclear reaction rate increases, which increases temperature, which increases nuclear reaction rate.....  you can see where that leads. HOWEVER, this is not the design of these reactors. These are more "typical" reactors that have a "negative temperature coefficient".  Reaction rate decreases as water temperature increases. Should be obvious that that is beneficial and is how most reactors are designed. I believe RBMK reactors were the way they were for weapons materials production, for one thing. They also had no containment, which the Russians justified by their strict operating procedures preventing accidents. Ironically, Chernobyl's root cause was a) the violation of multiple operating procedures and parameters, b) running an unapproved test procedure, c) lack of understanding by the operators of the physics of the plant and the indications they were receiving (those are related). 
    It's nothing to do with steam by the way. (probably the translation or lack of accurate knowledge by the original writer). It's water. Steam is transparent to neutrons so really has no effect on reaction rate, other than if you've got steam in the core you've got NO cooling, which is of course, very bad. Steam flow is an incredibly poor heat transfer mechanism. Steam is the RESULT of efficient heat transfer.
    In my qualification training (18 months) to be licensed for start up testing of US Navy reactor plants one things was drilled into us (well, many things, but) That was "Believe your indications and act on them".  If you have an indication of something going wrong and you take all the steps to shutdown and "put the plant is a safe condition" (that's the key words), you can't go wrong. You may waste time if it turns out to be faulty indicators, but you won't break the plant or kill someone. Our motto in the shipyard nuclear test organization - "When in doubt, shut it down"   An operating sub doesn't necessarily have that option, but many times they do, and that's the reason why we build and test them so well, so that it doesn't come up.
    I have had to argue that point a few times with my upper management. "I was there. I had the watch. My decision."    I mean, it's the entire reason they spend 18 months and who knows how many $$ to license us!
    Dave
     
  20. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Armorgunner in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think its an NLAW, or BILL toppattack missile. Detonating above, sending its HEAT blast downwads. 
  21. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Peregrine in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There would be blood in the streets?
  22. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Budanov in the last two days said he would retaliate for Russian strikes on Kyiv. Of course Ukraine did this and the attack on the Kremlin was proof of concept. Some of the drones have already been identified as UJ-22's. 
    My thesis has been for a while that the war on the Russian side has become primarily about retaining or gaining power in Moscow. This is nothing more or less than a Ukraine shaping operation on that front.
  23. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  24. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Baneman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
  25. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those  bombs weren't dumb. They were retarded.
     
    My bad upbringing made me do this.
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