Jump to content

Elmar Bijlsma

Members
  • Posts

    3,883
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Reputation Activity

  1. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    RU is really scrapping the bottom of the barrel equipment-wise... 
     
  2. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Whose grass mod are you using?
  3. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Eh... it's not great.
    It's nickname is "glasbak" for it's similarity to an old fashion glass recycling container. The accompanying gag was that the latter was the more heavily armoured of the two. None with the 25mm cannon were delivered, just the one with the .50 cal "turret" minus the .50 cal.
    Basically, when I saw that beautiful photograph from a few hours back, I got very nervous about the YPR sitting out in the open field. Wouldn't want to do that with the 25mm one, sure as heck don't do that with the one's lucky to even have a MG.
  4. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It is also worth pointing out that the main Russian propaganda TV channels, and those are the ONLY TV channels at this point, basically spout the Nats line. There is a continuous diet of Great RU will grind the Baltics flat and salt the earth. Great Ru will invade Poland, and nuke London. So Moscow may not be buying, but the rest of the country is being brought along quite nicely. They TV also continuously licks the current Czar's boots of course. But the Czar is dead, long live the Czar, is not exactly a new concept in Russia. It comes back to the question of how the coup goes. A clean win for the Nats and the war might get worse,  at least for a while, or the Nats do something so bat %*&^ crazy that NATO gets involved. An inconclusive partial success and the SMO in Ukraine collapses completely as Russia descends into civil war or something close to it. If the Nats fizzle, Putin can go back to losing at his own pace, except he will have lost his most effective forces.
    My two cents on the historical moment is that it might not be 1917, but it is at least as bad for Putin as 1905 was for the Czar. Furthermore it a lot harder to hide a real disaster now, if say the Kherson pocket collapses and there is a temporary dam of Russian bodies at the mouth of the Dnipro. In 1905-7 the Czars regime survived, but it had to make real concessions that haunted the rest of its miserable, utterly incompetent, never to be sufficiently *%%#$# existence. And then of course it led to something even worse, how is that for the cheery thought of the day.
  5. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Thanks for maps, Mashovets is writing too much and I just have no time now to translate his observations. Though there are some suspicios, he and DefMon takes info from one another and not always 100 % verified, but indeed nobody can do better (except General Staff, of course  )
    I need to add from his older materials, which I couldn't post here. Russians moved to southern front BTGs of 35th CAA and placed them initially in Energodar area - in the "dead end". Also units of 5th CAA were placed also on left bank of the Dnieper between Oleshki and Nova Kahovka. They also moved here about 6 BTGs of PMC from Bakmut area and placed them on Vasylivka and some eastern together with about 2 BTGs of 46th Rosgvardia operative brigade from Chechnya. Russian VDV forces, moved from Bakhmut and Izium directions also mostly were placed on the left bank (execpt one BTG of 76th air-assault division) close to Dnieper. 
    This created some "uncertainity" - where Russians will attack? Mykolaiv? Zaporizhzhia? Kryvyi Rih? By opinion of Mashovets we should to track the 35th CAA movements - by strange coincidence, exactly this army was on the spearhead of offensives on Kyiv and later on Izium direction. And exactly command of this army better assessed situation and make war more agressive, having success (especially on Izium axis). So, looks like Russian SVO Command considered 35th army (and troops of Eastren Military District in whole) as more capable to complete tasks. 
    So, in last days first BTG of 64th MRB (Bucha murderers) of 35th Army crossed the Dnieper and was threw in the battle near Snihurivka. Today some Russian TG channels claimed Russian troops launched offensive with objectives to take Mykolaiv and even Ochakiv (!) 
    PS. On your map Blahodatne village should be marked by red color. Russians assaulted it  already three times during a week or maybe two, and likely after 35th CAA elements appearing, they managed gradually to take the village. Two days ago was a report about their "partial success" on southern part of village. Yestarday - the same. Today - "UKR troops destroiyed enemy ammo dump in Blahodatne" (though there are two other Blahodatne in this area). Blahodatne defended elements of 63rd mech.brigade of Reserve Corps.
  6. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We live in strange times when one of the best (unironically) satirical accounts on the net is actually MoD of country at war. XXI century and we still like to taunt our enemies:

  7. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to DesertFox in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Looks like someone was smoking on the bridge...
     
     
  8. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Those who sow the wind must reap the whirlwind.
  9. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  10. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to MSBoxer in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I am waiting for a re-make of the bunker scene from Downfall, except with a realllllly long table.
  11. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to L0ckAndL0ad in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hi everyone. Nikita here.
    I'm still in Crimea. I have to be careful with every word, especially after being detained on 24th by police and FSB, so I will be brief. I am literally shaking as I type due to adrenaline, but we all need to be strong these days.
    1) Ukraine will be free. The bastards will fail. I can clearly see it.
    2) We witness an insane amount of heroism. Which is truly inspiring.
    3) Thanks to Steve and other people from here who were kind to me in the past and took time and patience to communicate with me. It made a lot of difference in the end and made me a person who I am today.
  12. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yup, when comes to info/psyops/meme warfare Ukraine is lecturing at the masterclass.

  13. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Fat Dave in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  14. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  15. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  16. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Blazing 88's in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  17. Thanks
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  18. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from benpark in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  19. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from rocketman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The SAMs are exploding in the same place. They are sending them up on a pre-set in the hope the explosion does something. What you are seeing cannot credibly be called air defence, it is impotent flailing at an enemy they cannot not touch or even see.
  20. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from LukeFF in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
  21. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
  22. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from MOS:96B2P in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
  23. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Blazing 88's in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
  24. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
  25. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from DavidFields in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What does the Geneva convention say about meme-ing as hard as Ukraine does? Certainly, their media accounts aren't taking any prisoners.
     
    Probably the best social media since Wendy's went rogue and reshaped what was expected of corporate accounts. In the face of something so calamitous as a war of aggression by barbarians, it takes some big balls for official MoD accounts to start joking around.
×
×
  • Create New...