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Haiduk

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  1. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    How to make a guiding for a drone-interceptor? These drones fly too high to be spotted from the ground by unarmed eye of FPV-operator. Even the pilot of this Yak-52 was guided on the target by radio from aviation guiding and targeting post, receiving information from radar. Pilot in cabine has better orientation in the space, than FPV-operator in glasses.
  2. Thanks
    Haiduk got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And to bad news. As was posted above, Syrskyi several hours ago made a statement, UKR troops withdrew west from Berdychi. This was logical step after Russians managed to expand own Ocheretyne salient and capture neighbour Novobakhmutivka village and part of Solovyove. So, elements of 47th brigade had a risk to be outflanked and even semi-encircled. 
    Video of Russian progress by DeepState map
    Concerning to Ocheretyne breakthrow, in Ukrainian media is starting a scandal about inconpetence of brigade commanders and HQ high-officers. Approaches to Ocheretyne were well fortified - personnel of 52nd separate rifle battlion for about six months did own work well with support of engineers. But higher command decided to rotate this unit and moved it to more cal Lyman direction (yes, in conditions of personnel lack there is usual "rest" - to be moved not to rear, but to the sector with less intensive warfare). On their place 115th mech.brigade had to be moved. This is the same brigade, which personnel in May-June 2022 in mass was abandoning positions near Severodonetsk, cuasing collapse of defense. Despite since that time two commanders were substituted, by words of brigade servicemen, there are no any changes - it still one of worst brigades in ZSU. 
    No proper combat training. Brigade HQ and battalion HQs were indiffernt to own duties. Officers mostly absolutely indiffernt to soldiers. One guy told, he have seen own battalion commander only two times and their company commander treated them like sh...t and did nothing what he had to do according field manuals. Actually in his company only deputy commander of morale&psychological support tried to tow all duties, including duties of commander and at least a little to prepare own personnel to fight. 
    It's no clear infirmation  what happened - one say brigade command didn't control situation and didn't know battlefield, so lost control. Other - that because of disrupted control and timing, brigade elements hadn't time to seize all positions at once, so forward units, which seized them were just smashed by Russian attack, remaining without support. By the rumors 4th company was almost completely eliminated with KIA and MIA. Other personnel (which has low training and motivation levels with such attitude in own brigade) jsut didn't seize positions or just fled from it. During next three days brigade command tried to stop Russians already inside Ocheretyne, but their incompetence and throwing people to thoughless actions led to new casualties and complete dismoral of personnel. 
    47th brigade sent some fire teams on Bradleys, but they couldn't save situation. Higher command decided in the midst of battle to move 115th brigade to the rear and substitute them on 100th mech. brigade (was formed from 100th TD brigade, so it almost hasn't armored vehicles and in real is infantry brigade). Until this substitution took place, Russians, having 3-times advantage in manpower here, expanded own salient and captured most of Ocheretyne. Though 100th brigade fihgts tough and could for some time slow down Russian advance, which threatened so far to grow in operative breakthrow.
    But story with 115th brigade command didn't finished. There is a rumor that by old post-Soviet tradition (because in Soiviet army for such fails comamnder can turned out under tribunal) higher command decided "to punish" brigade commander... with promotion in the duty. If this true, this bastard will sit in OTUV HQ and maybe develop plans of operations, without understanding of situation and just drawing arrows on the map, shouting on lower commanders "Take this fu...g treeplant immediately! I don't care your artillery hasn't shells! This is an order!"
    And other obvious reason of steady Russian successful advance - WE HAVE A LACK OF THEESE FU...G SHELLS! Mass US and EU shell supplies probably will feed the whole front only through two weeks or a month. Reportedly our artillery still be limited in fire capabilities. So, during this weeks you can expect news about next UKR withdrawals. 
    PS. Just for notice. 115th was enough well-equipped brigade - it has BMP-1 (or some Eastern Europe produced analogs) and some M113.

    The squad of 115th in M113. Right machine-gunner has Czechoslovakian UV vz.59 LMG

  3. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And to bad news. As was posted above, Syrskyi several hours ago made a statement, UKR troops withdrew west from Berdychi. This was logical step after Russians managed to expand own Ocheretyne salient and capture neighbour Novobakhmutivka village and part of Solovyove. So, elements of 47th brigade had a risk to be outflanked and even semi-encircled. 
    Video of Russian progress by DeepState map
    Concerning to Ocheretyne breakthrow, in Ukrainian media is starting a scandal about inconpetence of brigade commanders and HQ high-officers. Approaches to Ocheretyne were well fortified - personnel of 52nd separate rifle battlion for about six months did own work well with support of engineers. But higher command decided to rotate this unit and moved it to more cal Lyman direction (yes, in conditions of personnel lack there is usual "rest" - to be moved not to rear, but to the sector with less intensive warfare). On their place 115th mech.brigade had to be moved. This is the same brigade, which personnel in May-June 2022 in mass was abandoning positions near Severodonetsk, cuasing collapse of defense. Despite since that time two commanders were substituted, by words of brigade servicemen, there are no any changes - it still one of worst brigades in ZSU. 
    No proper combat training. Brigade HQ and battalion HQs were indiffernt to own duties. Officers mostly absolutely indiffernt to soldiers. One guy told, he have seen own battalion commander only two times and their company commander treated them like sh...t and did nothing what he had to do according field manuals. Actually in his company only deputy commander of morale&psychological support tried to tow all duties, including duties of commander and at least a little to prepare own personnel to fight. 
    It's no clear infirmation  what happened - one say brigade command didn't control situation and didn't know battlefield, so lost control. Other - that because of disrupted control and timing, brigade elements hadn't time to seize all positions at once, so forward units, which seized them were just smashed by Russian attack, remaining without support. By the rumors 4th company was almost completely eliminated with KIA and MIA. Other personnel (which has low training and motivation levels with such attitude in own brigade) jsut didn't seize positions or just fled from it. During next three days brigade command tried to stop Russians already inside Ocheretyne, but their incompetence and throwing people to thoughless actions led to new casualties and complete dismoral of personnel. 
    47th brigade sent some fire teams on Bradleys, but they couldn't save situation. Higher command decided in the midst of battle to move 115th brigade to the rear and substitute them on 100th mech. brigade (was formed from 100th TD brigade, so it almost hasn't armored vehicles and in real is infantry brigade). Until this substitution took place, Russians, having 3-times advantage in manpower here, expanded own salient and captured most of Ocheretyne. Though 100th brigade fihgts tough and could for some time slow down Russian advance, which threatened so far to grow in operative breakthrow.
    But story with 115th brigade command didn't finished. There is a rumor that by old post-Soviet tradition (because in Soiviet army for such fails comamnder can turned out under tribunal) higher command decided "to punish" brigade commander... with promotion in the duty. If this true, this bastard will sit in OTUV HQ and maybe develop plans of operations, without understanding of situation and just drawing arrows on the map, shouting on lower commanders "Take this fu...g treeplant immediately! I don't care your artillery hasn't shells! This is an order!"
    And other obvious reason of steady Russian successful advance - WE HAVE A LACK OF THEESE FU...G SHELLS! Mass US and EU shell supplies probably will feed the whole front only through two weeks or a month. Reportedly our artillery still be limited in fire capabilities. So, during this weeks you can expect news about next UKR withdrawals. 
    PS. Just for notice. 115th was enough well-equipped brigade - it has BMP-1 (or some Eastern Europe produced analogs) and some M113.

    The squad of 115th in M113. Right machine-gunner has Czechoslovakian UV vz.59 LMG

  4. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from cyrano01 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    About developing of warfare by spiral again %)
    Since Russia unable to use A-50 AWACS close to our borders, it flooded our space by long-range recon drones Orlan, Zala, SuperCam, which with rotations are may to observe large squares of frontline and in the deep rear. Reportedly only for one day up to 200 UAVs can be spotted behind out lines. UKR side just hasn't enough radars, EW assets and SAMs, SHORADs etc to cover all frontline to prevent penetration of such number of drones in the rear. Except all of this we have large lack of anti-aircraft missiles of all types, including SHORADs and even MANPADs 
    Yesterday likley as experimental act of desperation training Yak-52 was use to shoot down two Russian drones over Odesa oblast. Like in WWI times second crewman takes LMG in the cabine to fire at the drones. BTW this flight was successfull - two enemy drones were downed. And this is obviously more cheap method, than waste missiles. There is a one problem - risk of friendly fire, because small aircraft can be similar on radar to the drone

    Videos of "dogfihgt" with Orlan-10
    So, if some have operational P-51, Spitfires, Bf-109 , it will be useful

     
  5. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from Sojourner in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    About developing of warfare by spiral again %)
    Since Russia unable to use A-50 AWACS close to our borders, it flooded our space by long-range recon drones Orlan, Zala, SuperCam, which with rotations are may to observe large squares of frontline and in the deep rear. Reportedly only for one day up to 200 UAVs can be spotted behind out lines. UKR side just hasn't enough radars, EW assets and SAMs, SHORADs etc to cover all frontline to prevent penetration of such number of drones in the rear. Except all of this we have large lack of anti-aircraft missiles of all types, including SHORADs and even MANPADs 
    Yesterday likley as experimental act of desperation training Yak-52 was use to shoot down two Russian drones over Odesa oblast. Like in WWI times second crewman takes LMG in the cabine to fire at the drones. BTW this flight was successfull - two enemy drones were downed. And this is obviously more cheap method, than waste missiles. There is a one problem - risk of friendly fire, because small aircraft can be similar on radar to the drone

    Videos of "dogfihgt" with Orlan-10
    So, if some have operational P-51, Spitfires, Bf-109 , it will be useful

     
  6. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from TheVulture in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    About developing of warfare by spiral again %)
    Since Russia unable to use A-50 AWACS close to our borders, it flooded our space by long-range recon drones Orlan, Zala, SuperCam, which with rotations are may to observe large squares of frontline and in the deep rear. Reportedly only for one day up to 200 UAVs can be spotted behind out lines. UKR side just hasn't enough radars, EW assets and SAMs, SHORADs etc to cover all frontline to prevent penetration of such number of drones in the rear. Except all of this we have large lack of anti-aircraft missiles of all types, including SHORADs and even MANPADs 
    Yesterday likley as experimental act of desperation training Yak-52 was use to shoot down two Russian drones over Odesa oblast. Like in WWI times second crewman takes LMG in the cabine to fire at the drones. BTW this flight was successfull - two enemy drones were downed. And this is obviously more cheap method, than waste missiles. There is a one problem - risk of friendly fire, because small aircraft can be similar on radar to the drone

    Videos of "dogfihgt" with Orlan-10
    So, if some have operational P-51, Spitfires, Bf-109 , it will be useful

     
  7. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    About developing of warfare by spiral again %)
    Since Russia unable to use A-50 AWACS close to our borders, it flooded our space by long-range recon drones Orlan, Zala, SuperCam, which with rotations are may to observe large squares of frontline and in the deep rear. Reportedly only for one day up to 200 UAVs can be spotted behind out lines. UKR side just hasn't enough radars, EW assets and SAMs, SHORADs etc to cover all frontline to prevent penetration of such number of drones in the rear. Except all of this we have large lack of anti-aircraft missiles of all types, including SHORADs and even MANPADs 
    Yesterday likley as experimental act of desperation training Yak-52 was use to shoot down two Russian drones over Odesa oblast. Like in WWI times second crewman takes LMG in the cabine to fire at the drones. BTW this flight was successfull - two enemy drones were downed. And this is obviously more cheap method, than waste missiles. There is a one problem - risk of friendly fire, because small aircraft can be similar on radar to the drone

    Videos of "dogfihgt" with Orlan-10
    So, if some have operational P-51, Spitfires, Bf-109 , it will be useful

     
  8. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Two days before, Russia conducted missile strike on Ukrainain power and gas-sharing system in western Ukraine. As result four thermal power plants got direct hits
    Targets of Russian strikes:

    And the scheme of attack:

     
    Strike statistic:
    9 Kh-101 - 6 shot down
    8 Kalibr - 6 shot down
    2 Iskander-K - 1 shot down
    2 S-300 - no interceptions
    4 Kh-47 Kinzhal - no interceptions
    9 Kh-59/69 - 8 shot down
    Total: 34 launced, 21 intercepted. Excluding ballistic ones - 28 launched, 21 intercepted. 
     
  9. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Summary of UKR strikes on Russian objects for 27th of April:
    27th of April - Russian military airfield Kushchovskaya, Krasnodar region was hit by the drone(s) storage with UMPK kits, converting dumb FABs to gliding bombs was destroyed
    In the same day two refineries were hit in Krasnodar region too - Il'skiy refinery (6,6 mln tons year output) and the refinery in Slavyansk-on-Kuban' (3.9 mln tons). On both enetrprises fractional columns were hit. Both reportedly limited own work.
     
     
    A fire on 719th artillery ammunition storage base near Tikhoretsk town, also Krasnodar region was marked by FIRMS on 27th of April, but unknown what caused it - drone attack or something else
    Belgorod oblast - GUR in cooperation with 15th artillery recon brigade damaged antenna of Russian low-altitude 48Ya6-K1 "Podlyot" radar and diesel genarator for i, using Warmate 3.0 drones 
     
  10. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Two days before, Russia conducted missile strike on Ukrainain power and gas-sharing system in western Ukraine. As result four thermal power plants got direct hits
    Targets of Russian strikes:

    And the scheme of attack:

     
    Strike statistic:
    9 Kh-101 - 6 shot down
    8 Kalibr - 6 shot down
    2 Iskander-K - 1 shot down
    2 S-300 - no interceptions
    4 Kh-47 Kinzhal - no interceptions
    9 Kh-59/69 - 8 shot down
    Total: 34 launced, 21 intercepted. Excluding ballistic ones - 28 launched, 21 intercepted. 
     
  11. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Summary of UKR strikes on Russian objects for 27th of April:
    27th of April - Russian military airfield Kushchovskaya, Krasnodar region was hit by the drone(s) storage with UMPK kits, converting dumb FABs to gliding bombs was destroyed
    In the same day two refineries were hit in Krasnodar region too - Il'skiy refinery (6,6 mln tons year output) and the refinery in Slavyansk-on-Kuban' (3.9 mln tons). On both enetrprises fractional columns were hit. Both reportedly limited own work.
     
     
    A fire on 719th artillery ammunition storage base near Tikhoretsk town, also Krasnodar region was marked by FIRMS on 27th of April, but unknown what caused it - drone attack or something else
    Belgorod oblast - GUR in cooperation with 15th artillery recon brigade damaged antenna of Russian low-altitude 48Ya6-K1 "Podlyot" radar and diesel genarator for i, using Warmate 3.0 drones 
     
  12. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from MOS:96B2P in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night UKR UAVs successfully hit next two oil bases in Smolensk oblast
    In Lipetsk oblast, particilarly was struck Novolipestk steelworks plant, producing 18 % of overall Russian steel. This plant also produce many armor steel for military purpose and already was hit several months ago. This time drones destroyed oxigen feeding workshop, which may cause disruping of some technological processes.
  13. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hmmm....
     
  14. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night UKR UAVs successfully hit next two oil bases in Smolensk oblast
    In Lipetsk oblast, particilarly was struck Novolipestk steelworks plant, producing 18 % of overall Russian steel. This plant also produce many armor steel for military purpose and already was hit several months ago. This time drones destroyed oxigen feeding workshop, which may cause disruping of some technological processes.
  15. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Not only ATACAMS.
    France will deliver Aster-30 missiles for single SAMP-T complex, recently handed over to Ukriane
     
    UK in own aid package will deliver Paveway IV 
    ... And what also important alot of equipment for State Emergency Service
     
  16. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from Vacillator in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Not only ATACAMS.
    France will deliver Aster-30 missiles for single SAMP-T complex, recently handed over to Ukriane
     
    UK in own aid package will deliver Paveway IV 
    ... And what also important alot of equipment for State Emergency Service
     
  17. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Aftermath of M30A1 close hit on Russian S-400 radar
     
  18. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Aftermath of M30A1 close hit on Russian S-400 radar
     
  19. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Not only ATACAMS.
    France will deliver Aster-30 missiles for single SAMP-T complex, recently handed over to Ukriane
     
    UK in own aid package will deliver Paveway IV 
    ... And what also important alot of equipment for State Emergency Service
     
  20. Upvote
    Haiduk got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night UKR UAVs successfully hit next two oil bases in Smolensk oblast
    In Lipetsk oblast, particilarly was struck Novolipestk steelworks plant, producing 18 % of overall Russian steel. This plant also produce many armor steel for military purpose and already was hit several months ago. This time drones destroyed oxigen feeding workshop, which may cause disruping of some technological processes.
  21. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night UKR UAVs successfully hit next two oil bases in Smolensk oblast
    In Lipetsk oblast, particilarly was struck Novolipestk steelworks plant, producing 18 % of overall Russian steel. This plant also produce many armor steel for military purpose and already was hit several months ago. This time drones destroyed oxigen feeding workshop, which may cause disruping of some technological processes.
  22. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This.
    +their PsyOps campaign targeting "illegitimacy" of Zelenskyi after 31st of May. GUR chief Budanov told today that "hard times await Ukraine in second half of May and June, but nothing apocaliptic will happen" - and he meant i.e. Russian attempt to rise "Maidan-3", especially if this is accompanied by front failures and further destruction of power generation.  
    Russians wrote most of UKR tanks moved on rear lines further from Lancets. They episodically move to zero line - to support infantry if need and roll back. Though, you can see regularly UKR tank and light armor losses in Oryx team reports, so they still in use. Now is a time of infantry and drone war. Why too few videos of artillery usage? Lack of the shells. Serviceman of 43rd arty brigade (PzH2000 + Pions) wrote they have so few shells, that mostly maintain own vehicles, than fire. Also in conditions of shells lack almost all UKR artilelry battalions obtain FPV pilots speciality - this gives them opportunity to hit the enemy, though not on so big ranges, like with guns.  
  23. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from Sequoia in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Ukraine has ordered 10 000 Turkish Hatsan BTS-12 hunter semi-automatic rifles shooting with buckshot for anti-drone purpose. 4000 already deliverd to Ukriane. Reportedly rifle passed tests and was accepted. 
     
  24. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from Monty's Mighty Moustache in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This.
    +their PsyOps campaign targeting "illegitimacy" of Zelenskyi after 31st of May. GUR chief Budanov told today that "hard times await Ukraine in second half of May and June, but nothing apocaliptic will happen" - and he meant i.e. Russian attempt to rise "Maidan-3", especially if this is accompanied by front failures and further destruction of power generation.  
    Russians wrote most of UKR tanks moved on rear lines further from Lancets. They episodically move to zero line - to support infantry if need and roll back. Though, you can see regularly UKR tank and light armor losses in Oryx team reports, so they still in use. Now is a time of infantry and drone war. Why too few videos of artillery usage? Lack of the shells. Serviceman of 43rd arty brigade (PzH2000 + Pions) wrote they have so few shells, that mostly maintain own vehicles, than fire. Also in conditions of shells lack almost all UKR artilelry battalions obtain FPV pilots speciality - this gives them opportunity to hit the enemy, though not on so big ranges, like with guns.  
  25. Like
    Haiduk got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Exactly for securing the corridor in the area of responsibility of 30th motor-rifle brigade, Russians have thrown into the battle 35th and 74th brigades. We have severe lack of personnel and ammunition, so small-size tactical counter attacks are possible, but usually we havn't enough forces for large actions.
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