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Vanir Ausf B

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  1. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Personally, I didn't think the guns were too tight to begin with. There are trade-offs with everything, obviously, and with a gun position you want it to be as dispersed as possible, and no more.
    Arguing for wider dispersion is the counter-battery threat, which itself varies by enemy, operational situation, tactical situation, and terrain. In general, the Ukrainians seem to have been following an active CB policy (ie, going after Russian artillery assets whenever they get a chance) over the last ... year? But it is unlikely that policy is consistent across the entire front, due to a lack of ammo, deception measures, and lack of sufficient CB C2 infrastructure everywhere. But as a rule of thumb, I expect the Russians would probably want to be more dispersed than perhaps their doctrine would suggest.
    Arguing against wider dispersion are a bunch of factors.
    Local defence - I'm not sure how porous the front is, or how often Ukrainian raiding parties are hitting battery positions, but a small tight position is MUCH easier to defend against a ground threat that a dispersed position.
    Fire mission command and control - in my experience, each section (2 guns) is managed by a junior officer, and he has to keep shuttling between his guns to ensure they are doing the right things in the right way (bearing and elevation is correct, correct ammo, charge and fuse, etc). If the position becomes too dispersed, either those firing checks have to be reduced or overlooked (with consequent increase in risk), or the pace of fire missions drastically reduced. That's on top of the points @BlackMoria made about limited wire and/or radios. A lot of this can be mitigated with fancy-pants new kit, but these are D-30s. I doubt they are very fancy-pants, and I expect they are using methods and equipment that a gunner from the 1980s would feel intimately familiar with.
    Terrain - @BlackMoria has noted that this clearing is quite small, which is true, but FWIW to my eye it doesn't appear to be too small for the number of guns being employed*. It's really hard to eyeball, but it looks to be at least 50m between guns, which is a pretty standard dispersion. Also, the entire clearing isn't available for use due to cresting issues with the surrounding trees - get too close to the trees at the front edge of the clearing and you can't safely depress the barrels enough to engage targets - you'd be firing rounds through the trees just in front of you and, um, that's a really bad idea. That's also why you can't just hide your guns in the forest to begin with.
    Edit to add: Terrain part 2 - we can't see the wider area around this position. It could concievably be that this is the only, or one of the few, practical positions for this battery to be. Aside from out in the desert, the battlespace rapidly gets clogged up by all the things you want to be there - ammo and logistics dumps, engineer stores dumps, artillery areas, medical areas, helicopter landing zones, reserve fighting positions, staging areas for units moving forwards and backwards, maintenance area, routes for stuff moving forwards, backwards, and sideways, etc. Given that this area also seems to be heavily wooded and sparsely tracked**, there just mightn't be any other good spots for the guns to be, and the battlespace managers at the higher HQ haven't given this battery commander enough ground to be able to disperse they way he might want to.
     
    Interestingly, there seems to be only three guns in this battery. I wonder where the fourth is? I'm guessing it is out of action - either broken, or perhaps destroyed in a previous CB engagement - although it could jut be tucked away somewhere out of sight.
    Also, the CB mission as shown seemed focused on the guns themselves, which is fair enough because that's what the unaided eye (or drone cam) can see. But somewhere, not too far away - probably within 100m of the centre gun - is a command post. It's a shame they couldn't identify and target that either instead of one of the guns, or in addition to all of the guns. There is probably also an echelon park nearby - probably not more than 200-500m from the command post - with a bunch of trucks and mechanics and technical equipment and other paraphernalia. Replacing a couple of guns is hard. Replacing a couple of guns AND all that other junk, along with the training of the specialists you find there, is really hard.
     
    * although, I suppose you could argue that it really was too small, given that all three guns seem to have been taken out. On the other hand, the Ukrainians seemed to be adjusting between the three guns as if they were three point targets. At that point it wouldn't have mattered if the guns were twice, thrice, or ten times as far apart - once the enemy gunners have the intel and time to accurately adjust between your positions you're screwed, regardless of dispersion. It doesn't matter whether that's a battery of guns or a dug in platoon.
    ** artillery units need access to good routes - ammo is heavy, and in a sustained battle an artillery unit needs a LOT of trucks coming and going to keep it fed.
  2. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  3. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  4. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Bearstronaut in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It was never going to be different. Hanyang (now known as Seoul) was the capital of the Joseon kingdom since the 14th Century and was the capital of the earlier Baekje kingdom during the Korean Three Kingdoms period. It is far too important in their history to not be the capital no matter what cold, military logic would say. Also, as an aside Busan is a phenomenal city. It's probably my favorite place I've ever been and if any of you get the chance to go there you absolutely should.
  5. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Fenris in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  6. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  7. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hm, a little bit of an oddity here.
    Gepard usually uses FAPDS or AHEAD ammunition in its anti-air role (and I think that's what has been supplied so far), but the contract, to which this first delivery belongs, is apparently for 150.000 HEI-T and 150.000 HVAPDS.
    The imagine, specifically, shows the latter.
    I wonder about the talks between Ukraine and Rheinmetall which lead to this choice of ammo types.
  8. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Heirloom_Tomato in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  9. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  10. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  11. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fascinating insights into NATO training for Ukraine; what worked and what didn't.
    https://twitter.com/Teoyaomiquu/status/1699193558685618235
     
  12. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Stream of semi-consciousness...
  13. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Fenris in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We may know what happened to the destroyed Challenger 2:
    "Challenger 2 in Ukraine hit a mine - which immobilized it. Mine explosion caused a fire in rear fuel tank - at which point crew evacuated. Immobilized empty Challenger2 was then targeted by Lancet drone - all according to western Def source"
    https://twitter.com/bealejonathan/status/1699144029324075518
     
  14. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Seedorf81 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, wouldn't be very wise to say something else.
    For someone who "lives and breaths these issues", you have a pretty uncompromising attitude.
    All the persons I met in my life that I know to be considerate and/or compassionate, and who have a reasonable amount of empathy, are usually not belligerent at all. They are full of doubts, do not want to hurt other people, refrain from aggression and sometimes even from assertiveness. They think and learn, wonder and discuss. And doubt again.
    I like those people. We need those people. They are the ones that can bring us better times. Not the spitefull or aggressive ones, not the ones with the big ego's or the oh so confident ones.
    To me, you do not seem to be a doubter. And where I totally understand the rage, anger and bloodlust from the Ukrainians, I have a bit more difficulty with your "assertive" way of posting. You are, according to your profile, in the USA, so not directly involved in the war, but your posts sometimes give the impression that you are on the frontlines.
    In more than 12 years on the Battlefront-forums I only used my ignore button once, because I think people should be able to say what they want. But even after Battlefront-Steve asked you very polite to be just a little bit more agreeable, I do not see a nicer KevinK.
    I don't like myself for it, but your posts seem to keep on triggering some sort of annoyance with me, so I am gonna use the ignore-button for now.
     
     
     
  15. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Seedorf81 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think the issue is that the supply is constrained. The UK seems to retain small stockpiles of most munitions and IIRC has not procured 120mm HESH rounds since the 2000s. The are no NATO allies to fall back on either.
  16. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Centurian52 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think the issue is that the supply is constrained. The UK seems to retain small stockpiles of most munitions and IIRC has not procured 120mm HESH rounds since the 2000s. The are no NATO allies to fall back on either.
  17. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    How does repeatedly directing your demands at us instead of your government win the war?
    And what has NATO got to do with it? NATO is a defensive alliance. By international law every country has the right to support the defender in a war of aggression. You don't need NATO, you need to convince your government.
  18. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The oldest and newest question in foreign policy: how does one deal with a late Ottoman nuclear power?
  19. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I must say that I personally don't fancy this kind of preaching. a) If I want to listen to a sermon, I go to church 😉 but b) way more importantly, we are the wrong audience: Significantly many of us aren't even US citizens so have zero influence on your government and anyway your representative in congress is the correct recipient and none of those are likely to read your post here.
  20. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He says about this, literally "It's unlike our tanks with HE shells for infantry, no, these [Challengers] tanks were designed to fight Soviet tanks, not infantry, against infantry there are other infantry and artillery"
    I think, maybe HE/HESH ammo for UKR Challengers are limited, so they use to hunt armor.
  21. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First evidences of Challenger 2 in action. But from what tanker told it becomes clear, why these tank were in the shadow. 
    This guy (he served on T-64, T-72, T-80) says, Challenger has very accurate gun and targeting system, which allows to hit enemy targets from very big ranges. This is tracked "sniper rifle", So, Challengers don't use like other tanks for "сarousel" and infantry support with HE shells. Challengers have a task to hit enemy armor from big distance in shoot&scoot way. Tanker also praises easy of service and repair works in comparison with Soviet tanks as well as these tanks give more chanses to survive after hit or even several hits. 
    Tanker also told about tanks increadibly raise infantry morale and if these are western tanks, morale increasing more high, so infantry then is ready to follow them and just kick off the enemy from the trenches with a legs. 
     
  22. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to domfluff in What's the difference between Counterstroke and Active Defence?   
    The British Army's approach for essentially all of the Cold War was defence in depth and counter-attack, with the emphasis on "depth" at all levels. This is in contrast to the German approach, which had the emphasis on the counter-attack. One of the fascinating things about Cold War doctrine is that everyone was trying to solve the same problems, but going about it differently.

    Active Defence wasn't about deploying in depth, but in creating depth through manoeuvre. AD had an up-front defence, with elements peeling back and rotating, creating successive kill-sacks. Counter-attack wasn't a formal part of this, and it's not clear where that element would have come from.

    The issue with AD is that it's very complex, and ambitious to the point of implausibility. It's also that it lacks a real theory of victory - the best an Active Defender can do is not lose, there's no real ability to win.
  23. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Unofficial statictic of UKR AD work for month
    Shakheds - 231 launched / 152 shot down (65,8 %)
    Kh-101/555 - 87/61 (70,11 %)
    Kalibr - 43 / 29 (67,44 %)
    Iskander-K - 8 / 1 (12,5 %)
    Kinzhal - 7 / 1 (14,29 %)
    Kh-22 - 6 / 0
    Iskander-M - 12 / 0
    Kh-59 4 / 4 (100 %)
    Total: 398 / 248 (62,31 %) 
     
    PS. Number of shot down Kinzhals can be some bigger, because some monitoring sources calimed 2-3 were shot down, officially AF Command rejected to comment this information. 
     
  24. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I suspect The Pickle will be finally, Edit: and finely, ground relish soon, and very few people on the entire planet deserve it more. That said, the man isn't a coward.
  25. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Watching latest video from 3rd Assault Brigade earlier, I was wondering how long it would be before we got video of someone intercepting and returning a thrown grenade in the air, but I did not expect that someone to be intercepting their own grenade:
     
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