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Vanir Ausf B

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  1. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    More RUSI analysis from Justin Bronk.
    Getting Serious About SEAD
     
  2. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A few articles reporting on a speech:
    https://www.defenseone.com/threats/2024/03/future-not-bright-towed-artillery-army-general-says/395289/
    https://breakingdefense.com/2024/03/towed-artillery-has-reached-end-of-the-effectiveness-army-four-star-declares/
     
     
  3. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from ALBY in PBEM Player Guidelines   
    Except for the attacker in attack/defend-type battles. Some people also allow it in meeting engagements but I prefer not to. As always, prior communication is the key.
  4. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Bannon in PBEM Player Guidelines   
    Except for the attacker in attack/defend-type battles. Some people also allow it in meeting engagements but I prefer not to. As always, prior communication is the key.
  5. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Eddy in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Not sure if this has been posted already, but I found this an interesting read:
    The Attritional Art of War: Lessons from the Russian War on Ukraine | Royal United Services Institute (rusi.org)
    Here's the co-pilot summary of what is covered in the article
     
  6. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't think this is reliable information, because I don't think Medvedev is ever not this drunk and high.
  7. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Centurian52 in FIX THE BOGGING ALREADY!   
    So I think this isn't so much a case of Combat Mission incorrectly modeling reality, as yet another case of people having incorrect expectations of reality. Just like all the spotting complaints.
  8. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from George MC in Why the fire control of the Soviet T64 was worse than that of the Tiger tank (WWII model)?   
    I think that is correct for the commander's sight. The gunner's daylight sight on the T-64B is the 1g42. It's magnification and field of view are variable from 3.9x/20° to 9x/8.5°. By comparison the TZF 9 gunner's sight on the Tiger is 2.5x/25° and 5x/14°, so the T-64 has stronger magnification at the cost of a narrower field of view. Which of these would be better at spotting a machine gun team 450 meters away is anyone's guess. If we were talking about nighttime spotting or first shot accuracy the T-64 should be much better but I don't know that there would be a dramatic difference in daytime spotting. I agree with other posters that the OPs test is worthless for demonstrating anything at all.
  9. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia claimed since February they renewed production of FAB-1500 anf FAB-3000 heavy bombs - likely they also started production of UMPK kits for FAB-3000, making it also guided. It's bad. We need more long-range AD and F-16. Or strike this factory in Nizhniy Novgorod oblast
    Though FAB-3000 is too heavy for Su-34, and can be used from Tu-22M3 only. The bomb has 1400 kg of HE. It already was used as free-fall bombs during Azovstal siege.

  10. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I would think that your drones also have more loiter time and are less likely to be jammed by electronic warfare, the closer they are to your own lines.
  11. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hm.... In this video at least 2 targets were disabled with direct or close hits of single D-30 and FPV has appeared only at the end, when survived tank already retreated. Of course, artillery fire on moving targets is not effective, but Russians were making some stops during the movement, which opened a window of opportunity for D-30 and MT-12. If we had more barrels, it could be more effective (though we could have enough barrels, but not enough shells)
  12. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Vergeltungswaffe in Why the fire control of the Soviet T64 was worse than that of the Tiger tank (WWII model)?   
    I think that is correct for the commander's sight. The gunner's daylight sight on the T-64B is the 1g42. It's magnification and field of view are variable from 3.9x/20° to 9x/8.5°. By comparison the TZF 9 gunner's sight on the Tiger is 2.5x/25° and 5x/14°, so the T-64 has stronger magnification at the cost of a narrower field of view. Which of these would be better at spotting a machine gun team 450 meters away is anyone's guess. If we were talking about nighttime spotting or first shot accuracy the T-64 should be much better but I don't know that there would be a dramatic difference in daytime spotting. I agree with other posters that the OPs test is worthless for demonstrating anything at all.
  13. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Bulletpoint in Why the fire control of the Soviet T64 was worse than that of the Tiger tank (WWII model)?   
    Also a variable in this test is that in the WW2 version, you're testing with HMG42 which are deployed on a bipod and are bigger targets than the 2-man LMG teams you seem to be testing with in the CW test. The HMG teams also have more crewmembers, which also affects spotting chances.
    A better test would be to use German LMG teams.
  14. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Centurian52 in Why the fire control of the Soviet T64 was worse than that of the Tiger tank (WWII model)?   
    Also it looks like your German tanks have an FO team nearby that may be assisting them in making the spot. Units in CM that are in communication with one another will share spotting information. That FO team looks to be in the same formation as the tanks, and probably has a radio, which means it is probably in communication with the tanks.
  15. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Centurian52 in Why the fire control of the Soviet T64 was worse than that of the Tiger tank (WWII model)?   
    Both the Tiger and the T64 are using unenhanced optics. Visibility out of either one of them relies on fundamentally the same technology, periscopes and vision blocks. Both provide the commander with a cupola. Neither has thermals or CCTV screens. So on the face of it I would expect their spotting ability to be more or less the same.
    But, as others have pointed out the Tiger has more crew members to assist in spotting. And, probably more importantly, spotting in CM is random. There is a chance that a given crew member will make a spot on a given target in a given amount of time. But there is no set amount of time in which the crew member will make the spot. This is realistic, but it does also mean that you need to run your tests more than once in order to get any sort of meaningful results. Each time you run the test it will take each tank a different amount of time to make the spot. After ten or so tests you will start to get a somewhat reliable average of how long it takes each vehicle to make the spot. The fact that it took the T-64 longer to make the spot in a single test could very easily just be statistical noise.
  16. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting they can intercept the video feeds. Definitely eludes to a dynamism of counter-drone warfare. 
     
  17. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    UKR soldiers point out about captured BMP-3 that is a good IFV, with powerful weapon, but... 100 mm shells and charges for them make this IFV deadly dangerous for crew and squad because of it too easy and often coocks off after impacts. 
     
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  19. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Attrition in my mind is the constant cost of war, where as casulties from offensive operations are seperate. The naming here is pretty irrelevant though because as I said, the ZSU is not suffering more absolute casulties*
    This is not because the average drone pilot is 10 times better or has 10 times more drones and thus somehow offsets the total lack of shells.
    Its just a result that attacking in an environment where units can be reliably spotted kilometers away before they even assembled for a large scale attack, and can be killed more easily with the cheap-o FPV PGM, is near suicidal as russian meatwaves prove day in day out.
    Even if they make it past no mans land, a focused drone effort wipes most of the exposed and often EW-unprotected / unentrenched survivors out before much of any momentum can be gained. 
    Its the same for both sides in this way but as Ukraine is not attacking, its not subject to this exposure as much, just the daily bombing and artillery shelling
    Yes, I agree with this. Beyond 2025-2026, this war will reach non sustainability for putin and keeping a stalemate will just help get there safer. But this does not refute the idea that the disparity in casualties is caused by offensive actions, which compensate for the firepower difference.
     
    *although, when it comes to relative losses I think the picture depends on the weapon system. I made the case for the Avdiivka losses, where russia ended up basically at a zero change with the captured, refurbished and produced vehicles in that timeframe, while the losses to Ukraine are permanent and lowered the capabilities of the armed forces, since there is close to no heavy gear still being supplied in quantity. 
  20. Like
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's the EU elections in June. Macron isn't a candidate but his party has candidates and they are trailing in the polls.
  21. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Regarding recent Russian strike on Ukrainian AA column, Butusov channel confirmed it was Patriot launcher.
    -2 launchers were destroyed (no mention of radar, but another vehicle was destroyed too) by overal 3 Iskanders.
    - This battery was used very extensively in recent weeks, likely it was reason so many Russian planes started to fall down. This allowed muscovites to broadly locate the place of the radar; likely rest was done by visual confirmation by drones.
    - Ukrainians knew in last moment that rockets zeroed on them, and according to journalist they did cardinal mistake here: instead of scrambling, they formed compact column that was to leave the place. It didn't manage on time. 9 crew members sadly died.
  22. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's the EU elections in June. Macron isn't a candidate but his party has candidates and they are trailing in the polls.
  23. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's the EU elections in June. Macron isn't a candidate but his party has candidates and they are trailing in the polls.
  24. Thanks
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Afraid to put a bit of a dampener on this.
    Macron did say again that troops on the ground in Ukraine, in some capacity, should not be impossible. He also said that France will step in to make sure that Russia cannot win if needs be.
    But he also said that the time for doing something like that "is not today".
    And the French troops in Romania arrived for regularly scheduled NATO training. There is no unusual troop movement there. 
    As far as I have seen from some French commenters, this speech was mostly aimed at a domestic audience and is part of Macron's re-election campaign.
    Still, the rethoric is new and has been coming too consistently for too long to be just a gaffe. It may be part of a new consciousness for Cold War acting, giving Russia messages to think about.
  25. Upvote
    Vanir Ausf B reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Near Novopavlivka, Dnipropetrovsk oblast.
    Helicopters of 12th Army aviation brigade. Two pilots killed.

    There are rumors, sharply increased successes of Russian strikes in last two weeks it's not because their rised recon&strike capabilities, but because of possible information leakage from higher HQ level - all episodes were in Donetsk oblast or close  
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