Maquisard manqué

I think it's obvious that Prigozhin represented a faction and that faction got what it wanted so they ended it.
Some things to note: 
1. They have to have been a very strong in the FSB and MoD. There's simply no other way this stays quiet through months of planning and 100's of participants. There's no other way so many elements simply stood aside. 
2. While the war in Ukraine is still ongoing, taking Putin's place is a poisoned chalice. The hard right will punish anyone who ends it. So...you force Putin to the table, you make him give you large concessions in the background and you have a gun to his head since virtually any 10,000 troops can take him out with some luck and planning. But you keep him there to own the loss when it inevitably arrives. 
If you look at things that way, I think it makes quite a bit of sense.

We still got 6 downed helicopters and one very valuable coms aircraft.

Sigh. Well at least some russians died.
What a disappointing "coup".

I was sceptical when I went to bed last night. Prigozhin's bragging about 25k soldiers seemed like blowing hot air. Sure, people were talking about a convoy, but visual evidence of this convoy was nonexistent.
And then I woke up to news about Wagner having taken control of all of Rostov, and preparing for a thunder run on Moscow with tanks, artillery, SAM launchers, and all kinds of heavy equipment which the loyalist security forces reportedly does not have. And yes, actual video evidence of clashes between Wagner and loyalist forces.
Welcome to Tom Clancy's 21st century.

Am I a bad person if I think "finally Russians are doing to each other what they did to us (people of Central and Eastern Europe) for generations"?

Because, like Oryx, they cite only confirmed deaths rather than estimates. As I said.

They're doing for KIAs what Oryx does for dead vehicles. Counting only confirmed kills ... and they do point out the difficulties invlved AND give UKR, UK and RU figures for comparison. Pretty balanced all in all.

Sometimes I'm surprised by the amount of copium in this forum. First we didn't even accept the authenticity of the photos published(!)Then came the videos. Then we supposed that the lack of indirect fire is an indication of insufficient artillery coverage by the RU (despite there videos and photos of the same sector with 1. Leopards slaloming between 152mm explosions and 2. Myriads of dense craters in the aftermath photos , only artillery could have caused.) 
Then we said, ruskies have nothing else to show for days, apart from this column. They probably suck again in all other areas. But after a week of fighting, we are thrilled with the liberation of one small village with small RU forward guard in the buffer zone, that is filmed in the usual multi - cam hollywood quality. Truth remains russians wiped out a big unit, with very pricey and rare toys and the RU did this with relative ease and no significant documented losses. Shooting vikhrs from a safe distance like it was Apaches shooting T-72s in Medina Ridge. For a start they seem to have at least figured out how to use their gunships, they deserve this minimum credit I guess. 
 
 
 

Hey look minefield breach lanes that worked.  And again, no RA artillery.

It's Ukraine %)
 

We forget how god awful the bill can be. Montgomery had to push an entire brigade into a suicidal attack to break the German lines at El Alamein. And this was after a ~week of pressing hard. I think that battle is considered a success historically speaking. There is more fighting to come, and a lot more bleeding. We just have to see where we are in a month.

Well that is what a minefield breaching operation going very wrong looks like.  
Before everyone freaks out the vehicles that kept pushing are supposed to do that.  Backing out is just asking to die and impossible to do in column, he saw the RA prove this over and over again.  If your breaching vehicle takes a hit - and that appears to be the Leo, you keep pushing even if it means taking casualties.  We would do the exact same thing.  I mean what are the options?  Stop, wait for help or talk things over while the enemy kills you inside a minefield?  Back out along the one cleared path…while the enemy kills you in a minefield?  Nope you push.  Difference between the UA and the RA is that the Leo has a mine plow on the front (which is odd, that is the deep end of clearance, they should be sticking with rollers).  The RA was just straight pushing.
What is interesting is again the lack of any real RA artillery.  No big craters or impact marks.  Vehicles look like they took mobility hits (except that one) and the crews bailed and ran.  When we do these ops each Combat Team would do two breaches and accept that one is going to die.  This is the video from the failed one.
We said this from the start - western kit does not come with magic wizard shields that allow them to float above the ground and drive their enemies before them.  They blow up just the same as Russian kit.  We were always going to see this, and we will likely see more.  Russian info sphere is going to push out any and all of these that it can.  So buckle in and put your helmets on.

I´m not sure if we have seen this "special naval operation" already. Pardon me if we had.
 
 

No one can. My old Nokia made better vids than that. We have to wait for confirmation on the ground. As for every recon in force or attack setting I expect at least 30% loss rate. So yes we will see Leos burning sooner or later.

Again?!  I mean how did Operation Canuck Freedom go last time?  https://www.thecanadianencyclopedia.ca/en/article/war-of-1812
 
Of course the old adage “History is written by the losers who only remember New Orleans, and left unchallenged by the winners who are too polite to bring it up and still feel bad about burning the White House” applies here.

Looking at the footage especially the buildings not showing blast damage but more structural collapse my money right now says structural failure through neglect and incompetence in flow management from the Russian side

I suspect the intent of targeting energy infrastructure was to try and freeze Ukraine to the negotiating table: now that we're past Winter, there's not much point turning the heating off.

Not that it was a fantastic strategy to begin with- chalk up yet another failure for strategic bombing to achieve strategic effects.

Quantity of UK armor, which bought three Ukrainian charity funds for donates

Granted, but we're using two different senses of "matter".

Starlink in the cage. 

But this is not against Lancets. Here is a story of minds battle in electronic warfare, which has written by UKR serviceman, one of enthusiasts of different communication and SIGINT/ELINT improvements. 
Russians have found a method to interfere work of Starlinks - UKR servicemen spotted so far that sometime some wrong with their terminals in some places. Since some time a directive of Russian command to some EW unit was intercepted, whith describing of this method.
Russian EW equipments can't affect satellite frequensies of Starlink, but they found other weak point - GPS module. When it GPS is under supressing, Starlink terminal passes authentification very hard and even it can pass it, soon speed of channel quickly degrades down to almost zero. The problem is not that the module can't locate itself, but because sinchronization lose itself. 
If recently Russians hide EW assets in lowlands to supress commercial drones and in order it was hard to find it, that now they set EW assets on heights to supress Starlinks. In Bakhmut, for example, they locateds EW assets on the roofs of tall buildings. Also their complex "Pole-21" appointed to attach on cell base stations masts. UKR drone operators in zone of workk of such devices immediately spotted their drones stopped to see GPS signals even on the ground. 
So, now in UKR troops in "social network communication mode" the counter-measures are shared:
1. To make "Faraday's cage" around the terminal and it's desirable to ground it (like on the photo)
2. More simple method - just set terminal into the pit 0.5 m in depth. But to maintain enough wide open space under antenna in order it can see satellites properly. Also this method can allw to detect either your problems because of terminal malfunction or because Russian EW - just set terminal in the trench, if this solve the problem, that Russian EW assset is turned on somewhere.
3. To detect, find and destroy any Russian EW assets  

Pretty nice gesture from British hosts, given a lot of those soldiers may become casualties within several months. As always, musical background does not fit the mood:
 

I would call this a real but stepped on document. The original seems legit enough given the tags and formatting with a lot of the boring information you would expect. There are also obvious changes made to losses that are exactly what you would expect the GRU to botch in that way. I have gone over them pretty thoroughly and I am less than impressed at the intel take. Russia already knows how many HIMARS it has been hit with more or less. It already knows pretty clearly where it is going to be hit and approximately when. It already knows when and where the mud will firm up. There's little in there to show them the most important thing...what the tempo, timing will be.  
If this was really hot stuff, it wouldn't be out there in the wild. Most of the advantages of knowing something strategically important go away when your enemy realizes you do. So...call it moderately effective agit prop. 
PS: it looks like the first version of these docs were on 4chan in early March and somewhere "even dumber" according to a journalist before that.
 

There is a lot I could say on this matter and maybe I will if it is tolerated. To develop one of your themes, the orchestrators of misinformation have recognised the basic fallibility of a democracy in that we count all the votes.  The "enemy" targets segments of voters who may just be enough to swing a few percent and make a majority.
In the Brexit case the Brexit campaign targeted, among others, the anti-immigrant voters.  A future candidate for Prime Minister even looked the electorate straight in the eye and asserted that 80 million Turks were on their way.  In such segments people have a strong pre-existing bias and can be persuaded to elevate the issue to the top of their list and vote according to their instincts. Predisposed to bias, people do not want to deal with the facts because everybody brings their own facts to the fight in a democracy and so facts are relatively less important than their feelings.
Sovereignty was another segment -- English Exceptionalism.  Spending money on the Health Service another.
At the back of this is the money and effort spent over decades to compromise key influencers such that they can be pressured to broadcast the party line at the appropriate moment.  I think we all have our suspicions about these individuals and I have seen the compromise tactic being operated most systematically in China, but Russia is notorious too.  In China and Russia in the 90s they tried to compromise everybody who went there - you never know when it might come in handy.  Of course the best influencer is someone who may actually, plausibly, believe what he or she says but let us not underestimate the amount of blackmail going on.  In London we also have hard evidence of money changing hands.
In the Ukraine situation the game changer for me was when Poland opened the borders for the Ukrainian children with their mothers and grandmothers.  The EU followed and suddenly the russians were on the back foot both militarily and morally.  They never expected to lose the lightening attack on Kiev and never expected Europe to take ALL the refugees.  The fact that the children and families are safe must be a decisive morale booster for those who stayed to fight.  But the narrative changed too: Ukraine was seen by the majority to be fighting a just war, and while russian propaganda still seeks to engage swing voters they have lost the information war with the majority.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-65015289
Just another factor in the lack of populist opposition to the War from the Russian people. If you don't live in a totalitarian police state, you have to stretch your mind a bit to recognise how the disproportionate responses to mild opposition can eliminate any potential tendency to stand up to the bullies in charge.
Then you add in the lack of contrary opinion in the publicly available media, and you have a fermenting vessel for the zombies who grumble only about the conduct of the war, not that it is being waged at all. Those Russians who have the most Western-shaded comprehension of exactly what an atrocity the whole "Special Operation" is, are the ones with the most to lose, and still haven't enough power to make the damndest difference to State policy, so they're clearing out in their droves, where they can.