Armorgunner

No, you are very out in the blue 😁

1. For those keeping score at home, the Winnah!  Our Holy Thread, page 10. Day One.
2. Honourable mention to @CHEqTRO though, who was skeptical and posting tweets of RU bungling from very early on. And @The_Capt was like, 'wtf is Putin thinking of here, if he doesn't pull out some insider KGB coup angle, he's actually quite hosed', starting Day 2.
Our host didn't participate, at least not on this thread, until page 29 (Day 3). But his second post (page 30) did not mince words.
Ukraine doesn't have to defeat 190,000 Russians, it only has to significant degrade the first line forces in the initial attack. If it can do that, the Russian attack will ultimately fail....
I expect this war will be decided by tomorrow at the latest. The war, however, will last only so long as Putin keeps it going or he is deposed by someone who will end it.
Steve
... and outright called it on page 32 (same day).
Especially if Russia starts turning Kiev into Grozny.  Which, I'm afraid, is what is planned now that the ground war has pretty much failed. 
For the record!

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

The latest medicin, for Russians. So they can avoid reality.
 

https://jamestown.org/program/lessons-of-the-ukraine-war-thus-far/
Russia has fired more than 3,800 missiles against Ukraine ... in large part, by so-called “theater of operations” missiles—mid-range missiles that can strike targets thousands of kilometers away (e.g., Kalibr and X-101). But such a quantity of missiles, which is much more than the United States has launched in total in the past 40 years, did not allow Russian forces to change warfighting dynamics in a favorable way—by failing to paralyze railways logistics, interdict Western military supply flow to Ukraine or gain air superiority.
The Ukrainian experience has made clear that precision missiles of lesser range combined with accurate intelligence can make a world of difference on the battlefield. Primarily, this concerns the employment of Guided Multiple Launch Rocket System (GMLRS) projectiles guided by GPS with an 85-kilometer range. The US has provided Ukraine with at least 2,100 projectiles of this type.... Basically, successful mass employment of GMLRS by Ukraine has proven the validity of the US Army’s AirLand Battle doctrine of the 1980s.
 

Then there are two of us laughing. Germany/Russia should never, ever built Nord Stream in the first place. And make them so dependeble of NaziRussia!!! As Joe Biden said 7th of februari. If Russia attack Ukraine, Nordsream is no more!
 

Then there are two of us laughing. Germany/Russia should never, ever built Nord Stream in the first place. And make them so dependeble of NaziRussia!!! As Joe Biden said 7th of februari. If Russia attack Ukraine, Nordsream is no more!
 

I'm guessing that's a good autocorrect fail for "shut down"

Looks like it, reportedly confirmed by seismographic monitoring all around the Baltic. Poland started the mourning already:
On a more serious note, I'm sure it was the russkies, with the goal of sowing fear and discord between EU countries. I wait for dead frogmen to be found, with written orders from Duda and Zelensky.

Anybody know if the US delivered this, with the M777?
 

...Take Macron off call waiting.
 
 

🦀🦀🦀🇵🇱🇵🇱🇵🇱💪💪💪
 

Hey, I missed that! Can I still be a part of that? And if? how? I can give like 50 dollars! Give me a PM, if its not to late!

I've just passed to this page and read THIS. Guys, I though this was just a joke, but now my heart is melted down and I can't reject this gift. Though, I feel myself awkward... and also huge gratitude to all of you and Kinophile personally for idea     

@Kinophile also gave us a preview in April of what RA 36th CAA is looking at now that the road to Sloviansk is, umm, open....
[DefMon3] 36th Combined Arms Army (RU) in the Izium area are supposed to have got 1000+ troops and 100 equipment in reinforcement. Unknown types. 

[some red zones are debatable]
Notice they have the Sviaty Hory massif (the river bend) on their left, untaken, and ahead some more woodlands, how nice. Their right flank is paralleled by that great big canal there, which prevents any kind of right flank maneuver. So there's really only one road left for them, hey diddle diddle....
****
Bonus tweet, from Khodorkovsky. Yup, that arschloch.  I guess he's on our side now, but still scum. Pony up for some MANPADS, scumbag.
These kids got your Land of Hope and Glory right here, Putin....

Who cares. 😆
But I must admit I like the tactical evaluations better. 

But isn't it that wide open fields next to Slovyansk actually favour Russian side and play into their tactical handbook? Even considering their traditional bardak, of course, and assuming they can amass enough troops for the push.