Reputation from Offshoot - Page 4 - Battlefront.com Community

Offshoot reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 21

Ok, enough banter. Time for serious talk. You have probably noticed that you are not that popular here? Now I am sure you are telling yourself is is because you are “too real” and enjoy flying by to shake up the “liberals and Europeans”. But that isn’t why people don’t like you. No, they don’t like you because you really don’t add anything to the discussion.
You see, people here do a lot of things. Some are really good at collecting information very quickly. Others ask really good questions and some of us try and make sense out of this whole crazy thing because we have spent decades in the war business and can contribute that experience - and I do not just mean military vets, I mean dedicated wargamers who are all historians, theorists and philosophers to some extent.
So what this thread is trying to do is understand better. Before when I poked you to find examples of me “being wrong” about a prediction, well it was a trick question. I rarely ever make firm predictions because frankly things are simply too dynamic. I see trends, big ones. Trends that are becoming unavoidably large and looming. These trends point to the fact that we are very likely within an RMA right now. It started back in the early 90s and has been progressing for 30 years. The effects that information technology, miniaturization and energy density - along with dozens of others, all have on warfare is emerging with increasing speed and impact. So when I say “unmanned systems are not a temporary thing” well you can take it or leave it but that judgement is based on about 35 years of observations on the changes within military affairs.
Your problem is that you do not come with new information. You do not come with good questions. You don’t even come with good analysis and arguments to back things up. You come with opinion and positions. And the come on this thread like an evangelist - this is not discourse, it is preaching. You are trying to make a lab into a chapel and it just makes people angry.
But we should be about forgiveness. So here is a fun thing we can try: what don’t you know? What questions do you have about this war that you do not understand? Maybe we can start there and help you understand better. Because right now it really looks like a lot of very uninformed “well let me tell you college boy” BS. You want to make an argument that unmanned systems are a flash in the pan? Why not go out and find some actual analysis that supports that. We have got hundreds of pages of social media videos, professional analysis links and expertise that disagrees with you. But do some proof of work and come back with some solid analysis and assessment and we can discuss.
If not, well there are a lot of other forums on the internet where everyone will agree with you, or really lose their minds if that is your kink.
Finally as to the point at hand…the issue is not “counter-drone gear”. Of course counter-systems will be introduced, and the counter-counter systems as we will see primacy shift back and forth. The issue is that this competition will profoundly change how we wage war, it already has. Data superiority, AI superiority, Silencing, deception, redesign of land units and formations for the first time since WW2…these are all on the table. We cannot assume dominance based on where we were..we will need to earn that dominance and frankly accept that we won’t always have it. This will mean hard fights and harsh calculus. The lazy days of air supremacy are likely over as a minimum. Bilindc noted that one would need to “Deny ISR”, he is right, and I have no idea how to do that on the modern battlefield. And trust me, if I don’t, you don’t either. So we can discuss how that could happen or you can keep hand waving and going “aw shucks…airplanes”. Or you can keep getting tossed onto everyone’s ignore list until Steve comes along and chases you away again.

Offshoot got a reaction from pugstorm in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 20

Some analysis on the Battle of Irpin River (Feb-March 2022) by the British Army Review (54 page PDF). As well as the historical analysis it looks like it would be valuable for campaign designers.
Battle of Irpin River
I found it on Mick Ryan's twitter

Offshoot got a reaction from Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 20

Some analysis on the Battle of Irpin River (Feb-March 2022) by the British Army Review (54 page PDF). As well as the historical analysis it looks like it would be valuable for campaign designers.
Battle of Irpin River
I found it on Mick Ryan's twitter

Offshoot got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 20

Some analysis on the Battle of Irpin River (Feb-March 2022) by the British Army Review (54 page PDF). As well as the historical analysis it looks like it would be valuable for campaign designers.
Battle of Irpin River
I found it on Mick Ryan's twitter

Offshoot got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 20

Some analysis on the Battle of Irpin River (Feb-March 2022) by the British Army Review (54 page PDF). As well as the historical analysis it looks like it would be valuable for campaign designers.
Battle of Irpin River
I found it on Mick Ryan's twitter

Offshoot got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get? February 15