Lethaface

https://www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieuws/2023/10/13/nederland-doneert-extra-patriot-raketten-aan-oekraine
NL will (also) deliver more Patriot missiles for the winter. Fwiw at significant cost of own operational strength.

Interesting sounding tech/software, which if I understand correctly could be installed on existing crows and link them together forming a distributed network for defense against drones.

Indeed, apart from the logistical challenges of moving such a mass of people in such a short time without (probably) sufficient electricity/fuel/water/food/medicine there are many people in hospitals who would have issues moving even in a fully functioning western country. 
Plus Hamas will probably hinder the movement as they (also) don't care about Palestinian lives
 

I can't understand why SBU issued this unverified info. Even though there were some attacks, they likely didn't reach own goals. No evidences that any ship was damaged. 
Here is today's "damaged" ship, after incident, passed as missile corvette "Buyan" - indeed patrol ship pr.22160 "Vasiliy Bykov"-class

And here is "blown by mine" two days ago patrol ship of the same pr.22160 "Pavel Derzhavin", reportedly yesterday photo. No damages are visible.

 

Authorities of Crimea warned people if they upload any video of strikes, AD work etc, they could be procecuted  or at least have a long talks with FSB. But many people anyway want likes and followers (and many of them also wait Ukraine), so they haste to upload something hot, sometime just blurring some places in order "nobody can geolocate" %)   

https://www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieuws/2023/10/13/nederland-doneert-extra-patriot-raketten-aan-oekraine
NL will (also) deliver more Patriot missiles for the winter. Fwiw at significant cost of own operational strength.

https://www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieuws/2023/10/13/nederland-doneert-extra-patriot-raketten-aan-oekraine
NL will (also) deliver more Patriot missiles for the winter. Fwiw at significant cost of own operational strength.

https://www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieuws/2023/10/13/nederland-doneert-extra-patriot-raketten-aan-oekraine
NL will (also) deliver more Patriot missiles for the winter. Fwiw at significant cost of own operational strength.

Another ship seem to have issues with smokers in Sevastopol: 
 

https://www.defensie.nl/actueel/nieuws/2023/10/13/nederland-doneert-extra-patriot-raketten-aan-oekraine
NL will (also) deliver more Patriot missiles for the winter. Fwiw at significant cost of own operational strength.

Indeed, apart from the logistical challenges of moving such a mass of people in such a short time without (probably) sufficient electricity/fuel/water/food/medicine there are many people in hospitals who would have issues moving even in a fully functioning western country. 
Plus Hamas will probably hinder the movement as they (also) don't care about Palestinian lives
 

I think we may be missing something important here.  If Russia has a bottomless supply of manpower...why the restraint?  Why have they not simply mobilized 1 million or 2 million men?  Based on attrition rates 325k is enough to keep current manning levels, allowing for some troop rotations.  It is not going to fundamentally shift the mass calculus at the front in a direction where dumb mass may actually start to work again.
Why?  Quality control in the RA?  We know that isn't true.  The RA is giving these guys pretty rudimentary training and stuffing them in.  Replacing trained veh and systems crews is going to remain a core problem - Russia does not have China training 60k troops for them.
As to collapse.  Loss numbers are likely too low.  I am not sure strategic collapse in Russia based on body count was viable, at least not in a shorter term.  We went through this before - Russia would likely need to lose around 1-2 million men before everyone in that nation loses someone in their personal circle...and even then that might not be enough.  The reason to kill Russian's is to trigger operational systemic collapse, which then sets up for military strategic collapse...or at least withdrawal.  People are a core component of military capability, a critical means if you will.  Erode that and the system will fail.  Operational failures build up and eventually lead to strategic ones.
Ukraine's problem right now is engineering another Russia operational failure.  We are seeing the collision of Denial and Precision.  Ukraine is challenged to upscale enough precision to create positive forces multiplication, while Russia relies on good old dumb mass Denial to sustain theirs.  I stand by my theory that the only way may be for Ukraine to open up another offensive in a sector the RA has pulled from in order to sustain the fight in the middle.  If they can do that, they may be able to engineer another operational collapse.  But can they do this?  Can they leverage surprise in a highly illuminated battlefield?  Has Russia cut a deal with China to get strategic ISR? - oh my, there is a shoe to drop. 
Most people are squawking over tactical systems but Russia being plugged into a Chinese C4ISR backbone would fundamentally shift this war.  We won't see that on X or any other platform, but we will see its effects.  I personally do not see China as that invested.  To take capability they have to protect and project in their own sphere would be no small thing and a significant escalation.
We ain't done yet but the UA needs to pull something off soon or we are going to see things lock up.  RA may try to pretend it is on the offensive again, but I think that part is done.  They will dig in harder.  Plant more minefields over the winter.  And then we may be looking at some hard choices.  Or they could break tomorrow, leading to cascade failure in an already mauled and fragile system - it goes slow until it goes fast. 
 

So, they say they should evacuate northern Ghaza. Where to? Southern Ghaza I guess. Doubling the population of an area that is already one of the most densely populated places in the world.
Maybe the plan is to create such a bad humanitarian situation for the Palestinians that Egypt will be under immense political pressure to open the border and take them in and help them "temporarily". Which will then turn into forever.

Doubling the population of the southern half of Gaza while Israel removes Hamas from the north, possibly followed in a couple weeks? by an evacuation order for the southern half of Gaza so they can remove Hamas from the souther half. So all 2 million people then displace back to the north? To Egypt? Build rafts? 
On top of the blockade, this has the makings of a humanitarian catastrophe.

Dave

Another ship seem to have issues with smokers in Sevastopol: 
 

Ok good to know you support laws of war only for agressors and don't care about innocent lives of 'human shield'. You are calling for genocide?
Gazans have babies too you know,  if you see them as humans that is. 

Ok good to know you support laws of war only for agressors and don't care about innocent lives of 'human shield'. You are calling for genocide?
Gazans have babies too you know,  if you see them as humans that is. 

Interesting sounding tech/software, which if I understand correctly could be installed on existing crows and link them together forming a distributed network for defense against drones.

Interesting sounding tech/software, which if I understand correctly could be installed on existing crows and link them together forming a distributed network for defense against drones.

Just to note, Oz is a reliable reporter and has extensive experience in ME and Ukraine.
 

Russian "victories" in TG and reality
- On southerm flank of Avdiivka RU assaulters captured UKR strongpoint Almaz-1 (known position since ATO times)
- Dick-az-1 they captured. One and half of battalions are "200" (dead)

Now we have a video of this
Unit of 39th motor-rifle brigade, using this hmmm.... armored doghouses, came under fire near Novomykhailivka (10-12 km south from Maryinka)
 

He obviously doesn't, given the "rabid dog".

If it is same as the first one, RTS. 
I have the first edition, just looked it up and played it for 5.4 hours total. Each to his own but compared to the depth / immersion I get from CM I thought it was like 'meh'. Some interesting features of course, but imo CM was way ahead.
Who knows this one is much better, but I'll surely won't buy it unless reviews/let's play manage to convince me this one is very different.

Ok good to know you support laws of war only for agressors and don't care about innocent lives of 'human shield'. You are calling for genocide?
Gazans have babies too you know,  if you see them as humans that is.