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poesel

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  1. Upvote
    poesel reacted to Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And one reason Tsingtao is such good beer is because the brewery was founded by Germans. 
  2. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This - it was a very big mistake not to march troops through Germany and have a parade in Berlin. That would have shown have shown everyone who had won and who had lost. After the war nationalists came up with the idea of ‘Dolchstoßlegende’ - that the army never lost in the field and were betrayed by the social democrats who signed Versailles. That blemished democracy in the public view right from the beginning.
    But back to Russia: there will not be a march of any foreign troops on Moscow because of nukes. That is pretty obvious. With the firm grip of the state on media the public wont accept a Russian loss of the war because nobody will tell them in first place.
    So until change comes from within, nothing will change in Russia.
    Do the sanctions help with change? Yes. Why? Consider the alternative where there are no sanctions. That will surely not create change.
    Can we create ‘directed’ sanctions that will lead to a desired (by the West) effect? I doubt that. Whatever will break that thing will be a random event that nobody thought of. We just need to make sure that there are many of those events until one ‘clicks’.
  3. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Also lost were Qingdao (the area east of Beijing) and the Solomons (both to Japan). Imagine if those two would have still been German at the beginning of WWII. Interesting what if.  
  4. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This - it was a very big mistake not to march troops through Germany and have a parade in Berlin. That would have shown have shown everyone who had won and who had lost. After the war nationalists came up with the idea of ‘Dolchstoßlegende’ - that the army never lost in the field and were betrayed by the social democrats who signed Versailles. That blemished democracy in the public view right from the beginning.
    But back to Russia: there will not be a march of any foreign troops on Moscow because of nukes. That is pretty obvious. With the firm grip of the state on media the public wont accept a Russian loss of the war because nobody will tell them in first place.
    So until change comes from within, nothing will change in Russia.
    Do the sanctions help with change? Yes. Why? Consider the alternative where there are no sanctions. That will surely not create change.
    Can we create ‘directed’ sanctions that will lead to a desired (by the West) effect? I doubt that. Whatever will break that thing will be a random event that nobody thought of. We just need to make sure that there are many of those events until one ‘clicks’.
  5. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This - it was a very big mistake not to march troops through Germany and have a parade in Berlin. That would have shown have shown everyone who had won and who had lost. After the war nationalists came up with the idea of ‘Dolchstoßlegende’ - that the army never lost in the field and were betrayed by the social democrats who signed Versailles. That blemished democracy in the public view right from the beginning.
    But back to Russia: there will not be a march of any foreign troops on Moscow because of nukes. That is pretty obvious. With the firm grip of the state on media the public wont accept a Russian loss of the war because nobody will tell them in first place.
    So until change comes from within, nothing will change in Russia.
    Do the sanctions help with change? Yes. Why? Consider the alternative where there are no sanctions. That will surely not create change.
    Can we create ‘directed’ sanctions that will lead to a desired (by the West) effect? I doubt that. Whatever will break that thing will be a random event that nobody thought of. We just need to make sure that there are many of those events until one ‘clicks’.
  6. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don‘t want to disagree with you but I don‘t think that that is completely right.
    I‘d like to take post-WWII Germany as an example how you can convert a fascist country into a working democracy. That was not Germany fixing Germany - at least not in the beginning. It was a decisively lost war, no questions open. Then there were trials which judged the most obvious criminals and especially those who ‚just followed orders‘.
    After that, something happened what many probably wouldn‘t like to happen in Russia: there is a country to run and you need people for that. If every German who deserved it would have been hung or imprisoned, the country would have collapsed. So those got away because a functioning Germany was needed against the Soviets.
    But: from then on it was impossible to publicly state nazi ideas so a new generation without those ideas could be raised. The old thinking died when the people who had them died.
    So, Russia can fix itself but only after some outside help makes this process possible.
  7. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There were only 14 years between the Kaiser and the 3rd Reich. Not much to build a tradition on. Also the Weimar Republic was seen as a failure because of the economy which led to a view that democracy itself was a failure and wouldn‘t work in Germany.
    Yeah, but that is only the first step. Long term you want a stable, democratic Russia or whatever will be in its place. Living next door to barbarians will eventually have them at your gates.
    It will be a mayor effort to normalise relations with Russia. I doubt any of us will live to see it.
  8. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes, didn’t sleep through history classes.
    But your are right. Russia ‘22 isn’t Germany ‘45. Each country has its own history. But I took it as an example that a) a country can be ‘fixed’ and, b) you might need external help for that.
    If Twitter had existed in ‘45 the posts by German nationalists wouldn’t have looked much different from Russias today (Hitler did everything wrong, we just need to do x, bla bla…).
    So I don’t agree that the existence of those kind of postings make Russia unfixable per se. With what I agree is the necessity of Russia loosing this war very clearly and the following dissolution of the federation. If Russia stays in its current form nothing will happen for a very long time.
  9. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from DavidFields in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes, didn’t sleep through history classes.
    But your are right. Russia ‘22 isn’t Germany ‘45. Each country has its own history. But I took it as an example that a) a country can be ‘fixed’ and, b) you might need external help for that.
    If Twitter had existed in ‘45 the posts by German nationalists wouldn’t have looked much different from Russias today (Hitler did everything wrong, we just need to do x, bla bla…).
    So I don’t agree that the existence of those kind of postings make Russia unfixable per se. With what I agree is the necessity of Russia loosing this war very clearly and the following dissolution of the federation. If Russia stays in its current form nothing will happen for a very long time.
  10. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yes, didn’t sleep through history classes.
    But your are right. Russia ‘22 isn’t Germany ‘45. Each country has its own history. But I took it as an example that a) a country can be ‘fixed’ and, b) you might need external help for that.
    If Twitter had existed in ‘45 the posts by German nationalists wouldn’t have looked much different from Russias today (Hitler did everything wrong, we just need to do x, bla bla…).
    So I don’t agree that the existence of those kind of postings make Russia unfixable per se. With what I agree is the necessity of Russia loosing this war very clearly and the following dissolution of the federation. If Russia stays in its current form nothing will happen for a very long time.
  11. Upvote
    poesel reacted to rocketman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    F**k Putin all the way to hell the effing coward.
    I can take a vacation for saying this but I had to get it off my chest.
  12. Upvote
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    @Battlefront.com
    Here is some recommendations from UKR frontline soldier for your collection
    ATTENTION TO ALL, WHO FIRST TIME COMES TO EASTERN FRONT
    1. Enemy has significant advantage in aviation and artillery.
    2. There are no more stupid conscripts, but really trainned murderers, whick know own work
    3. Our positions have been betraying by locals and drones ajust fire
    4. Vehicles are target #1
    RECOMMENDAIONS FOR DOGFACE
    1. Dig in deep, but never wide.
    2. Dig in in the places with additional protection (tree) or with obstacles for enemy artillery (hill,railwau embarkment)
    3. Dig several positions, join its after in the trench (if enemy allow you to do this)
    4. Do not concentrate many people in one shelter - no more 2-3
    5. For rest and cover to dig a grave. Yes, a grave with steps (on the photo) for two. While the first on position, the second rests in the grave, then change.
    6. Evacuation point must be maximally hidden, to make a pathway and the hole for aid. In the hole only combat medic have to work, you shouldn't be there.
    7. Do not bring with you neither too much ammunitions nor any other supply - its betrays you. Get out the trash - bury even cigarette butts.
    8. Prepare good off-road jeep, take away all superflous, take away lights and give NV device to the driver. Let he stays in 5 km from your positions. This will save most of your WIAs.
    9. Ammunition and supply delivers when jeep drives to take WIAs or if you have a need in resupply. Two days reserve of ammunition and supply for comany have to be always near the jeep. 
    10. BMPs and BTRs are also have to be in the rear, dug in deeply and disguished or hidden. They drive to the battle only and dont's carry people! Your trucks you can shot out yourself, thus will be less victims. But better hand over its to artillerists. 
    11. Comms, steady encriptes comms and interaction with tanks and artillery. Infantry finds targets, recons ajust arty with drones, arty fires. But artillerists are people too and they also primary target for the enemy. They will not stand-by continuously and they also have a limit of ammunition and supply. 
    12. Do not deploy on infantry positions ATGMs or MANPADs. Deployits aside or behind, but never on positions. If this stuff works at least once, your position will grounded.  
    13. Most important!!!! The time for supply it's twilight (dawn or dusk). Safe time you will understand yourself.  And do this with jeeps with engine volume no more 2,5 l
    14. Despite on written above, the war is dictating own rules. At this war the best are speed and mobility. And remember - they don't know how much of you, until you expose yourself. And during this time eliminate as more of orcs as possible, while they will be probe. Best way - to shot, when you see the enemy, and not hear his bullets. In this way they check your nerves. When the come close, try to kill as more as possible in order they will not call or adjust own artillery, because without accurate adjustment their arty is skew and only something random can hit your positin.   
     
    The "grave with steps" for R&R
     
  13. Like
    poesel got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  14. Like
    poesel got a reaction from LukeFF in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  15. Like
    poesel got a reaction from gnarly in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  16. Like
    poesel got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  17. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Machor in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  18. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  19. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Blazing 88's in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  20. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Zeleban in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  21. Like
    poesel got a reaction from danfrodo in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    German fatigues will bestow +10 on the engineering skills of the wearer. 
  22. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    When the gun is lowered on the CEASAR, its center of gravity is behind the carriage, and it mostly leans on the baseplate. So most of the force goes directly into the ground. The suspension is not the problem. Additionally, I guess that the suspension has at least two setting. A soft one for road travel and 'sport' for firing.
    Add to that, pressure from the biggest opposition party (CDU) which has historically been the most pro-military party. Scholz has to cater to the peace activist part of his party.
    Quite  a turnaround for Germany. It's like if Biden would declare that the US is going metric from next Monday on.
    And everyone else, including the Greens themselves.
  23. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    When the gun is lowered on the CEASAR, its center of gravity is behind the carriage, and it mostly leans on the baseplate. So most of the force goes directly into the ground. The suspension is not the problem. Additionally, I guess that the suspension has at least two setting. A soft one for road travel and 'sport' for firing.
    Add to that, pressure from the biggest opposition party (CDU) which has historically been the most pro-military party. Scholz has to cater to the peace activist part of his party.
    Quite  a turnaround for Germany. It's like if Biden would declare that the US is going metric from next Monday on.
    And everyone else, including the Greens themselves.
  24. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia has cut gas delivery by 60%. They claim it is due to some faulty compressor pump. There is a replacement, but it's in Canada and falls under the sanctions. Nobody buys this story and touching NS2 is political suicide at this point in time, so that won't happen.
    That is correct. There is a law that home use is prioritized, so nobody will freeze. But there is an ongoing discussion if landlords could lower the minimum temperature from 20 to 18 °C (won't happen, but they are talking). But the effect on the industry would be quite harsh - depending on which branch.
    There will be a law that creates auctions for the industry to sell off unused gas. The hope is to create further incentives to save if price alone isn't enough.
    So nobody will die if Russia cuts off gas, but it will be very expensive for the country. We will pay dearly for the mistakes of the past, and everyone is very well aware of it.
    Yes. The only way that gas deliveries will start again would be to compensate for Ukrainian damages (that is, Germany buys Russian gas and transfers the money to Ukraine to pay off Russian debts. I guess something like that will eventually happen (to clarify: with eventually I mean after Ukraine wins, the Russian regime fell or 30 years - whichever comes first)).
  25. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia has cut gas delivery by 60%. They claim it is due to some faulty compressor pump. There is a replacement, but it's in Canada and falls under the sanctions. Nobody buys this story and touching NS2 is political suicide at this point in time, so that won't happen.
    That is correct. There is a law that home use is prioritized, so nobody will freeze. But there is an ongoing discussion if landlords could lower the minimum temperature from 20 to 18 °C (won't happen, but they are talking). But the effect on the industry would be quite harsh - depending on which branch.
    There will be a law that creates auctions for the industry to sell off unused gas. The hope is to create further incentives to save if price alone isn't enough.
    So nobody will die if Russia cuts off gas, but it will be very expensive for the country. We will pay dearly for the mistakes of the past, and everyone is very well aware of it.
    Yes. The only way that gas deliveries will start again would be to compensate for Ukrainian damages (that is, Germany buys Russian gas and transfers the money to Ukraine to pay off Russian debts. I guess something like that will eventually happen (to clarify: with eventually I mean after Ukraine wins, the Russian regime fell or 30 years - whichever comes first)).
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