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Holien

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  1. Like
    Holien got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What's your point? What have you added?
    Humans you gotta love them...
  2. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hmmm I wonder if the limited drones they have had up to this point had other more important targets on the actual front line....
    Russia has had trouble even hitting stationary targets.
    Ukraine has only just had the manufacturing capacity and capabilities to hit Russian oil facilities these things take time to develop, test and then manufacture in quantity. 
    It will no doubt happen at some stage but to say it should have been done already is a bit naive...
    I have had clients like you and I just smile...
    If it was easy it would have been done already...
    Humans you gotta love them...
  3. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What's your point? What have you added?
    Humans you gotta love them...
  4. Like
    Holien got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What's your point? What have you added?
    Humans you gotta love them...
  5. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russians abandoned T-90M, looking not badly damaged. The tank was cooked off with grenade-in-hatch
     
  6. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What's your point? What have you added?
    Humans you gotta love them...
  7. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What's your point? What have you added?
    Humans you gotta love them...
  8. Upvote
    Holien reacted to photon in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Have you read the thread from day 1? The amount of open source information here - from all imaginable perspectives - is enormous. Historians will be able to make much more sense of this war than any in history. Would that we had this sort of information for the ancient world! Or the Battle of Midway!
  9. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Here is new Russian weapon, which they already used several times - among them two days ago this weapon first time for two years bombed Kahrkiv, One bomb hit the school, the secong hit the ground among residential buildings, causing death of one man and injuring of 16 people.
    This is UMPB D-30SN. The ordnance, based of "dumb" FAB-250 (100 kg HE). Wings, guidance system and rocket engine, turned it intu gliding bomb-missile, similar analog of western SDB/GLSDB. This sh...t can be launched both with Su-34 or with Smerch/Tornado-S MLRS. Depending on carrier it can fly on 50-90 km. Declared CEP is 5 m. Guidance - inertial/satellite 

  10. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night Russians conducted next mass missile strike. Again, main targets were power plants. In this time, except thermal plants, Russians targeted two hydro energy plants in Kaniv, Cherkasy oblast and in Chernisvtsi oblast, on Dnister river. Also substations and power infrastructure were attacked in six oblasts. Kuiv wasn't under attack this time. 
    Russians again hit Burshtynska thermal power plant with Kinzhal missiles as well as Ladyzhynska thermal power plant in Vinnytska oblast. By assesment, these two largest TPPs are taken out at least on six months or maybe even on year.
    Statistic of launches/interceptions:
    - 60 Shaheds / 58 shot down
    - 21 Kh-101 / 17 shot down
    - 4 Iskander-K cruise missiles / 4 shot down
    - 3 Kh-47 Kinzhal / no intreceptions
    - 2 Iskander-M / no interceptions
    - 9 Kh-59 / 5 shot down
     
    Debrises of new upgraded  Kh-101 were found after this night. This missile already had two warheads. Main - 450 kg of total weight and secondary in 250 kg of total weight, Secondary warhead has ready-made submunitions of cubic shape. 
     
  11. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  12. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  13. Like
    Holien got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  14. Upvote
    Holien got a reaction from panzermartin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  15. Like
    Holien got a reaction from alison in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  16. Like
    Holien got a reaction from niall78 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  17. Like
    Holien got a reaction from Pete Wenman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So why do it and then expect no response!!!
    🤔 
    Defence doesn't include mass murder of innocents.
    I'll just leave it there...
  18. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russians lost another fighter, probably SU-27 (misidentified as SU-35) near Sevastopol. Most probably friendly fire.
     
  19. Like
    Holien reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Pavlo Narozhnyi , the founder of "Reaktivna Poshta" and a military expert, gave an interview to the French publication Le Grand Continent.
     
  20. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Intact warhead of shot down in Kyiv 3M22 "Zircon" was found. It's turned out much less, than Russian declared in open sources. Total weight 200 kg and HE weight 80 kg (was claimed 300-400 kg warhead). This may seem insufficint for anti-ship missile, but taking into account Zirkon on final stage of attack dives from 30-40 km alsmost verticaly with 9M speed, the impact of the deck and explosion could pierce the ship through.
    A day ago one of experts, who explore this warhead said it may has no more 40 kh of HE and it's type will be determine in further researches. It's unlear, why quantity of HE raised from 40 to 80 kg, probably warhead was opened later and this allowed to determine a mass of HE
     
  21. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is very simplified describing of this system ) I wrote several months ago about this. The system is not completed yet to be set around all country and cover all directions. Developers told they spent many time to teach AI to identify a sound of missile or drone among other sounds to avoid false alarms. 
  22. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't think Kh-101, Iskander, Kinzhal and now Zirkon are cheap. Add here wasting of resources of Tu-95, fuel for them, etc. Attack on Kyiv about week ago, when 30 missiles were shot down cost Russia 390 millions USD with around zero effect. Yes, we spent 4 PAC-3 interceprors and about three dozens of NASAMs/IRIS, but I doubt it equal to Russian attacking means cost and completely can't be comparable with economical and military losses if all these missiles hit own targets. 
  23. Upvote
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    So, now we have details of today's missile strike on Kyiv. Today was a Day of SBU, so Russians obviously decided to shedule the strike for this date. When I wrote about allegedle strike on Kyiv hydro power plant I was wrong - it just features of Kyiv terrain can in this way reflect sounds, that you could think something exploded near you, but indeed it was in other place. Espacillay if explosion took place high in the air. 
    So, Russian TG today drowned in extasy how their missiles destroyed buildings of SBU (building of SBU "was filled with personnel"), GUR (hey! They already two times destroyed this building in own reports!), "quarter of dormitories for GUR officers" (and showed a photo of smoke over old Khrushchov time houses - idiots, do they rellay think GUR oficers, elite, live in dormitories with cucroaches?), underground weapon factory and Patriot battery in Zhuliany airport.
    All this with two missiles %) 
    Real damage here. Both missiles were shot down, but since these were newest hypersonic missiles "Zirkon", their fragments with high kinetic speed flew around the city and fell down in four districts.
    Students of Fine Arts and Design univercity have strong angelic protection - a large fragment of missile destroyed their sport hall - nobody was killed. Russians claimed the missile destroyed Civil Defense HQ, deployed in the same building, but as you can see there are no trails of explosion or falme, even windows mostly intcat. Just huge kinectic strike, which ruined old brick building.  

    Other large fragment of missile fell down between private houses in SW outskrirt of the city In Zhuliany and makes deep crater (aha! this is "underground factory"! Or Patriot was here?)

    And here is fragment of 3M22 "Zirkon" missile. First time it was launced on Kyiv on 6th of Feb. It's unknown either it was just missed or it trajectory was shifted by close Patriot missiles explosion (or it was damaged by SAM), but then it fell down between two malls, accidentally causing damage to underground water pipes, electricity cables and tram ways. 
    "Zirkon" overcame the distance between Crimea and Kyiv for 3 minutes. They were launched more likelu with ground launchers, though it was intended as anti-ship missile for Russian frigades "Admiral Gorshkov"-class. It has declared speed 8-9M, the range more 1000 km and 300-400 kg of warhead (probably 150 kg of HE). This missile flies on the height 30-40 km and Russians claim they have maneuver capabilities. Then on approach to the target, the missile dives almost like ballistic and hit.  

     

    Well, we can shoot dawn this new wunerwaffe. It's good. But Kyiv now will be under threat of strikes with this weapon and this is bad. After today's atatck 10 citizens were injured, traumatized or just got high strees. But only two of them were hospitalized
  24. Like
    Holien reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Damn! What a huge BOOMs I heard! At least three. Russians launched something fast from Crimea and this something tried to hit center of the city and probably Kyiv hydro energy plant north from the city. My wife has seen SAM launches. This couldn't be Iskander -  too far for Crimea, either N.Korean sh...t or Onix-M (800 km). Reportedly all missiles were intercepted, debrises of onе of them fell down in central part of Kyiv. 
  25. Like
    Holien got a reaction from sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You said it...
    But keep barking up the wrong tree...
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