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Kinophile

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  1. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Lol
     
  2. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  3. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting if true. Would explain why SOF are in Africa. I never bought the Wagner storyline.
     
  4. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fenris in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom the war eats it's children...
     
  5. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom the war eats it's children...
     
  6. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well, not quite....
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Torpedo_net#Second_World_War
    There's definitely some kind of useful ness there. Hell, trawling a net behind the ship (boomed out about 10m) could easily screw with the stern attacks.

    Versus these current USVs, the nets dont even need to be below water more than a foot or two - the contact is made by the prow of the boat, so above waterline mostly but with dips into the wake possible it could hit below. However all videos so far on all ships show the holes centered above the waterline, so it must be rare for the prow to dip low enough.
    Copium nets are a-coming...
     
  7. Like
    Kinophile reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    2031: Jef Bezos declares himself absolute sovereign of the territory conquered by his private army while a drone swarm forming his gigantic floating head in the sky announces his laws and wishes to a confused population.
     
    Did I spoil the next CM title? CM:Amazon Rising?
  8. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom the war eats it's children...
     
  9. Like
    Kinophile reacted to Maciej Zwolinski in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And throw in a torpedo or two, even light ones. A ship  manoeuvering violently at full speed to avoid a surface drone will not hear anything on its sonar, active or passive. A stealthy carrier drone able to release a torpedo within several kms off the target would be a perfect crime.
  10. Like
    Kinophile reacted to Anthony P. in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You saying that makes this whole thing feel very reminiscent of the early torpedo boats: small brand new boats threaten the existing warships with the notion of swarm attacks by many small, cheap vessels carrying serious ordnance.
    Torpedo boat/kamikaze craft destroyers become a whole new, significant all around ship in any serious navy's arsenal.
  11. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  12. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    US Army lagging.. 
    @The_Capt have you heard much ref CDF integration and TTP of Drones since the war began? 
  13. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  14. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Omnomnomnom the war eats it's children...
     
  15. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  16. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There seem to be two critical items US provides that Europe can't - C4ISR and Patriots. For almost everything else there is a European equivalent or better (Brad /CV90s, HARM /Meteor, NASSAMs, etc).
    I'm not saying CV90s is better than Brad's, but they are certainly equivalent; if UKR swapped every single Brad for a CV90 would there be a drop in effectiveness? Dump the token Abrams and Leos for a fleet of Korean K2s and you're still rolling. 
    EU arms production rates and quality of machines can absolutely match US. 
    The best (and worst) thing about EU support is that it's non-binary. If the wrong dipsh*t wins the US election then aid drops like a drunk Ivan. EU is slower to get to a point but also slower to leave, and even then intra-member agreements are par for the course. 
    Edit-There is a third US item : world wide logistics...damn. 
  17. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  18. Upvote
    Kinophile got a reaction from The_MonkeyKing in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  19. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What?  Minimal modernization? Are you serious?  They upgraded her to a submersible Missle crusier, helo platform, first of her kind!
  20. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well,  its Russians saying 12 (ie, a lie) so double that as a rule of thumb. 
  21. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The BSF is no joke in terms of firepower and is still a considerable force, but having destroyed the UKR Navy it lacks the organic units to perform the second of its two missions. First is control the open sea (nominally done, and but not really - in UKR grain exports are at/past pre war levels), second is control the littoral zone. (third would be support inland ground forces with ranged strikes). 
    This course of the war, as with several other aspects, again reminds me of the Russo-Japanese War, specifically Port Arthur. Not a perfect analogy (nothing is) but similar pressures and operational/strategic pinch points. 
    The BSF eradicated the UKR Navy as a fighting force but has failed to control the shores. Its ships are too vulnerable, its training and operational performance are abysmal but where it truly seems to fail is leadership. 
    Operationally, the lack of basic fleeting/convoying and Air support around VIP units (cough Moskva cough Ropucha class cough) is just incredible. I mean, did these guys not read naval history at all ? Are they utterly bereft of any clue in how to deal with their enemy outside simplistic text books? 
    These are old tactics, fully described in any naval warfare text. Old but effective. Even if they are not a full solution (because drones) they still increase the friction against any attack. Stack up the layers and attacks start to fail, or at the least the damage inflicted is lessened. I mean, do something . 
    Are they not looking at current events and past losses? After so, SO many drone strikes why are their ships not bristling with HMGs and search lights? The Ukies do it on land, so it's absolutely possible. Why, when attacks begin are their ships not going full speed, maneuvering like mad and making work for the USVs? Why are helos not in the air, on call, strafing the USVs? Why don't they have their own drone ops onboard, striking back at USVs with FPVs? 
    None of the above is hard or requires integrating new tech (drone ops are self contained). 
    Seriously, wtf? 
    Its impossible to control a hostile shore if you can't even protect your own units in harbour. 
    But hey, if you need a family murdered in their home at night then these useless ****s are just who you want. 
  22. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  23. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to panzermartin in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Still a mystery that no Lancet caught a Himars off guard and the first kill is from a GMLRS. (Although I recall unconfirmed russian claims of destroyed himars in the past ) 
  24. Like
    Kinophile got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's a ridiculously large caveat and exactly the kind of handwaving Der Kapitan is describing. 
    It's completely unrealistic to describe any peace process that does try to take into account US political dynamics. 
    Everything following after that caveat, and no matter how sensible in isolation, is simply wishing for unicorns. It's not analysis, it's "I think". 
     
  25. Upvote
    Kinophile reacted to holoween in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I dont think this has found its way here yet.

    https://en.zona.media/article/2024/02/24/75k
    This is an article primarily trying to estimate russian losses but does a comarison with ukraine aswell.
    Its a russian news org so take with a grain of salt but from a read through and a quick glance at their other work it at least isnt an obvious propaganda site.
     
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