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The_MonkeyKing

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  1. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    here is the long article text atm: https://pastebin.com/Ugp0uuQ3

     
  2. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Actually, I haven't any confirmation about that.
    In backgrounds are French Army vehicles so not really a proof....
  3. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't know how taking this green could be significant in any way.
    This is something I would have expected to fall within the first days or hours of the counter-attack if I was asked a couple of months ago
  4. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to Ultradave in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    When I was in the Army DPICM was *just* being fielded in any significant numbers. The original idea for usage was to fire it at a target of opportunity - a mass of armor forming up to attack in front of you, but more likely a mass of armor/vehicles in the second echelon that was forming up to exploit or continue the advance, in order to halt that advance through lack of support. We didn't have unlimited supplies so it was planned to be used when it could be most effective, usually in a Time on Target, Battalion FFE.
    Since we expected in Europe to be completely on the defensive as the Soviet Army advanced into West Germany, unexploded munitions were not really seen as an issue, since they would be the Soviet's problem, behind their lines. (of course the pie-in-the-sky projection was that all civilians would have evacuated west in advance of the Soviet Army, and we know that wouldn't be the case - not everyone anyway.)
    In Ukraine with a more static, back and forth front line, this is much more of a concern, for obvious reasons.
    Just a little background from the olden days 🙂
    Dave
  5. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  6. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    here is the long article text atm: https://pastebin.com/Ugp0uuQ3

     
  7. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  8. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  9. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't know how taking this green could be significant in any way.
    This is something I would have expected to fall within the first days or hours of the counter-attack if I was asked a couple of months ago
  10. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't know how taking this green could be significant in any way.
    This is something I would have expected to fall within the first days or hours of the counter-attack if I was asked a couple of months ago
  11. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In today's Pentagon press conference, the spokesman said that they have nothing to announce with respect to providing DPICMs at this time, but that any DPICMs they would consider sending to Ukraine would be those with recent testing data showing they have dude rates less than 2.35%.

    So it "sounds like" it's a done deal.
  12. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Bulletpoint in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't know how taking this green could be significant in any way.
    This is something I would have expected to fall within the first days or hours of the counter-attack if I was asked a couple of months ago
  13. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Lethaface in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  14. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from womble in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  15. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah the West won't do anything. The dam non-reaction is a clear green light to Russia.
  16. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from kluge in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia claiming an imminent Ukrainian attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and Ukraine claiming the opposite
    I see this as a real possibility.
    Russia can cause a limited and/or slow-moving accident with enough uncertainty about the cause to give them cover This would again be one more huge expensive disaster for post-war Ukraine to deal with. For reference, the Three Mile Island cleanup is forecasted to cost 1.5 billion. That was just one reactor that didn't breach containment.  Then Russia would play to get an international intervention that would save the situation. This would require a local ceasefire with the current lines. This would not necessarily work out but still worth hoping for.  
  17. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Sekai in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia claiming an imminent Ukrainian attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and Ukraine claiming the opposite
    I see this as a real possibility.
    Russia can cause a limited and/or slow-moving accident with enough uncertainty about the cause to give them cover This would again be one more huge expensive disaster for post-war Ukraine to deal with. For reference, the Three Mile Island cleanup is forecasted to cost 1.5 billion. That was just one reactor that didn't breach containment.  Then Russia would play to get an international intervention that would save the situation. This would require a local ceasefire with the current lines. This would not necessarily work out but still worth hoping for.  
  18. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia claiming an imminent Ukrainian attack on the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant and Ukraine claiming the opposite
    I see this as a real possibility.
    Russia can cause a limited and/or slow-moving accident with enough uncertainty about the cause to give them cover This would again be one more huge expensive disaster for post-war Ukraine to deal with. For reference, the Three Mile Island cleanup is forecasted to cost 1.5 billion. That was just one reactor that didn't breach containment.  Then Russia would play to get an international intervention that would save the situation. This would require a local ceasefire with the current lines. This would not necessarily work out but still worth hoping for.  
  19. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It is quite possible to regard this particular statement as a simple acknowledgement of the logistics and time lines involved, and utterly furious that it wasn't all started a year ago.
  20. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  21. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Bulletpoint in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  22. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from kluge in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  23. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  24. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
  25. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is such a nothing burger. Comments were taken out of context. From a video interview by Admiral Rob Bauer, chairman of the military committee of NATO. So the guy is not even "the guy" to ask about this.
     This guy loosely quoting states that F-16 is such a big and slow undertaking it will likely come in time for the current offensive. Absolutely nothing controversial here...
    "The discussion on the fighters is an important one, but it will not be solved in the short term for this counter-offensive."
    "Training those pilots, training the technicians, making sure there is a logistic organization that can actually sustain these aircraft will not be available before this counter-offensive."
    "We shouldn’t mix the two discussions – I think it’s important and understandable that Ukraine asks for these fighter aircraft – but we should not mix it with the counter-offensive discussion now."
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