Kraft

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

In the case of Europe I'd say UKR is cut off not due to political will (or lack thereof), but lack of means. The last aid package from Germany mentioned 2500 artillery shells. That's one day of firing and this was a couple of weeks back. And last time I checked, UKR seems to be losing around 3 artillery guns, self-propelled and otherwise, every other week. Europe can't replace those. Shell production will eventually reach useful levels (although we don't know how many of those will actually end up in UKR hands), but I am afraid they will have run out of guns at that point.
 
From what we know, Russia is recruiting 20k (GUR estimate) to 35k (Medvedev bragging) men per month. Their losses are obviously high, but I'd guess given these numbers they are ultimately sustainable, not so for UKR it seems. And how many brigades were they able to smash against Avdiivka, one after the other? If they can keep this up, they'll whittle UKR down eventually this way, if they don't get a grip on their own issues.

To me this looks more like desparation than sound military logic. Why throw a specialist assault unit into the fray after only a couple months rest to fend off long looming disaster at the last moment (and lose the fortress in the process), why throw in the 47th (basically already spent) right after the failed counter-offensive, why is a single brigade (110th) required to hold out in Avdiivka for 1.5yrs of war and 4 months of sustained assaults? If things were okayish, the 110th would have been pulled back sometime in October, replaced by the 111th and maybe later bolstered by the 112th (or whatever), both rested and fresh from the Belorussian border. Instead, UKR is force to pull one act of desparation after another. It almost looks as if they just don't have any strategic reserves, at all.
The underlying issue, at least to me, seems to be that RU has been running circles around UKR in terms of force generation for basically all of 2023 and ongoing. They may use these forces inefficently, but are able have brigade after brigade mauled while storming some fortress town, while UKR is forced to send the same couple of fire brigade units from hot spot to hot spot. The fact that UKR is basically cut off from foreign assistance and is likely going to be for the foreseeable future does not help in this matter, but their force generation issues seem to be a largely internal problem.

I don't get your point. Mike Turner is the head of the House Intelligence Committee and a firm supporter of more aid for Ukraine.

Is it not unreasonable for him to ask the WH to declassify a new threat to American security if most members of Congress will already know about it?
 
 

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

SBU caught a spy trying to relay shipbuilding(/drone) information to russia and iran.

Now this is a New Year's Resolution I can get with. 
 

He is apparently alive and back fighting. He commented in this reddit post ( https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/1aqo3gp/if_you_watched_the_combat_footage_from_chosen/
 
 

Next high-ranked Russian officer has found own death near Krynky.
"Bukhanka" with commander of 77th naval infantry brigade was hit with FPV drone on 13th of Feb. Colonel Magomedali Magomedzhanov has died in hospital on next day. Recently he was a commander of 61st naval infantry brigade on Northern Fleet, when 177th separate naval infantry regiment was expanded to 77th naval infantry brigade of Kaspian sea, he was appointed there. 
In Krynky UKR troops expanded own zone of control on SW.

And now something funny. A couple of days ago we discussed where 3rd could set up the defenses and I made a quick sketch.

I was looking at the videos of 3rd MRAP in action and noticed something familiar. 
 You can see both damaged greenhouse on the left and transmission tower on the right.
Here is the second video
Again, you can see the transmission tower and at 04:00 damaged greenhouse.
Let's look at map

Some thoughts:
Avtobaza is most likely lost but UKR control industrial area in front of Brevno There is no solid frontline. It is just a bunch of small infantry groups running around and UKR are using lone light vehicles with automatic weapons (from MRAP to Bradley) to keep pressure on them. 

Quick update regarding Avdiivka.

RU reached Industrialnyy avenue cutting it off RU reached City park RU did not reach Brevno There are conflicting reports as to who controls Avtobaza Overall situation seems to fluid at the moment.   

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench
 

He didnt surrender, he and his comrade were in panic and tried to flee but werent aware the other trench had been taken already, once he realised he ran back and got shot and killed by the guy wearing the gopro at 15:11 in the video
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Also since I cant edit my original post anymore, just an innacuracy on my part, these arent international legion they are 'chosen company' international volunteers who are integrated into 59th. Canadians, Americans, a Swede and a japanease fighter. Also while Im at it, if translations dont work the fighter who got shot by the Machine Gunner (in the head?) Survived but was badly wounded.

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench
 

If one should have free time during tomorrow and/or next Thursday, National Defence University of Finland is hosting a Russia seminar: https://maanpuolustuskorkeakoulu.fi/en/russia-seminar with quite interesting themes, topics and speakers: https://maanpuolustuskorkeakoulu.fi/en/russia-seminar/programme   
Both days are streamed (if not hacked / interrupted by vatniks 🙂😞https://www.youtube.com/@Maanpuolustuskorkeakoulu/streams

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench
 

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench
 

"Ukraine’s Pokrova Spoofing System Tells Shaheds To Get Lost" - Forbes
Most likely active since 3rd of February.
 

Incredible footage of the international Legion working with 59th MechBrigade storming a russian trench
 

25th Air Assault Brigade captured a live Rusich member (Robotyne-Verbove?)

In case you missed the signs🔍, its a neo nazi group. They cut off the head of a PoW with a knife, then removed his hands and filmed themselfs for evidence(censor.net, not a direct link to the video).
Their (ex?)leader Yan Petrovsky is currently held in Finnland and not being extradited for fears his treatment would be below skandanavian levels.