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Lethaface

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  1. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fixed it for you...
    It would be like me saying that about America at the moment..
    😉
  2. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Avdiivka is significantly bigger. And not the whole Avdiivka was bombed.
    All stories about Krynky is hell is nice to hear until they tell you that there are about 60-100 marines against:
     
    Regarding nonstop drone bombing - Magyar: 
     
    Regarding gliding bombs, yes, recently RU decided that it is safe now to bomb Krynki as usual. Only recently - 10.02.24
     
    Nobody says it is easy there. But when a few dozen defend ruins of village against two brigades that Putin watches... 
  3. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    No, I could not. It is UKR who is crawling forward there. Not RU. 

     
    UKR do not charge into the line of fire in Krynki. They mostly do what they do in Avdiivka - defend it. And it is not a bad position to defend.
  4. Like
    Lethaface reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think a trip to parts of India would dispel your disbelief. 
  5. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Homo_Ferricus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think the importance of Krynky comes down to options spaces. Krynky is valuable to UKR because it creates options and undecides the defense of this flank for RU (in @The_Capt language), not necessarily because they have a grand plan of how they're going to exploit it. It's important to RU for the same reason. While the air and sea dimensions are still quite fluid, it seems like a lot of the aspects of the ground war have stabilized and been decided for the time being, with Krynky appearing to be an exception.
    This rings true for me. A deathmatch arena for attrition as opposed to a jump-off point for larger operations. At least for now.
  6. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Alexe Kopytko, collegue of UKR Mashovets wrote several posts about losses. I am not going to translate them as they are aimed at the general public. However, I am going to translate relevant information.
    UKR is a significantly more open society and country. So, it is much easier to find and count deaths using open sources. The oldest community in Ukraine that monitors War deaths is "The Book of Memory of those who fell for Ukraine".
    Quote from the UKR news article [I recommend but I am not going to translate for now due to lack of time] about UKR losses up to November 2023
    Second article [for the same period]
    From Kopytko posts
    Zelensky numbers are close to actual numbers. UKR is nowhere near the defeat.
  7. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hope the crew got out. 
     
     
  8. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    BTW we forgot about this boi
    @The_Capt
  9. Like
    Lethaface reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I suspect it's not a single "roll it off a C-5 and fire it up" system, but some framework for integrating everything that can output data.  A little google shows that a lot of development and testing was still going on at least into late 2022.
    It wouldn't surprise me at all if 5 or 10 years from now we learn that it amounts to tying the stuff NG has been doing for this into the Ukrainian GIS Arta, along with any other sensor networks they have, and it's been going on for as long as we've been sending aid (including pre-Feb 2022, at least at the command level in Ukraine).  The UA was the recipient of a lot of realtime intel from allies outside the country in 2022 and did a very fine job of exploiting it in a timely manner.
  10. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting little drone video.
    Almost looks like the Russian soldier is making an offering to the drone flying over him.
  11. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We have GrigB Intelligent Translation Services. During next week, the Russian Statistical Service will release a fresh report. Over the weekend, Russian opposition economist Milov will assess the campaign's strategic impact. If nothing bad happens on my end, we'll have a summary by Sunday night.
  12. Like
    Lethaface reacted to poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Because a missile has 400km range, that doesn't mean it can down a fighter jet at that range. The chances would be very, very low, especially if the jet is linked to an AWACS.
  13. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Budanov said today the operation planning of A-50 hunting has took about two weeks. If Russia lost the third A-50 they will be forced to stop 24 hours flights, when one plane substitute other in the air. Thus, we can make conclusion, next step will be hunting for the third A-50.
  14. Like
    Lethaface reacted to hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Literally the only "evidence" they have is a picture of a submarine with a tarpaulin on top. That's it. The best part is that "Liz Truss disappeared for three days" like she personally swam over and blew up the pipe. This is getting desperate...
  15. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Eddy in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fellow forum readers, you only have one life (probably). Do not waste any of it reading this absolute bollocks.. I will summarise:
    Premises:
    A minister went to HMS Clyde on a super secret mission, taking a reporter with him! The UK has a submarine called HMS Ambush that the minister visited The submarine had a tarp on it The UK has trained underwater bomb disposal divers Liz Truss said something     Conclusion: The UK blew up Nord Stream.
  16. Like
    Lethaface reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don’t think anyone of serious power in the West wants a full Russian collapse.  The overall Western grand strategy since the end of the Cold War has been “stable status quo”.  We have spent the last 33 years pretty much working on all fronts to sustain “the system”.  We toss scarfs and hats on it but at its core is a central unchanging stability.  Why?  Because stability is good business.  The West, with the US at the centre built the scheme that “won” the Cold War and want that party to keep going because we get very rich off it.  The rest of the world makes our stuff for cheap, while also buying our other stuff.  
    But pretty much from Day 1 “the others” pushed back.  First was the intra-war years, interventions and then terrorism.  Now this has upscaled to “revisionist states” and “power competition”.  Russia invaded Ukraine for several reasons but one of them definitely was to demonstrate that they are not going to be bound by western rules (Hell, Putin said exactly this in that speech back in Sep ‘22).  This puts the West in a dilemma, they can either do too little and Russia threatens the system, or they crush Russia…and it threatens the system.  So they appear to have chosen the middle path, which of course is getting hijacked by the internal movements who want to…wait for it…change the system.  MAGA, alt-right, nationalists, whatever, all disagree with “the system” even though it has made everyone richer.  The reality is that it did not make everyone equally rich so discontent is natural.  Worse, power spheres exploit this so they can get more powerful (and richer).  So Rust-Belt yokels eat this stuff up and start to dismantle “the system”, which includes democracy apparently.  The reality is Trump is a symptom, not a cause and I am not sure even they realize how dangerous this game they are playing is.
    So Ukraine happens and becomes a symbol of a “war for, and against, the system.”  It isn’t about the fact that killing innocent Ukrainians is wrong - hell if morales like human life mattered we wouldn’t have Gaza.  No, Ukraine is all about “the system” and both sides appear to be waging it viewed through that lens.  Russia needs to show that they are going to play by their own rules, but not completely break themselves.  One could ask “why is Russia fighting this war by half measures?”  Do they enjoy a quagmire?  No, Putin understands what he has gotten himself into and is adopting a slow burn strategy, hoping we will get distracted and caught up in our own nonsense…and he might be right.
    The rest of the West is trying to step up, but frankly we have grown awfully fat, dumb and happy on the back of the US - who now is having a bipolar fit.  In the end, we can live with a fallen Ukraine.  We can shore up the borders and lock Russia out.  We can live with a partial victory in Ukraine, do we really care about Crimea, LNR and DNR?  No, we did not in ‘14 and we don’t now.  We can’t live with a completely imploded Russia.  Those are where the real risks lie.  Too many unknowns that could really break the system.  So we wind up with a half hearted war designed to punish Russia for challenging the system but not destroy them.  Ukraine is, and I am being brutally honest here, is almost secondary to the entire conversation.  It was simply a very unfortunate country where both sides could try and prove a point.  We love Ukraine all of a sudden because they are an opportunity to show that 1) Russia was wrong to challenge the system, and 2) the system still works.  
    I strongly suspect this is why this war is also so muddled in military circles.  We are watching a war to defend the system..that is demonstrating the weaknesses of our own military system at the same time.  So we put blinders on and try to pretend it isn’t happening.  Our military power has to still be relevant…otherwise how can we defend the system?
    So to answer your question, “yes, the US and the West know exactly how important Ukraine really is and are fighting this war based on that calculus.”  The answer however is “somewhat important”.  We care and feel bad, but care much more about our own issues.  Putin read the short game about as wrong as one can.  He may have read the long game extremely well.  The way to beat the West is not outright confrontation, it is apathy.  2 years is forever for a culture addicted to clicks and flashing lights.  Putin’s off ramp is being able to draw a victory line somewhere of his choosing and he is shooting for that.  And we might just let him get there.
    Now I would not start freaking out and worry about a second attack on Kyiv.  Something that dramatic might actually get our attention again.  No, this needs to become a boring war - I am starting to think Putin’s Tucker Carlson interview was smarter than we thought.  What better way to get Western audiences to yawn and start to change the channel than a history lesson?
  17. Upvote
    Lethaface reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's only fair. The Ukrainian Navy is taking out the BSF, and the Russians want to take out one of the services too
  18. Upvote
    Lethaface reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Silly boy, only Ivan can shoot down Ivan!
    LGBTQ Western missiles fired by brainwashed ignorant UKR puppet peasants are useless against uber-manly Russki Mir Tech! 
    Sounds stupid but literally a propaganda line. 
  19. Upvote
    Lethaface reacted to Offshoot in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    How can he be a week or two late when the plane came down less than a day ago?
    You seem to be referring to the A50 that was shot down in mid-January (and an Il-22 damaged).
    This is a second one that has come down and rumors are still swirling.
    Talking about missing basic things...
  20. Like
    Lethaface reacted to George MC in Tank Tactical Problem Series (German)   
    Its up on TSDIII https://www.thefewgoodmen.com/tsd3/cm-red-thunder/cm-red-thunder-add-ons-scenarios/cmrt-german-tank-tactical-problems/
    Enjoy!
    Cheery!
  21. Like
    Lethaface reacted to George MC in Tank Tactical Problem Series (German)   
    Cheers ta  Aye hopefully the PDf is of use, so glad to have it confirmed it is. 
    Cheery!
  22. Like
    Lethaface reacted to George MC in Tank Tactical Problem Series (German)   
    EDIT
    Thanks to @Monty's Mighty Moustache who picked up a briefing error in TTP No2. This has been amended and the attached zip file below has the updated file.
    This series of three missions is very loosely based on several of the ‘Tank Battle Problems’ detailed in the Nafziger publication ‘the German Tank Platoon in WWII: Its Training and Employment in battle’.
    Whilst the series of ‘problems’ outlined in the book appear to be pre/early war I have updated the fundamental concepts to a later period in the war i.e. 1944.
    The key intent of these tank tactical problems is to give the player new to using German armour an opportunity to use them in a more doctrinally ‘correct’ manner within the limitations of the Combat Mission game engine.
    This series complements the German halftrack (SPW)/panzergrenadier training lessons in the CMRT Battlepack 1 where the main focus is on using SPW in Combat Mission.
    For the tactical problem series the German player uses Panzer IVs. This tank was used in significant numbers during the war and though starting to become outclassed by 1944 by the Soviet T-34/85 was still a significant part of the tank strength of most panzer divisions. Though Panthers were slowly starting to form the main panzer strength in the panzer regiments. The player cannot rely on superior armour/armament to bully through this series as the Panzer IV’s armour is comparatively speaking, inadequate. 
    All the missions are best played as German Vs Soviet AI. 
    There are NO German AI plan. 
    Each tactical problem has a ‘Tactical Top Tips’ at the end of each briefing (under ‘notes’) which may help the player new to using tanks in Combat Mission get the most out of them.

    Plan is when done to convert them to Soviet versions so players can contrast.

    If you get a chance to give em a whirl I'd appreciate any and all feedback thank you.



    You download  https://www.thefewgoodmen.com/tsd3/cm-red-thunder/cm-red-thunder-add-ons-scenarios/cmrt-german-tank-tactical-problems/
     
     
  23. Like
    Lethaface reacted to Ultradave in Downfall: Enjoying the module?   
    🤣 Yeah, imagine being there for real, eh? Nightmare.
  24. Upvote
    Lethaface reacted to The_Capt in Combat Mission Cold War - British Army On the Rhine   
    Sorry lads.  Sworn to secrecy and all that.  (Now that last statement does imply there are indeed secrets….sweet delicious secrets).
  25. Upvote
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