The_MonkeyKing

Wonder what is going to come out of this

Happy unification day to you in Lyman!

can anybody find the oryx page that listed the 2014-2015 OSINT verified equipment losses? Can't find it for the life of me

I had little bit forgotten about Belarus card Russia is still actively hanging over Ukraine's head. Ukraine cannot ignore it even if it is a know bluff. I think the situation has also now changed with the mobilization and new level of risk taking by Russia. They might very well do some union-state maneuver to get Belarus involved. If nothing else in a similar way as other Russian border regions are a source of meat to grind on the front. Lots depends on does Russia think it has the ability to force Belarus to its will.

With these kinds of pictures we must remember there are only few and these few are the ones Ukraine chooses to publish.

I think the response could be a combination of: giving Russian seized assets to Ukraine (anyway just matter of when) quality escalation of military aid by the US (some of these: M2 Bradley, Patriot, ATACMS) sanction escalation mainly by Europe (the so far stuck sanctions advancing like price cap)

Seems the hope that (some people had) of Russia backing away with the annexation after the Meduza article is fading again.

I missed this. Barge bridge being disassembled. Couple days ago.

Well T80 has a turbine engine and Ukraine manages with them just fine.

Makes sense we are going to be seen lot more of these in the future. I think we must think of these is not taking away from other aid but adding to it.

i wonder what is this about? "In few years"? For a purchase order I would understand this but not for these aid packages.

Those were the times. Anybody who even speculated anything like what we have today were laughed out the room.

Biggest thing this tells me ammo is still not looking to be an issue.

A massive attack on NATO countries energy infrastructure. I am waiting for the western response. Will this (once again) be responded to only verbally or with bs? In the past it has been OK to: - assassinate in NATO country - blow up ammo dumps in NATO country - shoot at and blackmail nuclear plants in Europe Oh, and Russia is threatening with total gas cut-off now. Most likely trying to water down the west coming response.

Where is the information on the river crossing in the south coming from? Only RUS sources?

intersting, no major sources are catching up to this

Good point.

by % of GDP Also Germany is one of the few who actively block export licenses https://app.23degrees.io/view/F1tc2gv8QzFCs1ij-bar-stacked-horizontal-figure_3_4_csv_v2-1 Also all German support is public information. Many others not. So Germany looks better here than many others.

Europe and especially Germany was not toothless 30 years ago.

France and Germany largely handled the Minsk agreements. Europe made the decisions not to sell weapons to Ukraine after 2014. (US did sell some) Europe chose its energy strategy against the wish and recommendation of the USA Europe chose to run down its military capability against the wish and recommendation of the USA European policy lead us to where we are today. Policy that was often contested by the USA. But just like with US running its show in North America Europe runs its show in Europe and US respects that. It is only fair that Europe carries the main burden. And US cannot do too much against the will of European countries(example Germany doesn't want long range missiles or western MBT/IFV to Ukraine). USA should not bail-out Europe in this. Especially if Europe is unwilling and unwilling to pay the price.

Yes, it is Germanys own decision what to send. Everyone just has to face the consequences of their decisions. It is free decision for everyone else on how they react. Pointed out why the Abrams issue is different case on my above post. This whole war is Europe's mess and especially so German mess.

Criticize US, yes we should. But they are already number one supplier by a mile, in quantity and quality. This is a European war and would be quite something to walk over Europeans in everything. I am sure if EU asked for Bradley and Abrams and helped with the finances US would help. Leopard 2 is the only European MBT in enough numbers (thousands) and at least some production. Both UK and France have couple hundred of they own and production doesn't exist anymore. So, Germany is indeed the only one who can provide MBTs (give their own or give export permission for sending to Ukraine). It would be pretty laughable if UK or France would have to send a battalion of their domestic unicorn tanks to unlock the Leopard hordes.

This is a great point! Might apply to multiple all in decisions Russia is now doing.

This North Stream sabotage was mainly made to indirectly threaten that this might very well happen to Norwegian gas lines as well. Or so I believe.

Yeah, missed that. Why did they have to rename it to Strv 122, haha. Also some others missing but main point being even with very low balled analysis 200 modern Leopard 2's for Ukraine are totally doable.