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BlackMoria

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  1. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Armor grognards....gahhh.  "Is it a tank or not a tank?"   You can call it 'Peaches' for all I care.   It is a light armored vehicle with a big horking gun on it that can kill russians.  Give it to the Ukrainians who have shown a talent for killing russians and let them kill more russians with it.   I don't give a damn whether it is considered a tank or not.   Sheesh...
  2. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sheesh... Twiddle Dee and Twiddle Dum with a Barrett.  You two clowns do you....
  3. Like
    BlackMoria reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Absolutely.  All war is sacrifice.  I use that term deliberately and it does not mean to simply be willing to "give something up".  Sacrifice actually means "to make holy" or "sacred".  This is a point Clausewitz completely missed.  War is extremely personal as we literally sacrifice people for something bigger.  The real question is just how much we believe in that "bigger" thing.  This is more than "cost", it is the fundamental changes that happen at both macro and micro cultural levels as a result of any war.
    Ukraine is sacrificing - making holy costs - in defence of their ability to be free to chose their own future.  Russia is sacrificing - making unholy costs - in defence of some false vision/narrative being sold to them by a kleptocrate and his cronies to stay in power. Sacrifice negotiates with Certainty, now whose certainty is more righteous?
    No society can withstand endless sacrifice without breaking.  However, when I see Ukrainian boys holding wooden rifles better than a lot of western soldiers, I can only see a society that has a pretty deep cultural zeitgeist right now - killing Russians.  The Ukraine that went into this war, will not be the one that comes out.  Russia and Putin have likely created a regional power pole in all this that will change the face of Eastern Europe, just to add to the bafflingly bad strategic outcomes they constructed in all this.   
    However, after all that we are back to "when does it end?"  Well I think that is directly tied to the point when the Sacrifice gets close enough to the Certainty.  Kherson was painful.  There will be other operations that are just as painful.  Hell we may see a Ukrainian defeat before this is all over.  But to my mind, the average Russian's ability to "change the channel" is waning everyday - e.g. a lot of the middle-class Russian's left.  And the Russian Sacrifice-to-Certainty equation is very different then Ukraine's - time is not on Russia's side. 
    This war will end when Ukraine and the West have won enough, and Russia has lost enough.  A lot of people post that "this war will end when Putin decides", or "it will end when Ukraine decides" - this is incorrect.  A war is a living breathing entity, it carries its own weight and influence.  History is filled with wars that should have stopped but didn't.  Or ones where the job was not finished but stopped anyway.  Wars have stopped on executive decision.  They have stopped on broader public decision.  They have also stopped because of weather events and eclipses.
    In the end this war will end when it makes sense to end it. The "making sense" part is the hardest thing to determine as it is filled with relative rationality, emotion, power, culture, relationships and human failings/strengths.
  4. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sheesh... Twiddle Dee and Twiddle Dum with a Barrett.  You two clowns do you....
  5. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Happy New Year to everyone.   Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin.  Keep the faith.
  6. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Happy New Year to everyone.   Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin.  Keep the faith.
  7. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Happy New Year to everyone.   Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin.  Keep the faith.
  8. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Zeleban in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Happy New Year to everyone.   Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin.  Keep the faith.
  9. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Happy New Year to everyone.   Here is hoping that 2023 is the year the the book gets closed on the Ukrainian war with a solid win for Ukraine and the book gets closed on Putin.  Keep the faith.
  10. Like
    BlackMoria reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    couldn't that be said for probably every war ever fought?  There were indigenous people who fought alongside the US calvary.  Every colonial army ever formed usually had a portion made up of the indigenous population.  It is more a statement of humans than it is about any regional behavior in that part of the world.
  11. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Merry Xmas to everyone.  And my thoughts to all Ukrainians and Ukrainian Armed Force personnel everywhere.
    May all you CM players get kissed under the mistletoe and not get kissed by a Tow missile this holiday season.   😆
  12. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Merry Xmas to everyone.  And my thoughts to all Ukrainians and Ukrainian Armed Force personnel everywhere.
    May all you CM players get kissed under the mistletoe and not get kissed by a Tow missile this holiday season.   😆
  13. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Merry Xmas to everyone.  And my thoughts to all Ukrainians and Ukrainian Armed Force personnel everywhere.
    May all you CM players get kissed under the mistletoe and not get kissed by a Tow missile this holiday season.   😆
  14. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Heh.  Starshe Edda needs to learn what another 'geopolitical error'  is.  Attacking Poland or any other Baltic State.  Damn, the Russian bear's face is already stung and badly swollen from sticking it into the Ukrainian wasp nest.   And they want to do it again... with murder hornets this time.  That is some cosmic level stupidity going on right now.
  15. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from MOS:96B2P in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Heh.  Starshe Edda needs to learn what another 'geopolitical error'  is.  Attacking Poland or any other Baltic State.  Damn, the Russian bear's face is already stung and badly swollen from sticking it into the Ukrainian wasp nest.   And they want to do it again... with murder hornets this time.  That is some cosmic level stupidity going on right now.
  16. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from OldSarge in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Heh.  Starshe Edda needs to learn what another 'geopolitical error'  is.  Attacking Poland or any other Baltic State.  Damn, the Russian bear's face is already stung and badly swollen from sticking it into the Ukrainian wasp nest.   And they want to do it again... with murder hornets this time.  That is some cosmic level stupidity going on right now.
  17. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Heh.  Starshe Edda needs to learn what another 'geopolitical error'  is.  Attacking Poland or any other Baltic State.  Damn, the Russian bear's face is already stung and badly swollen from sticking it into the Ukrainian wasp nest.   And they want to do it again... with murder hornets this time.  That is some cosmic level stupidity going on right now.
  18. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I found this interesting youtube video by Peter Zeihan about Russian overall motivations, economics and perhaps a view of what is to come.   I found it very interesting.  Zeihan sounds like knows what he is talking about, so I thought I would share.  
     
  19. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I found this interesting youtube video by Peter Zeihan about Russian overall motivations, economics and perhaps a view of what is to come.   I found it very interesting.  Zeihan sounds like knows what he is talking about, so I thought I would share.  
     
  20. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Harsh!  There is a lot of "coke lines snorted off of strippers asses"  fueled delusions going on there. Bigger  units? More units?   Equipment with what, pray tell?   That wasn't addressed.    A whole of 'magical' thinking going on there...
  21. Like
    BlackMoria reacted to poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That is about 0 °C in non-retarded units.

  22. Upvote
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "Ever dance with the devil in the pale moonlight?"  I guess we will see if Russia can dance....
  23. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "Ever dance with the devil in the pale moonlight?"  I guess we will see if Russia can dance....
  24. Like
    BlackMoria got a reaction from Richi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "Ever dance with the devil in the pale moonlight?"  I guess we will see if Russia can dance....
  25. Like
    BlackMoria reacted to Bulletpoint in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I don't think he's that kind of dictator. If he merely wanted to enjoy pleasures, he had more than enough opportunity to do that already without this whole war.
    I think he actually cares about Russia in the same twisted way Hitler cared about Germany. He doesn't care about Russian people, but he does care about Russia as a nationalistic ideal and his own glorious role in restoring that.
    He knows nuclear war would mean the end of Russia as any kind of world power.
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