Jump to content

LukeFF

Members
  • Posts

    3,901
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    7

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    LukeFF reacted to FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I hope it's just propaganda cause otherwise that's just sad.
     
  2. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I really like Perun but he is a civilian that appears to work deeply on the corporate side of things.  Sometimes when he wanders into military operations he gets a little off-menu - he has stated this multiple times.
    So in order for the Russia mobilization to become “extremely significant” the Russian military needs to overcome much more than it mobilization challenges - it would have to rebuild a better military than it had on 23 Feb.  The RA is demonstrating it lags significantly in the stuff that really matters at this level of warfare - C4ISR, logistics and joint capabilities.  I have watched the RA repeatedly conduct unsynchronized and uncoordinated operations, while the UA does the opposite.  The Russian missile campaign should have been able to cut up Ukrainian infrastructure, both physical and information, if it was coordinated and armed with comparable ISR - they have not done this, instead leaning on terror strikes like this was 1940.  The closest we have seen was the strikes on those dam-locks but I am still not sure of the military value of that action.
    If the UA managed to pull off two river crossings it is also a sign that the RA is lagging.  As we saw last spring, a major river obstacle crossing in an environment where ISR is everywhere should be next to impossible, yet the UA appears to have done it. So what? The RA can’t see them, or if they can, they can not act on it.
    It will not matter if Russia can get 1 million men in uniform with rusty AKs on the line, if they cannot command, support and coordination those troops they are just going to die - pretty efficiently based on what we have seen from the UA.
    I suspect that this war will go down as “the last war of the 20th century versus one of the first of the 21st”.  We have had the preludes in Iraq, Ukraine in 2014 - where the symmetry was reversed, Ukraine fighting like it was 1989 and the Russians fighting like it was 2005, and Armenia.
    If the RA suddenly started to demonstrate a 21st century C4ISR architecture, I would be shocked and frankly we would have to rethink this war.  However, despite attempts (see Iranian drones), this is not about sensors, it is about boring things like All Source Intel Fusion and communications. - that takes years to build, years that Russia does not have.
    Finally the fact that Russia thinks that mobilization of mass is a solution demonstrates that amateurs on the Russian side are running their war.
  3. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The road in vicinity of Lyman, as said cameraman. Destroyed Russian convoy of cars and minibus, corpses on the road. Likely some volunteer like BARS or LPR mobiks unit. In comments somebody noted this can be minor road between Lyman and Stavky village
     
  4. Like
    LukeFF reacted to beardiebloke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Entrance to Lyman...
     
    How long did it take for RU to take it???
  5. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Before attack soldier (maybe chapelan) reads Psalm 90
     
  6. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Captured T-90A and a heap of looted clothes...
     
  7. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "During Vladimir Putin's annexation speech, in Luhansk, Ukraine, September 30, 2022. AP"
    *They don't seem very numerous for people who voted more than 90% to join Russia.
  8. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think, you didn't understand me really. I never told that Russians are irredeemable. I just wrote about features, which composed "rashism". Even evil Madyars, which terrified Europe in 9th century after defeat and baptizing became similar to European nation. 
    My statement about "collective guilt" isn't equal to "revange" and "let's they all die". In my opinion collective guilt is official and public recognizing of former ruling elites crimes and of course, reparations. And not as just transferring money from Russian budget to Ukrainian. This have to be separate tax, let even symbolical, but that every Russian, receiving own salary could see, that this part of his money could be belong to him, but due to aggressive politic and own support or indifference, this money will go to Ukraine. And some other, but let better concentrate on military aspects.
  9. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This history has begun in 12th century when there no neither Ukrainan, nor Russians in modern senses. This is not accidental conflict, this is just next Russo-Ukrainian war.
    This is very easy to say "see in the cloudless future", when your neigbour anyway will want to take your yard. I don't want that all finished with "Hey! You guilt himself, because provoced him!", "Why did you so hellish beat up his face to the blood with a bat, when he just came to you with a rifle!", "you havn't to re-educate him! Yes, he is drunken brutal murder, but this is his unique identity! Nobody like he in our village!", "At all, let forgive this guy and will open entrance to our market, he should by a parts to repair own rifle - we have a plans to hire it to guard our eastern part!" 
  10. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Modern wokism is the same social enginering and deconstruction, which affected countries with population much more than 140 millions. 
    In the similar way as this was in Japan. Tradions saved, culture saved, identity - saved. Aggressive militarism and expansionism eliminated. 
    I don't mean "50-years" occupation. Neither by NATO, nor by Ukraine - it's completely impossible. All what I wrote is what hypothetical new Russian powers must to do to fix situation. And partially Russia was doing this "nation building or deconstruction" in 1990-92, trying to break Soviet mentality, but rising KGB-maphia clans took developmnent over own control.
    If we just liberate all our territories, we will not solve main problem and like Zaluzhnyi said we will get next war in 5-10-20 years. Revanchism will grow up again and the bear from cartoon again will stand and roar. But we will be in white coats and white gloves
    Yes, we had collaborators and traitots, which condemned to death hundreds of people. Fortunately some of them already departed to the God's Court, because corrupted Ukrainian courts have littlle trust. 
  11. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oh, this requires many writing, but this is impolite to ignore a question, so... 
    On my opinion, rashism is a new form of agressive expansionistic and revanсhist ideology, offered by ruling elites to wide mass of Russians as state ideocratia.  This ideology based on of Euro-Asian philosophy of Dugin, "Russian World", "Moscow is Third Rome", USSR 2.0 conceptions. Motivation - whishes of revanchism and domination of Russain elites, which want a redistribution of economical and political influence spheres in the world, contesting the West in hybrid way in the form of restoration of lost Russain Empire (even not USSR) influence sphere and its expanding on other countries. 
    Derashization will be VERY long process, which will take maybe two next generations and like said Poesel it will be almost useless for most of curerntly living population, because people over 35-40 years with big difficalty can change own mind settings. 
    Because rashism is a product of symbiothic system of power and people's aspirations it has two forming components - outer and inner. Thus, to derashize a nation we have to strike on two components simultainously. Germans in most, I think, were affected only by outer component of nazism. German nation was more civilized and educated, than nations of USSR in 30th. So, German way: punish nazi + force demonstration to Germans consequenses of nazism + "don't ask don't tell" will be insufficient, because in Russian case big role plays inner factors of Russian mentality. So, I think, more proper example should be Japan, where local militaristic ideology also leaned on local mentality and traditions.    
    So, outer factors:
    - Neo-imperial phylosophy.  New authorities must recognize and condemn publicly Euroasian/ Russian World/ USSR 2.0 conceptions as neo-imperialistic and colonial. Their place should be near Mein Kampf for learning by hystorians.
    - Ideocracy. Rashism now is a obligue state ideology like communism of USSR time. All state media provide only ideocratic messges. Alternmative thoughts and critic allowed only for minor aspects. If oppopse thougts appear on state TV as opponents of state mainstream, it's usually give like marginals and freaks. Remedy -  ideocracy must be destroyed. Returning real pluralism in media, like this was in early Yeltsin's times. Media have to show widely crimes of former Russian elites - both against other nations and against Russian people. Though, I must point that several investigations of independent Russian journalists about Putin's palaces and luxury life of oligarchs, which posessed almost all Russian actives and have been turning  income in own huge palaces and yachts, instead to develop Russia, almost didn't have responce from society. Most of Russians consider this is natural order of things for Russia. Though, anyway,  the big role in quick falling of USSR ideology played a role of Gorbachov's "glasnost", when millions for relatively short time learned about communist crimes and that West is not "rotten", but much more successfull, that Soviet paradise.
    - "Ruling and ordering" party. Like Communist Party in USSR, modern "Unite Russia" plays the same role, providing ideocracy to regions. All other parties just a puppets, imitating democracy, even they criticize main party, lile Communists or LDPR. Remedy - establishing in future of real diffrent democracy political platforms. But on the time of "crossing period" Russian have to be ruled by "steel hand in velvet glove", leaning on some political force.
    - Educational system. Ideocracy complete occupied all education system - from kindergardens to univercities. The vertical region government - educational department - director - teachers maintains state ideology line. Kids from small years have been learning "Russian supremacy" ideology, based on lessons of hystory, when Russia always held just wars for the sake of defending of oppresed, carry enlightmnent and freedom and always won, glorifying Russian weapon. All this backed up with endless cult of war with dressing in WWII uniform, kids "military parades" and as final stage membership in state paramilitary organizations like "Junior Army" or cossacks, studing in numerous classes in many usual scholls with reinforcement military and phisical training. All this also to the statemant "kids are not guilt". Of course, their choice can be caused by parents or teachers, but membership in "Junior Army" usually their deliberate choice. On other hand teachers are obedient performers of election falsifications, because voting points mostly located in schools and teachers usually are most of committee members. So the remedy - demilitarisation of schools, new course of history, releasing of teachers from the brutal pressure of officials, demanding to execute.
    - Orthodox church. Despite in Russian Constitution claimed separating of church from the state, but indeed like in Tsar times, Church became a lean of state ideocracy and a tool of state power sacralization. The Church is a main conductor of "Russian world" and "Moscow is a Third Rome" conception as well as huge amount of weird anti-semith conspiracy. Church blesses Russian agreesision, Church is a provider of intolerance to other Christainic confessions and intolerance to other thinking. Church supports the cult of war - all can recall real devilish Main Military Cathedral, which looks like a God of War temple. The Church interferring more and more in everyday life of Russians. Church more and more sneak to education system, but not for some sort ethic or religion knowledges, really need for youngsters, but for implementing of "Russian world" ideology and typical Russian life principles, which form inner factors of rashism. Remedy - changing of Church leaders on more moderate, real expelling idecracy influence of Church from educational system.
    - Cult of war and Great Victory. All Russian life pierced with mentions about wars and victories, public interactive demonstrations of weapon, parades, rallies like "Immortal regiment" etc. As I told cult of war tied with education and church. And Great Victory Cult now became the secob religion in Russia.  All this should be completely removed especailly on cross period. History of wars and role of Russian in its have to be studied based on science, not on ideocracy. 
    Inner factors. There is very tough to fix moods and patterns, composed during centuries.
    - Church role. Russian version of Orthodox faith provide several dangerous mind settings - do not rise against powers (sacralized power!) and be obedient to powers, abasement of person with a word "slave of the God", suffering and humility is a right way (so Russian belives that their dads and fathers sufferes and built great country, so they have to suffer for the some great goals), "pray, all the Will of God" (brings up life passivity and expectation some high-ranked official or some happen will help in their question), do not keen to achieve mundane goods and modern knowledges (for example several years ago Church representative stated the learning of English and other languages is really do not need for true Orthodox and number of school lessons of foreign languages in schools should be shortened). And in the same time Church leader lives in luxury mansions, use luxury cars and spent own time on yachts. This is Russia. 
    - povetry breed to the craving to ostentatious wealth and envy to prosprity nations. Despite Church influence, all people want to live in prosperity. Though children of generations, who lived in communal flats with one toilet and kitchen on dozens persons and stood in long queus for Yugoslavian high boots inherited this wish to show own success, posession of expensive things and as a consequence own higer place in social hierarchy - from poor Buriatian village inhabitant, which son brought looted washing machine to middle class, to Russian businessmen and oligarchs, buying up expensive real estate around the world in order each can see his success. So, povetry traumas born an envy to prosperity nations and whishes to stockpile of wealth. Putin, for example, because of his tough childhood has this mind trauma.
    - swaggering and feeling of own supremacy. This feature of national menthality was discribed many times by Russian classic writers. Because of "Special mission of Russian nation - nation of God-Bearers" ideas of Russian World concept, most of Russians believed they are special "spiritual" people, all around owes them ("because we won in WWII"). Even if he is "poor Buriatian", which took bank loan to spent own vacation in Egypt or Turkey he will behave himself as a middle-east sultan. He will be humilitate personnel or demonstratively disrespect the culture of other country or nation. Even Russian middle class, which fled to Georgia, Armenia, Kazakhstan is rescenting that there no road things in Russian, no Russian-speaking service (you must know Russian! Are you russophobs?), no employment if you doesn't know local langauge, no cinema in Russian, no school in Russian and too much "non-Russian" around at all, but well, we will change here everything soon!  So, this fearture of mentality is good soil for growing of chavinism.
    - cruelty and inner agression. Despite "humanistic Russian culture", the value of life in Russia didn't cost even broken penny. Tough life, hard work, povetry, small salary, especially in deep province have been generating inner agression, developing into carving to alcohol and drugs, showdowns, crimes, harrasments in families, bullings in scholls. In many regions of Russia in last years developed "A.U.E." mass jail cruel sub-culture, involving teenagers. Such spite of so embitterd people enough easyly to support by agressive rhethoric on TV, steering in right direction, blaming in their misery "anglo-saxes", "US and FRS", "Eurogays", "NATO", "jude-massons conspiracy against Holy Russia ", "khokhols, traitors of Russian World" etc.
    This list can be continued, but I stop here. There is need to re-educate at least two generations to fix some mentality bugs and instill humanistic values in order to turn the country of Orwel's 1984 into normal peaceful and potentially prospering state. Else the cycle depicted on the cartoon below will be endless

     
  12. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Frankly, I'd just ignore it. I mean if the West wants to send more weapons, let's do that, it shouldn't depend on this ridiculous annexation. Sure, it's a big deal for Russia internally but beyond that what is really going to change? The annexation is worth nothing if the Russians can't hold the ground and if they can it effectively doesn't matter if they formally annexed it. Crimea isn't in Russian hands because everyone accepted Russian claims but because there are Russian soldiers occupying it.
    By reacting we give Putin the satisfaction of taking this nonsense serious.
  13. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Pete Wenman in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A collection of low level aerial views showing destroyed villages in Kharkiv region.
    https://deepstateua.com/vighliad-znishchienikh-rosiieiu-zvilnienikh-sil-na-kharkivshchini/

     
     
  14. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to kraze in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And just to finally end this pointless back and forth topic of misunderstanding - I want to clarify what I want to all people crying "omg you want genocide". I want russian empire to cease existing, ideally, baring that I want a big wall between us and Russia for at least the next century, until they repaid us all the reparations and made sure we rebuilt everything, until this war is just a bunch of pictures in the books to our grand-grandchildren - and if Russia falls down and disintegrates during this time - then I want a big bucket of popcorn and a front seat atop that wall. That's it. I certainly don't want Ukrainians to bloody our hands any more than how it already is. Our lives are too precious for revenge wars.
  15. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to kraze in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He gave you a well detailed post about how Russia has not changed over centuries and why "russian identity" is not an identity at all and is used to force people of different cultures under some common denominator (mostly through murder), so that both e.g. Kazakh and Azerbaijanian become "russian".
    As for this quote - russian children aren't starving (unless not eating McDonald's burgers counts as starving) so I don't see the point of your manipulation. But just in case they will be starving somewhere down the line due to actions of their parents - then, by all means, feed them. Why not? All I'm saying is that Ukraine shouldn't be the one feeding those thus far imaginary starving russian kids.
    We have quite literally real ones of ours to deal with atm, but I don't see you demanding russians to feed our kids that lost homes or parents, wonder why it is so?
  16. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to keas66 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I mean  , really  ,  do you think you would have been arguing in this same fashion during WW2   with regards American policy towards Japan  ? Why are you getting so queasy about not giving the Russians the same treatment ? Because Nukes ?
    As far as I can see the Russians are behaving no better than the worst of the SS  Divisions or units of the Imperial Japanese Army  .  They slaughter civilians  with pleasure , mine schools , target civilian populations without hesitation when they are able  .  They deserve  the hangman's noose if caught and that  includes all of the current Russian leadership .
     
     
  17. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's sad, that many of westrerners have rose glasses, considering only "system" responsible for this war. Russian Constitution (like and Ukrainian) says: "The nation is single source of state power". If so, they responsible for all, what this power did. Responsible with direct involvimg, responsible for any form of support, responsible for own indiferense "we are out of politic". The latter is the same sin. Because indifference of millions breeds the tyrany of one. And because this all Russian nation should carry collective guilt. And I can assure you - many of those Russians, which were against Putin's regime from the beginning and tried to struggle with it - they share this opinion and they feel a shame for their nation allowed it.
    Putin and other are not came from Mars. As I told recently, Russian political system and Russian society is symbiotic systems. One can't live without other. Russian power is a spawn of Russian nation aspirations. "Strong hand, all world must fear us, we are great, we must rule the world, restore USSR/Russian Empire". Russians supported this power in 2014, when they occupied Crimea - all streets in every Russian city and last asshole village were filled by jubilant people. About 90 % supported. Not a abstract system, but Russian Vanya, murdered people  and looted goods now in 2022. And about 80 % of Russians supported SMO even in May, after blitzkrieg failing. 
    I have (or had already?) some friends in Russia. Typical Russian middle class, which enjoys the life and almost completely apolitical. They weren't chavinists or snobs, who consider that only Russian culture, language and face of life  and have many sympaties to Ukraine, they even suppotred our Maidan, but they anyway were adhered to the opinion "why do you so much want to join the West if we are culture&religious close nations and one people at all, though with some minor differences?" So if such moods had "liberals", what sh..t in the heads of more "deep nation" representatives?
    Typical picture in airports - this man is going to leave Russia, scaring mobilization, but he weared in Z-marked closes. Now on the border with Georgia, Kazakhstan, Russians are hastly deleting all war-support symbolic from own cars. I belive, 2/3 of theese "refugees" supported the war.
    But, of course, we shouldn't kill all Russians, I didn't see this in Kraze posts. They should by derashizied, like Germans were denazified after the WWII 

     About "Kraze doesn't consider Russians as a nation". You just didn't understand his words. In English names of nation representatives "American, Ukrainain, Italian" (nouns) and mean "having feature", like "Ukrianian, American, Italian culture" (adjectives) sound the same. In Russian language the word "Russkiy" means "representative of Russian nation" is adjective, not the noun. It reflects not "who are you?" but "whose are you?". So, this ethnonim really more hystorical construct, including Slavs, Caucasians, ugro-finns, buriats, and many other nations, composing Russian state. 
  18. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to BlackMoria in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Heh.  Sure it doesn't make sense to you.   Just like all the decisions Russia has made in the months prior to 24 Feb and since don't make any sense to most of us.   But here we are.  If Russian sabotaged their pipeline, it makes as much sense as all their other decisions concerning this war to date.   We are in Alice in Wonderland territory now and have been for some months now.   We are at the point the Red Queen (Putin) is screaming off with their heads.    
  19. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to kraze in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Thus far, in 7 months, at the very least 100.000 Ukrainian civilians were murdered, half a million got deported god knows where to Russia: not a genocide.
    Me writing on some niche forum that russians should be barred from visiting Ukraine until they pay back reparations, prosecute every criminal and completely change their mentality towards us: genocide.
    OK.
  20. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to kraze in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If a russian has a citizenship of Russia, pays taxes, which are used to arm his soldiers - he is directly responsible for everything his army and government does. Because they kill people with his money. So saying that said russian is somehow not responsible because he simply sits home and makes a choice to ignore warcrimes he himself pays for - is wrong.
    Not to mention that while this current war (let alone all the others) that Russia wages has been going on for 8.5 years - there has been zero opposition to it amongst russians. In fact we will be having one million of them coming to brutally murder us, literally every 100th russian will be trying to kill us himself - but somehow that isn't an indication of collective responsibility.
    Again I get it why you don't get it - not facing extermination by people of warmongering empire paints the world in different colors for you. Sadly it doesn't for me, it's pretty black and white now - because russians made their free choice to kill us.
  21. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Russia is the only actor in all this who is continuously trying to make the situation more fuzzy, uncertain and chaotic. It is their modus operandi to project uncertainty and chaos on political level. They are also assholes that enjoy doing things to show they can get away with them.
    Recently, they were
    running fake referendums to threaten nukes, shelling largest nuclear power plant launching missiles at grain storage right after saying they wont launching missiles at dams and power plants kidnapping children murdering refugees (see videos above) setting up "humanitarian corridors" then mining and shelling them Not so recently, they murdered people with chemical weapons in UK, sabotaged a lot of stuff all over EU and shot down airliner to show they can get away with it.
    Of course they blew up their own pipeline. While laughing about "now useful idiots all over the world will talk about how USA did it".
  22. Like
    LukeFF reacted to S-Tank in CMCW Unofficial Screenshot And Video Thread   
  23. Like
    LukeFF reacted to asurob in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Armed Forces of Ukraine have started to take the first prisoners of war from the mobilized vatniks.  The time from forced conscription to POW status is one week.
  24. Upvote
    LukeFF reacted to kraze in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Turkey isn't a country any nuclear country will ever fight over. We aren't getting into NATO because we are that country. You have a whole NATO member wanting to occupy our territories and having an agreement with Russia to do it, remember? Hungarian vote NO alone will be enough to make sure we are alone.
    Not me, just historical facts being cold and cruel. There have been zero times when russian culture showed any humane traits, instead it produces non-stop wars, misery and suffering for literally everyone around them. There's literally no indication that russians will change this time either. Their whole population is absolutely pro-war (as long as most aren't fighting or suffering consequences personally - but that's another story) and shows no signs of wanting to change.
    Do you know what a "russian identity" even is? 'russian' is not an ethnicity or nationality. It's just an artificial construct designed to obliterate identities and make everyone a grey mass without history, ethnicity and roots. Now buryats, kalmyks, chechens, dagestanians, mordvins, tatars, tuvins and about 20 other nationalities and ethnicities of the empire are... nationalities and ethnicities. So them having separate countries is bad how? Sure Chechnya becoming free will erase their "russian" identity. Because it will just make them have their own, finally.
    Those "elderly" and "women" are responsible for murdering our elderly and women and even our children. So why exactly should we give them free ticket from responsibility? Their husbands and children came here to murder us in cold blood - and now we should give them warm welcome so that they or their descendants will get to kill us a lot easier when they get the chance since they got no consequences? You really don't see anything horribly wrong with your argument?
    If my narrative of making sure my kids aren't getting killed by russians because I'm not pretending russians aren't murdering my friends (they killed two yesterday, as it turned out) - lets my kids survive - then so be it. I get that it's very easy for you to sit in a peaceful country, while trying to put equal signs between our refugees and russian "refugees" (who on multiple occasions beat up our refugees abroad without consequence) - but it will not change the reality. And the reality is - it's either us or them. There's no other way - russians made sure it is like that. Go convince them to stop, why are you convincing me I should love them for it?
  25. Like
    LukeFF reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    and now this road is under UKR fire as well.

    The road Drobyshevo-Stavky-Torske is under UKR fire. The pocket is formed. UKR just need to enter Torkse to close it. 
     
×
×
  • Create New...