acrashb

Yes but the explosion was above the road. 

So in addition to Russia Sucks™ we may now layer in Ukraine Rocks™. 

I think the summary of your lengthy and interesting posts on this is that both are a too-low-resolution way of examining actions and predicting outcomes.  Sloppy use of these now-tropes - in real life, not here - gets people killed without cause.
Both phrases should be consigned to the bin except when reacting to video of things blowing up.
What's really interesting is the collision - parts of it look like adaptive rock-paper-scissors, with one side adapting much more quickly.
 
Pay no attention to the heathens.  Keep providing the warning, it is both informative (a bit) and fun - part of your personal brand

There are forums for that stuff. This is a thread tracking a genocidal war against the Ukrainian people. 
Personally  I've zero interest in the Phillies or anything sports spamming up this thread. 

I've been involved a bit in the making of a production line for artillery shells. The problem is that it is not only about the parts that make out the round, but also about the machinery for making those parts. There is quite a lot of complex machinery involved. Much of it is also specialized machinery that is not used somewhere else.
Even mothballed stuff breaks after a while. So you need replacements and your spare part package is not endless. After a while, you start to scrounge for stuff on eBay, and then you need to drag engineers out of the retirement homes because no one knows how to use that specific piece of tech anymore.
Of course, you could unpack this thing once a year and try to run it for a week. Fix the stuff that broke and pack it up again. But that is very expensive for something, that is most likely useless (unless it's priceless, as someone else put it nicely). Good luck explaining that to your taxpayers.
I guess that would be too big even for the US military budget.
First, you need an engineer who knows how to design that. And then you need to have your design certified. And prototyped. And tested. And signed off again. And then produced. And tested again.
Doable of course. But with a big price tag. Like the 100m€ for setting up a new production line for the SMArt 155 ammunition. Btw, the actual production for 10,000 rounds will cost another 800m€.

So in addition to Russia Sucks™ we may now layer in Ukraine Rocks™. 

I think the summary of your lengthy and interesting posts on this is that both are a too-low-resolution way of examining actions and predicting outcomes.  Sloppy use of these now-tropes - in real life, not here - gets people killed without cause.
Both phrases should be consigned to the bin except when reacting to video of things blowing up.
What's really interesting is the collision - parts of it look like adaptive rock-paper-scissors, with one side adapting much more quickly.
 
Pay no attention to the heathens.  Keep providing the warning, it is both informative (a bit) and fun - part of your personal brand

As opposed to just ignoring his posts and not derailing this topic even more? 

Both.

Agreed that we can't and Russia lies.  So what does this mean?  Is it to prepare Russians for exiting Ukraine because nukes are the only way and now they are off the table?  Is it setting conditions for a false flag attack?  Is it backing away from previous statements to create strategic ambiguity, only to ratchet up later?  Is it for Russophile consumption so they can say "you see, Russia is reasonable and NATO is an aggressive alliance"?

Either way it is a climb-down from previous statements; the only question is why.  On that, I have no insight.  I do know that every statement is deliberate and purposeful.
You're so right.  Part of my professional life is business continuity planning - I take my own advice and keep a few week's basic supplies.  For once, my government agrees with me.
People laugh when they hear about my modest cache of MREs - but when they get old you just eat them, and a few years ago when an ice storm cut our little village off from the rest of the world for a few days (trees down on roads) and power off for more than a week, we ate like kings.  Camping stove and copious propane cylinders helped

Regards your "It's interesting...", this is a well-studied phenomenon of risk management.  Most people overestimate tiny risks (plane crashes) and underestimate common risks (automobile crashes).  Schneier has a neat summary: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/03/fear_and_the_av.html
 

Agreed that we can't and Russia lies.  So what does this mean?  Is it to prepare Russians for exiting Ukraine because nukes are the only way and now they are off the table?  Is it setting conditions for a false flag attack?  Is it backing away from previous statements to create strategic ambiguity, only to ratchet up later?  Is it for Russophile consumption so they can say "you see, Russia is reasonable and NATO is an aggressive alliance"?

Either way it is a climb-down from previous statements; the only question is why.  On that, I have no insight.  I do know that every statement is deliberate and purposeful.
You're so right.  Part of my professional life is business continuity planning - I take my own advice and keep a few week's basic supplies.  For once, my government agrees with me.
People laugh when they hear about my modest cache of MREs - but when they get old you just eat them, and a few years ago when an ice storm cut our little village off from the rest of the world for a few days (trees down on roads) and power off for more than a week, we ate like kings.  Camping stove and copious propane cylinders helped

Regards your "It's interesting...", this is a well-studied phenomenon of risk management.  Most people overestimate tiny risks (plane crashes) and underestimate common risks (automobile crashes).  Schneier has a neat summary: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/03/fear_and_the_av.html
 

I must say that my current life is a paradise compared to what it was at the end of February, beginning of March. Then, in the current situation with electricity, I am daily exposed to artillery shelling and air bombing. I was in my apartment and just moved away from the window, when a 152-mm shell fell right in front of my window, at a distance of about 100 meters. They threw shards of glass at me, later I found one of the shards in my apartment. Miraculously, I didn't come back. But this is a trifle. It all happened so suddenly that I didn't even have time to get scared.
Air bombardment of senior artillery. When you sit in the basement and hear the rapidly growing whistle of a Russian jet engine. With this blood in your veins, you literally freeze with fear, you understand that now he will drop bombs and, perhaps, you will find yourself under the rubble. When the FAB-500 bomb explodes a kilometer away from you. A building in the basement that literally shakes like an earthquake.
But I experienced the greatest fear when, in the conditions of street fighting, I traveled from Irpen (I had the stupidity to wait until the last, hoping that the Russians were not going to my city, because the bridge to Kyiv had already been blown up). As I was walking towards the bridge along the main street on the next street, literally 200 meters away from me, a heavy firefight broke out. I saw tracers flying across the intersection that I had to cross to get to the bridge. I waited until the Russian turned the fire in the other direction, and with all my might ran across the intersection. Despite this, thanks to adrenaline, I had more energy than ever. I ran a mile and a half with large and heavy bags. Normally I wouldn't be able to do this.
 

There is a classic case of this happening in American politics right now. Urban America is typically safer from all varieties of mortality than rural America. That's especially true for kids and yet it's close to heretical for a politician to say it.

All of it?🤔
Naah, it was at Valdai club, it is specific audience chiefly made of various oportunists from "Third World" countries, Putin is playing the same tune there every year, but this time his speech was just much sharper because of the war...oh sorry SMO.
Note that brotherly help to "victims of Western Imperialism" is very important legacy of Soviet foreign policy and Kremlin self-image. While normally Russia has no allies but subjects and clients whom she threats with cold-hearted cynicism, in current circumstances I am inclined to believe Putin is starting to genuinly believe he has this mission of breaking "West-dominated" world order for the greater good, and thus is a spearhead of positive changes in the world. He probably counts that Iranians, some Africans and generally dictators and authoritarians from around the world will follow him into the breach on his St.Crispin Day.
It's not about feeling towards the Russians mate, some drunken party-goers without context are simply not relevant to this discussion. There is enoguh serious stuff we can blame Russian for in this topic. 😎
I hope you are relatively well folks, I mean considering the circumstances. I just watched some document how life in Ukraine cities saving on power looks, and this is not pleasant thing, especially in smaller towns and villages.

Agreed that we can't and Russia lies.  So what does this mean?  Is it to prepare Russians for exiting Ukraine because nukes are the only way and now they are off the table?  Is it setting conditions for a false flag attack?  Is it backing away from previous statements to create strategic ambiguity, only to ratchet up later?  Is it for Russophile consumption so they can say "you see, Russia is reasonable and NATO is an aggressive alliance"?

Either way it is a climb-down from previous statements; the only question is why.  On that, I have no insight.  I do know that every statement is deliberate and purposeful.
You're so right.  Part of my professional life is business continuity planning - I take my own advice and keep a few week's basic supplies.  For once, my government agrees with me.
People laugh when they hear about my modest cache of MREs - but when they get old you just eat them, and a few years ago when an ice storm cut our little village off from the rest of the world for a few days (trees down on roads) and power off for more than a week, we ate like kings.  Camping stove and copious propane cylinders helped

Regards your "It's interesting...", this is a well-studied phenomenon of risk management.  Most people overestimate tiny risks (plane crashes) and underestimate common risks (automobile crashes).  Schneier has a neat summary: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/03/fear_and_the_av.html
 

Agreed that we can't and Russia lies.  So what does this mean?  Is it to prepare Russians for exiting Ukraine because nukes are the only way and now they are off the table?  Is it setting conditions for a false flag attack?  Is it backing away from previous statements to create strategic ambiguity, only to ratchet up later?  Is it for Russophile consumption so they can say "you see, Russia is reasonable and NATO is an aggressive alliance"?

Either way it is a climb-down from previous statements; the only question is why.  On that, I have no insight.  I do know that every statement is deliberate and purposeful.
You're so right.  Part of my professional life is business continuity planning - I take my own advice and keep a few week's basic supplies.  For once, my government agrees with me.
People laugh when they hear about my modest cache of MREs - but when they get old you just eat them, and a few years ago when an ice storm cut our little village off from the rest of the world for a few days (trees down on roads) and power off for more than a week, we ate like kings.  Camping stove and copious propane cylinders helped

Regards your "It's interesting...", this is a well-studied phenomenon of risk management.  Most people overestimate tiny risks (plane crashes) and underestimate common risks (automobile crashes).  Schneier has a neat summary: https://www.schneier.com/blog/archives/2009/03/fear_and_the_av.html
 

It doesn't reassure me much, since when Russia says it's not going to do something (invade Ukraine, bombard a grain port, interdict a humanitarian convoy, target hospitals), they usually go right ahead and do that thing, in the same way that they accuse everyone else of the war crimes they commit, of being criminal gangsters in charge of a country, of being supremacist autocratic bigots, or pretty much any of the unwholesome things Russia does and is.
Russia lies. How much for those MREs?

Putin rules out nuclear strike on Ukraine (msn.com)
" We do not need a nuclear strike on Ukraine, there is no point - neither political nor military"
Assuming that we can finally take him at his word, good news.  Of course, this could be laying the ground for a false flag - but regardless, it is a significant climb-down from previous broad / obvious hints that nukes were on the table.
So put your MREs up on eBay, you won't need them

Putin rules out nuclear strike on Ukraine (msn.com)
" We do not need a nuclear strike on Ukraine, there is no point - neither political nor military"
Assuming that we can finally take him at his word, good news.  Of course, this could be laying the ground for a false flag - but regardless, it is a significant climb-down from previous broad / obvious hints that nukes were on the table.
So put your MREs up on eBay, you won't need them

Outside of needing eye bleach because of the lack of your traditional warning, my key takeaway is this paragraph:
“Russian officers described companies in the Kherson Sector as consisting of between six and eight men each. Companies should deploy with around 100 personnel.”
One cannot manoeuvre a company with 8 men.  You can't even coordinate their efforts, because they aren't integrated into a larger whole.  If in fact companies are down that far, AFAIK the only solution is to fold the remaining men into an actual company-sized unit.
 

It was a poor plan because it counted on rolling six sixes in one throw of the dice.

So in addition to Russia Sucks™ we may now layer in Ukraine Rocks™. 

I think the summary of your lengthy and interesting posts on this is that both are a too-low-resolution way of examining actions and predicting outcomes.  Sloppy use of these now-tropes - in real life, not here - gets people killed without cause.
Both phrases should be consigned to the bin except when reacting to video of things blowing up.
What's really interesting is the collision - parts of it look like adaptive rock-paper-scissors, with one side adapting much more quickly.
 
Pay no attention to the heathens.  Keep providing the warning, it is both informative (a bit) and fun - part of your personal brand

If you're on a PC, copy-pasting it into and then out of Notepad will strip all formatting.

RPG indirect fire.  Another to-do for the next AI upgrade

Dude, I totally respect you and your posts and we agree on things politically -- we're even in the same lovely state (I'm on the wet side, where are you?).  I see that this is bugging you.  Does it matter whether I put that or not?  I actually think it's kinda funny, but I can see it's having an adverse affect for you.  
OK I'll not put it there next time --  but when I link to to that site w/o warning and someone gets mad about it I'll send them to you 😀.  I'll say "Sir, would you like to speak with a manager" 🤪
Anyway, thanks for your posts on the forum, keep 'em comin'.  

Some people have ignored this warning and wandered from the path into the dark woods and have seen things they cannot unsee.  And then they comment about the content that is NOT what I linked to.  So I keep putting this warning.

And yet we see pictures like this all over the place (granted not at high noon):
 

I expect there is a difference between "flashless" and "low-flash".  Just like "smokeless" powder actually does create smoke, just a lot less than black powder.