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Elmar Bijlsma

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  1. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    You can cut that right out. This isn't a US political thread. 
  2. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Remember that video of 2 BMP-2s turning onto and going down a road with raised berm, with the front most dismounts getting a beating.
    Turns out todays video of the guy clearing the dugout was the same event, from the rearmost of the two BMPs.
    Compare:
    with:
    I thought it looked similar but didn't expect it to actually be the very same event.
  3. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Cogust in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And we are now on the 1337 side, where all the really cool kids hang.
  4. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Remember that video of 2 BMP-2s turning onto and going down a road with raised berm, with the front most dismounts getting a beating.
    Turns out todays video of the guy clearing the dugout was the same event, from the rearmost of the two BMPs.
    Compare:
    with:
    I thought it looked similar but didn't expect it to actually be the very same event.
  5. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Remember that video of 2 BMP-2s turning onto and going down a road with raised berm, with the front most dismounts getting a beating.
    Turns out todays video of the guy clearing the dugout was the same event, from the rearmost of the two BMPs.
    Compare:
    with:
    I thought it looked similar but didn't expect it to actually be the very same event.
  6. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Kherson as-is is more of a resource sink for Russia than for Ukraine.  Everybody currently enclosed is going to end up dead or as a prisoner, and it's just a matter of them deciding which they'd rather be, and when.  
    In the meantime, Russia has to keep using up supply-chain capability trying (or at least pretending) to support the units penned up there.  Once they're gone, all that capability can go back to supplying what's left of their Donbas positions.  So in some ways it's preferable to let Kherson stew a bit longer, running out the resources that are stockpiled there and using up supply capability (and bridging equipment) to keep supplies moving.  So for now, I'd leave them as a logistics problem for Russia rather than turning them into a logistics problem for Ukraine.  But it's also something of a humanitarian and political question, because there are a bunch of civilians in there, too, and it would be preferable to liberate them quickly.
  7. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Vlad is asking the professionals for advice on how to surrender?
  8. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And we can all say it together: "Russian defensive options spaces are....collapsing! Ukrainian options spaces are expanding" just as God, nature and billions of dollars of western weapons intended.
  9. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oof, not a lot left of the hull, if that's it in the rear.
    It's almost like stuffing an IFV with 100mm shell was a bad idea or something.
  10. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to The_MonkeyKing in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    this thread right now:
    ukr.mp4    
  11. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oh come on i have o edit every thing I paste to achieve some minimal legibility. The rest of you can't compete.
     
    Edit: tree times
  12. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    @The_Capt
    The writing of UKR soldier in TG

    Translation:
    Kiss hands of the motor-infantry and tankers. They are builders of this breakthrough: they are beat in defense and seized crucial points, they supressed attempts of the enemy to organize itself on new lines, they drove out the enemy over the horyzon and left on their way the pile of of burned enemy armor together with bantlings. The news feed couldn't  keep up with them, in their success believed nobody, funny "analysts" considered that the flag near Buhaivka couldn't be raised already on the third day, that ours can't wet own legs in Oskil so quicly. They can. The peple of steel, which crush enemy skulls with tracks.
  13. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Calamine Waffles in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "Mein Führer...Steiner..."
  14. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There seems to be a recurring pattern of people who live safely thousands of kilometers away from Russia telling people who live right next to it how they should feel and what they should do about Russians. People who have no personal experience and aren't (and never will be threatened) in any way chastising people who had to live with Russian terror for generations.
    Their "just give Russians another chance" is other people's "our children born this year will face next war Russia starts as teenagers and adults". Sacrificing yourself for your humanist values is fine, but asking other people to sacrifice themselves (and their safety, their lives, their children's lives) for your values, while cushily living far away is very much not fine. It is easy to be a saint in Paradise, but don't put the same standard on those living in Hell.
    And moreover, where were all these defenders of human rights when Bucha happened? Where will they be once we see more crimes against humanity in liberated territories? Why is it they always care more about protecting the bullies from vengeance than protecting the bullied from the bullies?
    Because it almost feels like I'm hearing some people of the West (not necessarily in this thread, that's why am not quoting anyone) say "let's give Russians few more second changes and it's fine if they murder and rape and torture few hundred thousand Eastern Europeans while getting it right" and it is completely rotten attitude, opposite of being humane as it claims.
  15. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from LongLeftFlank in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Oh good, he is now aligning himself with the Ukrainian military in that he wants a lot of Russian soldiers dead too.
    A few months ago that dickhead was advocating we learn from Beria. Setting up Stalin as an example is practically a de-escalating move.  Perhaps soon he will move to an even more moderate example:

     
  16. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to The_MonkeyKing in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    We learned from history that we didn't learn from history.
  17. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Here's a Rybar map. Keep in mind that these are always RU biased...

  18. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Almost certainly not the same guy. Also, putting on a Lt. Col. uniform to avoid being captured as a Lt. Gen. would be a weird gambit.
  19. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And for something completely different - Tick Tock commander explains everything
     
  20. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to H1nd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I have been active on my part in the Finnish twitter sphere throughout the war, but decided for once to write down a thread in english as well. Take it with ton of salt but the pictures are hopefully pretty.
    Cheers!
    -H1nd/Pasi Paroinen
  21. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to akd in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    If you are wondering where DefMon's new twitter banner comes from:
     
  22. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    What a weird place to put in a LOC bridge:

    Connected to what?  Unless they are barging supplies down the Dnipro...of course then why put in a freakin bridge? Just pull up alongside in Kherson.  They will need to do at least two more bridging ops to cross the Konka and Chaika rivers and it is about 3km to an MSR, all over wide open country with zero cover. If they are stockpiling in that barge bay, it is just going to get clobbered by indirect fire - at the rate UA is advancing they are going to be in short (Ia) Excalibur range soon (they are already in mid-range, Ia-2, and of course HIMARs).
    If UA is smart, and they have demonstrated that quality, let them build the thing and dedicate the resources, get the stockpile up, and then hit it.
  23. Like
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That really does call to mind Darth Putin's "Do not believe anything until the Kremlin denies it".
  24. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That really does call to mind Darth Putin's "Do not believe anything until the Kremlin denies it".
  25. Upvote
    Elmar Bijlsma reacted to Bulletpoint in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Some Ukrainian women are real bombshells...
     
     
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