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The_MonkeyKing

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  1. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  2. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  3. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This worth your time to watch from start to finish. At least 85% of it has probably been discussed in the thread somewhere, at some level of detail, but this pulls a great many things together in a VERY neat and tidy package.
  4. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Huba in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  5. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Seedorf81 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  6. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  7. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  8. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  9. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The Chieftain's comments and some slides from "the conference on armored vehicle design" he attended. Some big hitters presenting
    surprisingly interesting and informative video. Also on Ukraine-related matters:
    some top-pick screenshots (Especially Ukraine related):
    Ukrainian colonel presentation (some comment picks):
    - Ukraine replacing lots of donated equipment antennas with anti-jam variants
    - Old tanks like T-55 ext. have their place and are effective at what they do
    - Ukraine battle management system is a combination of "Delta" a browser-based battle management system similar to US systems in combination with Discord servers.


     





  10. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Attriting Russian Airborne in Bakhmut.mp3  
    "Episode Notes:
    On this episode of the Russia Contingency, Mike and Rob continue their conversation about their recent research trip to Ukraine. This conversation focused on the battle for Bakhmut, the level of attrition Russian forces have faced holding the city, and talked about the need to provide Ukraine with more man-portable systems.
    The Russia Contingency is a bi-weekly podcast featuring an in-depth analysis of Russia's military power and the war in Ukraine."
  11. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Attriting Russian Airborne in Bakhmut.mp3  
    "Episode Notes:
    On this episode of the Russia Contingency, Mike and Rob continue their conversation about their recent research trip to Ukraine. This conversation focused on the battle for Bakhmut, the level of attrition Russian forces have faced holding the city, and talked about the need to provide Ukraine with more man-portable systems.
    The Russia Contingency is a bi-weekly podcast featuring an in-depth analysis of Russia's military power and the war in Ukraine."
  12. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    UKR TG. UKR troops fight inside Robotyne. But this is RUMINT for now.
    Robotyne. We are beating up rusnya now. There is advancing to the settlement. Clashes around UKRPost office area (grey mark on the map)
     
  13. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well put.
    What the US air supremacy is, it is mass precision at its finest.
  14. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, and this type of attack is so slow that Russians will expand their minefields and fortifications at least the same rate as Ukraine is advancing. Leading to never ending loop without breakthrough and exploitation. At least until force attrition breaks the cycle.
  15. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, and this type of attack is so slow that Russians will expand their minefields and fortifications at least the same rate as Ukraine is advancing. Leading to never ending loop without breakthrough and exploitation. At least until force attrition breaks the cycle.
  16. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1682435379935182848?s=20
     
  17. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
  18. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The full episode now out (last week they released the first 30min):
    "When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, one of its first targets was the city of Mariupol. Despite being outnumbered by—and less well equipped than—their adversaries, Ukrainian defenders held out for three months. As the Russian siege of the city intensified, Ukrainian forces defended a shrinking perimeter with a command post in the Azovstal steel plant. One of those Ukrainian defenders was Sergeant Arseniy Fedosiuk. He joins John Spencer on this episode, relaying his experience in Mariupol, exploring the unique challenges of defending urban terrain against a superior enemy, and describing what happened at the end of the three-month battle, when he was taken prisoner by Russian forces."
     
    https://mwi.westpoint.edu/defending-mariupol/
     
  19. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
  20. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from CAZmaj in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    here is the second part:


    Ukraine Struggles to Scale Offensive Combat Operations, Part 2.mp3
  21. Upvote
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The full episode now out (last week they released the first 30min):
    "When Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022, one of its first targets was the city of Mariupol. Despite being outnumbered by—and less well equipped than—their adversaries, Ukrainian defenders held out for three months. As the Russian siege of the city intensified, Ukrainian forces defended a shrinking perimeter with a command post in the Azovstal steel plant. One of those Ukrainian defenders was Sergeant Arseniy Fedosiuk. He joins John Spencer on this episode, relaying his experience in Mariupol, exploring the unique challenges of defending urban terrain against a superior enemy, and describing what happened at the end of the three-month battle, when he was taken prisoner by Russian forces."
     
    https://mwi.westpoint.edu/defending-mariupol/
     
  22. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
  23. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from cesmonkey in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
  24. Like
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Taranis in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
  25. Thanks
    The_MonkeyKing got a reaction from Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    some pointers:
    At the start of the southern offensive, we saw the employment of multiples of single companies, not brigades Ukraine is limited in its ability in embodying larger formations in an integrated way. Limited by enablers, operational environment, and experience. Was to the idea of establishing new "western" brigades proven/disproven? another way to go would have been to reinforce the existing experienced units with new battalions. a lot of the progress in the south was made by the older experienced units jury is still out but already merits questioning was this the way to go? Eighter way it was worth trying Was the idea of trying to make Ukraine to fight like "us" proven? Ukraine's way of war has been attritional, using fires decisively that then enables moment. Most actions have been platoon/company level where Ukraine has excelled compared to Russians.  The argument has been the west does not have the ability to sustain this type of war. The question is does the west then have the ability to train and sustain Ukraine in the western way of war? This would mean the enablers the western way of war requires, starting with air supremacy. The answer seems to be no. might be better to improve Ukraine's ability to fight the way it is already fighting Ukraine uses tanks in almost the complete opposite way than the west in Ukraine's experience driving a company of tanks over a ridge is a sure way of losing a tank co. Tanks are used in infantry support or indirect fire roles. Mainly in pairs. Same on the Russian side at this point AT role is mainly done with ATGM infantry This is what Ukraine has learned and thinks what works for them Now: New brigades have been bloodied and are going through some changes. This is good Ukraine is adapting The fight is now mainly an attritional fight with platoon/company-level infantry attacks problem is this is unlikely to achieve breakthrough and exploitation Mine clearing capacities are in high demand like Nammo APOBS. Now main ways are bangalores or grappling hooks. These are slow and create tiny lanes and do not enable vehicle moment. Now ongoing attritional counter-battery fight seems interesting and promising for Ukraine. Still hard to judge from the outside Russia is saving most capabilities and ammo for large vehicle formations. This rationing is often confused with Russia lacking artillery. 
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