Probus
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Posts
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Posts posted by Probus
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Getting the Soviets into the first town is no mean feat!
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2 hours ago, Grey_Fox said:
Why do you think I created the topic with a near-identical title and opening post?
I was just getting ready to post a new thread for Israel when I saw you beat me to it.
This stuff needs to be discussed. This is history in the making and as far as CM goes, it is very relevant.
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I had a late start also. My username is the infamous gkersh (#1 with 0 points), so we had to get that sorted. Now I'm rarin' to go.
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30 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
A big hint was when we lost air superiority to ISIL (freakin ISIL!) below 2000 feet in around 2016.
Shoulder launched SAMs?
What aircraft are we using now for EW? EF-18s?
Burning out EW antennas used to be a big problem. It would be nice if we had a fleet of loitering EW drones that could limit/disable all the smaller drones. But the EW systems take a lot of power and cooling.
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Does anyone have a link to a good map of what's changed in the last couple of months or so?
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59 minutes ago, Haiduk said:
Two days ago the video is appeared as Slovenian M-55S was "destroyed or taken out" by direct hit of Krasnopol guided shell. It's turned out the tank survived, and even saved capability of driving. The shell hit in the gunner's sight and beat in a piece of top turret armor. On the video the damage and burning marks can be seen
So, not each HE shell hit is 100 % destroying of the tank. Top turret armor can in some cases resist to HE shells, but if this shell hit engine compartment from the top, the tank would be at least heavy damaged. Original T-55 has 30 mm of turret's top armor thickness
I bet the gunner wasn't too happy about it though...
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1) Yes, I believe so. I play on a 4K monitor and sometimes on a 2K monitor. Never had any problems. (I might add that I got it to run across 2 x 2K monitors also)
2) Yes, that is correct but if its been a while since you downloaded, the current game version may have changed.
Good luck!
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1 hour ago, Haiduk said:
Can Ukraine afford to not hit any Wagner camps in Belarus? I mean that's thousands of troops all grouped together.
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Any chance that Belarus worked out a truce so that the Wagner group could retreat into Belarus and save face? Anyone else see that as a giant ruse to redirect the Wagner group so they can attack from the north and make it a 2 front war again?
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1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:
The great thing to see is how the Bradley's stabilized fire controls work in reality. That Brad was driving at a pretty good clip and yet was accurately landing rounds right in the treeline. Not in front, not over, right smack dab where the enemy might be. And it was doing it while on approach, not just after getting to the trouble spot. And boy, those Bushmaster rounds sure do make an impression!
Yeah. That is something to see!
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1 hour ago, DesertFox said:
How to demilitarize a T-55 - Orc style
Whoa! That was some hit!
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2500! Almost!
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I am probably missing something, but how does that dam being blown have something to do with a Ukrainian offensive?
BTW, how much of that reservoir will drain before allowing a crossing through that area?
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13 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
The size of the RDK/LSR force is too small to stay in Russia for too long. Russia has enough forces in the immediate area and in FSB reserve to handle them relatively quickly. Couple of days maximum before they withdraw, a week if Russian forces are even less capable than I think they are. For all we know it might already be over.
I'm not saying you are wrong at all, but remember what we all thought about Ukraine's ability to hold out against the Russians in Feb 2022. We were all taken by surprise at the tenacity of the Ukrainian defense.
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19 minutes ago, dan/california said:
Just to get back to a long running theme:
Ukraine seems to be turning out these kamikaze quad copters for ~$750 according to published reports. Even if the militarized version from a Western defense contractor comes in at TWENTY times the cost, that is $15,000 to kill an AFV without even poking your head above the berm. So you have to be able to stop these little monsters, or your mechanized forces are just really expensive, really stinky, bonfires.
I wonder how affective they are against buttoned up armor. They should at least cause advancing armor to stay buttoned up.
I also wonder how Combat Mission is going to include them in any future modern titles they release. Drone squad with "over the horizon" attacks? Or a mixture of a recon drone with an attack button?
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2 hours ago, billbindc said:
The Prigozhin story just keeps getting better:
Oh man!
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8 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
Armed scenarios are:
1. Belarusian military + Belarusian security + Russian forces vs. Belarusian citizens
2. Belarusian military (partial) + Belarusian security + Russian forces vs. Belarusian citizens + Belarusian military (partial)
3. Belarusian security + Russian forces vs. Belarusian citizens + Belarusian military
4. Russian forces vs. Belarusian citizens + Belarusian military + Belarusian security
I do not see a scenario with Belarusian forces and Ukrainian forces being in meaningful conflict with each other. It is also possible that the Belarusian security apparatus dissolves instead of resisting, moving into Russia much like Yanukovych's goons went to Crimea ahead of Russia's invasion. Except for local cops, I don't see the security apparatus fracturing.
#1 is most likely the way it would start out as the collapse of totalitarian regimes generally begins with all armed groups initially staying with the government. However, if control is not firmly reestablished quickly the military often waivers with some forces joining the opposition and others staying with the regime (#2 scenario) *or* it quickly transitions to military vs. security forces *or* skips a step and goes right to supporting government transition.
The wildcard in this case is Russian forces already in Belarus and those that could be deployed there from within Russia. Russia doesn't have much it can invest. Russian units in Belarus are mostly, at this point, non-combat units. If there are any Spring conscripts training there they have only a couple of weeks of training (at best) and technically can not be used for fighting.
For sure Russia can move combat (I include security forces as combat) units in at any time. I am guessing some are already on their way if not already in there (especially if Putin poisoned him). These units can't be large in headcount or even capabilities due to Russia's own needs for them at home and in Ukraine. I think we're talking thousands, not tens of thousands.
I'm not sure if Kadyrov would send anything other than a couple of bearded TikTokers with GoPros strapped to their genitals. I doubt he'd send any significant force so far away from home when things are no doubt about to get very touchy within Russia.
My overall thinking is that if Belarusian military units decide to oppose a Russian backed coup, there's not much Russia can do to stop it. I just don't see it being feasible for them to commit the number of forces that would be necessary to combat 10s of thousands of armed Belarusian military.
Steve
Might be time for a "How Hot is Belarus Gonna get?" thread...
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If Russia starts conscripting big time again, what percentage of the population would be eligible approximately?
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Don't you think that if UA is going to maintain surprise, the opening push should be hot and heavy. I don't think there will be any doubt that operations have kicked off but there should be a good number of strikes on Logistics and C&C wherever the low hanging fruit is before things get going.
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10 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
Here's a rough concept of how things could go:
1. Launch a series of significant, but small scale, counter attacks in the Donbas. We MIGHT be seeing this already (see ISW's report from May 9).
2. Wait for Russian reserves to be committed to those areas then smash concentrations with HIMARS and other systems we know they have, including a lot more JDAM type attacks.
3. Increase the scope and scale of the ground attacks in hopes that Russia won't be able to sit back, but instead either commit more forces or be obligated to withdraw.
4. Hopefully gain significant ground, triggering Russia to commit more forces which can then get smashed when concentrated, thus committing more Russian troops.
5. When it seems the Donbas counter offensive has got Russia's full attention, start hitting everything in the south. If Storm Shadow is available, smash the Hell out of everything that Russia moved far to the rear. Do this for a little while without significant ground action.
6. With Russian forces tied up in Donbas and chaos (hopefully!) happening in the south, launch the main attack towards Tokmak and drive down towards Crimea while also pushing along the Dnepr. Cut up Russia's LOCs as quickly and thoroughly as possible in order to get Russia forces to panic and withdraw (Russians do not like being cut off!).
7. Keep the focus on the south and use the Donbas to pin down Russian forces. Have modest expectations for taking terrain in Donbas, however if Russian forces withdraw or are overwhelmed, definitely take advantage to a point. Better to be cautious here until the south is settled. The last thing Ukraine needs is to overextend itself in the Donbas and have to divert forces from the south to stabilize things.
That's my thinking
Steve
I like it a lot! +1.
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*rant begins* I think the UA offensive is right around the corner, prolly less than 7 days. We won't know it until after it has happened, of course. June will be a much different month than May. Just watch. Its all starting to fly together ready for a push. I hope they can push 'em back all the way to the Black Sea at the very least. Simply put, well applied Western firepower trumps the best the conscript Russians can bring to the table.
Just look at all the signs... or the suspicious lack thereof in some cases.
My money is on an offensive from Melitopol through Mariupol. *rant ends*
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Does Ukraine have to cut Crimea off with a drive to the Black Sea in order for their offensive to be considered a success or is there more that the UA needs to accomplish?
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You should try @IanL's Whose Turn is It:
https://www.lesliesoftware.com/products/WhoseTurnIsIt/index.html
How Hot is Israel Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Shock Force 2
Posted
@Thewood1 Please just ignore this thread if it bothers you.
The reason this thread was started in SF2 is that SF2 deals with asymmetrical warfare in the Middle East. If Battlefront ever releases an upgrade for the Israel/Gaza war, it would go here (or be a completely new game).
This thread should discuss strategy and tactics of modern asymmetrical city warfare. It should also be a place where folks can upload links to relevant combat footage. This will help in the generation of TOEs, scenarios and campaigns.
This war is history in the making and should not be overlooked. There is also the possibility that it will spill over to other regions. Battlefront may decide to simulate this war especially if it grows out of hand.
This thread is NOT a place where we discuss the politics of the region. That would lead to a quagmire and @BFCElvis would be forced to shut 'er down.