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Fenris

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  1. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from hcrof in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Updated loses spreadsheet for Avdiivka (second tweet).  Quite eye watering numbers if these are truly accurate. Like Oryx, the spreadsheet links to the evidence of each claim.
     
  2. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Updated loses spreadsheet for Avdiivka (second tweet).  Quite eye watering numbers if these are truly accurate. Like Oryx, the spreadsheet links to the evidence of each claim.
     
  3. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Updated loses spreadsheet for Avdiivka (second tweet).  Quite eye watering numbers if these are truly accurate. Like Oryx, the spreadsheet links to the evidence of each claim.
     
  4. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Abrams sighting, although details are unclear.
     
  5. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wasn't there another Asimov story about the world being managed by AI, everything had been going great but then things started going wrong in a big way, famine etc. The main character investigates and discovers it's corrupt humans feeding incorrect data to the AI that's the problem. Might have been one of the Robot short stories, this human computer can't remember.
  6. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wasn't there another Asimov story about the world being managed by AI, everything had been going great but then things started going wrong in a big way, famine etc. The main character investigates and discovers it's corrupt humans feeding incorrect data to the AI that's the problem. Might have been one of the Robot short stories, this human computer can't remember.
  7. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wasn't there another Asimov story about the world being managed by AI, everything had been going great but then things started going wrong in a big way, famine etc. The main character investigates and discovers it's corrupt humans feeding incorrect data to the AI that's the problem. Might have been one of the Robot short stories, this human computer can't remember.
  8. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wasn't there another Asimov story about the world being managed by AI, everything had been going great but then things started going wrong in a big way, famine etc. The main character investigates and discovers it's corrupt humans feeding incorrect data to the AI that's the problem. Might have been one of the Robot short stories, this human computer can't remember.
  9. Upvote
    Fenris reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    UA proclaims that they sank Russian corvette "Ivanovets" with kamikaze USV.
     
  10. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Another interesting clip, night time recovery ending in the loss of both vehicles.  Looks like the lead gets stuck in a ditch after trying to out run the ubiquitous bomber drone.
     
  11. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Couple of clips with ground based drones this time.  Laying mines, a flail drone and bridge demolition.
     
     
  12. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Another interesting clip, night time recovery ending in the loss of both vehicles.  Looks like the lead gets stuck in a ditch after trying to out run the ubiquitous bomber drone.
     
  13. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Couple of clips with ground based drones this time.  Laying mines, a flail drone and bridge demolition.
     
     
  14. Thanks
    Fenris got a reaction from Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Couple of clips with ground based drones this time.  Laying mines, a flail drone and bridge demolition.
     
     
  15. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Another interesting clip, night time recovery ending in the loss of both vehicles.  Looks like the lead gets stuck in a ditch after trying to out run the ubiquitous bomber drone.
     
  16. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wonder if these are the same action (some other tweets state that it is)
     
     
  17. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Another interesting clip, night time recovery ending in the loss of both vehicles.  Looks like the lead gets stuck in a ditch after trying to out run the ubiquitous bomber drone.
     
  18. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Vision of Leo I + interview with the crew.  Has english subtitles if you turn them on.
     
  19. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Fernando in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Vision of Leo I + interview with the crew.  Has english subtitles if you turn them on.
     
  20. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Vision of Leo I + interview with the crew.  Has english subtitles if you turn them on.
     
  21. Upvote
    Fenris got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Is there anything they can't do?
     
  22. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Little example that things are hard for at least some of the the RU forces (note there's a close up of desiccated corpse if that bothers anyone).  He does look a bit under nourished compared to the Chechen's we used to see.
    And a Leo 2 looking very workman like (the Balkenkreuz on one of these might annoy some though).
     
  23. Upvote
    Fenris reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This video is a part of "Ukrainska pravda" article about first operations of naval drones. Alas in didn't translted to English as whole, only as shortened atricles, so briefly:
    1. First strike on Russian ships in the sea not far from Sevastopol should be conducten in the night from 16th on 17th September 2022. Five drones with 108 kg HE onbaoard each, despite large waves could approach to Sevastopol. Russian flagman frigade "Admiral Makarov" was spotted as main target. 70 km was left to the traget. But... Elon Musk turned off Starlink and UKR drones have lost control. Minister of digital transformation Fedorov (one of initiator of drone program), who was present in situation room tried to communicate with Musk, but he didn't want to listen. Attempts to convince him through US military channels also failed. Operation was foiled, Russian ships after this could launch missiles futher. By the way, by statistic, less then 50 % of Kalibrs were intercepted. Only two UKR drones could return to base. Other either sunk or self-exploded because of waves hit, being uncontroled. One of them was washed ashore near Sevastopol several days ago, so that was first unplanned ("thanks" to Musk) appearance or UKR naval drones on public.
    2. Afer this incident with Musk, developers team researched returned drones and made many improves in construction. Gradually drones got three independent communication systems to avoid losing of control. 
    So next attack was in the night from 28th to 29th of October. Four drones sailed to Sevastopol harbor, three prepared to attack Russian ships on the roadstead. Three drones attacked "Admiral Makarov" again, but only one could breack throug the waves and hit the ship in the stern part. Frigade lost speed in half and turned to harbor. In that time three other drones sneak to Streletskaya Bay, but was shelled by Russian coastal assets.
    Fortunately almost near the entrance to the bay the minesweeper "Ivan Golubets" has stood and she got own 108 kh HE - explosion damaged trilling compartment. Other drones in this moment struck oil terminal. 
    Damaged Russian frigade sailed to Streletskaya Bay too - Russian artillery from the coast mistakingly shelled the ship and frigade also returned fire.
    In this khaos, two drones, which coouldn't approach to frigade in first attack followed them and could sneak to the bay. Russians turned on all own EW assets, so GPS signal was lost, reserve communication was partially supreswed too, but allowed to control drones by TV channel. Vice-admiral Neyizhpapa, who served long time in Sevastopol and knew all bays, personally sat in drone operator chair - first drone was directed on second frigade "Admiral Essen" but hit the point between her and ASW frigade "Ladnyi", slightly damaged both (in the artcile claimed the drone was directed between two ships, but likely unstable control caused dron missed and hit a pier between ships)  
    3. After this attack, new drone "SeaBaby" was designed. Unlaike "Maliuk" with 108 kg of HE, It could carry 850 kg of HE (now it equipped also with thermobaric launchers). Also this drone got new comm system with 300 000 $ cost and was build from radio-transparent materials. Also unlike "Maliuk", developed in coperation with SBU and private companies, "SeaBaby" was designed and built exclisivley by own SBU engineers and IT team. Exactly "SeaBaby" drones hit Kerch bridge at the second time on 17th of July 2023.
    The team, developed "Maliuk", after SBU decisiosn to develop own drone by own team signed agreement with GUR (Intelligence Service Directorate) and soon "Magura" drone project has appeared - these drones are under Budanov's hand. In September 2023 "Magura" in first time damaged Russian patrol ship "Sergey Kotov", though damages weren't heavy. Also claimed "SeaBaby" and "Magura" struck several other Russian ships and auxiliary vessels, but damages also weren't critical or weren't confirmed. 
    4. In July 2023 Russia broken "grain agreenment" and became strike on UKR ports and elevators. Their patrol ships threatened to intercept any cargo vesels, sailing from UKR ports. Zelenskiy on Stavka meeting demanded to force Russian ships get away from western part of Black Sea. Was made a decision to show Russians theuir fleet will be vulnerable even in Novorossiysk, their second base. Cooperated operation was planned by Zaluzhnyi, Maliuk (SBU chief), Budanov (GUR chief), Neyizhpapa (Naval forces chief), Oleshchuk (Air Forces chief). So, ib the night on 4th August 2023 new  fastest drone "Mamai" went to sea. "Mamai" has lighter warhead than "SeaBaby" - 450 kg, but this is fastst drone, it can sail with a speed 110 km/h. On the way operators had many temptatins to hit tankers, carring Russian oil, but command prohibited atatck any civil vessel in neutral waters, even Russian. At last "Mamai" encountered LLS "Olenegorskiy gorniak" and successfully struckj it on the roadstead of Novorossiysk. In the article no mentions about other destroyed target - likely there were two drones, because off-shore oil terminal was hit too. On the next day other "Mamai" damaged Russian tanker "Sig", suppliying Russian miliyry. These attcks gradually forced Russians to minimaze own presence in western part of the sea and this allowed Ukraine to avoid new blocade. Reasons for Russia was not so military, but economical - after these atatcks insurance companies and freight companies have been rising own prices, so to calm situation and prices Russia was forced to withdraw. 
    By the way western partners were very dissatisfied with these attcks on Novortossiysk and Kerch strait - UKR leadership got many suggestions "do not do this anymore" - Novorossiysk is a huge hub for Kazakhstan and "grey" Russian oil, which go to markets, bypassing sanctions as other brands or for delution of brands. With one hand we help Ukraine, with other hand we buy an oil in Russia, supporting their capability to wage a war. Damned real politic. Even recent scandal that Pentagon bought Russian oil only confirms this.
    So, if you ask why Ukraine don't hit seriously Russiaon oil export infrastructre, adress this question to Washington.         
     
     
     
  24. Upvote
    Fenris reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Putin is about to get elected again.  Democracy is alive and well in Russia.  😜
  25. Like
    Fenris got a reaction from Bulletpoint in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Thanks, very interesting.  Some of the best footage I've seen to be honest.
    Edits - 19min mark guy gets hit with shrapnel right in front of her from a tree burst.
    Enemy armour around 22 min?  Stressful
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