The_MonkeyKing

even better:

https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/04/answering-call-heavy-weaponry-supplied.html Oryx counts 3 so far. Links on the website

I am really surprised we are still to see a derailing

aa, I missed that. Good reads

Very alarming figures coming out of Ukrainian military(notice, this is full attention from all sources):

I hate it how much work it requires to make it happen in CM and still the results are somewhat uncertain. Also unfortunately the observation position is practically impossible to do. (meaning only the optics or commanders head with binoculars is up, this is used to pre-aim the gun and only commence the rest of the drill when everything is ready) I supplement this in CM by placing infantry scout the on the ridge within hearing distance of the tank(s). Also in US footage of berm drill I rarely see swapping of the positions, in Finnish army you are only allowed to shoot once from one berm before you have to switch to another one. At least 2-3 berms per tank. Same as infantry, never peek twice in a row from the same spot.

one of the indirect fire helicopter missions: I must say I am surprised how effective it looks. Like a micro MLRS. We need this in CM.

analyst of analysts on analysists doing analysis:

I have the same leaning but I am not counting out that Kofman was right when he said (and still says) it is too early to tell the outcome from the first couple of weeks/months and this might indeed turn into a stalemate with western resolve cracking and Ukraine turning to economical stone age with any sort of close to current state ceasefire.

and on the Russia news they are cannibalizing's the rest of their combat generation power: Koffman also mentions this. They are likely to crimple their combat power generation for a long time by sending the training manpower and equipment to Ukraine.

https://warontherocks.com/2022/06/the-most-dangerous-phase-for-ukraine/ bleaker 20min for a change. some picks: - Ukraine has to transition to western arms (for example 152mm/122mm is going to run out at some point) - a lot depends on the level of the western support - a lot depends on the UKR ability to absorb the western aid. Especially keeping the new systems in the field (maintenance) - Russia might very well see itself winning and the time being on its side - This war had two parts. The regime change part and the current part. Now Russians are fighting more like we thought they would (EW, massed fires, drones). - Ukraine has huge challenges with attrition, ammo and best troops big part gone - War is now defined by artillery fires and attrition. Neither side has the capacity for breakthroughs maneuver warfare. Kofman still sees UKR as "winning" but facing big challenges and any hope for fast collapse of the Russian military and kicking the Russians out anytime soon is wishful thinking. Much if not everything depends on the level of the western support.

I think it is just stupid to exchange 1:1.

Russia is running out of steam. They have reduced their goals at every turn and now there is no room for further reduction. Already the fact that the city assault begun before the siege was completed tells something. Like that the completion of the siege was seen unlikely by the Russians in any near term. I would now call the Russian Donbass offensive campaign over. Time to start countering the incoming unfounded stalemate arguments.

Getting that naval blockage is similar problem to solve as a no fly zone. You got to enforce it and Russians are sure to test it. Also Turkey decides everything with their strait.

and that half is the industrial park half: similar with the neighboring Rubizhne

Interesting news from Severodonetsk

I presume this means PzH2000 is going in fully capable and integrated to Ukraine systems?

Pentagon specifically said they have significant "surge ability" with these HIMARS/MLRS systems.

source

If someone was wondering why the gas was cut from Bulgaria as well:

Interesting, according to Oryx it is M270 and Germany is giving 4 as well.

Official announcement with details should come out today with more details I believe. I am also waiting for M109 from the US any day now...

Three week training for Flakpanzer Gepard is raising some eyebrows. I hope and presume the training has been ongoing starting from the announcement week and this is just some sort of final live fire field exercise period.