hcrof
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hcrof reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
UK MOD does seem to be paying close attention.
UK launches military drone strategy backed by $5.7 billion funding and Ukraine analysis.
Breaking Defence
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
UKR test prototype of individual solder multishot anti-FVP weapon
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hcrof reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Syrsky looking at his recruitment and training process first, while the ZSU tries to hold on. He's right.
Any thoughts or extra info from our UKR friends?
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
I looked over the less interesting questions from the UKR former tanker interview and to see what could still be noteworthy. So, below is part 2.
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Recently, I noticed that my UKR listening skills have improved noticeably. With the aid of translators and some effort, I can watch and translate UKR videos. So, let check the following interview with UKR AFV expert (former AFU tank officer)
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hcrof reacted to Maciej Zwolinski in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Translating dolboyebism is a complex task. You need to include several steps
First, Dolboyebism - the suffix "-ism" suggests that this is a word denoting things related to another word, in this context it would probably mean "something that a dolbayeb would do" (a hypothesis confirmed by meaningful conclusion of step 2).
Second, "dolbayeb" is a compound word, where two parts may be distinguished: "do lba" (to the head) and "yeb". Given that we are dealing with a swear word, it may be safely assumed that "yeb" pertains to "yebat", to have sex (rude).
Thus we arrive at "dolbayeb" - man, with whose head someone had sex (presumably damaging it in the process) - and "dolbayebism" - "a thing so stupid, that it could be done by a man, with whose head someone had sex, damaging it in the process".
On the Internet I found someone's translation of "dolbayeb" as "****head", which I like as it is both correct as to the meaning and the closest ethymologically. Dolboyebism thus could be translated as "****headery" or "****headism".
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
I want to discuss that RU DOLBOYEBIZM with formations of troops on a training ground within HIMARs range. I was reading the RU Nat conversations and came across an interesting comment. As usual, RU Nats were arguing that RU generals should be executed. Then one man added, "Don't make blind claims about generals. These formations are common. They [training ground officers] do it regularly, and not only for generals".
I began to wonder why they did it (if it was true). The explanation is actually rather simple: an AWOL problem. There is minimal transportation on the front lines, thus little opportunity to go AWOL. The training grounds are different. It is several dozens of kilometers behind the front line. There are many more possibilities for transportation, including civilian cars.
So, how do you know if somebody is missing? You regularly arrange soldiers in formation and count them. Why can't subordinate commanders count soldiers in small groups and report back to you? Because that is the RU army. Your subordinate commander is full of BS; they take bribes and declare that everyone is present. The only accurate method is to count soldiers oneself.
Dolboyoby.
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hcrof reacted to Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Captain Pletenchuk shares some information on the BSF having issues using Caliber missiles.
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hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
HIMARS strike near Volnovakha allegedly has took a life of colonel Gusein Musayev, commander of 36th motor-rifle brigade. He lined up 2nd motor-rifle battalion, before a visit of major-general Oleg Moiseev, commander of 29th CAA. Our guys slightly hurried up with a strike.
In Borzia district of Transbaikal region, from where is 36th brigade a mourning is announced
Though as became knowingly, this strike got a big resonance, because it aftermath was filmed by cameras of many soldiers, survived after the hit. A week before, on 14th Feb the same incident was near Dokuchayevsk, the town near Volnovakha, but both RUS TGs and local sources have written only about a fact of strike, but losses still unknown. On the range near Dokuchayevsk there were about 300 servicemen
But this is not all. Several hours ago, Russian TGs reported about the same incident with HIMARS on lined up troops on the range in Kherson oblast
Two majors TG
The range. Kherson oblast. Again.
Comrade officers and junior commanders. Please, take responsibility on yourselfs.
Callsign OSETN TG
Today a range again. Kherson oblast. Nobody disn't cancel dolboyebizm [I can't translate this in Englisg equivalent - it means "enormously fu...g stupid way of decision making or a deed]. A Kingdom of God for lads. Khokhols, don't laugh, you will be fu...d at all.
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
We should not expect any more suicides since, as you mentioned, he was an idealist. Any other RU Nat in his position would swallow his pride (which is not a huge thing for Russians) and survive. More crucially, any other RU Nat would unlikely place himself in the same circumstances. Murz issued an ultimatum to the propagandist, who belonged to a powerfull (relatively speaking) propaganda network. No other RU Nat would do that.
However, what we should expect is increased disfranchisement of RU Nats and their quiet exodus from the war.
quote
Another one
And another one
The crucial point is that the situation in an LDPR grouping is the best in terms of combat capability on average due to the presence of experienced LDPR commanders and specialists (such as Murz). Furthermore, there is an extensive and sophisticated RU Volunteer supply network there. Other directions are worse, that's why we should use Murz info as sort of best-case data.
For example, Donetsk grouping recently pushed UKR out of Avdiivka. Kherson grouping, despite having supposedly one of the best RU commanders and not insignificant resources, still battles something like hundred UKR marines in the village. Zaporozhy grouping banging Robotne bulge. North Luhansk grouping is banging villages around Kupyansk.
That's RU state for you.
However, there is a rift between LDPR fighters and RU regulars. LDPR are very dissatisfied with RU state traditions. We knew about it before from GUR phone intercepts but now it has started to spill in public domain.
Former LDPR fighter from Donetsks
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hcrof reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
It feels to me that between Wagner's dissolution, Girkin's imprisonment and Murz's suicide, the death knell for 'altruistic' Russian revanchism as been well and full rung. More proof of the demobilized and demobilizing political nature of Putin's sclerotic regime and a very good thing for long term Ukrainian prospects.
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hcrof reacted to Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Do you think? According to my very crude calculation, given full HD you have 1 pixel per 40cm at 1km distance with a FOV of 45° (which is the minimum we are using in automated driving). Usually the FOV should be larger, I think, so resolution is worse.
Add to this that Ukraine has a rather diverse fleet of DIY drones. You have many different camera configurations with different resolutions, FOVs and calibrations. That makes applying AI complicated as detection models are often sensitive to these differences. Not impossible but not something I'd expect to give good results out of the box.
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hcrof got a reaction from Panserjeger in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down"
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Murz was a prominent member of the DPR and ultranationalist movement. Indeed, he has seen a lot of dead comrades. And not all of their deaths were glorious. For example, last year, his close buddy Nazi Bereg (the infamous guy with the UKR scull) was murdered by Wagnerites during an attempted robbery (Wagnerites were ambushing and robbing mobiks returning from frontlines). The murder was covered up by Wagnerite higher ups (rumors were that Prig himself).
On the other hand, Murz, was a die-hard left-wing RU Nat. For him, it was a total war against Western capitalists who cruelly murders innocent Russians. He would never stop.
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Nesmyan (civilian Girkin) about sanctions
Economy - Russia is wining on this one
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hcrof reacted to Offshoot in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
With regard to being open about Russian methods, a series of billboards in Tallinn reminds people about Russkiy Mir in a dramatic, creative and in-your-face way.
Gallery: Exhibition showing destroyed public space on display in Tallinn
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
The report explains how RU army "manages" to remain in the fight thus far.
P.S. Indeed, Murz left full blown suicide note. Except to get a feel of the mood.
And this is how RU army learns from mistakes.
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hcrof reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
If he moves in the kind of ultranationalist/DPR circles I think he does, he has probably seen 75% of the people he knew two years ago die or get crippled for life in the "Special Military Operation". He wouldn't be the fist person to go around the bend in such circumstances. Especially as he is better placed than almost anyone to understand how unlikely Russia is gain anything that matters from this war, at least relative to the bill.
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hcrof reacted to Grigb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Murz posted that he had a difficult talk with his military superior (brigade commander) and removed the post under direct order/threat. Next, he wrote something that may be considered a suicide note. But he did post something that looked like soldier's report. Looking into it.
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hcrof got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down"
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.
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hcrof got a reaction from chris talpas in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down"
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.
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hcrof got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down"
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.
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hcrof reacted to poesel in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
China would never ever do anything that jeopardized international waterways. This would directly cut into their trading revenue and they would bleed themselves.
Even if Putin wouldn't for once been lying and the pipe were operational tomorrow: a pipe has two ends and one end is closed. And it won't open again (at least not for natural gas).
Germany has long term contracts with other suppliers. We don't need Russian gas anymore. Even if it were politically possible to buy Russian gas again, it would take years before we would. That ship has sailed, working pipeline or not.
Drones of this size usually use Lithium-polymer (Lipo) batteries. Fully charged, they have 4.2V. If you care about the longevity of your batteries, you don't discharge them below 3.5V. If you go below that, you get a 'low battery' alarm (the threshold is of course adjustable).
If you don't care (and you don't for kamikaze drones) then you can suck them dry. But if the voltage gets too low, your control electronics will fail. Much of these electronics run at 3.3V so 3V is really close to the edge of losing the drone.
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hcrof reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
I don't spend time with drones, but I do spend time using the "wrong" type of batteries in things. It's possible that the drones are all on low battery, or it could be that they're using batteries that run at a little lower voltage than whatever the drone was designed for. There are lots of batteries that are "direct substitutes" with slightly different chemistries that run at lower cell voltages. Some devices care a lot and won't work, while other devices just say "low battery" from the time you put it in to the time it runs out.