Offshoot
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Posts posted by Offshoot
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29 minutes ago, Huba said:
Rosgvardia barracks hit in Kherson, a lot of info incoming now
This must be the same one with location
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Given Boris Johnson's prominent support, his resignation is unfortunate timing for Ukraine. The usual Russian suspects have reacted as you would expect - https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2022/jul/07/glee-in-russia-and-sadness-in-ukraine-as-boris-johnson-quits
And perhaps with some hubris: "The Russian embassy in the UK tweeted a Bloomberg headline from last month which quoted him as saying he planned to stay on as prime minister until the mid-2030s. “Something must have gone wrong,” the embassy’s caption above the headline said."Putin himself passed a law that could see him be in power until the mid-2030s. We will see if he lasts.
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1 hour ago, FancyCat said:
Kherson has been showing heavy fire. Wonder if it's another localized push or a actual offensive. If I were Zelensky (you know, I dunno what Zelensky decides, does he do a lot of input or control over the military?), I would want Kherson before the fall mud. Give Russia and the separatists something to ponder as they wait for the next offensive
From the old Time interview with Zelensky:
"Such outings were rare. Though he received frequent updates from his generals and gave them broad instructions, Zelensky did not pretend to be a tactical savant. His Defense Minister was seldom by his side. Nor were any of Ukraine’s top military commanders. “He lets them do the fighting,” says Arestovych, his adviser on military affairs."
https://time.com/6171277/volodymyr-zelensky-interview-ukraine-war/
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12 minutes ago, FancyCat said:
What does he mean by "might "off" you there too"? Kill the mother to hide the fact they took a bribe and then betrayed the deal?
I don't think so. You is being used generally here to refer to anyone who might be transferred for a bribe, not specifically to his mother.
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5 hours ago, Jammason said:
So the hot war of independence for DPR & LPR that started in 2014 (and gained momentum with civilian protests) is all Russian puppeteering and the puppets actually don't want independence at all? I'm curious: If a honest referendum (impossible, I know, but humor me) was held in DPR and LPR today, what is your percentage estimate of voters who would favor rejoining Ukraine over independence?
Likely they would go with whichever side they thought would provide the most stability and investment in infrastructure. If Ukraine joined the EU it might boost the pro-Ukrainian vote, or, given the older population in the Donbass now, the thought of Russian pensions might prevail.
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14 minutes ago, Grigb said:
Do you remember talks to supply 105-mm L118 howitzers to Ukraine?
The New Zealand Defence Force is providing training for the L119 now (https://mil.in.ua/en/news/ukraine-will-receive-105-mm-l119-howitzers/).
If I recall correctly, the guns themselves were coming from the US?
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Guy is a good shot
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Was just about to post it from the source (https://www.defense.gov/News/Releases/Release/Article/3066864/fact-sheet-on-us-security-assistance-to-ukraine/).
For some reason the DoD fact sheet doesn't say the number of High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems being sent. maybe because they haven't decided how many yet?
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11 minutes ago, YouWillOwnNothing said:
I reminds me about a Nazi, refusing to look at a calculation presented by Einstein, because it was from a jew.
This shows your disconnect from critical analysis. You see, Einstein was in fact a genius who knew what he was talking about, whereas the man you are promoting here (assuming it is the same Mercouris, which you haven't denied) has been shown to have a very tenuous relationship with the truth (just one example from his rap sheet: "you purported to obtain a statement from H that was not a true document and you knew was not a true document and you had not had any contact with H").
You talk about facts but have not discussed any, instead dropping a link with no explanation. I don't accept anything as fact without verification, and certainly not when provided by some sketchy dude intermixed with a bunch of his reckons.
Don't bother replying to me personally. I have added you to my ignore list as your contributions here are valueless.
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Is this the same Alexander Mercouris who was disbarred by the Bar Standards Board in 2012? If so, he sounds like someone you can really trust for some "realism" - https://www.barstandardsboard.org.uk/disciplinary_finding/76984.html
Edit: I should have noted that in another Youtube video he is described as "a former London lawyer".
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1 hour ago, Battlefront.com said:
It really hurts my head to try and put myself in the mindset of someone who can help the Russians destroy and kill everything around you in the name of "liberation", yet it's not just one or two people that did this. In fact, we had a Russian poster early in the war blaming Ukraine for the fact that he had family members sheltering in their basements in Sumy with no food or heat. Worse, this was a Russia living abroad (presumably in the West). I asked him how it was Ukraine's fault that Russia was indiscriminately shelling residential areas. Not surprisingly, no response to that rather simple question.
I found this article telling the stories of some teenagers in Mariupol revealing (https://www.theguardian.com/global-development/2022/apr/01/who-will-return-my-stolen-life-to-me-the-teenagers-who-fled-mariupol-ukraine). As they are young there wasn't any equivocation. The third one straight up thinks that the Ukrainians wanted to kill them and the Russians saved them based on his father's opinions. Most civilians wouldn't have a clue where shells and bullets are coming from, so it is easy to lie to them if it aligns with their pre-existing biases (and some in the Donbas have had this for years). It's just a short step from that to actively helping the Russians.
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8 hours ago, Beleg85 said:
Now finally Sumlenny posted something fresh and worth of reading.
Best is Russian Specnaz boarding HMS Victory. Or this one: "Novorossiya pilot" awakes in a body of Josef Stalin's son Vassily, a war pilot, and wins the war, revealing a Western agent Khrushchov, saving Stalinism".
It's funny, but if you analyze society through its popculture it is really scarry what it can do to collective mentality. Movies like "Stalingrad", "Orda", "1612" were all so bloody, dumb, naive and sadistic that to Western viewers looked like American Pulp Fiction genre. But in retrospect, they were mainstream that builded this damn mythos.
Not to do offtopic- it illustrates that state of collective Russian psyche is one of the reasons why this war may be longer and bloodier than some people in the West suggest, drawing on military situation alone.
Crazy stuff but not such a surprise after reading about Fomenko's New Chronology and its connection to imperialism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_chronology_(Fomenko))
I wonder now if that fire at the state publishing company a couple of months ago was just an accident. Given Sumlenny shows there was a campaign to try to stop these publications, some people in Russia were clearly aware of it. -
The death of a drone (2nd video from 40 seconds)
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51 minutes ago, LongLeftFlank said:
The Russian tank is guarding an infantry position, but the muzhiks can't be arsed to leave their holes to help their tank out.
There is a guy out of his hole at the start, on the right-hand side of the road. When the tank fires almost right above him I bet he wished he was back in it.
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Talking of blowing bridges.
Translated from the Telegram page:
Details: The 8th Special Forces Regiment, together with the NGU and the 15th Main Directorate of the UVKR SBU, in order to stop the offensive of the Russian armed forces in the direction of the cities of Severodonetsk and the city of Lisichansk, Lugansk region, destroyed the railway bridges captured by the enemy in the key communication between the city of Rubizhne and the city Severodonetsk, Luhansk region.
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4 minutes ago, c3k said:
To purposely scuttle a tank (is "Moskva'ing" a verb yet?
) takes a driver with balls.
Open the hatch, drive into the water, then swim out as the water comes over your head?
Or, can the T72 be put in gear and then the driver can hop out while it just drives away with no one in it?
I asked similar questions when wondering why they were so particular about keeping the barrels out of the water if they were scuttling the tanks.
I don't know anything about the different types, but I just watched a video that said the T72 driver can remove their seat back and go out through the turret. -
Ukraine war: Military intelligence chief 'optimistic' of Russian defeat saying war 'will be over by end of year'
Major General Kyrylo Budanov spoke exclusively to Sky News and predicted the war will reach a turning point in August. He correctly predicted when Russia would invade earlier this year.
https://news.sky.com/story/ukraine-war-military-intelligence-chief-optimistic-of-russian-defeat-saying-war-will-be-over-by-end-of-year-12612320?dcmp=snt-sf-twitter# -
11 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
Seems BLUE was sunk by yet another artillery strike. However, it seems intact enough that at least tracked vehicles could use it. The question is... WHY?!? Except to evacuate, what's the point? The last reports I saw was the bridgehead forces were eliminated without having made any gains.
Lunacy.
Here's a thread by a retired Australian major general. He starts by giving a rundown on the steps for a successful river crossing, describing how difficult they are.
He then proposes, given their difficulty, that the Russians were heavily invested in converting this into a major axis of attack, which would explain why they kept coming back. Perhaps this point is rather obvious, though he has said other commentators have missed it.
What alternatives do the Russians now have for this advance? Are they trying to hurry things up because they are worried about the impact the new weaponry (especially artillery) now arriving in Ukraine will now have?
An important aspect of assault river crossings is that they are only undertaken if absolutely necessary...
Therefore, such operations normally only occur on an axis of advance that is a main effort (or about to become the main effort)...
the Russians clearly intended to invest in this axis and throw a lot of combat power down it...
defeating this assault river crossing has probably denied the Russians an axis of advance they clearly thought was going to be productive for them in their eastern offensive.
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53 minutes ago, Homer The Doomer said:
I hope this hasn't been posted before: cut and edited phone camera footage of a young Russian NCO's life before and during the invasion released by Ukraine after his capture. It sheds a fascinating and disturbing light on the Russian army and its perspective on the war.
It says at the end that this guy was the de facto assistant chief of staff of the regiment, and the video gives the impression he has no idea what is going on. If it is a good representation, it is no wonder the Russians are where they are.
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18 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
I reread the engineer's narrative and it checks out with my theory. Swimming vehicles went over while they were building the YELLOW bridge. Just as they completed it they smashed it with artillery, so not many vehicles got over that way before it was cut off. This was May 8. On May 9 they tried again with RED bridge, which he noted was also attacked and destroyed. He makes no mention of BLUE or attacking it, so I think I'm correct they couldn't swim any more vehicles (too much debris) and BLUE was never finished so it wasn't attacked. He apparently wasn't informed about BLUE and, as they didn't attack it, didn't have a reason to know there was a third attempt.
Steve
Is it possible the red circled spots in the right-hand pic are from shelling? If so, they may have abandoned blue after it came under fire again and they finally decided to give up. The smoke would also indicate that there was fighting here after the first two bridges were destroyed.
BTW, when I mentioned the vehicle traffic, I meant that it doesn't look like it was there until after yellow and red were destroyed.
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8 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
Maybe this closeup will show you what you are missing. You can clearly see two sunken bridge sections that correspond EXACTLY to the remaining RED bridge pieces and to the obvious other departure point.
No doubt there was two bridges here. The video I posted shows only RED. This means BLUE hadn't been set up yet and YELLOW was already gone as there's no sign of it at all. As I said, pieces of YELLOW still on the close bank were likely used to create RED and the hasty hacked path to RED underscores it was not the original site.
Sorry, my post wasn't clear. I agree that there were three crossings. I don't, however, think that they swam vehicles from the Russian side of blue as there is no real sign of traffic there at a point when yellow and red have already been destroyed.
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33 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
First Crossing
YELLOW was the original bridge. You can see it is inline with the approach road and saw significant vehicle traffic. At least three AFVs were destroyed on the far bank when the bridge was destroyed.
At the same time they swam vehicles from where BLUE is situated. These landed around the area that RED crossed to. You can see three AFVs that were destroyed there.
I'm not sure that is the case. I posted a side by side comparison before (but messed up the embed) of the two shown stages and by the time the first bridge(s) are down, there doesn't look like there has been much if any activity from the blue crossing. I agree it looks like they also tried a bridge at yellow.
It seems I don't know how to embed an image file (the box goes red when I paste a URL from an image host into it). Here's the link again anyway:
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A side by side comparison of the two pontoon pictures. The Russians must really have wanted to get across there. You can't see any newly destroyed vehicles on the Ukrainian side (I assume top) in the second picture, so I wonder what happened to the forlorn tanks in the first picture? The holes in the pontoon bridges are new in the second picture, however.
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1 hour ago, chrisl said:
And just noticed that the overhead pic in the Twitter thread from Maxim only shows the bridge that has the mud tracks on it, and maybe fewer burned vehicles on the far side. The "clean" second boat ramp was a later attempt.
Looking at the two pictures, I am not convinced it is the same river crossing.
Edit: Actually, I changed my mind, but the picture on the twitter thread appears to be some time before the Russians tried to put the 2nd bridge up.
) takes a driver with balls.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted · Edited by Offshoot
The censor.net article might expand on the story. Unfortunately I can't access censor.net for some reason.
And a news item about the raid (but no subtitles). The google translated title says "Raid on the occupied territory: HUR soldiers killed Russian prison guards and rescued prisoners". No idea why these particular prisoners though.