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poesel

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  1. Like
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    UKR soldier in anti-thermal sight poncho. By feedback from soldiers it really masks from thermal sights unveling and they several times could approach to enemy positions in the night unspotted until the last moment. Main issues - the fabric is too rustles during crawling and it damn hot in this poncho. 

  2. Like
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    The work of pyrotechnicians of State Emergency Service this morning in Kyiv - they loaded an unexploded Kh-101 warhead, moved it out of the city and blew up. You can watch a process. Settlers of this house can celebrete own second birthday
     
  3. Like
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's because the attack was all directed on Kyiv with strongest AD shield in Ukraine. If each city had the same protection, the total result would be like this.
    It was at 5:00 I heard two Patriots launches, then heavy boom so windows shaken. It was Kinzhal or Iskander interception - it came from NE direction, were my district is located, so interception of ballistic missiles add some adrenaline %) Then, since 5 minutes one more (aero)ballistic target was destroyed, but slightly further. Then I heard 2-3 distant booms - all other missiles flew from western direction and were intercepted there - it's too far from me. 
     But anyway, several Kh-101 were intercepted over the city and hit the ground in residental areas  - 12 citizens were wounded. Damaged several buildings, one workshop, kindergarden, church, local power substation. Several cars burnt. 
    Here fragment of missile impacted on the street not far from one of specific object %) and damaged buildings around - probably warhead detonated. 


    Here of course "underground command bunker was destroyed" )))

    People of this house were really lucky...

    ... Because warhead of intercepted Kh-101 fell down directly near the building and didn't explode

    Of course, Russian MoD made a statement "the strike, including Kinzhal missiles was performed on decision making centers - all targets were hit". Ok. 390 millions USD to nowhere. Rich country...
  4. Like
    poesel reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yay 
  5. Upvote
    poesel reacted to Centurian52 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is a conversation I've had with my dad (he's a philosophy professor). When is it fair to blame someone for their actions, vs when do the circumstances around the action (mental health, broken home, etc...) add up to the point where it is no longer fair to blame someone? My father considers himself a pragmatist, so it should come as no surprise that his answer is that you should direct moral blame against someone when it works. His view is that the purpose of moral blame is to change a person's behavior. Humans are generally social creatures, so having a bunch of other humans telling them that they shouldn't do a thing should generally make them less likely to do that thing again in the future. Healthy humans are usually very uncomfortable with a bunch of other humans strongly disapproving of their actions.
    He uses a thermostat as an example. If the room is too cold, you adjust the thermostat. If the thermostat is broken, then adjusting it won't work. So there is no point in trying to adjust it. If someone does something that we think they shouldn't do, we leverage moral blame to get them to stop doing it (and to deter other people from doing it in the first place). But if a person's brain is broken to the point that moral blame is no longer effective at getting them to stop doing the thing they shouldn't do, then there is no point in blaming them for doing that thing (I believe our discussion at the time was mainly about mental health).
    So, when do the circumstances around an action add up to the point that it's no longer fair to blame a person for their actions? According to my father, it's when the circumstances around the action add up to the point that no amount of moral blame will be effective in deterring someone from doing that thing again under similar circumstances.
    So, by this logic, can we blame the population of a country for their actions? Maybe? I think there is some precedent for aggressive ad campaigns saying "you shouldn't do the thing!" getting the population of a country to do a thing at lower rates. I doubt there's much we can do to change the behavior of the Russian population, simply because I don't think western media has enough penetration into Russian society. In any case, moral blame is certainly a much fuzzier concept for populations than it is for individual people.
  6. Like
    poesel reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I dunno.  My cat was really aggressive and peeing all over the place.  Then I got him "fixed" and he behaves a whole lot better.
  7. Like
    poesel reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's a nerf gun but still... Shiver. 
    https://www.instagram.com/reel/C1ERDLCIWaf/?igsh=MWF4aGk1Nmd4cmQ3Ng==
     
  8. Upvote
    poesel reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  9. Like
    poesel got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Is Ukraine actually shelling the civilian parts of Belgorod? Or the Free Russians? Or where do these impacts come from?
    Because if they do - why?
     
  10. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Actually, he got 105%. But, as the modest person he is, Putin reduced it to 85% to show some respect for the other puppets candidates.
  11. Like
    poesel got a reaction from Joe982 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Btw, Putin won the election. With twice the candidates and the age of the candidates 20 years younger (on average) than the US election, it must have been more democratic and better.
  12. Like
    poesel got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Btw, Putin won the election. With twice the candidates and the age of the candidates 20 years younger (on average) than the US election, it must have been more democratic and better.
  13. Upvote
    poesel reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It is amazing what happens when you pay cash in hard currency. 
    Edit: And the Czech President deserves a top job at NATO or the EU for getting this one edit: done! In midst of and endless blathering panic he has gotten shells on trains and headed to the front.
  14. Like
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Operation in Belgorod and Kursk oblasts still under a fog of war. 
    Today we had only free-Russian fighters "presentation" of 25 captured enemies, among them was platoon commander of 45th engineer-sapper brigade of Western military district, which unit set minefield, was attacked and destroyed. 
    Free-Russia fighters wrote, Russian aviation is dropping many KABs/FABs on own villages and settlements, and its number is more that was in Bakhmut.  
    Russian milbliggers became more pessimistic (therea are no more reports about completely repelled attack) - they report  about fierce clashes, especially in Kozinka and Spodariushyno. Graivoron is under artillery shelling. Belgorod is under periodical MLRS strikes and... under fallings of Pantsyr S1 launch stages. For today more than a dozen buildings got damages, were destroyed and damaged more than two dozens of cars
      
  15. Like
    poesel reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    870 km from closest point on the border. 
    Both these refineries maintained about 10 % of Russian oil products output. Reportedly, one of this refineries lost 70 % of output, so total loss Russia oil production capabilities already declined on about 15 % or even 20 %
  16. Like
    poesel got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
  17. Like
    poesel got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
  18. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Butschi in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I guess most people here (me included) don't read Russian and thus don't read the relevant TG groups. Since most stuff here is Pro-Ukrainian, we get a very biased view of what is really happening.
    For a better opinion I would have to watch more of the Russian stuff and, even if that is a bit stupid, I don't really want to do that.
  19. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I guess most people here (me included) don't read Russian and thus don't read the relevant TG groups. Since most stuff here is Pro-Ukrainian, we get a very biased view of what is really happening.
    For a better opinion I would have to watch more of the Russian stuff and, even if that is a bit stupid, I don't really want to do that.
  20. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I guess most people here (me included) don't read Russian and thus don't read the relevant TG groups. Since most stuff here is Pro-Ukrainian, we get a very biased view of what is really happening.
    For a better opinion I would have to watch more of the Russian stuff and, even if that is a bit stupid, I don't really want to do that.
  21. Upvote
    poesel reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And see it that way: some of that EU money might be added to that. It's a pure bonus.
    The most importnt part is of course that this represents a legal precedent.
    The EU has been producing legal precedents with mind-boggling speed since Feb 2022, actually, compared to how sluggish the EU is designed to be (to facilitate common ground between diverse member nations).
    This sleepy giant started to run, and he has deep coffers.
  22. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
  23. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from zinz in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
  24. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
  25. Upvote
    poesel got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    That's 500 mil just for ammo production, out of a total of 2 bil for defense spending.
    But more important than the actual numbers is the fact, that the EU as an entity is spending money on defense. AFAIK, that is unprecedented.
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