poesel

That one I am not so sure of. Setting aside the darkness surrounding a full Russian state collapse, that you have appropriately pointed out, it seems to me that China is actually the one in a position to benefit from that. At least in their near border area they are in a place that the could take over (directly or by proxy) and stabilize huge portions of the country to their exclusive benefit.
Then considering the darkness that may result form a full state collapse China is also the one least effected by those concerns. They have far better and more ruthless control over what nerdowells get up to inside their country and given they could likely stabilize a large portion of the country for their benefit they might skate on the downside of a state wide collapse.

Interesting post from Russian telegrammer:
https://t.me/rogozin_do/5657
 
 

"Magyar" claims his unit, using EW system, managed to supress and land Russian "Lancet"
 

Karma is working. Because of ruining of the dam, Orsk city in Orengurg oblast (on the border with Kazakhstan) is flooded. Local refinery with 6,6 mln.tons year output is halted. The water is coming to Orenburg city. Local authorities thinhking about partial evacuation of citizens. 

The story with Tsar-EW-tank got a continue.
After Russian attack was repelled, additional recon showed that this tank hadn't critical damages and can be moved to our positions as valuable source, because almost all Russian portable anti-drone EW assets were mounted which just were possible. It's turned out our FPV damaged only targeting system, then a tank tracks stuck in barbed wire with attached AT-mines, tank lost control, crashed into disabled BMP and stopped - the crew abandoned tank. 
During several nights two "Azov" tankers have been providing reparing works. They unlocked driver's hatch, because a gun was directly under it, then they changed a 70 kg battery, which brought from own positions - this work should be done by three men, but they did it together. Then they unraveled and cut the wire on the tracks and removed a mine under the tank. All this in the nights and not in calm situation - one night Russians tried to recapture tank, sending a group on the bikes (!!!), but it was eliminated. 
After all "Azov" tankers turned on engine and drove to own positions in Terny. But on the route the tank in the darkness fell into bomb crater, the driver hit head and lost consciousness. Fortunately he came to senses soon and could drive out the crater. Tank arrived to Terny, where the crew already awaited Serhiy "Flash" - admin of FB/TG channel about EW and communication systems. On the photo below he already researhes trophy equipmnent
    
 

This is something I am really interested to see and have been thinking about a lot.
I think the strategic level games will remain fairly similar, although the fun challenge remains. For instance something like Afghanistan '11 incorporated a hearts and minds mechanic, but we now know how successful that wasn't in reality. If we see "Ukraine '24" as a proxy war between Russia and "the west", then the strategic-level elements are going to need to be even more macro, with additional "undermining democracy and eroding support" mechanics that target people in a whole nother hemisphere. This might make for a good grand strategy game but it feels a little depressing as a wargame, because it's a random factor whose outcome can't be linked to the decisions the player is making as a general in the theater.
On the tactical level you could argue that real-world technology is finally catching up to what gamers have been privilege to since the beginning - a magical eye-in-the-sky view of the battlefield, a perfect memory of every unit that allowed themselves to be seen, an ability to target specific "squares" with indirect fire even when there isn't a spotter on the ground... But right now with the relatively static front lines it seems like there isn't really any "fun" stuff to sim. Even if it was a drone-based sim, having a scenario where your start and end positions are exactly the same but one side just lost a bit less hardware than the other doesn't really feel like a win, regardless of what impact it might have in the longer arc of the war.
Perhaps a more interesting tactical level sim at the current level of drone warfare would be deep strike ops. Something structured like Phantom Doctrine but with drones sinking ships or bombing oil refineries instead of human spies infiltrating buildings. I guess it's easier to come up with a game-like structure when there is a clear success condition. We might have to wait till the end of this war to understand what that could look like in a CM-style infantry/ground tactics sim.

I guess this is the AI part: an optical system that can track the tank with a camera. Probably the operator needs to point out the target once and then it is autonomous. No amount of EW can defeat that (unless you can fry the drone with microwaves).

I guess this is the AI part: an optical system that can track the tank with a camera. Probably the operator needs to point out the target once and then it is autonomous. No amount of EW can defeat that (unless you can fry the drone with microwaves).

I guess this is the AI part: an optical system that can track the tank with a camera. Probably the operator needs to point out the target once and then it is autonomous. No amount of EW can defeat that (unless you can fry the drone with microwaves).

According to Anrew Perpetua analysys, Russia in March lost record number of BMPs for last 17 months - 262 (though absolute record 565 BMPs for March 2022 still unbeaten). Also for 1st of April Russia lost a record number of BMPs in one day - 34
  

During today's press-conference with president of FInland Alexader Stubb, Vladimir Zelenskiy criticized those who condemn Ukrainian strikes on Russian territory and Russian refineries. 

"I guess in order to understrand how to survive in Kharkiv, how people live without electricity and water, some people probably have to visit here, look on this and then something condemn or not. Russia doesn't understand anything, except the force. And all these condemns of Russia for their occupation of our territories, strikes on our power system, blackoutsm which we survived during these two years... All these condemns didn't cause reducing of Russian attacks. This proves that these people [Russians] understand only when there is a strong response. Because of this I believe western partners must support Ukrainian responses"
Finnish president suported possibility of western troops presence in Ukraine
But on other hand president of France on own recent meeting with president of USA and cancellor of Germany couldn't convince both to change their mind concerning sending troops to Ukraine - Antony Blinken made a statemnet USA will not support this idea, because it can cause escalation of conflict and involving of NATO in this war.   
 In Ukrianian society the word "escalation managment" already is becominmg a meme...

Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
 

Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
 

Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
 

Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
 

Most of what is labeled AI today is pattern recognition of some sorts. So a cruise missile that can orient itself by looking down and compare that to a map is AI driven.
As soon as you can chat with a missile, bad things happen.
 

https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2024/04/02/zelensky-signs-law-lowering-draft-age-bid-boost-military-ranks/
Pres. Zelensky today signed decree lowering mobilziation age from 27 years to 25. It was voted by Verchovna Rada year ago, so now it seems it is closer from formal to actual mobilization.

Year 3 of the US operation to save the English speaking minority of northern Mexico from ethnic cleansing by the drug cartel regime of Mexico City. 
After dismantling the McDonalds PMC and mobilizing 30.000 men every month, President Biden orders to relocate the American weapons industry to the east of the Appalachean mountains to save them from Mexican long range drones.
"Everything is going according to plan" defense Minister Lloyd Austin proclaimed in a recent press conference. "In fact, things never looked better for the American cause. Rumors of losing 10.000 Abrams tanks and M2 Bradleys are actually sign that victory is just a question of time."

UGV groundstrike against bridge.
 
 

Supposedly russia broke their record with confirmed vehicle losses in a single day. 

Oh for God's sake, are we still engaging with this guy? 
Cmon,  that last post ("rigged elections in the US") pretty much seals the political troll label. 

BFC pays me by the word…food stamps mostly.  

on the back of French supply of Aster missiles to Ukraine :
https://www.quora.com/Is-the-SAMP-T-Aster-missile-better-than-the-US-Patriot-surface-to-air-missile-Which-is-better-than-the-other
Decent comparison of Aster - SAMP/T and Patriot PAC-2.