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Gpig

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  1. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Letter from Prague in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  2. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    🙏🤞🙏
     
  3. Like
    Gpig reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    My definition of a fully successful spring/summer offensive would be Ukrainian units controlling the rest of Kherson, the entrance to the Crimean peninsula and then eastwards to the point at which the Kerch Bridge is in range of UA fires. It would be sufficiently successful to ensure continued aid if the first two conditions were met because if Ukraine manages it, then Russia has definitively lost no matter what happens thereafter. Moscow would be facing a slew of unhappy strategic choices with few options to change the menu.
  4. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Ukraine today returned 44 POWs (including two civilians)
    This guy didn't see apples very long time...

  5. Like
    Gpig reacted to The_Capt in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There is a point on the circle where the far-left and far-right meet and this is pretty close to it.  The mechanics are the same, connect a whole bunch of phenomena, many of them that are in isolation of each other - e.g. homelessness and MKUltra.  Then tie them together with logic strings to create a unifying construct - in this case Western Satan.
    The problem is that 1) many of these phenomena are in fact disconnected as there are no star chambers just people being mean to other people - the red scare violations of human rights is not in the same bin as lynchings.  2) the fact that anyone has access to these historical examples and can openly cite them is proof against a massive oppressive western regime that spans generations, and 3) completely misses all the good and right these western systems have done, worse dismisses it as social background radiation when in fact it was the main effort.
    This method is a sort of reverse social contrasting because all one is seeing are the lynchings, CIA plots, cop shootings and homeless.  If one stares at that long enough it is easy to believe that is the core and not indeed the background radiation of macro-social evolution in the western world.  There are societies where these sorts of activities were far more central to maintaining order and control as has been noted.  They do not complain about police brutality and cite internet stories to back them up in North Korea because they are living in a truly brutal dictatorship.
    I have worked defence and security my entire adult life - there is not massive conspiracy led by the far [insert villain] trying to control you through a weird Goldberg-esque complicated scheme. There is a government trying to keep 300+ million primates wired for fear response from killing each other.  While at the same time trying to keep the other 7.7 billion scared primates from either killing you, or each other too fast.  The good news is that this “sinister and highly corrupt system” has essentially worked.  We are better off now than we have ever been in history.  Do not believe me?  Google stuff like child mortality or literacy, or healthcare.  You wanna talk “big unfair prisons” do some research on the 19th century legal system.  
    People are not “seeing the matrix” in spite of nasty government control, they are seeing it because of government protections - as imperfect as they may be.
  6. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    There'd have to be multiple rounds though, right? Karate in the first, a bare-chest off in the second, and finishing with sick burns in an improv comedy round.
  7. Like
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Several kilomiters from Bakhmut. Stabilization point. Medics are working 24/7. This guy was returned back to life after his heart stopped.
     
     
     
  8. Like
    Gpig got a reaction from sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    After I’m flattened and scorched by the Alien meteor, you can both feast on my well done, gammy leg. Har!
  9. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to JonS in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Before or after he gets lightly incinerated in a smoky plane wreck?
  10. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to sburke in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    hmm  does @Gpig taste like Gbacon?
  11. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    AIr Forces report
    Destroyed:
    - UFO over Kyiv ) 

  12. Like
    Gpig reacted to masc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Amazing footage, some of the best we've ever seen I think.  The squad leader rolling out of the bunker to the left there shows how important taking the initiative/violence of action is.  He neutralized that Russian squad's attack with about a magazine from his M4.
  13. Like
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    47th mech.brigade with Slovenian M-55S and Bradley

  14. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Elmar Bijlsma in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And in the Holy Fudge category of combat footage, we have a new king:
    POV guy shows great personal courage, head is on a swivel. Top notch NCO-ing going on.
  15. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Tux in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Let’s hope it has its mother’s turret. 
  16. Like
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Drone recon unit "Signum" adjusts with drone thermal camera 60 mm mortar fire of 93rd mech.brigade unit on Wagner group in Bakhmut.
     
  17. Like
    Gpig reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Bakhmut report on 16:30
    I retell brielfy long post
    Northern and southern flanks outside the city without changes - there was some quietly today. 
    Main clashes are inside the city - especally heavy fights in city center and near railroad station. Russians have some success west from railroad station and now intensive skirmishes are going for grain elevator and along Chaykovskoho lane (from railway station to elevator) and Kolpakovoy str.  (embracing elevator). Russians used on this direction Wagners from Syria and VDV. Situation is very fluent for both sides and changes every half-hour. Both sides don't give opportunity to gain foothold for opponents. 
    The video just as illustration of small-arms intensity in Bakhmut
    And some combat work of 1st mech.battalion of 3rd assault brigade "Azov". Pay attention of small tunnel (drain pipe or under pass ), where soldiers could deploy two pick-ups until Russians shelled them with arty
     
  18. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Fenris in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Check-mate   (note is visegrad so pass the salt)
     
  19. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to Maciej Zwolinski in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    He would be Legolas if he used an ordinary dumb round. With SMArt it is more like a mage taking down two opponents with Melf Rancid Arrows or somesuch
  20. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to DesertFox in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Masters of mocking the Orcs:
     
     
  21. Like
    Gpig reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Well, sometimes promotions can be quite rapid, but that is pretty much never good news.
     
  22. Like
    Gpig reacted to alison in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sorry for off-topic, but this proposal keeps coming up on this thread so I feel I should address it from perspective of someone who lives in Taiwan.
    Something most "put a bunch of marines of Taiwan" takes are missing is the voices of the Taiwanese people.
    Even though most Taiwanese do not consider themselves Chinese, also most Taiwanese do not favor changing the status quo. The country is in a bizarre place because it's plainly evident to everyone - including China - that Taiwan is already an independent country with its own government, laws and military... but nobody can actually say that out loud. Any time other countries try to engage with Taiwan, politically or militarily, both that country and Taiwan gets punished. Which maybe doesn't faze the US, but they're the richest and most powerful country in the world! Taiwan is a small island located right next door to the second richest and second most powerful country in the world, who also happens to be their biggest trade partner - the ultimate frenemy.
    Putting marines on Taiwan is just moving a chess piece for America, but for Taiwan it is a major change to the status quo, something that could affect the lives of everyone in the country - potentially for the worse. As a democratic country, there are a lot of different opinions on this, and with the presidential election coming up in 2024, no candidate wants to be shown as the one who let the Americans mess up the economy. This is probably why the meeting with Speaker McCarthy happened in California and not in Taiwan, because the Taiwanese government doesn't want to escalate tensions, especially not ahead of a political campaign.
  23. Like
    Gpig reacted to chrisl in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I think he was referring to the relative involvement of the Chicken and the Pig in a bacon and eggs breakfast.  The Chicken is involved, but the Pig is committed. It's not all that common of an analogy, but I've heard it come up a few times. Except many of the NATO Chickens are committed to support because they're worried that dinner will be Chicken & Waffles.
  24. Upvote
    Gpig reacted to NamEndedAllen in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    My brother in law just died a needlessly horrible drawn out death, today. He fought for decades in a variety of ways to defend the USA. One person was directly responsible for how it went down. My sister is heartbroken, and enraged at what happened. I am in more than a foul mood. So my thoughts right now are colored in a certain way by this tragedy. Not particularly with distance, nuance and diplomacy. What happens when you are inside the box, not outside. My apologies if you don’t like them. I don’t either.
    Lot of talk lately about Ukraine has GOT to produce big battlefield wins, now. Trying to put myself within Ukraine’s box:
    1. Your country was suddenly invaded by one of the largest monsters in the world, ravaging your cities, raping and killing civilians. That is awful. We condemn it. You will collapse in three days.
    2. We are NATO. We are a hugely powerful military alliance designed  to defend ourselves against that very same horrible monster.  Because we all fear trying to do so alone. Like you. Too bad you aren’t in NATO.
    3. There won’t be any cavalry coming to your rescue, on land, sea, or air. But good luck, we support you brave people. Here are a lot of supplies and defensive short range weapons. You go fight the monster. We’ll cheer you on. 
    4. OK, you have been doing a great job! Well done. Even with most of your cities and power grid regularly under missile and drone attack in the winter,  thousands of casualties, and smashed into rubble cities, you are still standing! Great job! Here are some more weapons, and one with a little longer range. It works really well so you can continue to not only survive but make some progress. Not too much progress though. Might be dangerous. So, no to your other requests for planes and long range weapons. We can’t risk getting attacked by the monster.. But we will open war crimes investigations into the massacres, rapes and civilian killings and targetings.
    5. Hey, you haven’t won yet! We don’t think you can win although the monster has obviously already lost. You have really fracked up his army good. By the way, our patience is growing thin and you haven’t defeated one of the world’s largest military powers yet. After a whole year.  We are the richest group of countries ever on Earth.  We have awesome military capabilities beyond belief. And lots of nuclear weapons. If we lose interest and get tired, you probably will have to negotiate away big chunks of your country you fought and died for. If you only achieve a stalemate against the monster. Unless you defeat that monster, real soon now. Here’s a few older tanks we made a long time ago. And a handful of rusty old Soviet/Russian jets, some don’t work though. Please don’t complain. It’s ungrateful.
    6. Oh, hey. Go out there as soon as the ground is firmed up and really tear apart the monster, the monster we are definitely not wanting to get any madder at us. No pressure, but if you don’t defeat the monster right now, you are pretty much up a creek because we’re tired and have real problems here in our nice undamaged, heated homes. By the way, we are worried about you defeating the monster. What will happen to the him? He might hurt us. But don’t forget, the monster has already lost.
    7. I mean, yeah, the monster just threw a few hundred thousand troops at you and you survived and all. Well, most of you. But hey, they weren’t well-trained. And we all know the monster has already lost (as far as threatening us over here in NATO - yay).  So you better defeat this monster by yourself, Right now. We gave you a LOT of equipment so you should be able to do this on your own. We can’t get involved. But here are a few more old jets. Don’t work so good right now, but…
    8. We just got Finland into NATO!  Mostly thanks to you!). Now we are even stronger, and NATO makes sure none of us have to try to defeat the monster on our own. Like you. Because we don’t think we could. We can’t give you more powerful offensive weapons because it would have taken you all last year to learn how to use them. And then you might have defeated the monster. And we are really really worried because that might be bad. For us. You understand. So go out there NOW and defeat the monster. Or we will probably have to reduce our support for you. Like, if things get really bad for you. Not winning. We might not be there. As much. Or something. Hard to tell. But go win. Now. OK? 

    PS. I really am pleased at how the West has helped out. I just don’t think it’s been soon enough with enough of the right stuff to end it before the political rot sets in. So I’m ventilating how it might feel. While I am grieving.
  25. Like
    Gpig reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And of course, Ukraine was nowhere close to getting into the EU much less NATO. Put another way, you don’t get to invade someone because they fruitlessly aspire to join a defensive alliance that would protect them from you and get to claim that you’ve been wronged. 
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