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FancyCat

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  1. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from keas66 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Tbh it’s not like the Russians care a lot about their dead. 
  2. Upvote
    FancyCat reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Getting the distinct impression that in true Russian fashion, nobody bothered to prepare staging areas across the border to effectively minimize the damage should the rules of engagement imposed by the US and other nations change. Plus ca change plus c'est la meme chose.
  3. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Karakurt-class can carry 4 Kalibr cruise missiles. 
     
  4. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Karakurt-class can carry 4 Kalibr cruise missiles. 
     
  5. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Karakurt-class can carry 4 Kalibr cruise missiles. 
     
  6. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Every MRAP in the U.S used by law enforcement should be forcibly requisitioned/recalled and sent to Ukraine.
    Linked from tweet: https://t.me/ButusovPlus/10740
     
  7. Upvote
    FancyCat reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In previous year they hit mostly power distributive sites and transformer sites of power plants. But turned out Ukrianian power specialists and State Emergency Service  managed to reapir damages very quickly and substitute destroyed transformers and other equipment - we got alot of this stuff from differnet countries. 
    So likely Russian generals decided previous startegy turned out ineffective and dicided to hit objects of generation. This is an indicator Russia has no illusions more that they can grab Ukriane and use our power resourses, but on other hand power units are too vulnerable and can be repaired - after the war we have to rebuild most of thermal power plants. But this is also good sign - less coal and oil fuel generation - it a plus to ecology and opportunity to small nuclear power plants and solar/wind plants. 
    But now becvause we lost most of our "maneuver generation" and forced to import electricity, our government has rised cost of electricity almost in 2 times, now we will pay 0,108 $ for kilowatt. 
    Concerning today' strike here it statistic:
    35 Kh-101/555 - 30 shot down
    10 "Kalibr" - 4 shot down
    1 "Iskander-K" - 1 shot down
    3 Kh-59/69 - no intrceptions
    4 "Iskander-M" - no interceptions
    47 "Shahed" - 46 shot down
    Total 35 missiles from 53 and 46 UAVs from 47 
     
  8. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Every MRAP in the U.S used by law enforcement should be forcibly requisitioned/recalled and sent to Ukraine.
    Linked from tweet: https://t.me/ButusovPlus/10740
     
  9. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Every MRAP in the U.S used by law enforcement should be forcibly requisitioned/recalled and sent to Ukraine.
    Linked from tweet: https://t.me/ButusovPlus/10740
     
  10. Upvote
    FancyCat reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fresh UKR florks meme about US allowing to strike Russian soil only from Kharkiv oblast
    UKR florks carry road sign "Kharkiv oblast" (means they are going to set it, "expanding" Kharkiv oblast on Sumy or Chernihiv oblasts)
    US flork: "Turn back the sign on it place!" 

  11. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    While building for a long time, quick collapse by the U.S on weapons use to be fired onto Russian soil. I wanna note this is another instance of Russia escalating the conflict and as a result, allowing "red lines" to be broken by the West and Ukraine. Very stupid move by Russia. By threatening Kharkiv with occupation, no matter how unlikely, they have allowed Western weapons use in Russia to be expanded upon, even in this limited matter, the door opens for more.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/30/biden-ukraine-weapons-strike-russia-00160731
     
     
  12. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    While building for a long time, quick collapse by the U.S on weapons use to be fired onto Russian soil. I wanna note this is another instance of Russia escalating the conflict and as a result, allowing "red lines" to be broken by the West and Ukraine. Very stupid move by Russia. By threatening Kharkiv with occupation, no matter how unlikely, they have allowed Western weapons use in Russia to be expanded upon, even in this limited matter, the door opens for more.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/30/biden-ukraine-weapons-strike-russia-00160731
     
     
  13. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from The Steppenwulf in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    NYT article on the rapidly approaching decision point for U.S approving western weapons fired on Russian soil. Interesting justification for nuclear rhetoric being empty, Russia won't signal rising on the nuclear escalation ladder by attacking NATO directly to stop arms shipments. Terrifying idea but makes sense.
    The attacks against radar sites is mentioned which I quoted, but no response on how Ukraine reacted. I do wonder if it's a trade off situation, Ukraine stops attacking early warning sites, if the U.S lets Ukraine defend Kharkiv.
    I mean it is the 2nd largest city in Ukraine.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/29/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html
     
  14. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    While building for a long time, quick collapse by the U.S on weapons use to be fired onto Russian soil. I wanna note this is another instance of Russia escalating the conflict and as a result, allowing "red lines" to be broken by the West and Ukraine. Very stupid move by Russia. By threatening Kharkiv with occupation, no matter how unlikely, they have allowed Western weapons use in Russia to be expanded upon, even in this limited matter, the door opens for more.
    https://www.politico.com/news/2024/05/30/biden-ukraine-weapons-strike-russia-00160731
     
     
  15. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Macron might have cornered Scholz admittedly. 
    Same press conference together, 
     
  16. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    NYT article on the rapidly approaching decision point for U.S approving western weapons fired on Russian soil. Interesting justification for nuclear rhetoric being empty, Russia won't signal rising on the nuclear escalation ladder by attacking NATO directly to stop arms shipments. Terrifying idea but makes sense.
    The attacks against radar sites is mentioned which I quoted, but no response on how Ukraine reacted. I do wonder if it's a trade off situation, Ukraine stops attacking early warning sites, if the U.S lets Ukraine defend Kharkiv.
    I mean it is the 2nd largest city in Ukraine.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/29/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html
     
  17. Thanks
    FancyCat got a reaction from Vanir Ausf B in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    NYT article on the rapidly approaching decision point for U.S approving western weapons fired on Russian soil. Interesting justification for nuclear rhetoric being empty, Russia won't signal rising on the nuclear escalation ladder by attacking NATO directly to stop arms shipments. Terrifying idea but makes sense.
    The attacks against radar sites is mentioned which I quoted, but no response on how Ukraine reacted. I do wonder if it's a trade off situation, Ukraine stops attacking early warning sites, if the U.S lets Ukraine defend Kharkiv.
    I mean it is the 2nd largest city in Ukraine.
    https://www.nytimes.com/2024/05/29/us/politics/biden-ukraine-russia-weapons.html
     
  18. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Let us marvel again that should someone be told at the beginning of the war that Ukraine would have F-16s, 2!!! AWACS aircraft from NATO, they would be called crazy, insane, absurd, idiotic and yet today, rendered all the above, false.
    Let us also marvel at the fact that the leadership shown by many of the NATO members truly is outstanding, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, the Baltics, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, absolutely fantastic, Romania, Bulgaria, Spain, Portugal, even Kosovo, I'm missing names but end of the day, the contributions to Ukraine, are wonderful, a clear sign of support for the alliance, and Ukraine's acceptance into it in the future.
  19. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from zinz in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Let us marvel again that should someone be told at the beginning of the war that Ukraine would have F-16s, 2!!! AWACS aircraft from NATO, they would be called crazy, insane, absurd, idiotic and yet today, rendered all the above, false.
    Let us also marvel at the fact that the leadership shown by many of the NATO members truly is outstanding, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, the Baltics, Poland, the Netherlands, Belgium, absolutely fantastic, Romania, Bulgaria, Spain, Portugal, even Kosovo, I'm missing names but end of the day, the contributions to Ukraine, are wonderful, a clear sign of support for the alliance, and Ukraine's acceptance into it in the future.
  20. Like
    FancyCat got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
  21. Like
    FancyCat reacted to Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I respect the right of my elders to be grumpy curmudgeons, but if a statement about how the Western refusal to allow Ukrain to act according to international law makes other people doubt how many other terms of international contracts some Western nations would adhere to makes you want to sit idly by and watch an invasion with genocidal or at least culturally genocidal intent, then it crosses the line into "boomer tantrum".
    Here are my reasons of why we support Ukraine.
    a) it supports the UN charta, which has practical legal benefits
    b) the ethical and moral arguments fall more in favor of it than against it
    c) in a Machiavellian sense we are destroying the military capacity of an enemy that has been actively working on destroying the West for at least 15 years (albeit with non-conventional means), which support international terrorism and would be a potential ally / supporter / provider of military goods to another active enemy of the West in another war, like China, and it is done at the minimum cost imaginable
    d) it allows to massively improve our own military potential via observation and remote learning as well as investments in production facilities, which have been woefully neglected despite active enemies building up their own potential and messaging their clear intent of careless murder on a global scale
    That's why we are bankrolling it. 
    And yes, the AD ambushed across the border were the best thing since sliced bread for Ukraine and Western politicians throwing a tantrum over it is neither legally not militarily nor politically rational.
     
  22. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from G.I. Joe in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Every person fighting counts, and Western equipment by all accounts ensure more people survive than ex-Soviet equipment. If it's a war of attrition, Ukraine cannot afford to lose its personnel. 
    Even if Tartus is not given, I think the allowance for the use of Western artillery in Russia would be useful. 
     
  23. Upvote
    FancyCat reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    In this case I think, Bild like a broken clock, which shows true time twice for a day. 
    Probably you are about this (in Ukrainian retelling):
    When Ukraine used Patriot missiles agains Russian flight order as far as on 13th of May 2023 in Bryansk oblast and shot down two EW Mi-8, Su-34 and Su-35, Berlin and Washington were angry. They threaten to stop supply if this repeat. Unbelievable, but this explains a lot. This is proves one more, how wrong decisions making in western capitals prolongs this war. Russia is vulnerable, it can be defeated, but they don't allow Ukraine to give proper repulse, so Russian bombs still hit Ukrainian malls and kindergardens.    

    Looks like this is true, because since this attack there wasn't any similar successes. Ukrainian General Staff didn't recognize this success neither there not now, though AD battalion command vehicle, which unit conducted this attack has markings of these aircrafts. 
    And here some more:
    NATO is discussing participation in sky guarding over western Ukraine, Bild reports. 
    This idea supports Estonia, UK, Poland, Canada, Lithuania, France
    Against: USA and Germany
     
    We have a joke: any US statement now starts with words: US concerning about... , US afraids that... , US considrers it premature..., US do not support. 
    Putin made serious mistake. To restore influence of Russia in the world like USSR, he had to attack NATO directly through Baltic states. Spineless western democracies would drown in endless discuissions and offers "immediately to listen other side to achieve compromisses" when Russian tanks rolled further west. 
    It's good the West is gradually healing itself from own phobias. But the remedy is prohibitely expensive - the blood of Ukrainian soldiers and civilians. And we are paying it cost  
  24. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from Aragorn2002 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I understand that its not forgone that Ukraine should be reabsorbed into Russia, I mean certainly part of your lifetime included its independence occurring, but I think your understating the positions the West have staked out on Ukraine. The fall of Ukraine will strike absolute blows into NATO, the EU and the Western bloc. A lot of focus on Russia's internal dynamics in the event of their defeat, let me be clear, the fall of Ukraine is a defeat for the West. A lot of talk on poor Russia, not a lot of talk for the ramifications for the West for a nation that yearns for NATO membership, EU membership, and has shown itself to be capable of fightimg in a straight up full scale conflict with what is still considered one of the top dogs military-wise in the world to fall completely despite EU and NATO support.
    A ton of ramifications including tons of internal dynamics between the bloc's eastern members and Western members. Macron's warnings about Russian forces approaching Kiyv and Odessa should be considered as they are, no less consideration of Putin's words. The words of our eastern partners like Finland, the Baltics, Poland are just as essential as those of France, Canada, Germany and the UK. So sure, maybe some policy makers might be okay with Kiyv falling but there are certainly policymakers in Poland, the Baltics, Finland and Sweden that would disagree and I would think it the height of folly for those to be disregarded anymore than disregarding Turkish policymakers or Russian policymakers especially when dealing with nuclear risks.
    A lot of "Kiyv isn't important" coming from across the Atlantic while closer Lithuania is prepared to deploy their personnel to train in Ukraine. Considering the very obvious focus of Putin of dividing the NATO alliance, and the obvious risks of what could be considered Russian total victory, it probably should not be waved off the concerns of the Eastern bloc members. Especially when managing escalation and mistakes. Especially as Poland becomes probably the largest land based army in Europe. Especially as the incoming election heralds uncertainty to U.S commitment to NATO.
  25. Upvote
    FancyCat got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    lots of EU related defense news, one thing that is satisfying to see is the leadership of smaller EU countries is quite nice to see. 
     
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