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CHEqTRO

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Everything posted by CHEqTRO

  1. They could be used to attack exposed aircraft thought (probably the russians were not properly protecting them as they did not expect Ukranian retaliation), with more precision than the Tochkas. It would be interesting to know how many UAV participated if indeed this was an attack by the UAV. However, its more likely that its was carried by Tochkas, in that I agree. However I found interesting the possibility of the attack being carried by UAVs
  2. Also, there is a chance that the attack on the Millerovo airbase was done by TB2 drones and not by Tochka-U missiles. If this is confirmed, the russian army REALLY needs to look into the capabilities of its air defence (Either that, or maybe the TB2 is just that good or/and the Ukranians really know how to make good use of them)
  3. Nah, the intention of taking quickly Kyiv is to have some pro russian politician sign a capitulation agreement and have some legitimacy. It seems that Western Ukraine its going to be left "independent" (That would depend of how the push on Kyiv goes of course). If anything it shows a bit of deseperation. There is no indication that the Ukranian army will stop fighting in case of the fall of its capital. The Ukranian high command will keep operating from Lviv. On the contrary, taking the eastern parts of their country in a quick manner would have mean the encirclement and anhilation of Ukranian forces there, plus a big loss to the economy potential of Ukraine, even if Kyiv holds, probably forcing the Ukranian goverment to accept peace. Right now the attack on Kharkiv is as relevant strategically to the russians as the attack towards Kyiv About the push on Kyiv, the russian as of now have only taken the open spaces north of the city. The Ukranian army was never going to hold onto those. The danger is now if they are able to bypass the suburbs and encircle the city. However they will start facing heavier resistance the closer they get to urban areas. Also, about the celebration of downed airplanes, its important to remember that Russia has not the economy to replenish quickly modern equipment. Any losses they suffer to their arsenal are important in the long term. Also, it shows that both the Ukranian air force and its air defenses are still operative, which a lot of people thought, me included, that they were going to be destroyed on the first day of the offensive, but there they are. Also russian casualties are definitively higher than 500 ( counting KIA, WIA and MIA)
  4. Melitopol reportedly is back on Ukranian hands. The danger right now is the situtation around Kyiv, were is possible that one russian armored column is actually breaking throught Ukranian defensive lines. However, if they keep pushing without support they will eventually get encircled and destroyed, so I do not know whats the plan with rushing only one column into the city center. A propaganda victory? They hope for more breakthroughs? Maybe they think the Ukranian high officers will surrender if they see an unsopported column at its doorstep?
  5. They took it yesterday. There was news of a possible Ukranian counterattack there but I have not more information about its resolution. As for good news, it seems the Antonivsky Bridge over Kherson city (the one I posted yesterday which showed Russian units crossing) is back on Ukranian hands (The reports about Russian troops in Mykolaiv were also false): Simultaniously, the Ukranian army was able to hit the Millerovo Airfield in Rostov, Rusia. Casualties and damage unknown: Now, it seems that the russians are pushing hard towards Kyiv. Heavy fighting reported, with heavy russian casualties around Hostomel: It seems that they are going to try push into the center of the city today. They supposedly are taking ukranian equipment and changing uniform:
  6. Very much unconfirmed, but this would be very bad news. If they are near Mykolaiv, it means that they have achieved a deep breaktrought in the south. Its likely that the whole western seaboard will be lost in that case. EDIT: In opposition to this: If the city of Kherson is still in Ukranian hands, they hardly can be on Mykolaiv. Unless they came from other direction, or bypassed the city at its north
  7. Its likely that you were right. Althought it seems that the target of the misinformation was not really the russian troops in the airport, but maybe the ones coming to reinforce! : (That is, of course, if this is actually true, and not another "psyop")
  8. They supposedly were going to have a constitutional referendum on the 27. The questions have yet to be revealed, but I guess we all know what its going to be about. However, they said that in case of war the referendum would be postponed. As of now, there has not being any announcement about any delay
  9. They are going to be present tomorrow in the NATO meeting, so...
  10. Nah, forget what I said, they backtracked AGAIN!. Will not post anything related to the airport until it is fully confirmed.
  11. Lets still not get our hopes up, least we get as dissapointed as before.
  12. The same goes for Kharkiv, by the way: The battle for Kharkiv will probably be one of the most important and biggest battles of this war. Hopefully the line holds long enough for the units fighting in the Donbass to stage a fighting withdrawal and avoid encirclement.
  13. It seems th russians are going to push towards Mariupol either tonight or by tomorrow morning. Most likely trying to breaktrhough into Melitopol and meet with its forces in South Kherson. This would put the Ukranian forces in the Donbass in a precarious position, having its enemy taking their rear
  14. When we say reinstitute the Soviet Union, we mean its previous territory and influence. The Soviet Union had nearly the entirety of eastern europe, including Berlin (well some parts) under its domain. Thats more influence and power over europe (and the world) that the tsars could ever dream of.
  15. Unfortunetly they have backtracked the statement, we will have to wait. Thats something I am hopeful, that along all the Javelins and Stingers, some modern night vision equipment made its way into Ukraine.
  16. Unfortunetly they have backtracked their statement. Hopefully if they released such an statement is because they are about to finally eliminate all pockets of resistance inside the airport. The moment I see more information I will post it here. Or, like I said in an earlier post, either the long term economic/strategic conditions of its country have pushed him into this direction. Putin has always been a megalomaniac which despised the western world and saw the collapse of the soviet union (when I say soviet union, I mean the territory, not the ideology) as a disaster to be corrected. Yet it has only now decided to go ahead and attack the western world so fragantly.
  17. Unconfirmed, but hopefully true. If it is, the Ukranians have just achieved an important victory. We will have to wait for official confirmation and videos from the inside. Regarding sanctions, I will still wait some days to see what the German government ends up doing. Hungary and Cyprus are a lost cause, but under pressure from US, UK and most importantly, France, they might finally go ahead with the SWIFT disconnect (Italy would most likely approve it if Germany ends up doing so). On the contrary, the Germans are risking getting isolated from all of their important allies and breaking EU and NATO cohesion. I will wait some days to see what they might end up doing. Unfortunetly, the decision might be taken in case Kiev falls or is close to. Also, interesting quote from Biden: If they are saying this, is because they dont rule out an eventual attack on the baltics
  18. Tank battles north of Chernigov ( The tweet says is north of Kiev, but it is actually +130 Km away from it). Supposedly the counter attack to retake the airfield is about to begin, hopefully they are able to retake it before those IL-76 arrive.
  19. That it is actually a MIG-29, look at the wings and tail; most likely Ukranian. It seems that it actually fires two Anti-Air missiles, with one of them tracking the ground, unfortunetly. You can see the plane trailing smoke, it seems it was damaged and decided to launch its ordenance to reduce weight and avoid crashing
  20. More paratroopers incoming: The Ukranian army REALLY needs to take that airfield back
  21. Unconfirmed but this could be interesting: Khakovka its situated in the eastern side of the Dnieper. The question is, in case its confirmed, if its part of a limited attack by local Ukranian forces in the area, or if it is a counter- attack with the intention of retaking Kherson. At the very least, it will put pressure into the Kherson area and limit any advances beyond the Dnieper. Yeah, they probably want the airport as an staging point to attack Kiev. They will probably start bringing more equipment and VDV personel as the hours pass by. It seems the Ukranian army is in the process of trying to retake the airfield, thought. Good to know. Now we have to wait and see what is the Turkish response
  22. In reference to my prevoius post about the Dnieper crossing, it seems that the South Kherson region was lost to the invaders. Considering the geography, that was to be expected honestly, the dangerous bit was the succesful crossing of the Dnieper. If they are able to keep pushing, they could start threathening Mykolaiv and Odessa (There would be most likely an amphibous assault in that case, to support the land invasion)
  23. Supposedly 4, if we go by Russian sources. However, as this user puts it, thats not too bad of a thing. If anything, it seems that a good chunk of the Ukranian air force was able to survive the initial missile salvo. The battle for the skies is still not fully decided:
  24. A turkish vessel was attacked by Russian forces some minutes ago it seems. Also, unfortunetly, it appears Russian armored formations have been able to cross the Dnieper around Kherson city: Nevertheless, it seems that the Ukranian Army its holding its ground around Kharkiv. Suppossedly, 15 tanks were destroyed north of Sumy. EDIT: There is fighting reported in the Chernobyl area:
  25. Depends. If the attacks happens in the coming days the russians would have near absolute strategic surprise. The Polish Army is still unmobilized and dispersed across Poland. The only NATO unit near is the 82 US Airborne. Meanwhile the russians have mobilized a big chunk of its armed forces into Belarus. If the russians think that they can knock off Poland quickly before NATO reinforces it, they might go ahead. (Important to highlight that, it doesnt matter if in reality knocking off Poland so quickly would be impossible, what matters is if the Russian High command think it is, or not, or they are to desperate to care)
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