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Kraft

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  1. Like
    Kraft reacted to dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    After Donald Trump, Boris Johnson, and Gerhard "the gas man:" Schroeder, no one is exactly covering themselves in glory. Macron has at least looked at the evidence and changed his mind, which shouldn't make him a giant among his generation of leaders, but actually kind of does.
  2. Like
    Kraft reacted to Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hmmm, says an American who has never lived under a Nazi occupation...
    Look yes he is a politician but he is likely to lose votes for his current stance and is being attacked by the extreme right wing of French politics who are saying he will drag France into a war.
    The French know what it is like to be invaded and occupied by a brutal right wing dictatorship.
    With the current 80 year anniversary of the beginning of their freedom thoughts turn to another European country suffering the same.
    France has wisely remained independent of American tech for both their air force and nuclear weapons.
    So before taking cheap shots think a bit deeper...
     
  3. Like
    Kraft reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Reportely most personnel of this unit are from France
     
  4. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from ArmouredTopHat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Part 2.
    2 armored columns, including shed-MT-LB, manage to break through and 2 russian Platoons storm the trench. Its censored and also has subtitles:
     
  5. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Hopefully the rate of these will increase.
     
     
  6. Like
    Kraft reacted to LuckyDog in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    A counterpoint to Russia Sux - I'll assert (I have no facts to back this up) that they are using the right strategy for their armour given:
    1. Drones are become more ubiquitous.
    2. APS is prohibitively expensive for their vehicle fleet.
    3. EW is not as effective as needed, even when combined with an outer barn.
    4. Jamming as much as possible into a small battle space gives the best chance of success as it could possibly overwhelm the defenses.
    The conclusion is that the utility of a Russian tank is dropping continually, and it's better to get something now and piss the entire stock away than nothing later. Moreover, they won't be saddled with an expensive, aging fleet that ties thinking down and drains cash (not that they will have any). 
    Another assertion is that it would seem easier to maintain command and control over groups with radios (tanks and riders) than separated individuals with low to no training. The latter worked to a degree for Wagner (with a shell shortage and fewer drones).
    Both would seem logical given the constraints and probable future environment.
     
  7. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "destroying russian vehicles doesnt matter"


     
    the new drone proof Z-Sturm assault chicken cages. 
  8. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I know and the reality applies for either side, not just russia of course.
    Probably to more western armies than many people here think. A couple hundred planes won't solve this, you would have to solely win by air and only the US can realistically do that. 
    It was meant as a jab at the idea that russias vehicle losses at Krynki dont matter because hordes of infantry and their chicken cage motorcycles will frontally assault a ww1 trench better than a BTG or 10, that are listed on Oryx now instead. 
     
  9. Like
    Kraft reacted to FancyCat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Its tough going for both sides. Glide bombs still rain on Kharkiv, despite the lesser restrictions, according to the article, the airfields where the bombers take off and fire them off, are off limits, located in Voronezhv. i pulled some paragraphs. 
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/2024/06/01/us-ukraine-weapons-kharkiv-biden/
     
  10. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    "destroying russian vehicles doesnt matter"


     
    the new drone proof Z-Sturm assault chicken cages. 
  11. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from acrashb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Krynki was one of the most effective places in burning russian vehicles.
  12. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from Livdoc44 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Krynki was one of the most effective places in burning russian vehicles.
  13. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from pintere in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is incorrect for the majority of the fighting and advancing taking place. With the exception of kreminna etc, where infantry highly matters, for the most part it is the most helpless.
    Over +2km open no mans land, infantry that wants to assault a dug in position can be spotted forming from +10km away and DPICM & drones will feast before the defenses are reached. It takes a few 300 and the assault breaks down. Nobody will charge kilometers on foot over rough ground while having drones dive on them at the very least, 155mm if they're unlucky. The russian special forces die to FPV and artillery just as storm-Z does, the quality doesnt matter. 
    Now, wagner adapted to this kssue, 5~7 man infiltration teams worked well as they can approach more stealthily, and cant be shelled when there are shortages.
    But this is an incredibly slow process that will not force a collapse before EU/Nato help spools up through 2025, all the while burning through people just the same if ammunition is no pressing concern. It also only works in the right terrain, not open fields with a tree line every 1-2 km.
    So how does russia advance? They pile up meat on a vehicle, drive it through the minefields, arty and drones and sometimes the units come through and it ends up being a coin toss who remains in the trench, if the defenders dont evacuate beforehand, which more often happens, with the idea of droning the survivors in the trench (lacking any and all serious EW) and returning to the position.
    This leads to massive losses but it works in pushing the line.
    Krynki had massive vehicle assaults for months as seen in the loss sheets of people tracking losses, that were picked apart by the elevated positions on the other side, as well as good hidden drone teams in the village cellars that can sustain nearby 500kg bombs.
    These vehicles are now not a threat to the unfortified east Avdiivka area anymore, where, if you recall, the russians after running low on tanks ended up driving their meat on btr82s and btr80s into Bradley ambushes, who only sustained losses from lancets, not russian armor. 
    Long story short without a widespread infantry portable adoption of EW *+* a 2nd coming of massive shell shortage that would target these EW, russia without vehicles will be stuck in ww1 with unwinnable, massively stacked for the defender conditions, that over the long or short term will end up in a 2nd Afghanistan.
    Do note the same applies to the ZSU, as the southern offensive deeply showed with similar wrecked coloumns and minefield carnage that dwindled the handful of Bradleys and leopards so it was reverted back to single squads clearing trenches and grinding forward, at a similar pace (minus the 300 drone FPV clips on russian infantry stuck on a field we see now almost every day)
  14. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is incorrect for the majority of the fighting and advancing taking place. With the exception of kreminna etc, where infantry highly matters, for the most part it is the most helpless.
    Over +2km open no mans land, infantry that wants to assault a dug in position can be spotted forming from +10km away and DPICM & drones will feast before the defenses are reached. It takes a few 300 and the assault breaks down. Nobody will charge kilometers on foot over rough ground while having drones dive on them at the very least, 155mm if they're unlucky. The russian special forces die to FPV and artillery just as storm-Z does, the quality doesnt matter. 
    Now, wagner adapted to this kssue, 5~7 man infiltration teams worked well as they can approach more stealthily, and cant be shelled when there are shortages.
    But this is an incredibly slow process that will not force a collapse before EU/Nato help spools up through 2025, all the while burning through people just the same if ammunition is no pressing concern. It also only works in the right terrain, not open fields with a tree line every 1-2 km.
    So how does russia advance? They pile up meat on a vehicle, drive it through the minefields, arty and drones and sometimes the units come through and it ends up being a coin toss who remains in the trench, if the defenders dont evacuate beforehand, which more often happens, with the idea of droning the survivors in the trench (lacking any and all serious EW) and returning to the position.
    This leads to massive losses but it works in pushing the line.
    Krynki had massive vehicle assaults for months as seen in the loss sheets of people tracking losses, that were picked apart by the elevated positions on the other side, as well as good hidden drone teams in the village cellars that can sustain nearby 500kg bombs.
    These vehicles are now not a threat to the unfortified east Avdiivka area anymore, where, if you recall, the russians after running low on tanks ended up driving their meat on btr82s and btr80s into Bradley ambushes, who only sustained losses from lancets, not russian armor. 
    Long story short without a widespread infantry portable adoption of EW *+* a 2nd coming of massive shell shortage that would target these EW, russia without vehicles will be stuck in ww1 with unwinnable, massively stacked for the defender conditions, that over the long or short term will end up in a 2nd Afghanistan.
    Do note the same applies to the ZSU, as the southern offensive deeply showed with similar wrecked coloumns and minefield carnage that dwindled the handful of Bradleys and leopards so it was reverted back to single squads clearing trenches and grinding forward, at a similar pace (minus the 300 drone FPV clips on russian infantry stuck on a field we see now almost every day)
  15. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Krynki was one of the most effective places in burning russian vehicles.
  16. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    And how is that going for them now that its not just sparse TDF lacking both drones and artillery in unfortified positions opposing the numericly superior force? 
    Any recent advances since the first surprise on grey zone? No? Dozens of drone videos of dying russians in some, for a change, not cratered field? Check.
    The terrain even favors infantry a lot more than the east, yet it bogged down in a week and hasnt moved in 10 days.  
  17. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Biden admin got cold feet
    https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2024/05/31/7458627/
     
  18. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from kimbosbread in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This is incorrect for the majority of the fighting and advancing taking place. With the exception of kreminna etc, where infantry highly matters, for the most part it is the most helpless.
    Over +2km open no mans land, infantry that wants to assault a dug in position can be spotted forming from +10km away and DPICM & drones will feast before the defenses are reached. It takes a few 300 and the assault breaks down. Nobody will charge kilometers on foot over rough ground while having drones dive on them at the very least, 155mm if they're unlucky. The russian special forces die to FPV and artillery just as storm-Z does, the quality doesnt matter. 
    Now, wagner adapted to this kssue, 5~7 man infiltration teams worked well as they can approach more stealthily, and cant be shelled when there are shortages.
    But this is an incredibly slow process that will not force a collapse before EU/Nato help spools up through 2025, all the while burning through people just the same if ammunition is no pressing concern. It also only works in the right terrain, not open fields with a tree line every 1-2 km.
    So how does russia advance? They pile up meat on a vehicle, drive it through the minefields, arty and drones and sometimes the units come through and it ends up being a coin toss who remains in the trench, if the defenders dont evacuate beforehand, which more often happens, with the idea of droning the survivors in the trench (lacking any and all serious EW) and returning to the position.
    This leads to massive losses but it works in pushing the line.
    Krynki had massive vehicle assaults for months as seen in the loss sheets of people tracking losses, that were picked apart by the elevated positions on the other side, as well as good hidden drone teams in the village cellars that can sustain nearby 500kg bombs.
    These vehicles are now not a threat to the unfortified east Avdiivka area anymore, where, if you recall, the russians after running low on tanks ended up driving their meat on btr82s and btr80s into Bradley ambushes, who only sustained losses from lancets, not russian armor. 
    Long story short without a widespread infantry portable adoption of EW *+* a 2nd coming of massive shell shortage that would target these EW, russia without vehicles will be stuck in ww1 with unwinnable, massively stacked for the defender conditions, that over the long or short term will end up in a 2nd Afghanistan.
    Do note the same applies to the ZSU, as the southern offensive deeply showed with similar wrecked coloumns and minefield carnage that dwindled the handful of Bradleys and leopards so it was reverted back to single squads clearing trenches and grinding forward, at a similar pace (minus the 300 drone FPV clips on russian infantry stuck on a field we see now almost every day)
  19. Like
    Kraft reacted to ArmouredTopHat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    According to visual data, the Russians lost a truly crazy amount of equipment in that area despite the relatively small scale of the battle over the months for minor gain in return. Russian telegrams were -furious- about the constant claims that the area had been retaken when they were in fact dying like flies trying retake it. 
     


    The fact it took this long for the Russians to finally retake a narrow, minor beachhead is more indicative of serious issues with Russian forces in the region, because they were certainly not profiting from attrition. 
  20. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from Offshoot in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Madyar and probably the bulk of the other units.
    There was footage of russians carelessly walking through the center, which was a highly contested kill zone for anyone to be in a week ago, let alone waltz along the road. Without Madyar units support there is no point in sending Marines over.
     
  21. Like
    Kraft reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Fresh UKR florks meme about US allowing to strike Russian soil only from Kharkiv oblast
    UKR florks carry road sign "Kharkiv oblast" (means they are going to set it, "expanding" Kharkiv oblast on Sumy or Chernihiv oblasts)
    US flork: "Turn back the sign on it place!" 

  22. Upvote
    Kraft got a reaction from ArmouredTopHat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    387 exited, 1223 'curtailed', 2173 remain
    https://www.ft.com/content/88b047e9-8cad-426a-b649-265ff6582db0
    Here is a neat website to check what product is from a company staying, can use barcode:
    https://leave-russia.org/staying-companies
  23. Like
    Kraft reacted to ZellZeka in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Think logically about what the fall of Ukraine will lead to:
    The Russian army will reach the borders of countries such as Hungary and Slovakia. The population of these countries, having seen enough of the atrocities of the Russians in Ukraine, will demand from their governments only one thing: to negotiate peace with Putin as quickly as possible and to exclude even the possibility of a Russian attack on these countries. Guess which of the Hungarian and Slovak politicians is well acquainted with Putin and can come to an agreement with him? Of course it's Fico and Orban. These guys will receive total support from their population. (There is no other explanation for Orban’s desire for the fall of Ukraine and the emergence of hordes of orcs on the borders of Hungary). I think there is no need to say what conditions for peaceful coexistence Russia will put forward to these countries. Of course, this will be a withdrawal from NATO. And the people of these countries will willingly agree to this demand, especially after they are convinced of the West’s inability to consolidate in the face of the impending threat.
    The problem is not only in Hungary and Slovakia. In every country there are pro-Russian politicians who eagerly await Putin's victory as evidence of the weakness of the West. Take the Czech Republic for example. Pro-Russian sentiments here are no less strong than in Hungary or Slovakia. The same is true in Bulgaria. After Putin’s victory, these politicians will gain an undeniable advantage in a number of countries. These politicians will strive to leave NATO and enter into an alliance with Russia (this is logical, no one wants to be with the loser, everyone wants to be with the winner). 
    The role of the war in Ukraine in the existence of the Current Order in Europe should not be downplayed. Ukraine's defeat could cause significant changes in eastern Europe.
  24. Like
    Kraft got a reaction from ZellZeka in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I am talking about communication from top officials, even coked up propagandists know the people wont buy a 'west is planning  preemptive nuclear strike', its not like they are blind to the 2 years of pussy footing around what 50 year old gear to send. Nukes are a little ways off.
    The russian fear of nuclear catastrophe can be accurately described by the tons of decade old ammunition they store in a recently active nuclear reactor close to the front line.
  25. Like
    Kraft reacted to Harmon Rabb in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Wanted to stay out of this discussion for now because I'm not sure we have enough information yet.
    Out of curiosity I typed "Russian Radar" into Google News, not much mainstream media coverage of the story. I found articles from Radio Free Europe and Yahoo both of which seem to cite a WarZone article.
    Original article: Strike On Russian Strategic Early Warning Radar Site Is A Big Deal (TheWarZone)
    Satellite Photos Show Ukrainian Drone Strike Damaged Russian Radar Station (RadioFreeEurope)
    Strike On Russian Strategic Early Warning Radar Site Is A Big Deal (Yahoo)
     
    Here is a quote from the RFE article that I think is the reason Ukraine hit this target, and this speculation was already brought up here on this forum by some members.
     
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