Jump to content

Chibot Mk IX

Members
  • Posts

    620
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Posts posted by Chibot Mk IX

  1. On 2/27/2023 at 4:19 PM, Chibot Mk IX said:

    Dan ,

    you are close to the truth. It is a posturing. However, the audience is neither Russia, US, EU nor any 3rd world countries. It is targeting domestically, more specifically, to make great leader happy. Let him know that “Under your guidance we just create a proposal, and all the foreigners are listening to your wisdom.”

    In Ministry of Foreign Affairs of PRC , after years of purge, the staff with professional training/experience have either been replaced or too timid to speak out the truth. They don’t do evaluation, questioning and planning anymore. All they know is to follow the “leader’s instructions” (aka , grasp the essence from leader’s word) .  I can talk more about this later,  that should also partially explain the root cause of “Wolf warrior diplomacy”. And very unfortunately, just like Ministry of Foreign Affairs, almost all Chinese government agencies are following the same path to abyss.

     

    On 2/27/2023 at 4:26 PM, danfrodo said:

    Very enlightening, thx for sharing 😀

    We can assume that the so called “China’s peace plan for Ukraine” is a wishful thinking from some hot heads, it won’t produce any positive result (even to China). Just take a look at recent disastrous PRC diplomacy in middle east.

    Back in Dec 2022, our great leader visited Saudi. In the hope this is the beginning of a new world order, no one dare to tell him that the Gulf states laid a trap for him. 

    The joint statement between PRC and Saudi/ Gulf Cooperation Council made Iran outranges. The statement not only called on Iran to cooperate with the IAEA but also support UAE’s position to "reach a peaceful solution" with Iran on three disputed islands (that can be interpreted as support UAE’s claim on the three islands currently controlled by Iran)

    https://amwaj.media/media-monitor/china-slammed-in-iran-over-unfriendly-posturing-in-riyadh

    Iran was outrages and summoned Chinese ambassador, condemn the statement as an interference into the Iran’s internal affairs. And later Irani president Raisi demand compensation from Beijing during a meeting with a Chinese envoy.

    And Raisi visited Beijing last month, he got what he wants, an assurance from China (if not, then at least a good posture) that China will pursue strategic partnership with Iran, a joint communique that railed against “efforts by certain governments to politicalize the work” of the IAEA (that is a 180-degree turn compare to the joint statement with GCC in Dec), also an investment agreement of $3.5 billion

    https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2023/2/18/how-will-raisis-beijing-visit-impact-iran-china-ties

    Wondering when the Saudi and Israeli will send their envoy to Beijing, claim that the Irani visit hurt their feeling and demand the compensation in cash. 😄

     

    Our great leader has hundreds of nicknames, a very popular one call him DSB. It comes from first letters in pinyin “Da Sha Bi”. It means “a big a**hole”. It also has a similar pronunciation that describes a fool “spend money in a foolish way but get nothing in return.” .By looking at the drama in middle east diplomacy, I guess we can understand why he got this nickname.

     

    It might surprise people that Chinese diplomat and Xi’s Consultant don’t give a warning to him about the potential issue in the joint statement with GCC. Maybe they are so incompetent and thought Irani are Arabs so they should get along with each other (lol, of course NO). Or maybe they are aware of the risk but decided to keep silence. This is a kind of "Resistance".

    The arrogant big boss will brush aside any concerns as “not willing to thinking unorthodox” and will punish anyone speak out the truth. The slang “Tang Ping / Lying flat” was born from internet back in 2021, but the essence of Tangping has been practiced dozens of years in part of China. In many of those self-sustained, isolated state own enterprises, everything is running under the will of the leader, his word is the law.  That is the sprite of 我不要你觉得,我要我觉得 😃ee865c99a55b40ab918a8f1574ea52f6(1).jpeg.b5ca7d82dbb3387114180e3bf2fd4663.jpeg .

    Any talent person will quickly know his/her correct position in the organization, any dissident voice will be quickly silenced (although they will not be sacked or fired due to some special rule in Chinese state-owned corps.)

    An active resistance is futility in this kind of environment, Tangpin, a resistance similar to Satyagraha (but it is much more passive than Satyagraha) is the best solution in this kind of situation.

    Another type of passive resistance is called “acceleration”, note this word is copied from “Accelerationism” but has a totally different meaning in China.

    https://chinadigitaltimes.net/space/%E5%8A%A0%E9%80%9F%E4%B8%BB%E4%B9%89

    Basically, if your arrogant boss is heading towards to a trap, why stop him? On the contrary, you should encourage him , ask him double speed. In a company or a government agency, the disaster could get your supervisor removed, that means you get your chance to promotion :) . For a country that controlled by a bunch of idiots, well, just like a Nirvana, only a death can led to a new re-birth.    Of course there is too much optimism in “acceleration ideology”,  it is based on the assumption that you can be excluded from the consequence of the disaster. In reality this kind of action driven by the blinded optimism can be called as accomplice. For example, if a war broke out, hardly anyone can be excluded from the aftermath of that.  

  2. There is a split team option for the 4 men scout team.

     

    but yes, you are right, looks like the AT4 stopped the Javelin deployment. 

     

    And I thought the one with Javelin ATGM launcher will refuse to take the AT4 from HMMWV. Wrong!   Looks like we got to be very very careful about this in the future.

  3. 3 hours ago, Anonymous_Jonze said:

    The soldiers are in a two-story house trying to target a T-72b that is 900 meters away. They are not hiding, they have windows and full view of the tank. Is it possible because I gave all four of them at4's and the Javelin launcher is "hidden" that they can't use it? Too much equipment, perhaps?

    Here's my save plus the scenario. Not sure if this is modded or not. 

    Save = https://www.dropbox.com/s/mhksaukeeiztm9c/Opening Encounter (Javelins).bts?dl=0

    Scenario = https://www.dropbox.com/s/m9208snulajjgjf/Opening Encounter.btt?dl=0

    is the 4th section/1 scout plt the one you are talking about? 

  4. On 2/24/2023 at 9:49 PM, danfrodo said:

    I think China is just posturing.  They are playing RU for cheap oil, playing the US for concessions of some sort, while looking both troublesome and a source of conciliation.  It's all just Xi playing some cards. 

    I do think, probably quite naively, that China doesn't actually want to see any chinese made suicide drones hitting UKR preschools anytime soon.  Some surveillance drones, sure. 

    Dan ,

    you are close to the truth. It is a posturing. However, the audience is neither Russia, US, EU nor any 3rd world countries. It is targeting domestically, more specifically, to make great leader happy. Let him know that “Under your guidance we just create a proposal, and all the foreigners are listening to your wisdom.”

    In Ministry of Foreign Affairs of PRC , after years of purge, the staff with professional training/experience have either been replaced or too timid to speak out the truth. They don’t do evaluation, questioning and planning anymore. All they know is to follow the “leader’s instructions” (aka , grasp the essence from leader’s word) .  I can talk more about this later,  that should also partially explain the root cause of “Wolf warrior diplomacy”. And very unfortunately, just like Ministry of Foreign Affairs, almost all Chinese government agencies are following the same path to abyss.

  5. 2 hours ago, kevinkin said:

    This is correct. It took the widespread integration of vehicles with the internal combustion engine to exploit tactical gaps in the Allied lines. Not ready in WW1. But in WW2, they brought German troops and supplies forward to critical points faster than the enemy could by foot, rail or horse. This is one key component of 'blitzkrieg". However, this could be defeated by strategic depth even by less mobile forces like the Soviets in 41-42. So even if the RA today can modify its tactics, it still has to maintain momentum into the strategic depth of sector they intend to capture. Fortunately, the RA lack the logistic robustness to do so and Ukraine has plenty of strategic depth to utilize in parrying offensives should they breakthrough.  

    not to mentioned it is much more harder to exploit the holes today compare to 41-42. Back in 40s , you will have an unchallenged freedom of maneuver behind the enemy line after achieving the breakthrough. German just needs to defeat a Tank division (in early war) or a couple tank brigades (in mid war). By the end of the war, Soviets have a large truck fleet that can quickly ferry infantry formation to block the hole, although these infantry units have limited Anti-tank strength , combine with the armored force counter-attack, they can quickly stall the German's attack momentum. 

    nowadays the defender can easily ferry mechanized troops to block the hole, and at tactical level, even a platoon of infantry with advance ATGM weapon can block the attacking side's advance for half a day. RA not only needs logistic support but also other stuff added into the equation. Something RA is unlikely to have any improvement in a short period of time, like suppress/destroy enemy C2, effectively counter artillery , Air interdiction etc.

     
  6. 7 hours ago, rocketman said:

    Sometimes throughout my battles I didn't receive notifications either. Checked spam folder every day too. Looks like a bug in the PBEM++ system.

    I don't like PBEM++ system, but usually I get an on-time notification. For years I play pike & shots, FOG 2 and FCSS on PBEM++ and this is the first time I didn't get a notification email. Not sure if this PBEM++ problem is only occurred with  CMCW

  7. 7 hours ago, Artkin said:

    There are 2 types of vehicles, 

    1. Vehicles that anybody can use (Trucks, jeeps etc.)

    2. Vehicles that require more advanced crews. You can't put a different crew in these. Tanks fall in this category. Think of using tank riders. You can fill an empty tank with riders but they cant crew it, even if the tank was originally empty. (Tanks, certain types of halftracks, certain types of humvees, etc). 

    To my knowledge there are 3 types

    1, Tanks , assault guns, ATGM vehicles. These have dedicated crew team. And you cannot even let Panther #2's team crew the emptied Panther #1

    2, trucks and jeeps, soft skin vehicles. these can be mounted and drive by anyone.

    3, and here is the one in the grey zone. APC and IFVs. During setup phase, you can dismount/bail out the crew team. Put any infantry team in they will become vehicles crew memeber

    Here is an example, in CMBS, I mounted a UKR scout team into an emptied BMP-2. So instead of a 2 men BMP-2 , now I have a 3 men BMP-2 with the scout team leader occupy the BMP-2 commander seat.

    s5hY2Ax.jpg

    However, after the battle begin, if you bail out the scout team then the BMP-2 driver/gunner seat can only occupied by the original crew team. If you put the scout team back into the BMP-2 again, it will be counted as the passenger

     

    This is the scenario. in the campaign it is a little more complicated. If you dismount the Sdkfz 251's crew team in mission 1 and got them killed, sorry, in mission 2 no one can crew the emptied Sdkfz251

     

  8. 1 hour ago, The_MonkeyKing said:

    Just found this footage from Kherson offensive: 
    https://old.reddit.com/r/UkraineRussiaReport/comments/10muegb/ru_pov_a_single_russian_t72b3_with_artillery/

    "The tank crew of a Russian T-72B3 from the 124th Independent Tank Battalion part of the 76th Guards Air Assault Division engages two Ukrainian motorized companies supported with a platoon of T-72M tanks moving in parallel with one another. This took place near the village of Kostromka.

    Interesting to note that one of the Ukrainian crews of a YPR-765, out of panic and disorganization, begin shooting at their friendly column of BMPs moving in parallel with them.

    The footage shows the Russian tank taking out 3 YPR-765 vehicles, 2 BMPs as well as a direct hit on a T-72M. Another 3 Ukrainian vehicles were destroyed in this engagement after the video ends. Afterwards, the Russian tank drove off to safety, leaving the battlefield."

    I don't think shooting at the direction that has friendly force is pure panic and disorganize.

    I guess the UKR side's original plan look like this

     

    ayX6XLi.jpg

    RUS side main defense position is on the right side of the video. UKR's original plan requires the BMP platoon take the road on the right side and get into the overwatch position along the treeline. Then the company task force on the left side bypass the treeline, no man land, and attacking the Rus position.

    It looks like the UKR's company task force arrive at assembly area before the BMP platoon get into the overwatch position. And after receiving the direct fire, the first reaction is that the RUS troops are hiding in the treeline. It is quite logical. 

     

    UKR side realized where the real threat is after one minute of engagement, (and that is after the third APC hit) . Their reaction is relatively quick. They quickly maneuver to the right side of the field, avoid further loss. 

     

  9. 21 minutes ago, MikeyD said:

    I thought, when rumors started circulating that a new Russian offensive was set to start on the anniversary of the invasion, that didn't work out poorly for them due to the early thaw?

    I think this video was shot back in last year. Early Feb 2022, couple days before the invasion begin. And based on this video, many people believed that a full scale invasion is unlikely to happen. Marching under this kind of ground condition is unimageable.

  10. 12 hours ago, Letter from Prague said:

    Regarding Russia being even more radicalized in the future. As with other stuff, it seem the Ukrainians have already figured that out a while ago, and are just waiting for the West to realize (or stop lying to itself). Just listen to Zaluznyj (and also some Ukrainians in this very thread) talk about "after this war we need to be prepared for the next time Russian tries it".

    Things will never go back to normal again.

    I know some Chinese unofficial thinking tank also believe a defeated Russia will keep the expansion posture and can be more radicalized. But in their opinion Russia’s wrath will point to a different direction. And China should be concerned about this.

    This scenario happened before. Before 1904 Russo-Japanese War Russian’s strategic focus were on central Asia and far east. They were looking for trouble in Afghanistan/Indian subcontinent, Manchuria and Korea. The Anglo-Japanese Alliance is a direct answer to this Russian expansion. Germany Empire stand behind Russia, German believed their support to Russia would week British empire. But their help to Russia is half-hearted, while British provided solid support to Japan. In the end, Russia suffered a humiliated defeat, they have to abandon their ambition in Far east. Instead , Russia turned around and meddling in Balkan, the German and Austria-Hungary's backyard. And in less than 10 years, two countries previously were in unofficial alliance are now becoming sworn enemies on the battlefield.

     

    The lesson and the conclusion? “We should increase our support to Russia, we cannot allow a Russia defeat, we cannot afford China encircled by enemies.”   🤐

  11. Although I haven't finished the Road to Dinas (I am halfway through it, and CMSF 1 has been uninstalled from my disk, unfortunately), I must say this is one of my favorite campaigns in CM! 

     

    Wondering if this masterpiece can be updated into CMSF 2 standard in the future?  And adding some more flavor, extra missions focus on BRDM recon company for some deep reconnaissance tasks, that would be fantastic. 

  12. 15 hours ago, Grey_Fox said:

    My understanding is that you do not need to give a pause while guiding, the vehicle will stay in position until the missile either hits or misses its target.

    Thanks for the tips. Yes you are right. When the missile is on the way to the target, just give a reverse order, No need to give a pause as the vehicle will stay there.

     

    Everyday learn something new!

     

    but that brings another problem.....

    What should I do, if I really really want to abort the attack and bring the vehicle to the safety ASAP 😐  

  13. On 1/13/2023 at 7:11 AM, Artkin said:

    Maybe next year this echo chamber will get another semi-official to official reply. 

    The numbers don't match. So what's the deal? 

    If the Dev team can fix it ASAP that would be great

    Right now I am more interested in collect each ATGM's in game speed data and develop a tactic based on this information.   

    After fire the missile, most of ATGM vehicles will sit in the open reloading the missile. Occasionally a close missed AP round or a spotted enemy will make TacAI realize the danger and move the vehicle to a safer place. But 80% of time they just sit in the open, usually that didn't end well. 

    So I am thinking , at least for long range engagements, I will use a shoot and scoot approach. Hide the ATGM vehicles behind the cover. Move the ATGM vehicles forward in the 2nd half of 30s. Usually the M150 and M901 with its thermal sight can acquire the target in less than 15s , they will fire a missile at the end of the turn. Then I will calculate how much more seconds until the impact. Give a pause to the calculated impact time, then reverse back to the safety. 

     

  14. Yes, ATGM's flight took time to reach its target at long distance. 

    in the game the TOW speed is 160m/s

    https://community.battlefront.com/topic/141829-tow-missile-speed/

    so a 1600m distance engagement means TOW missile will take 10s.  A lot of things can happen in 10s, enemy maneuver and disappear from crosshair, or the enemy quickly react, 5 seconds to aim, fire, an APFSDS kills ATGM operator 2 seconds later, causing the missile out of control and crash.   

     

  15. 47 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Major-general (retired) Dmitriy Ulyanov. Retired in 2017 as colonel and commander of 98th VDV division. During this war enlisted again as volunteer and soon was appointed as commander of new formed "mobik" unit - motor-rifle regiment from Tatarstan Republic, probably 1232nd MRR. Was killed on 5th of Feb by recon-diversion group.

      

     

    Was killed on 5th of Feb by recon-diversion group.

    Interesting,  A UKR spec operation target VDV HQ? 

  16. 6 hours ago, chrisl said:

    Those kind of measurements are *really* hard to do from a balloon with any fidelity because there are a lot of outside forces acting on the balloon and it's hard to maintain an inertial environment somewhere inside.  Local gravity measurements are tricky to do in a stable lab subbasement with good isolation.  

    Thanks for the info. Funny we had a similar discussion on a Chinese BBS yesterday. When a guy posted a paper showing this method is practical, another guy claimed to work in a similar industry came in. He said the paper is BS.

    The argument lasted for a while and guess in the end we all had this feeling: Even if it is a “spy balloon mapping variations in gravity” mission, it can still be a “hoax”.  A “hoax” that is commonly seen in nowadays Chinese academic, industrial application and many other fields. A theory will be rushed into application without spending time on test and trial, in the meantime the head of project development will paint the future in the brightest color to the decision maker, so that more resource will be poured into the project.

    Considering our great leader is eager to take a great leap forward that “overtaking at curves” on technology and military dominance, he would love to see all kinds of "innovations". He may ask the military branch to find a solution to rapidly increase nuclear force deterrence capability.  It is possible that some engineers present this not so practical idea. At least it shows they are working hard on a solution, not “lying flat” and betray our great Party and country. :)

×
×
  • Create New...