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Chibot Mk IX

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Posts posted by Chibot Mk IX

  1. LOS is broken!

    Well, this is a very frustrating experience. Soviets are advancing in the direction marked in red arrow. They are still 300m away from the woods.

    qwUq279.jpg

    With that intelligence I move my JPz IV into a prepared fire position.

    I thought this is going to be a prefect ambush place. It has LOS cover the open field and the road out of the town. The woods blocks advancing Soviets’  LOS, forcing them either go through the open field and take the flank shot or get into the woods (which should trigger the early warning as I have a lot of infantry units watching that area).

    GZjz0ZE.jpg

    jiRUgUb.jpg

     

    The result? It just feel like that T-34/85 has thermal sight, one round of 85mm AP shot through dense vegetation, penetrated JPz IV through “Forward Bottom”? What the heck?

     

    3Xtvjam.jpg

    epupzxd.jpg

     

     

    OK, review the pervious turn save file, maybe, just a maybe this magic AP round was shot through a tiny gap between woods. But how come it penetrated through the bottom when my JPz IV is in a hull down position?

     

    CFugo39.jpg

     

    Frustrating….

     

    *******************************************************************************************************************************************************************

    This is not a blame or a complaint that the game is broken.

    I just want to speak out my frustration…..

    Now I feel much better. Time to get back to my cockpit and resume my battle

     

    panda-cry.gif

     

  2. 2 hours ago, 37mm said:

    IJA defenders may be better based on small teams (which can also be recreated by specialist teams in the editor, as in concept test one) but I suspect IJA offensives are better represented by the inflexible Italian formations (as in concept test two)... besides the strip based MMG's, 6mm rifles & general lack of SMG's are much more appropriate.

    Type 89 grenade discharger (knee mortar) is also an important equipment in IJA's arsenal. this can be represented by Italian 45mm mortar.  IJA's platoon is based around the MMGs and the light mortars. 

     

    2 hours ago, 37mm said:

    Either way, there are Poles in CMFI & bren teams could be procured if need be.

    And don't forget Brazilian, though Brazilian is more fit to be mod into an early USMC squad, ROK Army in Korea war , ROCA in Chinese civil war or ROCA's Chinese Expeditionary Force in Burma theater. 

     

     

  3. OK I was trying to use ISU-122 as a mobile defense group on a large size map, but sadly found out they move as fast as a snail. Now the enemy AFV controls the field before me. 

    Never pay too much attention to the vehicle mobility information, and I am not sure if my impression is correct.

    I know speed indicates the overall mobility.  

    Turning is straightforward, it decides the turning rate.

    What about “Power”? Does CM put acceleration rate into the game?

    And “Off Road”, does that impact the speed off-road, or it decides the chance of bogged down?

    image.png.0297ad859389508bcab95183776d7686.png

     

     

  4. 53 minutes ago, Haiduk said:

    Russian Lantset-2 loitering munition hit two UKR radars. I suppose, both can be repaired, but they obviosly taken out from action for enough long time

    Looks like Russian intensified the SEAD/DEAD mission recently. Can't remember where the original source is, but I read the Russian increase the IL-22 EW aircraft sorties a lot ,  not sure if that's the cause.

    Or maybe it's just because Ukraine side move SAM units forward, to protect the offensive in Kherson region?

  5. 1 hour ago, Haiduk said:

    That pilot of MiG-29 told fighter jets enough good against Shakheds in night time, when them hard to spot visually and land radars can pass them, or detect too close to their target, because of they fly usually low. But radars of fighters can detect theese drones - their dimensions and geometry give enough clear signal on radars, he didn't say what type of missiles he used, but if he meant radar, maybe this R-27R/ER semi-active missiles. Also I read some reports, that our fighters use guns, when can detect drones visually in daylight/dawn. But I suppose guns is too dangerous due to high speed of jet and low speed of drone. 

    UKR hasn't R-77 missiles, but I think R-27 can be used, though there are contraversal opinions about capabilities of IR homing to lock Shakhed, Orlan or similar drone 

    Thanks for the info.

    Actually using radar to track and lock the target would be a great help in an IR missile or air to air gun engagement. It helps the pilot to read the target's heading and speed, this information is crucial in a short engagement window.  

     

    A little OT, maybe the DCS community will soon upload a user made scenario, to simulate the Mig-29 intercept Shahed drones. They just released a Mig-29+HARM SEAD mission.

    MiG-29S + HARM Basic Mission

     

  6. 8 minutes ago, danfrodo said:

    So why is it not possible for these to be shot down w aircraft?  The drones are slow and don't maneuver.  Helicopters and fighter aircraft could shoot them down I would've thoght.  I am guessing there's something that makes this infeasible but I don't know what it is.  Anyone know why this doesn't work?

    There are some videos of Mig-29 engaged the drones, but due to the number of available fighter A/C, distance of airfield base to the impacted area (which makes interception mission impossible, only combat air patrol mission got a chance), A/C maintenance time. Don't expect the fighter A/C to be the solution. 

    9 minutes ago, dan/california said:

    Just the sheer volume to be defended, and the fact the radar signatures are quite small. Hence my proposal about arming whatever light civilian aircraft make the most sense in the largest possible numbers. Nothing close to full combat capability is required.

    This solution and helicopter solution can be explored, but even the drone has a small radar signatures, locates the drone target with MK 1 eyeball, IR sensors could have much more difficulties.  You will still need an airborne radar on the interceptors.

    Another risk is, due to the difficulty of communication these civilian A/C interceptors could be mistakenly identified as hostile target, engaged and destroyed by ground anti-air fire.

  7. I hope Erwin can upload a savefile 

    I am not very familiar with WSS structure, but for Heer formation , the mentioned problem can occasionally happen.    The root cause is the immediate HQ (Mortar section HQ) doesn't have a Radio. things like Erwin mentioned could happen in that case as,  the Mortar team is in verbal communication range with Section leader. The Section leader and platoon HQ are far away with each other but have visual contact.  It doesn't matter where the Co. HQ is, Co. and Platoon HQ have radio communication.

    So, every layer has green dot, but the mortar is out of contact to the Plt HQ and Co HQ

     

    https://www.dropbox.com/s/mnrjky18w6ht6vi/Feierabend Out of Contact Mtr 002.bts?dl=0

    Here is a save file from scenario FR Feierabend 

  8. On 10/11/2022 at 6:17 PM, Erwin said:

    This is in the first mission of the "Breakthrough to Kovel" campaign so easy for you to take a look.  The Germans start with two 81mm mortars under a Werfer Gruppe HQ and a Schwere Zug HQ. 

    wait, are you sure the 1st mission of "Breakthrough to Kovel" campaign start with two 81mm mortars?

     

     

  9. Yes, patch up , it should fix the bug. But under fixed version a miss/failure could still happen 

    I counted 10% chance of miss/failure of javelin in my game play. Half of them are missiles hit a tree in front of the Javelin operator. The other half are near miss.

    But in the game even a near miss is a death sentence to a soft skin AFV.

     

    qXP0Bur.png

     

    A9KaGfB.png

  10. 3 hours ago, Zeleban said:

    As I said earlier, Newly Mobilized Soldiers are unlikely to be useful on the battlefield, but they are quite capable of helping on the strategic map, for example, by pulling part of the Ukrainian troops from the south and east of Ukraine to the north and northwest. I am sure that Putin will entrust the supply of these troops to Lukashenka. And he will gladly take on this responsibility, if only not to take a direct part in the war.

    And here is another possible reason. As we have speculated before, Russia is lack of training facilities and instructors to handle large number of mobilized troops. So, RU needs to send them to Belarus and utilize the training facilities there. 

     

  11. 45 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:

    Onto happier thoughts... Lyman!

    Catching up on the more interesting revelations in the past few pages, it seems the end game might come as soon as tomorrow.  Let's say there are 4000 forces there right now.  Here's how I see the Lyman Pocket™ playing out:

    Roughly 2000 will attempt to flee.  Perhaps a little at first, but it will gain momentum VERY quickly.  Once they make a decision to flee they will be predisposed to surrendering if they find they can't retreat to safety.

    Roughly 1000 will put up a little bit of a fight until they get the sense they are doomed.  This group will likely be obligated to surrender or die as they probably missed their chance to retreat.

    Roughly 1000 will hedge their bets and try fighting it out and eventually wind up dying or surrendering.  Retreating won't be an option for them.

    In the end I predict at least 25% of the forces will become casualties before this battle is concluded.

    What do others think?

    Steve

    I am wondering if modern technology will help a lot of troops to escape the trap?

    In WW2, a disorganized army like that means death sentence to majority of them, stragglers wandering around foreign territory on foot will easily get lost , exhausted , then give up the will to escape in front of enemy mobile patrol or checkpoint. 

    But in modern day a group of trapped soldiers may just robs a civilian car, change to civilian clothes. Turn on their cellphone GPS map and drive to a relatively safe place. They may abandon the vehicle in front of enemy checkpoint and travel cross country on foot.

    Pocket and disorganize the Russian group in Lyman still work in favor of Ukraine. It will speed up RU group's collapse, reduce UKR's casualty, ensure most of the RU heavy equipment lost in the pocket. But it doesn't mean it will generate large of amount of POWs.

    ******************************************************************************

    of course I could be totally wrong, Lyman and surrounding villages experienced heavy fight a couple months ago, so how many civilian vehicles are in working condition is questionable. 

    Then to RU group there is only one road leads to safety, and the distance seems to be too long .   30km to Kreminna. The raining will heavily degrade civilian vehicles off road ability.    

  12. 10 hours ago, Grigb said:

    It is very puzzling actually. RU knew it was coming. They had both time and units to strengthen it. But it looks like RU decided to strengthen Zaporozhye direction. There are two theories:

    1. RU is afraid of UKR offensive in Zaporozheye direction above all. It does not make any sense but possibly Putin interference is the cause. 
    2. RU is planning to make its own offensive in Zaporozheye direction. It does not make any sense either - the window of opportunity is closing right now due to imminent mud season.

    I am afraid we do not have enough cocaine and women with low social responsibilities to understand RU High Command  plans.

    I guess RU high command are obsessed with keeping initiative.

    Well, besides selling the story that “we are attacking until enemy collapse” to both domestic and western audience, keeping initiative is critical to RU war planning.

    If UKR grasps initiative, they can decide where to start an offensive.  Long-termly it spells disaster for RU, because of the troops occupy some “quiet” sectors.  UKR’s TDF can absorb a significant part of RU offensive (either independently or with help and support). What RU has? Rosgvardiya,  Mobilize…. They are either going to melt away in front of a UKR offensive campaign or losing territory here and there in an opportunity attack. That requires RU to move its already depleted “elite” force here and there as a fire brigade.

    So from RU perspective, keep UKR on the defense sounds like a reasonable solution to a complicate problem.

    Of course ironically, RU's obsessive with keeping initiative caused this huge mistake, it speeds up the process for the AFU to firmly grasps the initiative.

  13. 1 hour ago, LongLeftFlank said:

    Every single RU AA position is under the Argus Eye, zeroed, in the crosshairs.  Their heavy guns, similarly.

    You heard it here first:  air power has been MIA in this war, but just because the Russians couldn't pull it off, it doesn't mean it's gone for good.

    I agree with ya. To keep this kind of cross country maneuver safe, UA needs to weaken Russian Artilleries. 

    Eyes, ears and teeth. The breakthrough area (Barvinok-Bohorodychne) is way too close to Russian stronghold, it is very hard to blind their eyes , deafen their ears, so let's knock out their teeth. 

    One more month of attrition....

  14. 54 minutes ago, danfrodo said:

    I am coming around to your way of thinking on Kherson.  There's a lot of RU packed in there and they've had time to set up defenses.  This could take a while, unfortunately.  This kessel is such a  wildcard in what happens for Putin.  If it did collapse w huge RU prisoner loss, could Putin survive that?  

    Well, I bet this one is a mixture of Normandy and Tunisia campaign. Two months of bloody grinding and attrition then the defense line shattered. Then just like the Tunisia campaign, all the reinforcements sent across the Dnieper river, hoping to stabilize the theater, are become POWs.   

    Putin has his 7.20 waiting for him.

  15. 3 hours ago, LongLeftFlank said:

     

    Option 2: After a breakthrough in the Barvinok - Bohorodychne area, the main group should break through in a straight line towards Dar'ivka.

    FdFlMwJWAAE1U1P?format=jpg&name=medium

     

    FdFlxmsXoAAlNTn?format=jpg&name=medium

    There are two difficulties here:

    1. the AFU prefers to advance on roads, and there are fields here. But as long as it's dry, this shouldn't be an obstacle. There are about 24 km to cover, it can be done in a day. There is bocage (mixed woodland and pasture) in the area, which will help with concealment.

    FdFlcPqWYAAjSyO?format=jpg&name=900x900

    2. The second problem is possible Russian Army strongholds in settlements and villages that would have to be bypassed. This means that forces must be allocated to attack them.

    The route avoids large population centres. The Russians usually defend them, neglecting the smaller ones.....

     

     

    Glad to see more discussion on tactics, operational planning etc. But this option 2 sounds too risky. 

    Only 24km, sounds like a short distance. But I believe he underestimated the difficulty of cross country movement, ferry through two streams and one river (although they are likely dried right now). The terrain provide mediocre concealment from aerial surveillance, little protection from artillery's bombardment. A well placed minefield from MLRS could make the whole column stuck in the open like sitting ducks, while the flank is exposed to RA's counter attack. And here is the last issue. How to deal with RA's counter attack?  RA's counter attack force's assembly area will be placed in the urban, away from UA's surveillance, so they could enjoy some surprise here. 

    This kind of maneuver can be a final blow to an already deeply weekend , almost reach breakpoint enemy. But it is too risky when enemy is still strong.

     

  16. So, here we go. 300 thousands fresh cannon fodders. No surprise this is not a mass mobilization.  

    I think this has been discussed before. Russian military cannot handle a mass mobilization.

    Kamil Galeev : Why mass mobilisation in Russia won't work?

    The existing Russian training facilities that survives Serdykov's reform can only handle 200K-300K at most, assuming Russian Army can pull all the training school instructors out of the frontline,  put them back to the training schools. 

     

  17. 3 hours ago, Grigb said:

    These people are wrong because they are attempting to do the worst RU sin - change Tsar. Maidan - nickname of UKR change of government is swearing for RU Nats. In their mind it is the worst thing that could happen. This is the major inconsistency in their thinking - Government which is puppet of Tsar is handling SMO badly, but thou must not attempt to remove the TsarBasically, they are doing it wrong because instead of advising the Tsar to do the right thing they are attempting to do the worst thing aka removing the Tsar. 

     

    He is pointing to two factions (Pro-Putin Liberals and Pro-Putin RU Nats aka Guardians). These two factions have at this period one common objective - keep the damage of war localized for the sake of stability. So, they probably act together for the time being. 

     

    To an east Asian , this ideology sounds … so familiar

     

    尊皇讨奸!

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/February_26_incident

    Quote

    Now, as we are faced with great emergencies both foreign and domestic, if we do not execute the disloyal and unrighteous who threaten the kokutai, if we do not cut away the villains who obstruct the Emperor's authority, who block the Restoration, the Imperial plan for our nation will come to nothing [...] To cut away the evil ministers and military factions near the Emperor and destroy their heart: that is our duty and we will complete it

     

    清君侧!

    Sorry, failed to find the English translation. Here is the Chinese wiki link

    https://zh.m.wikipedia.org/zh-hans/%E6%B8%85%E5%90%9B%E4%BE%A7

    Any way, it is very similar to the above “To cut away the evil ministers and military factions near the Emperor and destroy their heart”

    It’s a very popular Manifesto in ancient Chinese rebellions, uprising.

     

     

    P.S  Ironically many usurpers kept this as a oath to show they have “Mandate of Heaven”. Of course this is a deception, kill the “bad influencers” around the Emperor is only the very first step….

  18. 2 hours ago, Grigb said:

    Ru has neither infrastructure nor officers or specialists to enable mobilization. Agent Murz specifically stated that there are no Comms specialists left. 

    And there is another critical issue - the incompetence of the whole military-civilian administration chain that is supposed to do it. L-DPR mobilization done by these people was utter disaster. 

    That’s good. Let them have their stupid mobilization. I can foresee hundreds of clueless conscripts packed in a deserted barn.

    No water, no food, no cloths, no blankets.

    Three days later military totally forgot where these conscripts have been sent to. And if these conscripts are smart enough, they all should know what to do…..

     

    2 hours ago, Grigb said:

     

    For FSB it is nightmare actually - the number of military aged males with access to the guns will increase dramatically. Remember Battle of pub in Kherson? Two drunk army soldiers shot four FSB boiz (well, one escaped). 

     

    Well, that is a small sacrifice compares to big payoffs. Losing some dedicate (expendable) FSB officers is, regrettable. But now FSB has a great opportunity to directly control thousands of fresh troops. Their rifles and ammunition come from FSB, supplies come from FSB, even paycheck can come from FSB.

    All the compensation is asking for a small favor, Loyalty.    

    FSB faction will become a powerful warlord in the future feudalism Russia.

  19. 4 hours ago, Huba said:

    Another crack in the system:

     

    For Communist Party, mobilization is their ladder to the throne, they probably hope history repeats itself and a 1917 v2.0 scenario is on the horizon  

     

    To many other Rus Nat, that’s their last hope (besides nuke, well nuke must sounds too scary even to them)

    **********************************************************************************************************

    As an outside, I am always wondering if Russian can effectively execute a mobilization. I have this doubt since April.

    Serdyukov reform laid off 60-70% officers, closed hundreds of military training facilities. What makes the situation worse is Russian sent a lot of military school instructors to the frontline, and we have discussed this hundreds page before. Some of the instructors already got killed.

    So assuming a general mobilization carries out in a week, generating hundreds of thousands manpower on paper. Can RA find enough military training facilities for the conscripts ? Is there enough experienced personal to train the rookies? In the best case scenario , can Russia wait for at least 6 month for a foot soldiers to finish the training course and probably two years for a young Lieutenant to graduate from school?

     

    RA must invest a lot of resources (resources they don’t have) to the mobilization and wait for a very long time for the fruit falling into their hands.

    I have a conspiracy theory; the FSB faction must love to see a mobilization happens. Since RA cannot handle increased manpower so whoever made the decision will have to ask for FSB’s help on training. That means, a lot of guns and foot soldiers will fall into FSB’s hands.

  20. 1 hour ago, sross112 said:

    So right now the only rail line feeding both Kherson and Crimea is the Kerch bridge? Would that be in ATACMS range? If so the US should give the UA at least 2 a week from here on out.

    Yes, that makes Kerch bridge a very important target.  RU may still be able to use the ports to unload supplies and troops. But kill a significant portion of supplies flow from Kerch bridge will cause a huge problem. And all those port terminals are also in ATACMS' range. 

  21. 17 hours ago, chrisl said:

    So if the UA indeed has a third full division that it's holding back, can/will they take advantage of current Russian disorganization and start a drive towards Melitopol/Mariupol to cut the "land bridge"?  Or do they have to go through the mythical 3rd Army Corps to do that?

    Late to the party

    IMHO, at current stage this is a little bit risky move for UA.  As we know UA is also heavily rely on rail network for supply and strategic maneuver. 

    So cut the land bridge looks very attractive, but the problem is there will be one major rail line to support UA to make this piercing.

    And most risky part is , Zaporizhzhia will be the only place to assemble a massive strike group, stockpile fuel and ammunitions.( Hulyaipole is way too close to the frontline).  Russian can still use Air launched cruiser missiles to damage UA's campaign preparation in this direction.

    800px-Rail_Map_Ukraine.png?2014070519120

     

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