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hcrof

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  1. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    First combat usage of haeavy octocopter with mounted machine-gun. Before we could see experiments, but lookls like more than year was need to complete works and test the system in real combat
     
  2. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    It's unclear what exactly hits small drone on the video, but it's claimed unknown drone hit one of several working radars in Transnistria, which could track our aircraft in Odesa oblast and to share information with Russia
    Transnistria allegedly has some P-12 (?) radars, but maybe western sources confused P-12 and P-18, because P-12 is very old stuff, adopted as far as in 1958 and even later upgrades are not younger that the end of 60th. I doubt this old sh..t could be kept in working conditions.
     
     
  3. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Satellite images of Yeysk airbase. For 5th of April we can see presumably one damaged aircraft

     
     
  4. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Interesting episode of repelling of Russian armored attack on Terny on 2nd of April. I posted this video and you may pay attantion on the tank with pile of boxes on the turret. As became knowingly this was Tsar-EW-tank, inteded to supress all possible frequencies of UKR FPVs.
     

    Next the story about this:
    It's Russian armored column has came. Our FPVs were falling down like flies on all frequencies, because on leading tank the EW-monster drove. Mad Max is relaxing here. On the pallet Russians assembled monsterous construction from everything equipment that they had. Three panels of patch-antennas 800/900/2.4/5.8 around and to all this were added blocks on 700-1000 ranges. Upper on some planks and around. All this was tied with ropes. On the armor also was mounted generator and batteries. There was too hard for our pilots, but quess if it kept EW the tank? No. Our brave pilots from the row of units hit them. Further with other armor became much easier.

     
    And describing of the same episode from DeepState.
    Before the column moved at 14:00, Russian TOS-1A has driven forward for preliminary bombarding of our positions, but was timely spotted and hit. 
    At 16:00 we spotted th ecolumn of 6 tanks, coming from Zhytlivka direction. It's interesting that Tsar-EW tank moved in the head of column. It was destroyed later, you can see photos in Flash's TG. This Frankenstain was destroyed by the drone of 60th mech.brigade with additional homing (meant "machine eye"?). Two more tanks were hit by FPVs of 63rd mech.brigade. 
    The moment of Tsar-EW was hit bt drone
    In parallel way, the movement of column turned out in shooting range. 12th NGU regiment "Azov", 95th air-assault brigade, 21st mech.brigade, 60th mech.brigade, 63rd mech.brigade started to heap on Russians with everything what was possible. As result from 6 armors only 1 could flee. 
    Since some time katsap box arrived to embark scattered infantrym bvut was destroyed too. 
    Next day, 3rd of April next TOS-1A came forward, but again was destroyed by "Azov"
    On 4th of April one more tank was destroyed here. 
     
     
  5. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from Holien in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Depends on if you isolate the war away from the west's support of Ukraine. Lots of Russia supporters don't/can't grasp that even if Ukraine can't win outright, it won't lose as long a even a few western countries keep the flow of supplies going. I don't think Russia has a plan for that. 
  6. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Depends on if you isolate the war away from the west's support of Ukraine. Lots of Russia supporters don't/can't grasp that even if Ukraine can't win outright, it won't lose as long a even a few western countries keep the flow of supplies going. I don't think Russia has a plan for that. 
  7. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from A Canadian Cat in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, he obviously doesn't know the history of Afghanistan or Czechoslovakia/Hungary or he would be making that comparison not Iraq 2003. He kinda says that if war was a computer game you could save-scum your way to a flawless victory against impossible odds. But he doesn't say how. 
    War is about mistakes - you can't run a "what if" scenario based on your side running a flawless campaign with perfect knowledge of both thr enemy and yourself
  8. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Yeah, he obviously doesn't know the history of Afghanistan or Czechoslovakia/Hungary or he would be making that comparison not Iraq 2003. He kinda says that if war was a computer game you could save-scum your way to a flawless victory against impossible odds. But he doesn't say how. 
    War is about mistakes - you can't run a "what if" scenario based on your side running a flawless campaign with perfect knowledge of both thr enemy and yourself
  9. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Next Darwin premium for Russian recon 
    Russian serviceman tells a story about stupid death of all recon group:
    "Ahaha! Guys, look at this! The door bell on the tree here in the forest! How funny! Ahaha! I must ring! It's so jolly! Hey, Owl, are you home? BOOOM!"
     
  10. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from dan/california in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/04/04/pro-kremlin-telegram-channels-share-propaganda-video-featuring-u-s-city-councilor-who-joined-russian-army-after-fleeing-child-pornography-charges
    No suprise that he is on the run from US law enforcement...
  11. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Dormitories and factory are part os single "special economical zone "Alabuga" - students involved into works on the factory. And reportedly this is not "forced labor" - they gain experience in high-techology branch, get reservation from conscription and get payment. So, most of theese young people willing to work there. And the srike on dormitories, as write some our sources was deliberate - to make panic and "uncertainity" among young enginners, IT, managers etc.
    Of course, many of them may tell "I am for peace and I don't do anything bad - just write a code"
    Russians claimed refinery didn't get serious damages, because drone "hit the fence", Well, we can see what a "fence" was really hit, but likely about results we will know later. Reportedly rectifical column on 8 mln.tons/year was hit
    Today Russian sources reported "Severstal" company officially claimed the halted biggest blast furnace in Russian afetr drone attack about months ago. Investigations showed it will need several months of repair with 37 billion rubles cost.
  12. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from Twisk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    I am going to try one more time here...
    Your posts come off sounding extremely confused. You make multiple statements without any logical connection between them and you seem to know they are controversial but you do not back them up with evidence. You keep citing Plato's cave but in a way that sounds like you are copying what someone else said without understanding it.
    Please offer simple and direct answers to people's questions. Imagine you are a professional writing a report for a client. You are not going to persuade anyone with long, poorly focused posts with no evidence. Because my finger is hovering over the ignore button and you only have yourself to blame. 
  13. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from Mindestens in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Sorry but can you explain in less than one paragraph what point or question you are trying to make here? I can't understand any of your posts. 
  14. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Beleg85 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Ad vocem this issue with magazines: he talked about Bakhmut and Avdiivka battles where there was largest concentration of such wave tactics, but I remembered now curious explanation from a person cooperating with volunteers fighting actually on Kreminna front providing more details about it from their experience, something like 1 year ago. There they found bodies and took muscovite prisoners who were given exactly 3 magazines; not because Russians lacked AK ammo, but specifically to force first wave to come close to AFU trenches. Logic was to instruct them very carefully and profoundly that they have no chance in prolonged firefight when caught by defenders in open field; their only way of survival was to be close combat (oddly, these zeks were lavishly equipped with granades and rather solid vests).
    So this was more modern version of musket era tactics, when sometimes soldiers were instructed to not load their muskets or even remove flintlocks entirely, to ensure bayonets were their only choice. Russians naturally still love this Suvorov spirit.
  15. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from Monty's Mighty Moustache in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Consider that the USA is not the only country in the world. No matter how little you trust your own government how about the governments of most of Europe? 
    Even the French and Germans (Evan neutral Switzerland!!), who were very critical of the war in Iraq are fully onboard supporting Ukraine, supplying more aid per capita than the USA. 
    That suggests that the war is real and Ukraine is a partner who can be worked with. Remember the Dutch and Germans complaining about corruption during the eurozone crisis? Not so much with Ukraine (although realistically it does exist)
  16. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from Raptor341 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Consider that the USA is not the only country in the world. No matter how little you trust your own government how about the governments of most of Europe? 
    Even the French and Germans (Evan neutral Switzerland!!), who were very critical of the war in Iraq are fully onboard supporting Ukraine, supplying more aid per capita than the USA. 
    That suggests that the war is real and Ukraine is a partner who can be worked with. Remember the Dutch and Germans complaining about corruption during the eurozone crisis? Not so much with Ukraine (although realistically it does exist)
  17. Like
    hcrof got a reaction from paxromana in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Consider that the USA is not the only country in the world. No matter how little you trust your own government how about the governments of most of Europe? 
    Even the French and Germans (Evan neutral Switzerland!!), who were very critical of the war in Iraq are fully onboard supporting Ukraine, supplying more aid per capita than the USA. 
    That suggests that the war is real and Ukraine is a partner who can be worked with. Remember the Dutch and Germans complaining about corruption during the eurozone crisis? Not so much with Ukraine (although realistically it does exist)
  18. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from Carolus in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Consider that the USA is not the only country in the world. No matter how little you trust your own government how about the governments of most of Europe? 
    Even the French and Germans (Evan neutral Switzerland!!), who were very critical of the war in Iraq are fully onboard supporting Ukraine, supplying more aid per capita than the USA. 
    That suggests that the war is real and Ukraine is a partner who can be worked with. Remember the Dutch and Germans complaining about corruption during the eurozone crisis? Not so much with Ukraine (although realistically it does exist)
  19. Upvote
    hcrof got a reaction from quakerparrot67 in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Consider that the USA is not the only country in the world. No matter how little you trust your own government how about the governments of most of Europe? 
    Even the French and Germans (Evan neutral Switzerland!!), who were very critical of the war in Iraq are fully onboard supporting Ukraine, supplying more aid per capita than the USA. 
    That suggests that the war is real and Ukraine is a partner who can be worked with. Remember the Dutch and Germans complaining about corruption during the eurozone crisis? Not so much with Ukraine (although realistically it does exist)
  20. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Here is new Russian weapon, which they already used several times - among them two days ago this weapon first time for two years bombed Kahrkiv, One bomb hit the school, the secong hit the ground among residential buildings, causing death of one man and injuring of 16 people.
    This is UMPB D-30SN. The ordnance, based of "dumb" FAB-250 (100 kg HE). Wings, guidance system and rocket engine, turned it intu gliding bomb-missile, similar analog of western SDB/GLSDB. This sh...t can be launched both with Su-34 or with Smerch/Tornado-S MLRS. Depending on carrier it can fly on 50-90 km. Declared CEP is 5 m. Guidance - inertial/satellite 

  21. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    This night Russians conducted next mass missile strike. Again, main targets were power plants. In this time, except thermal plants, Russians targeted two hydro energy plants in Kaniv, Cherkasy oblast and in Chernisvtsi oblast, on Dnister river. Also substations and power infrastructure were attacked in six oblasts. Kuiv wasn't under attack this time. 
    Russians again hit Burshtynska thermal power plant with Kinzhal missiles as well as Ladyzhynska thermal power plant in Vinnytska oblast. By assesment, these two largest TPPs are taken out at least on six months or maybe even on year.
    Statistic of launches/interceptions:
    - 60 Shaheds / 58 shot down
    - 21 Kh-101 / 17 shot down
    - 4 Iskander-K cruise missiles / 4 shot down
    - 3 Kh-47 Kinzhal / no intreceptions
    - 2 Iskander-M / no interceptions
    - 9 Kh-59 / 5 shot down
     
    Debrises of new upgraded  Kh-101 were found after this night. This missile already had two warheads. Main - 450 kg of total weight and secondary in 250 kg of total weight, Secondary warhead has ready-made submunitions of cubic shape. 
     
  22. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Kraft in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Pavlo Narozhnyi , the founder of "Reaktivna Poshta" and a military expert, gave an interview to the French publication Le Grand Continent.
     
  23. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to billbindc in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    <areas of COIN involved cerebral cortex begin to spin up, blinking lights, whirring and puffs of dust ensue>
    It's pretty clear that ISIS-K wants to recruit more members of ISIS-K in Russia at this stage of the game by committing acts of terrorism that inflame an already quite hostile Russian cultural reaction to Muslims from the Southern fringe of the imperium which then alienates and radicalizes yet more potential recruits. To this end, an attack like that at Crocus also provides a clear signal that Moscow isn't just nasty...but weak, preoccupied completely by the losing war in Ukraine and not prepared to handle what ISIS-K can dish out. 
    Russia did actually lean into pretty much what ISIS-K could have hoped for with televised tortures, ear lopping and the like...which is precisely the worst way to equalize both sides in the minds of fence sitters and videos of Russians assaulting random Tajiks are all over the Stans as we speak. What meh there was involved the messaging from the top...which underlined the how out of of touch the Kremlin is. 
    All in all, ISIS-K has to feel pretty good about this round. 
     
  24. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Haiduk in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
    Intact warhead of shot down in Kyiv 3M22 "Zircon" was found. It's turned out much less, than Russian declared in open sources. Total weight 200 kg and HE weight 80 kg (was claimed 300-400 kg warhead). This may seem insufficint for anti-ship missile, but taking into account Zirkon on final stage of attack dives from 30-40 km alsmost verticaly with 9M speed, the impact of the deck and explosion could pierce the ship through.
    A day ago one of experts, who explore this warhead said it may has no more 40 kh of HE and it's type will be determine in further researches. It's unlear, why quantity of HE raised from 40 to 80 kg, probably warhead was opened later and this allowed to determine a mass of HE
     
  25. Upvote
    hcrof reacted to Kinophile in How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?   
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