Offshoot
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Posts posted by Offshoot
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First recorded use of cluster munitions by Ukraine?
Don't know if it's the same place or if the writer has Tiger tank syndrome, but:
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37 minutes ago, Rokko said:
Looks like some significant engagement took place near Krasnohorivka, near Marinka. Looks like the emblem of one of the Air-Assault brigades
https://twitter.com/TheDeadDistrict/status/1681934452438585347?s=20
Reporting from Ukraine covered this fight around a coal mine in a recent video
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A video that goes into a little detail on the tactics used for an assault on a Russian trench system. In this case, rather than riding in on armoured vehicles, the Ukrainians dug a purpose-built and concealed position to attack from, surprising the Russians, who were reportedly well equipped. It also seems like the assaulting troops are receiving orders/directions based on what the drone can see.
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A long video on the battles around Vuhledar (closed captions are tolerable).
"Vuhledar Fortress: How the Black Zaporozhians [named for the coalmine] held the city for a year and destroyed the enemy"
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Oryx website will continue but Twitter account will not
QuoteJust to clear up any confusion, the Russian and Ukrainian losses lists will continue to be updated after I end Oryx on October 1st. Jakub & the rest of the team will continue their 'work' as usual. The website will remain up, but this Twitter account will go silent.
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Reports that train services on the Kerch Bridge have been stopped as well as ferry services. It could just be temporary while they check for damage or assess further risk of course - https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-ato/3736626-train-services-stopped-on-kerch-bridge.html
If naval drones were the cause, Russia are going to have to figure out how they got through.
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A picture on Reddit is apparently showing a gap in the lights of the Kerch bridge around the "145th pillar".
https://www.reddit.com/r/ukraine/comments/151o61g/part_of_the_kerch_bridge_has_collapsed_near_the/
And traffic apparently backed up:
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The topic of online frauds in the context of the war in Ukraine has been discussed here before, so I'll drop this link as a summary of a well-known case if anyone is interested.
The making of a fake war hero: An American who reinvented himself as a social-media soldier in Ukraine is accused of 'stolen valor' - https://www.businessinsider.com/american-social-media-war-hero-accused-stolen-valor-in-ukraine-2023-7
QuoteA US veteran named James Vasquez went to fight in Ukraine and gained a large social-media following.
But it turned out Vasquez was lying about his military background and his experiences in Ukraine.
Four sources told Insider how Vasquez was able to trick the world. -
8 hours ago, DesertFox said:
Something big went boom. See tweet for details. Mashchinskaya mine near Luhansk
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1680475894006132741?s=20
The The Strategic Communications Department of the Armed Forces of Ukraine are claiming it was a rocket storage point - https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/07/16/7411576/
Will it put a dent in Russia's ambitions given the reported accumulation of forces in Luhansk?
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It wasn't a coup at all but merely a failed hostile corporate takeover followed by another failed hostile corporate takeover.
Putin says he tried but failed to oust Prigozhin after Wagner mutiny - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/jul/14/putin-says-he-tried-but-failed-to-oust-prigozhin-after-wagner-mutiny-figters-ukarine-war
But in the fall out, let off little people start to spill the beans:
Victims of “Donbas genocide” were paid actors, Prigozhin’s fired trolls reveal - https://euromaidanpress.com/2023/07/14/victims-of-donbas-genocide-were-paid-actors-prigozhins-fired-trolls-reveal/
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25 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
V1 is back baby!!! Can’t keep a good doodlebug down.
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10 hours ago, Haiduk said:
Mashovets writes, having a picture of 2-3 days ago. Situation is enough dynamic.
Here is a statement of press-service of 3rd assault brigade for today: https://t.me/ab3army/2874
3rd assault brigade knoked out the unit of Russian 83rd air-assault brigade near Bakhmut. Our 2nd assault battalion liberated about 1 km of territory, destroying Russian platoon, one tank, and capturing 10 soldiers. Company strongpoing is captured
I don't know either he wrote about Russian counter-attack near Berkhivka like about current development or that one, happened about week ago. Because yesterday there was issued a video, how Russian artillery fires on Berkhivka village, though UKR TGs told there are only small forward groups of UKR troops in the village.
Most bad situation, obviously on Kreminna direction. The video issued today (but unknown when in was filmed) shows UKR MLRS shells Russians in northern part of Tors'ke village.
Summary/extra info on the Bakhmut and Berkhivka situation for English speakers - https://mil.in.ua/en/news/paratroopers-of-the-russian-federation-were-captured-in-the-bakhmut-direction/
In the second video they show, I don't think I have ever seen so many troops together at one time out in the open (at the 33 second mark)
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A short vid on the Deep State maps, the team behind them, and their use
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5 hours ago, Battlefront.com said:
In fact, some OSINT source I saw yesterday claimed that Ukraine now has more tanks in service than Russia does.
Bloomberg did an article on arms balance in Ukraine and based it on data from the Kiel Institute, IISS and Oryx - https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2023-07-05/shift-in-balance-of-arms-in-ukraine-underscored-by-fresh-data?leadSource=reddit_wall
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42 minutes ago, Beleg85 said:
Poor Prig...more photos are coming out from his residence. The guy had entire closet with wigs.
No strange they couldn't find him after mutiny.
So Prigozhin's run on Moscow was just a larp about.
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2 hours ago, akd said:
Might be discarded coveralls from the crew of the abandoned tank?
Did someone say discarded tank crew coveralls?
https://t.me/supernova_plus/21752
Naked Russian soldier filmed escaping from damaged tank - https://english.nv.ua/life/naked-russian-soldier-filmed-escaping-from-damaged-tank-ukraine-war-news-50336249.html
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The Ukrainian Air Force releases their own compilation video of sorts
Forbes have used the dated kill boards to piece together some info on the episode where the Ukrainians took out multiple Russian aircraft in short order over Bryansk oblast - https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2023/07/03/a-ukrainian-patriot-missile-crew-shot-down-five-russian-aircraft-in-two-minutes-and-possibly-forced-the-kremlin-to-rethink-its-tactics/?sh=75c2b4a41a5b
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CIA says wartime Russia is a rare spy-recruiting opportunity - https://www.reuters.com/world/cia-says-russia-is-recruiting-opportunity-disaffection-with-war-rises-2023-07-01/
"U.S. CIA Director William Burns said on Saturday that disaffection in Russia with the war in Ukraine was a once-in-a-generation opportunity to recruit spies - and that his agency was not letting it go to waste."
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Low res but submitted for inclusion in the fireworks category. Destruction of a Russian Buk SAM using a precision round, reportedly in the Velikonovosilkivsky district - https://mil.in.ua/en/news/ukrainian-high-precision-projectile-hit-russian-buk-sam/
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23 hours ago, The_Capt said:
Follow up…ok, I think I have got the only solution that makes any sense: Putin and Prig are in love but cannot admit it to each other or themselves. Only a rom-com scenario makes any sense in what we have seen - hear me out (and yes I am sober as I type this)
Prog and Putin have known each other for years - him a working class ex-con trying to go straight, Putin a golden haired princess who is so lonely at the top. They have been sharing stolen glances and smiles for years but neither has the courage…their worlds are too far apart. Prig is desperate to get Putin to really see him, instead of a boom box outside in the rain he rolls up to Moscow with T90s and MLRS. It was a romantic gesture of the highest order. A demonstration of power and masculinity while being vulnerable at the same time.
Putin, like a sexy fox, flees to St Petersburg to hold up with a couple girlfriends…he can’t cope with all this - it is too much too fast. He is into Prig but the man is both intoxicating and terrifying. Putin throws out threats but he really does not mean them, inside his heart is pounding - should he? He mustn’t. He is so confused right now. Should he call in airstrikes or run out on the M4 into his man’s arms?
Prig is wailing into the night with an electric guitar (and AD systems), he is in love so hard it hurts. He bashes out With or Without You by U2…Russia holds it breath while the two star crossed lovers both in love and hate at the same time. They resent each other for making that love into something that threatens to consume them both. Finally Lushenko, a girlfriend to both from way back I the day talks them both off the ledge - “you are both love struck fools, stop now before you say something you cannot take back!”
Prig realizes it first. Putin is a fox to be lured and must feel in control. Prig has come on too strong. He dials it back, goes back to the dorm and tells all the guys “he totally scored” but inside he is tortured by the waiting game.
Putin has fooled himself that he is back in charge but deep inside knows it is too late. He says strong words but everyone at work knows the truth - FFS would they just do it already. Their love is self-destructive and wholly doomed but neither can look away - it is a storm that must happen….to be continued.
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7 minutes ago, The_Capt said:
So it remains unclear to me that Prig backed down due to MoD or Putin hard power. The guy made the longest Russian military advance of this entire war. He did not face RA resistance while he did it, nor did he face resistance from the people. It does not look like he back down because he figured that he could not take Moscow; it looks more like he backed down because he was dangerously close to actually doing it.
Another take on why Prigozhin stopped, by Vlad Vexler - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5680U8ZQVMk
He says that Prigozhin stopped because he didn't get enough buy-in from the regular army and the elites and then, because of that, bottled it because going further might result in his eventual obliteration.
Prigozhin may well have been able to take Moscow but without the buy-in needed to establish a (temporary) replacement administration it wasn't necessarily going to last and could have become very bloody.
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1 minute ago, Huba said:
As usual, Artur is not linking his sources, but according to him there are multiple reports of (small) RU units laying down their arms and surrendering to AFU.
Surrender now so you don't have to pick sides. In Ukrainian custody really is the safest place to be.
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14 minutes ago, Grigb said:
Girkin
The rebels have successfully passed Voronezh and are advancing through the territory of the Lipetsk region. They boast that they [quicklyand easily assaulted] the outposts of the "Russian Guard" and took trophies.
Wartranslated wrote this as "bypassed Voronezh", which would imply that they haven't taken it. Any confirmation on who holds Voronezh?
EDIT: sorry, just read your following post about the situation.
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31 minutes ago, Battlefront.com said:
For sure that is how it is now. But what happens if the request to "give me stuff" is turned down? Can you see Prig and his boys saying "well, we gave it a try. We'll go home now". I certainly don't see that happening.
And even if Putin gives in and beheads the MoD, then what? All is forgiven with Prig and his boys? I don't see that happening either.
Make no mistakes about it, this is a coup even if the coup plotters don't think of it as such.
In both the 1991 and 1993 coups the participants were given amnesties, so it isn't outside the realms of possibility that Prigozhin will be forgiven, depending on how much damage he does to the state by way of disrupting the war in Ukraine. And Prigozhin has been careful to present himself as defending the people.
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
in Combat Mission Black Sea
Posted
UK to send Malloy drones to Ukraine, capable of carrying equipment and even casualties