Grigb

There is already a significant shortage of skilled workers that already hurts the economy badly. Significant part of skilled workers either ran abroad or were already mobilized. Mobilizing more skilled workers means RU business has to close or start full scale sabotage of mobilization efforts. First mobilization hurt economy badly, second could kill it outright.

Oh, FFS... First, Mobiks use whatever they can find. Cold is a cold. While I am not knowledgeable enough about this matter for UKR units I am confident that UKR soldiers rarely do the same. Supply is better, RU clothing is often inferior and dangerous (flammable), but most importantly You will attract dangerous attention from your own boys. In RU army enemy clothing does not attract anybody's attention. In the beginning supply was awful and many RU units literally got everything they could from captured UKR supply depots. Now supply is somewhat better, but RU clothing is inferior, dangerous and looks bad. Even RU generals prefer to weas UKR western style uniform Infamous general Lapin (sitting) So, while we can't tell for certain who it was, the chances of it being RU are substantially higher than those of the UKR (If it's authentic). Wagnerites [real ones] don't exist for about half the year. However, even they did not do so in public, which was harmful for Prig's Myth. More significantly, everyone knew someone foolish who had simply vanished into thin air, so they didn't need that kind of public reminder. Second, it is somewhat strange. It is unofficial punishment (and waste). To do that local commander must take the initiative and responsibility which is frowned upon in RU army. It is more preferable to call in men from special units who deal with it via torture and intimidation. Why execute someone who can still walk and take part in count formations, and meat assaults? You put him in an earth pit or lock him in a basement and leave him there for a week. After a week you ask him if here is motivated enough to become loyal soldier of the motherland. If not, you beat him and leave him for another week. Here is pit from Chechen war And here is Basement These punishments are simple, can be organized anywhere, can be used to detain but also to torture. And you can always claim that you are doing nothing, just detaining the victim. And if the story gets big you blame local soldiers for incompetence. Why do it that way? BTW, older generations despise that since Soviet propaganda frequently reminded Soviet citizens that only Fascists would do so, displaying German executions from WWII. If it's authentic it was done by somebody brutal and who did not want higher ups to be involved. I thought about it and the answer is most likely it was done by RU PMCs Veterans or similar. Murz quote The Veterans are carrying out looting, drinking, and narcotics operations. They do not want higher-level or special unit to become involved (typically special units include Military Police) since these basterds will undoubtedly want their cut. So, how do you quickly and brutally punish noncooperative mobik if you are a group of zeks? Phot is the answer.

That's possible - there was rumor that RU AD shot at the same time at something different.

I completely agree. But we have following video: This is undoubtedly a Russian military facility. And someone is launching a missile not far away from the camera (to the hilarious surprise of the man behind camera). The only option I can think of is that UKR SF have adamantium balls and launched missiles from very close to a Russian military facility. If the facility is RU AD-based, that explains why RU is so fond of blaming AD again; only higher-ups would know the truth. The vast majority of RU officers would simply know that missiles were fired from the direction of the RU AD base, indicating that these MF made a mistake again.

S-200 comes from UKR media and some local UKR sources. It cannot be reliably verified but personally, judging by the way it is presented I believe it is planted by UKR intelligence. Also even modified S-200 is still big old missile that RU AD should be able to counter. RU AD is bad (cannot counter StromShadow) but should not be that bad.

Looks like last night RU Nat got message from friendly comrades to be quiet. So far nothing to add to what I already wrote except umors that RU command is leaning toward UKR SF raid.

RU Nats says there are 6 remaining, however it appears they are referring to the total number. According to UKR Mashovets' UKR colleague:

A-50 and IL-22 were hit in a previous incident. Yesterday, only A-50 was hit: Yesterday, there was confusion over the number of planes and helicopters hit because initial yesterday's videos showed two separate fires and one witness claimed that one fire was caused by a helicopter. Separately, some UKR channels claimed that IL-22 was also downed but later these claims disappeared (probably confused it with previous incident). Nobody else claimed IL-22 or anything else was hit. There is a small probability that the second fire was from another plane. But it is small. Ae you sure you are capable of judging other's work if you missed these basic things?

According to the most reliable reports, A-50, which was somewhat deep in Russia (see my drawing above), was hit. There were reports of two planes or one plane and one helicopter hit, however it appears that A-50 been broken into two parts, which were misidentified as two planes. There is a report based on video of broken parts that it was not A-50 but IL-76 transport airplane. I am waiting verification on this one. The UKR AF claims to have downed the A-50 and IL-22 command post. I am waiting verification on this one. Also, there are reports that Su-34 in Kherson negatively gained altitude. One thing is certain: the RU Day of the Fatherland Defender was a great success. If you know what I mean. [EDIT] Rybar's map depicts a crashed A-50 near Mariupol. But it was dated 15.01.24. Probably something like this has caused the misunderstanding. Looks like IL-22 was not confirmed It is still possible that there are two planes. The reports are conflicting and confusing. Nobody seems to know right now.

I made simple map Regarding Boat - they managed to do this So, i think Boaty McBoatface with a couple of ASRAAM is possible. The range is around 50 km. And it is infrared homing.

Video footage of the plane's damaged bits. The man says nothing significant.

It was hit in RU, Krasnodar kray

On the footage, the first missile strikes the flare. So, unless chaffs and flares were launched and stayed close together, it was a short-range missile. Looks like UKR SF raid.

256 km from frontline.

Imagine an underbarrel setup where the shot is initiated by a proximity sensor. Soldier has to point it in the general direction and push the trigger to activate the sensor. Once the sensor detects the drone, it fires 2-3 rounds in rapid succession, leaving you with 2-3 more in case of a second attack.

Well, let's look at the data we have. FPV attack on a RU soldier RU comment Another FPV attack on a RU soldier 00:05 start of first attack 00:15 before RU soldiers quickly moves out of the way 00:16-00:18 view from another drone - RU soldeir quickly moves away, UKR operator of the first drone decides to abort attempt and pulls drone up 00:19 UKR operator dive down again RU soldier quickly moves to a different direction 00:20 UKR drone misses RU soldier and hits ground nearby. A soldier is wounded in leg and hand (not criticaly) and survives. Interesting description of the whole attack: First drone hit other target - a group of troops nearby (on video from 00:00 to 00:04) reported damage, one died The soldier was wounded by a second drone between 00:04 and 00:20The third drone fell nearby, quote "flew round and then fell... simply fell nearby" The fourth drone exploded near the car where the solder was placed, "glass got broken...we waited for the driver and then left" Cheap mass-produced FPV drones aren't as quick or nimble as many thinks. Attacks using these low-cost drones are not as effective or devastating as many imagine. Finally, the prototype was evaluated by a Ukrainian FPV operator, who stated that the army should be armed with them. it is not 100% protection, but it is definitely more effective than people think.

UKR test prototype of individual solder multishot anti-FVP weapon

And now for something completely different: RU comms instructions: Use brief call signs such as "clitoris" [yes]. UKR's comment: it explains why I typically hear stupid call signs in intercepts.

He was talking about the UKR economy.

I looked over the less interesting questions from the UKR former tanker interview and to see what could still be noteworthy. So, below is part 2.

Yes, the gun is effective, and armor can be improved. However, the state remains poor, making them difficult to use.

Recently, I noticed that my UKR listening skills have improved noticeably. With the aid of translators and some effort, I can watch and translate UKR videos. So, let check the following interview with UKR AFV expert (former AFU tank officer)

I want to discuss that RU DOLBOYEBIZM with formations of troops on a training ground within HIMARs range. I was reading the RU Nat conversations and came across an interesting comment. As usual, RU Nats were arguing that RU generals should be executed. Then one man added, "Don't make blind claims about generals. These formations are common. They [training ground officers] do it regularly, and not only for generals". I began to wonder why they did it (if it was true). The explanation is actually rather simple: an AWOL problem. There is minimal transportation on the front lines, thus little opportunity to go AWOL. The training grounds are different. It is several dozens of kilometers behind the front line. There are many more possibilities for transportation, including civilian cars. So, how do you know if somebody is missing? You regularly arrange soldiers in formation and count them. Why can't subordinate commanders count soldiers in small groups and report back to you? Because that is the RU army. Your subordinate commander is full of BS; they take bribes and declare that everyone is present. The only accurate method is to count soldiers oneself. Dolboyoby.

So, the bet is on. Thank you.

It is you who poison the debate by using inappropriate term in regards of F-16 implying somebody in this debate somehow considers F-16 to be a magical weapon. I will repeat - nobody in the debate you currently participate in assigns any magical properties to F-16 yet you insist on using Wunderwaffe reference. You disrespect the debate but complain about my hostility. Which is wildly inappropriate because none of your opponents considering or referring to or implying F-16 to be magic weapon. I do remember several weapons being praised on the level that can be certainly be called as "War Winning". I do not remeber anyone expected that a certain weapon would be able to deal with the threat it was not supposed to deal with. Let's take Leopard. Everybody expected Leopards to give UKR dominant, war winning edge against apropriate targets. Nobody expected Leopards to swiftly defeat helicopters or planes. Did Leopard give UKR the ability to dominate in land battle? Let's look at the data we have. When Leopard engaged two T-72 or T-90s with HE, they promptly withdrew UKR tanker with Soviet experience says that with Leopard they are able to hit any target with first shot (no wonder T tanks withdrew) Description of Leopards caught in ambush: The brigade's attack and our tankers [looks like platoon] ran into an ambush by a t-62 tank company. It was hidden very well. Moreover, it was so camouflaged that even thermal imagers could not detect it. There were multi-layered mats. And 115mm armor-piercing sub-caliber shells from a distance of about 800 m were used to shot head-on at leopards 2A4. Leopards withstood more than one hit. Some tanks had two hits, some tanks had three hits. The available data shows Leopards gave UKR dominant, war winning edge in land battle against threats tank is supposed to handle just like public expected. The real issue is different - your unfounded belief that Leopards were referred to as war winning weapons becasue public expected Leopards to defeat threats they were not supposed to handle. And who exactly here needs this warning? Whom do you warn if, as I said, nobody considers F-16 magic weapon here? Insisting on calling F-16 "the next Wunderwaffe"? I do not see anybody else doing it here. If somebody somewhere calls F-16 a magic weapon you are certainly free to use the Wunderwaffe reference, there. You stated quote: F16s are just the next Wunderwaffe that won't fundamentally change the situation. I gave you facts about how a single weapon system performing the same task that appropriately armed F-16 supposed to do, fundamentally changed the situation.