hcrof

Let's look at detection and early warning ranges.
New sketch based on UKR Mashovets post

Here are detection ranges from A-50 Old Patrolling Route.
Some info
 

Today's post of Kostiantyn Mashovets and some opinions in comments (some simplified by me) - he also hints this can be S-200. Mashovets is retired AD officer and practices on S-200 in early years of own military studying. 
As a variant. 5V28 missile - far limit of engagement zone for loitering AWACS plane is 255 km. Upgraded variant - 5V28M - all 300 km. And there is a strory among AD servicemen that on maneuvers this missile flew away on 340-350 km [like in similar way Russian Tu-154 was accidentally shot down by UKR S-200 in times of Kuchma much further of declared engagement zone - my comment]. Yes this old-school system, bulky, but according on number of features it still unique system. And AWACS planes are its "firm", highly specialized targets. Despite S-200 has semi-active homing, it can homes in passive mode, but the target have to be very bright source of radio-emmiting, and AWACS radar for S-200 seeker is a like firework. 
There was information S-200 misisles were recieved from Poland or Bulgaria. Also some of our missiles can be repaired. In Ukriane S-200 system was decomessioned long time ago and all launnchers were scrapped. But since S-200 was upgraded as erzats-ballistic missiles and some of them were used in this role I can assume we have some mobile launcher for them, not a stationery like in Soviet Union. And I think, we could upgrade some equipmemt in this missile. Some people in comments under post of Mashovets pointed out in USSR S-200 could by deployed on railway carts. One problem with S-200 is its toxic liquid fuel, demanding special chargng procedures, so even mobile launcher is not simply drove here - shot - ran away.
 
On background of video with Russian S-400 launches here is my version:
1. Two UKR S-200 launched in A-50
2. Operators in the plane see imcoming missiles and in desperation launched all what they can do - chaffs, flares, turned on EW equipment and gives targeting to incoming missiiles for S-400 to shot them down. PS. Flight time for S-200 is about 2 minutes.
3. S-400 crews launches missile(s) on incoming S-200 and:
a) they failed to intercept them - one missile is distracted by EW equipment of A-50 (but on video it looks like a flare repelled the missile), The second hit the plane
b) missile, launched at approaching S-200 mistakingly has locked on A-50. BOOM.
c) S-400 intercepted one missile (visible as if a flare did it), but the second S-200 hit A-50    
 

According to the most reliable reports, A-50, which was somewhat deep in Russia (see my drawing above), was hit. There were reports of two planes or one plane and one helicopter hit, however it appears that A-50 been broken into two parts, which were misidentified as two planes. There is a report based on video of broken parts that it was not A-50 but IL-76 transport airplane. I am waiting verification on this one. The UKR AF claims to have downed the A-50 and IL-22 command post. I am waiting verification on this one. Also, there are reports that Su-34 in Kherson negatively gained altitude.  One thing is certain: the RU Day of the Fatherland Defender was a great success. If you know what I mean.
[EDIT]
Rybar's map depicts a crashed A-50 near Mariupol. But it was dated 15.01.24. Probably something like this has caused the misunderstanding. Looks like IL-22 was not confirmed It is still possible that there are two planes. The reports are conflicting and confusing. Nobody seems to know right now.

Well, let's look at the data we have.
FPV attack on a RU soldier
RU comment
Another FPV attack on a RU soldier
00:05 start of first attack 00:15 before RU soldiers quickly moves out of the way 00:16-00:18 view from another drone - RU soldeir quickly moves away, UKR operator of the first drone decides to abort attempt and pulls drone up 00:19 UKR operator dive down again RU soldier quickly moves to a different direction 00:20 UKR drone misses RU soldier and hits ground nearby. A soldier is wounded in leg and hand (not criticaly) and survives. Interesting description of the whole attack:
First drone hit other target - a group of troops nearby (on video from 00:00 to 00:04) reported damage, one died The soldier was wounded by a second drone between 00:04 and 00:20The third drone fell nearby, quote "flew round and then fell... simply fell nearby"
The fourth drone exploded near the car where the solder was placed, "glass got broken...we waited for the driver and then left" Cheap mass-produced FPV drones aren't as quick or nimble as many thinks. Attacks using these low-cost drones are not as effective or devastating as many imagine.
Finally, the prototype was evaluated by a Ukrainian FPV operator, who stated that the army should be armed with them. it is not 100% protection, but it is definitely more effective than people think.

UK MOD does seem to be paying close attention. 

UK launches military drone strategy backed by $5.7 billion funding and Ukraine analysis. 
Breaking Defence 

UKR test prototype of individual solder multishot anti-FVP weapon

 

Syrsky looking at his recruitment and training process first, while the ZSU tries to hold on. He's right. 
Any thoughts or extra info from our UKR friends? 

I looked over the less interesting questions from the UKR former tanker interview and to see what could still be noteworthy. So, below is part 2.
 

Recently, I noticed that my UKR listening skills have improved noticeably. With the aid of translators and some effort, I can watch and translate UKR videos. So, let check the following interview with UKR AFV expert (former AFU tank officer)
 
 

Translating dolboyebism is a complex task. You need to include several steps
First, Dolboyebism - the suffix "-ism" suggests that this is a word denoting things related to another word, in this context it would probably mean "something that a dolbayeb would do" (a hypothesis confirmed by meaningful conclusion of step 2).
Second, "dolbayeb" is a compound word, where two parts may be distinguished: "do lba" (to the head) and "yeb". Given that we are dealing with a swear word, it may be safely assumed that "yeb" pertains to  "yebat", to have sex (rude).
Thus we arrive at "dolbayeb" - man, with whose head someone had sex (presumably damaging it in the process) - and "dolbayebism" - "a thing so stupid, that it could be done by a man, with whose head someone had sex, damaging it in the process".
On the Internet I found someone's translation of "dolbayeb" as "****head", which I like as it is both correct as to the meaning and  the closest ethymologically. Dolboyebism thus could be translated as "****headery" or "****headism".
 

I want to discuss that RU DOLBOYEBIZM  with formations of troops on a training ground within HIMARs range. I was reading the RU Nat conversations and came across an interesting comment. As usual, RU Nats were arguing that RU generals should be executed. Then one man added, "Don't make blind claims about generals. These formations are common. They [training ground officers] do it regularly, and not only for generals".
I began to wonder why they did it (if it was true). The explanation is actually rather simple: an AWOL problem. There is minimal transportation on the front lines, thus little opportunity to go AWOL. The training grounds are different. It is several dozens of kilometers behind the front line. There are many more possibilities for transportation, including civilian cars.
So, how do you know if somebody is missing? You regularly arrange soldiers in formation and count them. Why can't subordinate commanders count soldiers in small groups and report back to you? Because that is the RU army. Your subordinate commander is full of BS; they take bribes and declare that everyone is present. The only accurate method is to count soldiers oneself.
Dolboyoby. 

Captain Pletenchuk shares some information on the BSF having issues using Caliber missiles.
 

HIMARS strike near Volnovakha allegedly has took a life of colonel Gusein Musayev, commander of 36th motor-rifle brigade. He lined up 2nd motor-rifle battalion, before a visit of major-general Oleg Moiseev, commander of 29th CAA. Our guys slightly hurried up with a strike. 
In Borzia district of Transbaikal region, from where is 36th brigade a mourning is announced

 
Though as became knowingly, this strike got a big resonance, because it aftermath was filmed by cameras of many soldiers, survived after the hit. A week before, on 14th Feb the same incident was near Dokuchayevsk, the town near Volnovakha, but both RUS TGs and local sources have written only about a fact of strike, but losses still unknown. On the range near Dokuchayevsk there were about 300 servicemen

But this is not all. Several hours ago, Russian TGs reported about the same incident with HIMARS on lined up troops on the range in Kherson oblast
Two majors TG
The range. Kherson oblast. Again.
Comrade officers and junior commanders. Please, take responsibility on yourselfs.
 
Callsign OSETN TG  
Today a range again. Kherson oblast. Nobody disn't cancel dolboyebizm [I can't translate this in Englisg equivalent - it means "enormously fu...g stupid way of decision making or a deed]. A Kingdom of God for lads. Khokhols, don't laugh, you will be fu...d at all. 

We should not expect any more suicides since, as you mentioned, he was an idealist. Any other RU Nat in his position would swallow his pride (which is not a huge thing for Russians) and survive. More crucially, any other RU Nat would unlikely place himself in the same circumstances. Murz issued an ultimatum to the propagandist, who belonged to a powerfull (relatively speaking) propaganda network. No other RU Nat would do that.
However, what we should expect is increased disfranchisement of RU Nats and their quiet exodus from the war.
quote
Another one
And another one
 
The crucial point is that the situation in an LDPR grouping is the best in terms of combat capability on average due to the presence of experienced LDPR commanders and specialists (such as Murz). Furthermore, there is an extensive and sophisticated RU Volunteer supply network there. Other directions are worse, that's why we should use Murz info as sort of best-case data.
For example, Donetsk grouping recently pushed UKR out of Avdiivka. Kherson grouping, despite having supposedly one of the best RU commanders and not insignificant resources, still battles something like hundred UKR marines in the village. Zaporozhy grouping banging Robotne bulge. North Luhansk grouping is banging villages around Kupyansk.
 
That's RU state for you. 
However, there is a rift between LDPR fighters and RU regulars. LDPR are very dissatisfied with RU state traditions. We knew about it before from GUR phone intercepts but now it has started to spill in public domain.
Former LDPR fighter from Donetsks
 

It feels to me that between Wagner's dissolution, Girkin's imprisonment and Murz's suicide, the death knell for 'altruistic' Russian revanchism as been well and full rung. More proof of the demobilized and demobilizing political nature of Putin's sclerotic regime and a very good thing for long term Ukrainian prospects. 

Do you think? According to my very crude calculation, given full HD you have 1 pixel per 40cm at 1km distance with a FOV of 45° (which is the minimum we are using in  automated driving). Usually the FOV should be larger, I think, so resolution is worse.
Add to this that Ukraine has a rather diverse fleet of DIY drones. You have many different camera configurations with different resolutions, FOVs and calibrations. That makes applying AI complicated as  detection models are often sensitive to these differences. Not impossible but not something I'd expect to give good results out of the box.

and his translated suicide note
 
 

You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down" 
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.

Murz was a prominent member of the DPR and ultranationalist movement. Indeed, he has seen a lot of dead comrades. And not all of their deaths were glorious. For example, last year, his close buddy Nazi Bereg (the infamous guy with the UKR scull) was murdered by Wagnerites during an attempted robbery (Wagnerites were ambushing and robbing mobiks returning from frontlines). The murder was covered up by Wagnerite higher ups (rumors were that Prig himself).
On the other hand, Murz, was a die-hard left-wing RU Nat. For him, it was a total war against Western capitalists who cruelly murders innocent Russians. He would never stop. 

Nesmyan (civilian Girkin) about sanctions
Economy - Russia is wining on this one

With regard to being open about Russian methods, a series of billboards in Tallinn reminds people about Russkiy Mir in a dramatic, creative and in-your-face way.
Gallery: Exhibition showing destroyed public space on display in Tallinn
 

The report explains how RU army "manages" to remain in the fight thus far.
P.S. Indeed, Murz left full blown suicide note. Except to get a feel of the mood.
And this is how RU army learns from mistakes.

If he moves in the kind of ultranationalist/DPR circles I think he does, he has probably seen 75% of the people he knew two years ago die or get crippled for life in the "Special Military Operation". He wouldn't be the fist person to go around the bend in such circumstances. Especially as he is better placed than almost anyone to understand how unlikely Russia is gain anything that matters from this war, at least relative to the bill.

Murz posted that he had a difficult talk with his military superior (brigade commander) and removed the post under direct order/threat. Next, he wrote something that may be considered a suicide note. But he did post something that looked like soldier's report. Looking into it.

You make it sound like the border is a binary issue, which just plays into extremist talking points:
"Biden wants millions of brown trans rapists to cross the border because he is an evil person who hates white America - trump would shut it all down" 
Vs
"The fashists want to shoot Mexicans on sight so the solution is to not come up with any solution to the border because if bad people want something we should do the opposite "
Not helpful.