Calamine Waffles
Members-
Posts
477 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Everything posted by Calamine Waffles
-
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Possibly Duplet with Zaslon APS degrading it? -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Taiwan may also have nukes...they collaborated with the South Africans and Israelis during the late Cold War on "unspecified" weapons related things -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I don't see the US sending weapons to Ukraine to be very problematic for Taiwan. The stuff that Taiwan will need in an invasion is very different from the stuff Ukraine needs right now, for the most part. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Despite what Haiduk may wish, somehow I don't think the Ukrainian government will want to condone or allow mass lynchings or extrajudicial executions of collaborators. After all, in Russia they flat out have news media outlets and personalities who call for nuclear war with the West, but that doesn't mean that Putin is going to follow them. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I think almost definitely officials who openly collaborate and assist the Russians in occupation of Ukrainian territories will be put on trial or flee to Russia after the Russian forces are expelled. When it comes to, say, Oleg who posted Russian propaganda on his Facebook or VK? Well, I don't know how they will handle it. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Well, the same thing happened in Western Europe after Nazi Germany was cleared out of the occupied countries. Ideally one would bring these collaborators to trial for treason, but we will see. It would not be a good look for the Ukrainians to the rest of the world, but I can't say I blame them for having strong emotions about this after all that has happened. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Perhaps it would be cause to complain if the Ukrainians decided to start putting bullets in the back of the head of every military-age male in Crimea like the Russians did in Bucha and other places? What they are proposing for Crimea is no different to evicting illegal squatters. Maybe they could offer a pathway to Ukrainian residency as an alternative as well if the people already there want to stay. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I guess you could do an actual fair referendum with mandatory participation from the Crimea population. Or you can demilitarize Crimea and make it neutral territory. Other than that, not many options. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
-
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Yuri Butusov the reporter? It's called "Butusov Plus" By the way, the video claims the T-80UM2 unicorn was taken out by artillery. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Given the number of anti-tank weapons both sides have and with neither really being able to suppress the other, I don't think either side is willing to risk using them in the breakthrough role -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
https://www.ladbible.com/news/latest-ukrainians-offer-to-write-special-messages-on-bombs-20220613 -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
It's perfectly fine for Zelenskyy this way. The West can't force him to make concessions if the overwhelming majority of his population don't want to, lest they forsake the democratic values the West claims to uphold. Jamming/EW assets are also something you don't want to use as much as possible, especially with all the eyes of your potential enemies trained on you, because -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I find that highly unlikely unless the people leading NATO are incredibly short-sighted. They lose a valuable ally in Ukraine *and* almost certainly guarantee that there will be a NATO-Russia war in the near future. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
NATO cannot accept any other goal then total defeat of the Russian Army in Ukraine. Anything less than that means there will be a "next time", and when that happens, it may not be restricted to just Ukraine alone. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
For reference re: S-300V1 etc., these are the ranges and ceilings of the various SAM systems used by the ZSU. I'm not sure if the S-200Vs are operational. They are static systems that Russia (theoretically) would have struck early in the war. https://imgur.com/zIjr4zO -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
While I have no experience flying combat jets, I imagine that learning to fly even an Su-25 and handling the weapon systems solo is probably a bit more complicated if you don't have any advanced jet training on an L-39, especially without someone in the back seat to help. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
It's not just in Donbas. It would be naive to think these people only operate there. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I doubt you would send pilots into an Su-25 before doing basic and advanced training in an L-39. The Su-25 is not a Mach 2.0+ fighter, but it's still considerably more complex than an L-39. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
I'm sure they'll consider all possible options...would be nice if they could give HARMs to Ukraine. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
https://coffeeordie.com/grey-wolf-team/ -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
Ukraine has mobilised about 700,000 men. How many do you think can they train at once within these 3 months? Do you think they have the facilities and instructors to give all of them the same level of training over 3 months? -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
The problem for Ukraine is they absolutely need to mechanise the TDF and reservists if they want to use them for anything more serious than local defence. That is why their requests for APCs are second only to those for artillery for their ground forces. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
It takes more than that to assemble and train units (well). It took the US the better part of 6 months before it started deploying Army units during WW2. -
How Hot is Ukraine Gonna Get?
Calamine Waffles replied to Probus's topic in Combat Mission Black Sea
The number of 203 mm systems quoted by DE doesn't seem to match up with Wikipedia (99 2S7s), but I assume they just mean 13 in active service in 2021 with the rest in reserve. Because so far Ukraine has lost 4 of them, visually confirmed, which would be 1/3rd of the active force.